THREE THINGS TO
KNOW FOR EVERY TEAM
As MLB teams are enjoying their
spring training camps in Florida and Arizona, USA TODAY Sports takes a look at
some of the most important factoids for all 30 clubs.
While plenty of negative story lines
dominated the winter, particularly the historically
sluggish free agent market, many teams did make serious moves to
upgrade and some of the league's brightest young talent appears primed to
take the leap into superstar territory for 2019.
Can the Red Sox repeat? What
will Shohei
Ohtani do for an encore?
For each club, we'll highlight a
trio of stats, position battles, offseason changes, fantasy sleepers or
anything else you need to know.
NATIONAL LEAGUE
CENTRAL
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
– Adding a slider to his
repertoire midway through last season gave Jameson Taillon a third plus pitch,
and helped him break out at age 26. Taillon was especially good over the second
half, when he went 8-3 with a 2.33 ERA in 13 starts.
– RF Gregory Polanco had a
bounce-back season cut short by a shoulder injury in September. He’ll miss at
least the first month of the regular season as he recovers from surgery, but he
could be a sleeper with 20-homer, 20-steal potential.
– Right-hander Joe Musgrove was
shut down early with an abdominal issue that turned out to be a stress reaction
in his pelvic bone. He pairs excellent control with a solid 11.4%
swinging-strike rate – signs that there could be more upside to come.
CHICAGO CUBS
– As free-swinging as ever,
Javier Baez did serious damage when he connected, hitting 34 homers and leading
the NL with 111 RBI. He also remains as versatile as ever with at least 20
appearances at second base, third base and shortstop.
– Brandon Morrow (22 saves, 1.47
ERA) was excellent in his first season as the Cubs’ closer. However, the injury
bug bit him once again, limiting him to just 30 2/3 innings. He will be out
until at least May as he recovers from arthroscopic elbow surgery. Pedro Strop
should serve as interim closer until Morrow returns
– Picking up Cole Hamels’ 2018
option was a no-brainer for the Cubs. After arriving from Texas at the
deadline, the veteran lefty went 4-3 with a 2.36 ERA in 12 starts. The key: he
cut his home run rate by more than half, post-trade.
– Ian Happ is always an asset in
on-base percentage (.353), but he may have been too selective at the plate as
his home runs and slugging percentage tumbled from 2017. Despite being a
switch-hitter, a .202/.291/.317 slash line vs. left-handers leaves him open to
a platoon.
CINCINNATI REDS
– Joey Votto took a step backward
in 2018 – mostly due to a two-month dry spell in July and August when he hit
.252 with one homer. (A sore knee after being hit by a pitch may have
contributed.) One reason to expect a rebound: His home run/flyball rate of 9.5%
was half of what it’s been the previous three seasons.
– The Reds have been one of the
most active teams this offseason in turning over their roster. Yasiel Puig
could be one of the biggest winners, moving to a home park that was the most
homer-friendly in the majors last year. Veteran right-hander Sonny Gray will
front a revamped starting rotation.
– Is Jose Peraza a speedster with
sneaky power? Or an infielder with pop who steals bases? He changed identities
at midseason last year (5 HR, 17 SB in first half; 9 HR, 5 SB in second). After
hitting at least .280 in each half, it’s possible he could be both at once.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
– Christian Yelich put together a
career year, doubling his home run total from 2017 with a career-high 36.
Skeptics point to his major league-leading 35% home run-to-fly ball rate that
was 15 points above his career average.
– Free-agent pickup Yasmani
Grandal led all NL catchers with 24 homers last season, and he’ll be moving to
a much more hitter-friendly home park – a benefit Yelich discovered in 2018.
– Jimmy Nelson, 29, should be
fully healthy after missing all of last season with a shoulder injury. If he
can maintain the significant improvement in strikeout rate he showed from 2016
to 2017 (7.0 to 10.2 K/9), he could be a big-time sleeper.
ST. LOUIS
CARDINALS
– The Cardinals made the boldest
trade of the offseason by acquiring All-Star 1B Paul Goldschmidt. Busch Stadium
may cost him a few home runs, but he’ll contribute in many more areas. Fantasy
owners are most interested in whether the Cardinals give Goldschmidt the green
light on the bases after he stole 32 bags in 2016, but a total of 25 the past
two seasons.
– Incumbent closer Jordan Hicks
averaged over 100 mph on his fastball, but had frequent issues with his control
(5.2 BB/9) and converted only six of 13 save chances. If he stumbles, free
agent addition Andrew Miller could take over the role.
– Carlos Martinez was the ace of
the staff until injuries forced him into a relief role for the final two months
of 2018. He’ll return to the rotation, but Jack Flaherty (or possibly Alex
Reyes) could take over the No. 1 role in short order.
NATIONAL LEAGUE
EAST
ATLANTA BRAVES
– The Braves have two of the most
exciting young players in the majors. 2B Ozzie Albies, 22, was an All-Star in
his first full MLB season, but he faded in the second half – dropping 55 points
in batting average and 210 points in OPS.
– LF Ronald Acuna, 21, thrived
after moving into the leadoff spot (.328/.409/.634) and ended up winning rookie
of the year honors. However, he’s penciled in to hit cleanup to take full
advantage of his power.
– Career-best marks in innings
(183), strikeouts (202) and ERA (2.85) vaulted Mike Foltynewicz to the top of
the Atlanta rotation. A repeat will be harder to achieve after opponents hit
just .251 against him on balls in play – fourth-lowest among all major league
starters.
MIAMI MARLINS
– The Marlins finished dead last
in the majors in homers last season. And all three of their top home run
hitters (J.T. Realmuto, Justin Bour, and Derek Dietrich) are no longer on the
team. Veteran Curtis Granderson signed a minor-league deal – and could lead the
club in homers.
– Drew Steckenrider has shown he
has the strikeout ability needed to close (11.6 K/9 in two seasons), but does
he have the control? The 28-year-old had five saves and 19 holds last year and
is the heir apparent at the back of the bullpen. Sergio Romo will provide
veteran closer experience if Steckenrider stumbles.
– Deep sleeper alert: Righty
Trevor Richards, 25, finished the regular season with a 16 1/3-inning scoreless
streak. He has an elite changeup and struck out over a batter per inning as a
rookie.
NEW YORK METS
– Starting pitching is once again
the Mets’ greatest strength. Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom may not duplicate his
1.70 ERA, but even average run support should be worth an additional 5-7 wins.
– Speaking of which … the Mets
upgraded their 23rd-ranked offense with the additions of 3B Jed Lowrie, 2B
Robinson Cano and C Wilson Ramos. The improved firepower does come with some
risk, however. Ramos is the youngest of the trio at 31.
– Michael Conforto could end up
being the Mets’ best hitter, especially if he continues to rake the way he did
in last year’s second half. He hit 17 homers and ranked fourth in the majors
with 52 RBI after the All-Star break.
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIES
– The additions of C J.T.
Realmuto and SS Jean Segura give the Phillies major upgrades at two positions.
Veteran OF Andrew McCutchen improves the team offensively and defensively by
allowing Rhys Hoskins to move back to his natural position, first base.
– Despite a stellar strikeout
rate (10.3 K/9); Nick Pivetta was victimized by the highest opponents’ average
on balls in play of any starting pitcher in the majors (.324). Don’t be
discouraged by his 4.77 ERA; he could improve that by more than a run in 2019.
– The closer’s job will be sorted
out in spring training with David Robertson and Seranthony Dominguez both
possessing elite strikeout rates (over 11.4 career K/9) and capable of handling
the role. Manager Gabe Kapler could be tempted to split the save opportunities.
WASHINGTON
NATIONALS
– Patrick Corbin parlayed a
breakout season (11-7, 3.15 ERA, 246 K) into a monster free-agent contract, but
he’ll still play second fiddle to Max Scherzer in the rotation. A healthy
Stephen Strasburg would give the Nationals perhaps the best trio of starters in
the majors.
– Juan Soto rose from Class A to
runner-up in the NL Rookie of the Year balloting in his age-19 season. With
exceptional plate discipline and 22 homers in 116 games, he should be even more
productive in his first full season.
– Victor Robles was supposed to
be Washington’s top prospect, but an elbow injury opened the door for Soto’s
ascendance. Robles, 21, has the speed to steal 30-plus bases, but has yet to
develop much power.
NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST
ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKS
– The humidor that made its debut
last season helped turn Chase Field from the No. 3 park for offense in 2017 to
the No. 11 park in 2018. It wasn’t the catastrophic decline in offense some
projected, but it reinforces how important pitching and defense were to the
Diamondbacks last season.
– Trading Paul Goldschmidt to St.
Louis and losing A.J. Pollock to free agency will hurt Arizona both offensively
AND defensively. As a result, 3B Jake Lamb shifts to first base and shortstop
Ketel Marte will have to learn to play center field on the fly.
– Is this the year Archie Bradley
finally takes over as closer? The D’backs signed three-time All-Star Greg
Holland as a free agent. His chances to get saves will depend on whether he’s
more the guy who began last season in St. Louis (7.92 ERA in 32 appearances) or
the one traded to Washington (0.84 ERA in 24 games).
COLORADO ROCKIES
– Trevor Story took a major step
forward on offense in 2018, cutting his strikeout rate from 34% to 26%. As a
result, he added 52 points to his batting average and hit a career-high 37
homers (including the season’s longest: 505 feet). If he keeps stealing bases,
he’s a borderline first-rounder.
– Free agent Daniel Murphy landed
in almost the perfect situation for fantasy owners. The .299 career hitter will
take aim at the gaps in Coors Field’s expansive outfield and could win a
batting title he missed out on in 2016 by .001 (to then-Rockies 2B DJ
LeMahieu). He should add first base eligibility early in the season.
– Kyle Freeland and German
Marquez are trying to debunk the notion it’s impossible for pitchers to succeed
in Colorado. Freeland had the edge in wins (17 to 14), but Marquez stands a
better chance to repeat because of his superior underlying stats (10.6 K/9,
3.40 FIP).
LOS ANGELES
DODGERS
– Walker Buehler may soon surpass
Clayton Kershaw as the Dodgers’ staff ace. He was magnificent in his rookie
season, going 8-5 with a 2.62 ERA in 24 games. The only concern might be from
him throwing a career-high 177 innings, counting the postseason. Otherwise, the
skills (.193 opponents’ batting average) stand out.
– A blockbuster trade with the
Reds opened up playing time in the outfield for a major free agent signing.
A.J. Pollock provides power, speed and excellent defense in center field, but
he’s played more than 115 games only once in the past five seasons.
– Corey Seager returns from elbow
and hip surgeries that limited him to 26 games in 2018. Keep an eye on how much
playing time he gets in spring training. He could be a top-five shortstop if
he’s fully recovered by opening day.
SAN DIEGO PADRES
– How will the Padres find
playing time for everyone in the outfield, especially with Wil Myers moving
back there? Hunter Renfroe seems reasonably secure after hitting a team-leading
26 homers (19 in the second half) last season. Otherwise, it’s a virtual
tossup.
– With one of the game’s top
prospects in Fernando Tatis Jr. nearly ready, free agent Ian Kinsler may be
squeezed out of a job by midseason. Or he could split time with rookie Luis
Urias, who’ll begin the year at shortstop.
– Kirby Yates, 31, was
outstanding over the final two months as a first-time closer (12 saves in 13
chances, 2.14 ERA, 12.9 K/9). The bullpen as a whole is strong, unlike the
starting rotation. However, funky lefty Joey Lucchesi gets a ton of strikeouts
and ground balls, making him an interesting breakout candidate.
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTS
– Injuries the past two seasons
have kept Madison Bumgarner from being the 200-inning workhorse he was earlier
in his career. They may also be partly responsible for a sizable drop in his
strikeout rate. Keep last year’s ERA splits in mind (1.63 at home, 4.97 on the
road) if any of the frequent trade rumors ever materialize.
– Lefty Drew Pomeranz posted
solid numbers as both a reliever and starter from 2014-17, but injuries took
their toll last season and his ERA soared above 6.00. San Francisco may be the
perfect place for the 30-year-old to revive his career.
– Let’s face it; the Giants are a
mess on offense. 3B Evan Longoria led the team in homers with a mere 16 and
their best hitter, Buster Posey, is recovering from August hip surgery. There’s
little immediate help coming in the minors either.
AMERICAN LEAGUE
EAST
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
– Three seasons ago, 2B Jonathan
Villar hit 19 homers, stole 62 bases and finished as the No. 4 overall player
in fantasy baseball. After a trade last year, Villar, 27, is a full-time
starter once again with 40-plus steal upside.
– There won’t be many wins on a
team that lost 115 games last year, but even closers on bad teams get saves.
Mychal Givens took over the role last August and converted eight of 10
opportunities with a 2.25 ERA.
– Deep sleeper: 3B Renato Nunez
put up some big-time power numbers in the minors (32 in 2017 at Class AAA
Nashville), and after a solid .891 OPS in September will be in line to start at
third base.
BOSTON RED SOX
– Last winter’s most impactful
free agent, J.D. Martinez refuted any concerns his power numbers would be hurt
by Fenway Park’s Green Monster. He led the majors with 130 RBI and finished
second in both home runs (43) and batting average (.330). At 31. there's no
reason to think he can't repeat.
– After re-signing postseason
heroes Nathan Eovaldi and Steve Pearce to solidify the starting rotation and
the bench, the Red Sox return virtually everyone from a team that led the
majors in scoring, despite getting limited production at second base and
catcher.
– After averaging 36 saves over
his three seasons in Boston, closer Craig Kimbrel became a free agent. His
replacement is the biggest question mark for the defending World Series champs.
Ryan Brasier, with no career saves (but a 1.69 ERA) in 42 2/3 MLB innings,
could be dark-horse candidate.
NEW YORK YANKEES
– Left-hander James Paxton ranked
fourth among starting pitchers in strikeout rate (11.7 K/9). He gives the
Yankees the top-of-the rotation arm they craved this offseason. His biggest
problem is staying healthy; last season’s 160 innings were a career-high.
– Did catcher Gary Sanchez play
all last season with a shoulder injury? If so, it would explain such a huge
decline from his stellar offensive numbers in 2016-17. A .197 average on balls
in play didn’t help. Bank on a major rebound.
– Shortstop Didi Gregorius rode a
scorching April to career bests in homers (27), runs scored (89) and slugging
(.494), however, offseason elbow surgery will delay his 2019 debut until at
least June.
TAMPA BAY RAYS
– Everything came together for
LHP Blake Snell in 2018. He made major gains in his strikeout rate (an elite
11.0 K/9), while at the same time lowering his walk rate. The result was a 21-5
record, 1.89 ERA and a Cy Young award. However, it’ll be hard to duplicate a
.241 average on balls in play that was second-lowest among starting pitchers.
– The Rays plan to continue their
practice of using relief pitchers as an “opener,” but they won’t have to worry
about that on days Charlie Morton starts. The veteran struck out 200 batters
for the first time last year in Houston. He gives the rotation a solid No. 2
behind Snell.
– 2B/3B Joey Wendle was a
revelation as a 28-year-old rookie, hitting .300 and playing four different
positions. On the strength of a fabulous .321/.381/.486 line in the second
half, he could hit third in the order.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
– After posting a 1.073 OPS in
the minors at age 19, 3B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. may be the best
minor league prospect in a generation. A couple weeks in the minors
in April might be all that stands between Vlad Jr. and a permanent place
on the Jays roster.
– Top starters Marcus Stroman and
Aaron Sanchez barely pitched more than 100 innings due to injuries, but both
have enjoyed success in the past and are potential rebound candidates despite
their pedestrian strikeout rates.
– Catcher can be an offensive
wasteland, but rookie Danny Jansen offers rare upside. He hit .275 with 12
homers and a .390 OBP at Class AAA before making his MLB debut in August and
showing decent pop.
AMERICAN LEAGUE
CENTRAL
CHICAGO WHITE SOX
– Yoan Moncada hasn’t yet
achieved the stardom many expected from a former No. 1 overall prospect. But he
did hit 17 homers and steal 12 bases in his first full season in the majors.
And he’s still only 23.
– Free-agent reliever Kelvin
Herrera is recovering from foot surgery in September and should be fully
healthy for opening day. The White Sox also acquired Alex Colome, who led the
majors in 2017 with 47 saves. Those two will compete for the closer’s job.
– As a 26-year-old rookie, Daniel
Palka slugged 27 home runs. His ratio of one every 15.4 at-bats earned him a
spot in the top 10 (minimum 400 at-bats) – right behind Aaron Judge.
CLEVELAND INDIANS
– With outstanding numbers in all
five offensive categories, Jose Ramirez finished the 2018 season as fantasy’s
sixth-ranked overall player. However, he struggled over the final two months
(.210, seven homers, nine steals) and was 0-for-11 in the playoffs.
– The Indians have done more
subtracting than adding this offseason, but one key newcomer is Jake Bauers,
23. He’s shown some power and speed in his minor-league career and should be an
everyday starter at first base or the outfield – unless the Indians make
another addition.
– Starting pitching is
Cleveland’s strength with four members of the rotation recording over 200
strikeouts. But don’t sleep on the Tribe’s No. 5 starter. Shane Bieber has
elite control and, like the others, struck out more than a batter per inning
last season.
DETROIT TIGERS
– Miguel Cabrera was one of the
game’s most consistent players for over a decade, but he’s finally started to
show his age. A ruptured biceps limited him to 38 games and three home runs in
2018. Can he bounce back at age 36?
– Outfielder Nick Castellanos
stands to benefit the most from a healthy Cabrera. Despite not having much help
around him, Castellanos still hit .298 with 23 homers and 89 RBI.
– The Tigers signed veterans Matt
Moore and Tyson Ross to round out their starting rotation, but the biggest
addition to the staff would be a healthy Michael Fulmer. The 2016 AL rookie of
the year had knee surgery last fall, cutting short his worst season to date.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS
– With stolen bases on the
decline, Whit Merrifield’s 45 steals led the majors and cemented his place
among the game’s top second basemen. (Outfield eligibility is gravy.) The
Royals may run even more this season with the addition of four-time 50-bag
thief Billy Hamilton.
– Shortstop Adalberto Mondesi
didn’t get called up to the majors until June 17, but he hit 14 homers and
stole 32 bases in just 75 games. However, he’ll need to improve his 72% contact
rate and .306 OBP to sustain a high fantasy value.
– Wily Peralta converted all 14
of his save opportunities after being promoted from the minors and taking over
the closer’s job. At 29, he wouldn’t be the first failed starter to find new
life as a closer. Brad Boxberger, who registered 32 saves last season in
Arizona, will provide competition.
MINNESOTA TWINS
– Nelson Cruz may be 38, but he
was second in the majors last season in average exit velocity at 93.9 mph. He,
1B C.J. Cron and 2B Jonathan Schoop add a healthy dose of right-handed power to
the lineup.
– At 24, Jose Berrios is on the
verge of ace status after recording his first 200-strikeout season and
improving both his ERA and WHIP from 2017. Getting to the next level will
require more consistency (3.03 ERA at home, 4.85 on the road).
– Two of last season’s biggest
disappointments – OF Byron Buxton and 3B Miguel Sano are poised for major
rebounds. Plagued by injuries and sub-.200 batting averages a year ago, both
are fully healthy entering spring training.
AMERICAN LEAGUE
WEST
HOUSTON ASTROS
– Injuries were at least partly
to blame for subpar seasons from shortstop Carlos Correa (back) and second
baseman Jose Altuve (knee). Now fully recovered, both could be slightly
discounted in drafts this spring.
– The Astros may have delayed the
timetable for top prospect Kyle Tucker (24 homers, 20 steals in 100 games at
Class AAA) with the signing of free agent outfielder Michael Brantley. However,
neither Brantley nor right fielder Josh Reddick have pristine health histories.
– After co-aces Justin Verlander
and Gerrit Cole, the starting rotation is a mystery. Collin McHugh (1.99 ERA in
72 1/3 innings) was incredible out of the bullpen, but will likely take over
the No. 3 slot. Unheralded fireballer Josh James was a revelation down the
stretch and can be a sleeper even in mixed leagues.
LOS ANGELES ANGELS
– Although he won’t pitch at all
this season due to elbow surgery, Shohei Ohtani can still swing the bat. After
hitting 22 homers in 326 at-bats as a rookie, Ohtani will be able to focus
exclusively on offense.
– Free agent Justin Bour found a
nice landing spot with the Angels. His power bat fits nicely in the cleanup
spot behind Mike Trout and Justin Upton. However, he hit just .192 with two
homers vs. left-handed pitchers last year so a platoon is possible.
– Matt Harvey gets a fresh start
in the American League is his comeback from thoracic outlet syndrome. His 7.6
K/9 rate last season was his highest since 2015 with the Mets.
OAKLAND A'S
– Each of the past four seasons,
Khris Davis has finished with a batting average of exactly .247. The last three
years, he’s hit at least 40 homers and driven in 100 runs. Fantasy owners love
consistency. And they love Khris Davis.
– Once upon a time the No. 1
overall prospect, Jurickson Profar finally got a chance to play regularly in
Texas … and then was traded. Already eligible at first base, shortstop and
third base in fantasy, the 25-year-old will add another position as the A’s
projected starter at second base.
– After hitting .297/.380/.524 at
Class AAA, breakout candidate Ramon Laureano hit five homers, stole seven bases
and scored 27 runs in 45 games with the A’s. His stellar glove and cannon arm
should help keep him in the lineup on an everyday basis.
SEATTLE MARINERS
– The M’s have completely
revamped their offense this offseason (so what’s new?) with six new projected
starters. Among them, Mallex Smith figures to be the new leadoff man and Edwin
Encarnacion replaces Nelson Cruz as DH. Since 2013, only Cruz (230) has more
homers than Encarnacion (221).
– Yusei Kikuchi looks to continue
the Mariners’ run of successful Pacific imports. The left-hander, 27, was a
three-time All-Star in Japan and could be the opening day starter. However,
he’ll have his innings limited as he transitions away from a six-man rotation.
– Trading away MLB saves leader
Edwin Diaz leaves a sizable void in the bullpen. Hunter Strickland recorded 14
saves for the Giants before a broken hand he suffered when punching a wall
ended his season in June. He should get the fist … errr, first chance to close.
TEXAS RANGERS
– Joey Gallo is the king of
“three true outcomes” – with 55.6% of his plate appearances resulting in a
strikeout, walk or home run. That said, when he does make contact the ball
flies. Gallo led the majors last season in barrels (optimal launch angle and
exit velocity) per plate appearance (11.4).
– Adrian Beltre’s retirement left
a gaping hole in the Rangers lineup, one that free agent Asdrubal Cabrera will
hope to fill. The veteran hit 23 homers with the Mets and Phillies while
playing at least 20 games at three positions.
– The Rangers rotation should be
an adventure with all five projected starters having missed at least one full
season to injury. If they can get to the ninth with a lead, however, closer Jose
Leclerc (1.56 ERA, 13.3 K/9) looks like a budding star.
