Basketball never stops. After last Thursday's draft
sprinkled fewer free agency breadcrumbs than was initially expected, this
Friday's player option deadline looms large before Sunday's free agent bonanza.
Will LeBron James tip his hand and opt-in (likely signaling that a
sign-and-trade is in the works)? Will Paul George opt-out and leave Thunder
fans feeling the opposite of mellow (#stayme7o)?
Regardless of what happens Friday, there is expected to
be a lot of player movement this offseason. To get a better understanding of
what teams might be looking to do this summer, let's take a look at the biggest
"need" each team should address in the near future.
ATLANTA HAWKS
BIGGEST NEED:
Veteran Leadership
Guess how many players the Hawks have over the age of 30
on their current roster? Zero. The front office did a great job rebuilding and
bringing youth and excitement to the table by drafting the likes of John
Collins and Trae Young; now, they need some adults in the locker room to show
this group of kids how to be professionals. Youth movements are great, but if
there aren't any veterans on a roster, young players tend to develop bad habits
both on and off the court — this is essentially what got Sam Hinkie fired in
Philadelphia. Look for the Hawks to maybe flip Dennis Schröder and throw some
money at veterans like Amir Johnson and Jamal Crawford.
BOSTON CELTICS
BIGGEST NEED:
Continuity
The Celtics are contenders today and should be contenders
for the next 10 years. The NBA hasn't had a team with this promising of a
future since the 2012 Thunder. Unless the Celtics can land Kawhi Leonard or
Anthony Davis, they should focus on keeping this awesome core of Kyrie Irving,
Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Al Horford and Gordon Hayward together for as long
as possible. Team chemistry, after all, is an underrated factor in the NBA. If
we're nitpicking, they could use a little 3-point shooting as well.
BROOKLYN NETS
BIGGEST NEED:
A star forward
The Nets have some intriguing young pieces like Jarrett
Allen, Spencer Dinwiddie and D'Angelo Russell, but none of them are moving the
needle for a franchise. The Nets will finally have their own first round pick
in 2019, but they should take a swing at one of the talented, but flawed
restricted free agents about to hit the market this summer like Aaron Gordon,
Julius Randle and Jabari Parker. Maybe sign Randle to a big offer sheet and see
if the Lakers balk while they're trying to sign LeBron James and Paul George.
Could Randle take his game to another level if an entire offense were run
through him? It's not impossible to imagine.
CHARLOTTE HORNETS
BIGGEST NEED:
Franchise direction
Toiling in mediocrity. That sums up the sad state of
Michael Jordan's franchise. Whether it's signing Nic Batum to a max contract or
drafting Malik Monk over Donovan Mitchell or not trading Kemba Walker at the
height of his value last trade deadline or passing on Michael Porter Jr. in
last Thursday's draft, the Hornets appear to be content aimlessly fighting for
the No. 9 or 10 seed in the East every season. As good as he is, they need to
trade Walker for future assets (or use him as a way to dump Batum's contract)
and unapologetically tank this season or else they'll be in the same sad
position next season, and the season after that... and the season after that.
CHICAGO BULLS
BIGGEST NEED:
Quality wings
What's a telltale sign that your team is pretty bad? When
Justin Holiday is unequivocally your best wing player. The Bulls are another
team that should throw some money at a younger restricted free agent — perhaps
the homegrown Jabari Parker? Even Rodney Hood might be worth a gamble.
Regardless of who they sign, the Bulls have at least another year or two of
rebuilding before they'll contend for a playoff spot.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
BIGGEST NEED: What
do you think?
Obviously, it's LeBron James. If he leaves, the Cavaliers
essentially turn into the Hornets. If he stays, they need at least two of the
following pieces to compete with the Warriors, Rockets, Celtics and 76ers
moving forward: (1) 3-and-D wing depth; (2) a shot creator; and (3) a rim
protector. If they could somehow get Kawhi Leonard or Paul George, it would
certainly alleviate (1) and (2). If they can't get either of those guys,
they'll have to get creative in the next week — could they acquire Kemba Walker
and a serviceable wing before LeBron makes Decision 3.0? Cavaliers fans should
certainly hope so.
DALLAS MAVERICKS
BIGGEST NEED:
Center
What a great draft day for the Mavericks! They traded up
for a franchise-changing stud in Luka Doncic without having to
sacrifice much. Now, they have Doncic and Dennis Smith Jr. for the next 10
years manning their backcourt along with some quality 3-and-D wings (Harrison
Barnes and Wes Matthews) and a great coach (Rick Carlisle). All they need is a
good center and they could probably contend for a playoff spot this season. Do
they take a huge risk and offer Boogie Cousins a max contract coming off a torn
Achilles tendon? Does Mark Cuban swallow his pride and offer DeAndre Jordan
another deal if he opts out? Or do they sign Clint Capela to a max offer sheet
and pray that Houston doesn't match?
DENVER NUGGETS
BIGGEST NEED:
A true point guard
The Nuggets have an extremely deep and talented roster
that is in need of some minor refinement, the most obvious area of refinement
being a pass-first third guard behind Jamal Murray and Gary Harris. Fred
VanVleet would be ideal. Rajon Rondo could be intriguing as well considering
the engaged, leadership role he played with the Pelicans last season.
Regardless of how they round out their roster, with Nikola Jokic, Murray and
Harris all taking significant strides last season, the Nuggets are poised to
potentially make a leap from a borderline playoff team to a pseudo-contender in
the West depending on their young core's improvement. Imagine how good this
team could be if the tantalizingly talented Michael Porter Jr. pans out.
DETROIT PISTONS
BIGGEST NEED:
Roster development
The Pistons are another team without any cap space or
direction as a franchise (this is why it was a bad idea to give Stan Van Gundy
dual power as head coach and team president). Their best bet is to let new
coach Dwane Casey implement his system and hope that he can develop the
ancillary pieces of the roster like he did in Toronto. Can he turn Stanley
Johnson into an above-average 3-and-D wing? Can he turn Henry Ellenson and Luke
Kennard into serviceable role players around Blake Griffin, Andre Drummond and
Reggie Jackson? Another Coach of the Year trophy is waiting for him if he
can.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
BIGGEST NEED:
Younger role players
Let's be honest - this team doesn't need anything,
per se. Hell, they won a title this past season with six centers
on their roster! On the Zach Lowe Podcast, Steve Kerr said he
expects the team to fill out its roster with younger players next season. In
other words, goodbye Nick Young! Goodbye Zaza Pachulia! After adding Jacob
Evans in the draft, look for the Dubs to take a risk on a high-risk,
high-reward big man like Nerlens Noel and maybe a bargain wing looking to win a
ring like Rudy Gay.
HOUSTON ROCKETS
BIGGEST NEED:
Continuity (retaining Chris Paul and Clint Capela)
The Rockets were an untimely Chris Paul-injury away from
likely winning the NBA Finals last season. With the opportunity to essentially
run it back with the same roster, it'd be a huge risk to not do so. Assuming
they can't steal LeBron James or Paul George in free agency, the Rockets should
do whatever it takes to re-sign Chris Paul and Clint Capela. If they can do
that and add another shooter or two, they'll be contenders for the title once
again.
INDIANA PACERS
BIGGEST NEED:
Thad Young and Lance Stephenson upgrades
By declining Lance Stephenson's team option and with Thad
Young apparently set to turn down his $13.8M player option to become an
unrestricted free agent (side note: what is he thinking!?!), the Pacers could
be a major player in free agency this summer. The first thing they should look
to find is a forward who can stretch the floor and give Victor Oladipo more
room to operate. They could try to poach Trevor Ariza or Luc Mbah a Moute away
from the Rockets. Or they could keep some cap room for other pieces and go
after a cheaper option like Ersan Ilyasova. The second thing they should do is
make a hard push for a rich man's Lance — Marcus Smart. He'd be perfect in Indiana.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
BIGGEST NEED:
Youth development
The Clippers low-key made a killing in the Blake Griffin
trade last season - adding a number of quality pieces on good, moveable
contracts while simultaneously shedding Griffin's long-term cap hold. Unless
Kawhi Leonard is made available to a Western Conference team, the Clippers are
best off moving forward with their current roster, contending for the playoffs
and waiting until next offseason to make a real splash in free agency. If
DeAndre Jordan leaves, the team is a Danilo Gallinari trade away from having a
blank slate heading into next summer.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS
BIGGEST NEED:
A superstar or two
The Lakers have been searching for a superstar to build a
contender around ever since Kobe Bryant's Achilles tendon skipped town in 2013.
At long last (at least in Lakers' time), they are favored to land a top free
agent, or two — or three (let's not get too greedy). If they can sign LeBron
James, Lakers fans will enjoy acceleration from bottom feeder in the West to a
bona fide championship contender overnight. The roster overhaul that ensues
will be fascinating as Magic Johnson and Rob Pelinka will have to make
decisions on whom to keep and trade out of their most promising prospects:
Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram, Julius Randle and Kyle Kuzma.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
BIGGEST NEED: Wing production
As their owner recently made overtly clear, the Grizzlies
plan to contend for the playoffs this year. The good news for the Grizzlies:
They have a very good point guard (Mike Conley) and center (Marc Gasol), and
they drafted two players who, at worst, should be impactful rotation players
moving forward (Jaren Jackson and Jevon Carter). The bad news for the
Grizzlies: they're paying $94 million to Chandler Parsons to essentially be a male Instagram model. More
bad news: the Grizzlies are effectively capped-out the next couple years unless
they can dump Parsons' contract or decide to break-up the Conley-Gasol combo.
Thus, they're going to have to strike gold on an undrafted rookie or hope that
Dillon Brooks or Wayne Selden Jr. develops into a high-end role player.
MIAMI HEAT
BIGGEST NEED: A
superstar
Anyone who watched the Heat-76ers first round should have
come away with two conclusions about the Heat. First, they're fun as hell to
watch. Second, they don't have a true go-to guy that will get them tough
buckets down the stretch — especially when Dwyane Wade can't summon the Flash
from years past. Ever since LeBron left in 2014, the NBA world has been waiting
for Pat Riley's swan song mastermind move, but it just hasn't happened yet.
With a bunch of good-not-great players on moveable contracts, you get the sense
that Riley is lurking, waiting for the right moment to roll the dice. Could
they be the surprise team that makes an 11th hour push for Kawhi Leonard?
MILWAUKEE BUCKS
BIGGEST NEED:
Better guards
Unfortunately for the Bucks, Eric Bledsoe was never able
to regain the form that once made him one of the league's top young point
guards. Bledsoe is a cautionary tale of what happens to young players that
develop losing habits while playing for crummy organizations — sometimes, they
never recover. After watching Bledsoe this past season, it's safe to say he's a
lost cause. Look for the Bucks to try to trade Bledsoe (Bill Simmons recently
floated a Bledsoe for Dennis Schröder deal) to clear some cap space to sign a
veteran, pass-first point guard and/or a professional shooter like Wayne Ellington.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
BIGGEST NEED:
Depth - especially shooters who can play serviceable defense
With the T'Wolves drafting the hard-nosed Josh Okogie and
then having projected first-rounder and reigning Big Ten Player of the Year
Keita Bates-Diop fall into their laps late in the second round, it would not be
surprising at all if the team shopped and traded Andrew Wiggins this summer.
Unfortunately for Minnesota, the return won't be anything near the return the
Cavaliers once got from the T'Wolves for Wiggins — especially with that
5-year/$154 million deal set to kick-in this year. Ideally, the team can get
back some shooting in a Wiggins deal, but, if not, a deal should at least open
up some cap room in the future to help address the team's lack of depth (at
least in Coach Thibodeau's mind).
NEW ORLEANS PELICANS
BIGGEST NEED:
A high-end wing
The Pelicans for years have tried (and failed) to
surround Anthony Davis with quality wings (Luke Babbitt, Quincy Pondexter,
Solomon Hill, etc.). This past season, they found success foregoing the small
forward position in favor of two point guards (Rajon Rondo and Jrue Holiday)
and another guard (E'Twaun Moore and/or Ian Clark) alongside Nikola Mirotic and
Davis. It'd be a lot easier if they didn't have to play Moore and Clark out of
position all the time. The move that has gained some traction in the media is
to sign-and-trade DeMarcus Cousins to the Wizards for Otto Porter. A move like
that might move the needle and make the Pelicans a contender if Davis has another
gear he can get to.
NEW YORK KNICKS
BIGGEST NEED:
A good point guard
Let's see...Frank Ntilikina? Probably
better-suited as a Marcus Smart/Tony Allen-type guard. Trey Burke? Probably
better-suited as a sixth man. Emmanuel Mudiay? Probably
better-suited in the G-League. Unless they can shed the Joakim Noah contract
(good luck!) or make a trade, they'll probably have to wait another year to get
the point guard they need. Lucky for them, the home-grown Kemba Walker hits the
market that year - that's the Knicks' move. You heard it here
first.
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
BIGGEST NEED:
Paul George
Did Russell Westbrook and the Thunder do enough to
convince the linchpin of free agency, Paul George, to stay in Oklahoma City?
Stay tuned Friday. George is the Thunder's biggest need moving forward because
he is the perfect second banana to Westbrook — he's an All-NBA level defender
who can cover 1 through 4 and he's seemingly content being the
Robin to Russ' Batman on offense. If George leaves, the Thunder should seriously
consider calling the Lakers on September 28 to see what they'd offer for
Westbrook.
ORLANDO MAGIC
BIGGEST NEED:
Literally everything - especially a point guard
The Magic are a dumpster fire. If they want to give their
two most recent draft choices (Mo Bamba and Jonathan Issac) a fighting chance
at developing into good players, they'll need to get them a legitimate point
guard. Having Shelvin Mack lead your team in assists at 3.9/game in 2017-18 is
a basketball travesty. Rajon Rondo and Fred VanVleet are two options in free
agency. Dennis Schröder, Milos Teodosic and — if they wanted to make a big
splash — Kyle Lowry, are some potential trade market targets.
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
BIGGEST NEED:
1a) A superstar; or 1b) Markelle Fultz's jump shot to come back
After their savvy draft night trade where they picked-up
the Heat's unprotected 2021 first round pick (possibly the first year high
schoolers are eligible to be drafted again), the 76ers are in position to
either clear cap space for LeBron James or trade for Kawhi Leonard... or both.
If any of that happens, they'll need to fill-out the rest of their roster with
shooting.
If they don't land LeBron or Kawhi, they should re-sign
JJ Redick and do whatever they can to get Markelle Fultz over his shooting
yips. The athleticism and skills that made him the No. 1 pick in the draft all
seem to have translated to the NBA. If he could ever regain his shooting form,
the 76ers could have one of the most transcendent trios in NBA history.
PHOENIX SUNS
BIGGEST NEED:
Playmaking
In a surprising twist, the Suns renounced their rights to starting point guard Elfrid Payton,
making him a free agent and further exposing their lack of playmaking at point
guard. With as much as $15 million in cap space, it's hard to believe that the
Suns are just going to roll with Brandon Knight and Tyler Ulis as their
distributors next season. Many blue checkmarks on Twitter believe that the Suns
are looking to be a player this offseason, yet there aren't many pass-first
point guards on the market. Are they simply looking to sign a veteran like
Rajon Rondo and retain their cap flexibility another year? Or are they
positioning themselves for a big trade target like Kemba Walker?
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
BIGGEST NEED: Frontcourt
scoring
We are starting to see the limits of what a team led by
two offensive-minded 6-3 guards can be in the NBA in Portland. Both Damian
Lillard and CJ McCollum are excellent, but unless they can acquire or develop
some consistent scoring from their big men, they're going to top out as a
non-threatening No. 3 seed in the West. One idea that's been floated since last
year is a CJ McCollum for Kevin Love trade. Certainly an interesting deal,
however, does it move the needle enough for either team to ultimately pull the
trigger? Whether they deal McCollum or Lillard or not, they're really depending
on Zach Collins developing into a high-level center.
SACRAMENTO KINGS
BIGGEST NEED: Developing
a star on their current roster
While they passed on a potential franchise savior (Luka
Doncic) in the draft, the Kings still came away with an elite prospect in
Marvin Bagley III. Now, they need to prioritize Bagley and De'Aaron Fox's
development ahead of everything else. Even though the Celtics own the rights to
their first round pick next season, the Kings cannot lose sight of the ultimate
goal (developing their prospects into stars) and sign a bunch of
"win-now" veterans to make a push for the No. 8 seed. They must allow
their youngsters to work through mistakes and hopefully accelerate their
learning curve in the process.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS
BIGGEST NEED:
A primary scorer
As well as LaMarcus Aldridge played (All-NBA Second Team)
and as well as Greg Popovich coached last season, the Spurs' ceiling with Kawhi
Leonard sitting out is a No. 7 seed. They can hang their hat on defense to
remain competitive, but they desperately need a go-to scorer in order to get
back into the contender sphere. Assuming the Kawhi relationship is irreparably
damaged, it'll be interesting to see if whether they prioritize potential
(Brandon Ingram? Jaylen Brown? Markelle Fultz?) or experience (Gordon Hayward?
Kevin Love?) in a deal. With Popovich nearing the end of his career, it
wouldn't be all that shocking if it was the latter.
TORONTO RAPTORS
BIGGEST NEED:
Wing shooting
Talk about a team that wants to see LeBron James go West
this offseason. The Raptors should offer to charter a private jet for LeBron to
travel between Los Angeles and Akron if he agrees to leave the Eastern
Conference. Regardless of what LeBron does, the Raptors will need more 3-and-D
guys (with an emphasis on the 3) to remain relevant in the East with the likes
of Jayson Tatum and Ben Simmons on the rise. OG Anunoby is a nice start at
wing, but they need more. With no cap space and excellent depth at guard, a
Kyle Lowry trade this offseason makes sense. Could they pawn off Lowry to
Minnesota for an Andrew Wiggins (a/k/a the Maple Jordan) package?
UTAH JAZZ
BIGGEST NEED:
A reliable secondary option
The Jazz are positioned well for the present and the
future after capitalizing on two of the biggest draft day steals in the past
decade (Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell). They also have one of the best head coaches
in the NBA in Quin Snyder and a group of solid veterans like Joe Ingles, Ricky
Rubio and Jae Crowder. Thus, maintaining the status quo is an option. When they
decide to take a swing at contending, they'll need a secondary scorer behind
Mitchell. Could that swing be Jabari Parker (people forget he's a Mormon!)?
Keep an eye out on this connection.
WASHINGTON WIZARDS
BIGGEST NEED: Boogie!!
The Wizards seem to always be on the brink of being a
serious contender in the Eastern Conference, but every time they seemed poised
to break through, Bradley Beal or John Wall gets injured. They're the type of
team that needs to take a big risk if they want to break through that
artificial barrier keeping them from contending. That risk is trading Otto
Porter for DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins, with the hope being that Kelly
Oubre Jr. continues to develop into an upper echelon 3-and-D wing and Wall and
Cousins bring out the best in each other. It's a huge risk to bet on a guy
coming off an Achilles injury, but taking risks is better than tapping out in
the first or second round every season.
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