MY NFL WEEK 2 GAME PICKS
JAGS UPEND PATS; VIKINGS OVER PACKERS
Both were hallmarks of Week 1 and, frankly, will remain
topical in weeks to come. With the current CBA limiting practice time
throughout the year -- and many coaches avoiding even making eye contact with
their valued starters during the preseason -- health and disorderliness have
become prominent September talking points. So many players suffered tweaks in
Week 1, or they simply got winded fast.
Schedules come into play here, as well. SiriusXM's Pat
Kirwan pointed out how the Eagles have
nine days to get ready for their Week 2 game at Tampa, which is important when
you consider how many Buccaneers could
use that extra time -- like former Philly wideout DeSean
Jackson, who went into concussion protocol after Week 1. And don't
forget about "Thursday Night Football." Ravens and Bengals players,
who just started getting back into this mysterious fad called "football
shape," have to hit the gridiron for another game just four days after the
season opener. We'll see how that goes.
On to other matters...
No more underestimating the Redskins -- by myself or
Baldy
Lawrence is referring to my list of the top five greatest
games at Lambeau, which I provided in
the intro to this week's Power Rankings. And yeah, Lawrence, I'm
with you. That's why I have that game in my personal vault. In fact, many of
the documentary shorts we execute here spawn from footage in my collection.
Like this one:
As for those Chiefs,
see below how I anticipate them faring in Pittsburgh three decades later.
Special teams could dictate the outcome in Panthers-Falcons,
as well as Ravens-Bengals.
Your takes are always special, so send along: garyldibertonsports.blogspot.com
I went 11-4-1 on his predictions
for Week 1. How will I fare in Week 2? My picks are below.
SUNDAY, SEPT. 16
ATLANTA
FALCONS 23, CAROLINA PANTHERS 17
1 p.m. ET (FOX) | Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
Back home this week, the Falcons even
up their record and potentially pull even with everyone in the NFC South. With
the 0-1 Saints hosting
the Browns and
the 1-0 Bucs hosting the defending champs, there is an excellent chance that
each team in the division will be 1-1 after this weekend. Both Carolina (1-0)
and Atlanta come in banged up (Atlanta sent Deion Jones and Keanu Neal to injured reserve,
while Carolina will be
without Greg Olsen and Daryl
Williams for some time), which makes you wonder about the preseason
strategy of sitting everybody. Julio Jones has
wrecked the Panthers in
front of the home folk before; thus, James
Bradberry must play at his highest level. Ditto Panthers safeties Da'Norris
Searcy and Mike Adams,
who will inevitably be asked to bracket Jones. Expect Falcons backs Devonta
Freeman (if he can go)
and especially Tevin Coleman to
be bigger factors than they were in the Kickoff
Game loss to the Eagles. (UPDATE: The Falcons announced
on Friday that Freeman has been ruled out of Sunday's game with a knee
injury.)
WASHINGTON
REDSKINS 28, INDIANAPOLIS
COLTS 14
1 p.m. ET (CBS) | FedExField (Landover, Md.)
Don't see the Colts holding
up out east this weekend. The running game will be stunted by a newly
improved Redskins front,
which features those Alabama defensive linemen. Andrew Luck will
be under pressure often, especially if Anthony
Castonzo is still not right. Going to the other side of the ball, Alex Smith won't
give an overmatched Indy defense any freebies. The Redskins'
wide receiver group isn't the scariest in the league, but it is different
when tight end Jordan Reed is
healthy. This could be another productive matchup for Adrian
Peterson, too. #2-0
HOUSTON
TEXANS 22, TENNESSEE
TITANS 21
1 p.m. ET (CBS) | Nissan Stadium (Nashville)
Going with the road team this week. Could see Tennessee
getting a late field goal to win, but that would necessitate Marcus
Mariota leading a clutch-time drive. We haven't seen that much
from him at this level, partially because of the Titans'
approach, but perhaps also because Mariota hasn't progressed as a prolific
passer. Anyway, he's banged up and without his top target, while Houston's Deshaun
Watson held himself accountable following the loss to the Patriots and
sounded determined to do a 180. Given Houston's style of defense, this should
be a Dion Lewis game.
PHILADELPHIA
EAGLES 21, TAMPA BAY
BUCCANEERS 16
1 p.m. ET (FOX) | Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Fla.)
Consider this score a proclamation that: A) The Eagles'
offense will struggle again, sans Alshon Jeffery, and B) Ryan
Fitzpatrick will come back to Earth against a
championship-tested defense. Philadelphia has the ability to rotate its
defensive line, which should give Tampa's O-line plenty of issues. That's why
it's imperative that the Bucs' Peyton Barber-led running game plays a larger
role this weekend than it did in New Orleans. That is, unless Fitzy starts
heaving long balls to Mike Evans,
Kevin House and Jimmie Giles. Sorry, went back a few decades. It would be nice
if Nick Foles could
connect on one long ball of his own. It's been a minute. It
will also have been nine days since Philadelphia presumably began preparing for
this meeting.
PITTSBURGH
STEELERS 30, KANSAS CITY
CHIEFS 28
1 p.m. ET (CBS) | Heinz Field (Pittsburgh)
What an interesting matchup this is. Both teams feature
explosive offenses, although the Steelers gave
the ball to the other team's offense (without punting) more than they could
score last week in Cleveland.
As for the Chiefs,
they could've scored 28 on the 2000 Ravens D
the way things were going in Carson
last Sunday. Think the K.C. track team will slow from an all-out
sprint to a swift jog at Heinz Field. Then again, the Chiefs might
procure 28 by the midpoint of the second quarter. Pittsburgh must make Patrick
Mahomes uncomfortable, something the Joey Bosa-less Chargers couldn't
do in Week 1. The Le'Veon Bell-James Conner concoction
will be too much for a shaky Chiefs defense. Check that: The James Conner Solo
Tour will be too much.
NEW YORK JETS 27, MIAMI
DOLPHINS 10
1 p.m. ET (CBS) | MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, N.J.)
The Dolphins'
Victory Tour stops in Week 2. Don't consider this an overreaction to the Jets' demolition of
the Lions in Detroit, either. Pound for pound, New York's
roster is certainly comparable with Miami's, including at quarterback. If Miami
is to pull off the road win, Kenyan Drake must
take advantage of the Jets'
so-so OLBs, and Frank Gore needs
to churn out quality yards, even if he only puts up a 50-spot for the game. One
factor that could make this a much tighter contest: Gang Green's secondary,
which got nicked up Monday night and is still waiting for Marcus Maye to
make his 2018 debut. After all, this is a short week for that group. That's OK.
J-E-T-S ... Jets, Jets, Jets.
LOS ANGELES
CHARGERS 26, BUFFALO BILLS 14
1 p.m. ET (CBS) | New Era Field (Orchard Park, N.Y.)
The Bills get
off to a fast start in this one with a couple of defensively fueled scores.
(I'm seeing a Tre'Davious
White pick-six.) Then Philip Rivers and
the Chargers get
the offense moving. Love what little-known RB Austin Ekeler adds
to the unit. Sure, Buffalo won't have to
face Joey Bosa -- but the Bills'
offense isn't at the point that it can take advantage of something like that.
One area Buffalo should definitely attack (or try to attack) is
the Bolts' middle. Give the chicken-wired offensive line a chance to hit people
and get into the flow of the game. Give LeSean McCoy,
who didn't accomplish much in Baltimore,
the rock (like 30 times?). Of course, it's kind of hard for a running back to
make hay when down by 44 points. Josh Allen gets
a chance to improve on that performance in his
starting debut. Let's hope this deal goes better than the last time
a Buffalo QB got his first
career start against the Chargers.
MINNESOTA
VIKINGS 22, GREEN BAY
PACKERS 17
1 p.m. ET (FOX) | Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wis.)
Picking the visiting Vikings to
win at Lambeau against a hobbled Aaron Rodgers (another if in
Week 2). It won't come easy. Kirk Cousins will
face better personnel in the back seven than he saw in coverage against the
Niners last week. Minnesota's own back seven will see a far
more talented passing game, as well. Make no mistake; this is an incredibly
important game in the NFC North, irrespective of the week. With the Lions
stinking up the joint last Monday night, going up 2-0 against division threats
Chicago and Minnesota would be huge for Green Bay. But the Packers must
get something out of the running game, which won't be easy against this loaded
Viking defense. Minnesota can line up across the board against any offense. Bryan Bulaga gets
to see Danielle
Hunter one week after visiting with Khalil Mack.
Oh boy!
NEW ORLEANS
SAINTS 34, CLEVELAND
BROWNS 20
1 p.m. ET (FOX) | Mercedes-Benz Superdome (New Orleans)
Look for the Saints to
get back on track. (I hate that phrase almost as much as watching New Orleans'
defense get marched on repeatedly by Tampa Bay last week.) The Browns are
better on offense than they were a year ago. That said, QB Tyrod Taylor can
ill-afford to be inaccurate this week. The Bucs ousted the
Saints in their own place because Ryan
Fitzpatrick connected with his receivers. It's not about
opportunities in this matchup; the game will be defined by missed opportunities.
Or else it will be the foreclosure of Cleveland's dream of reaching Week 3
without a loss. Sorry, listening to
Megadeth right now.
SAN FRANCISCO
49ERS 29, DETROIT LIONS 21
4:05 p.m. ET (FOX) | Levi's Stadium (Santa Clara, Calif.)
Looks as though the Lions are
starting 0-2. In what amounts to an important game for both teams, the 49ers should
prevail at home. While Jimmy
Garoppolo did face pressure against the Vikings last week (three
sacks), there were other times he enjoyed adequate time to throw. Comparing the
Detroit pass rush to the Minnesota pass rush is like, well, comparing Barry
Sanders to Jim Kleinsasser. Except the advantage is going the wrong way for
the Lions (and
I love Jim Kleinsasser). Going to the other side of the ball, perhaps the
biggest disappointment from Detroit's blowout loss
to the Jets (other than Matthew
Stafford's four picks) was the play of the offensive line -- which
was thought to be a team strength. Detroit gained little traction on the
ground. The Lions can't
put the whole game on the quarterback anymore.
LOS ANGELES
RAMS 31, ARIZONA
CARDINALS 13
4:05 p.m. ET (FOX) | Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum (Los
Angeles)
Last Sunday,
the Cardinals couldn't
get anything going offensively. Last Monday,
the Rams were
just getting warmed up. I would anticipate Arizona giving L.A. DC Wade Phillips
a steady diet of David Johnson in
an effort to loosen Phillips' defense early. Arizona will also want to increase
the game speed. That was an issue the Raiders had
in the "Monday Night Football" loss to L.A.: Their offense stalled in
the second half, and Oakland did not take any time off the clock, which caused
the defense to peter out over several drives. If the Cardinals thought
they saw a good tailback in their first game against the Redskins and Adrian
Peterson, wait until they get a load of No. 30. Oh, yeah: They've seen
him -- and this Rams offense
-- before.
JACKSONVILLE
JAGUARS 17, NEW ENGLAND
PATRIOTS 14
4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) | TIAA Bank Field (Jacksonville, Fla.)
This sucker made my "Top 18
games of the 2018 season" back in April. It's an enticing
matchup that should come down to the wire -- unless the Jaguars'
defense absolutely controls the engagement. Put another way: If the Patriots are
to win, it will be in a close contest where Tom Brady engineers
a couple of clutch fourth-quarter drives. However, if Jacksonville plays its
best football in front of the raucous DUUUUUVAL residents -- and if Leonard
Fournette is healthy -- this game could get ugly for Bill
Belichick's group. None of the Pats' wide receivers are superior one-on-one
players when compared to the Jags' DBs. Put Jalen Ramsey on Rob
Gronkowski to counter that strategic advantage. So, what's the
issue with this prediction, and the score? The uncertainty of Fournette's
hamstring.
DENVER
BRONCOS 23, OAKLAND
RAIDERS 20
4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) | Broncos Stadium
at Mile High (Denver)
The Raiders will
show up, but will a strong road effort be enough? Case Keenum has
historically been much more careful with the football than he was last week.
Although his 2017 season with the Vikings was, statistically speaking, a
bit of an anomaly for the Broncos quarterback,
he did sport a 22:7 TD-to-INT ratio -- one of the best in the league. His
career interception percentage (interceptions divided by pass attempts) is a
respectable 2.3 percent. So there will be no freebies. Oakland should run right
at this Denver front, so as to neutralize the pass rush to some extent. Von Miller hurt
the Seahawks.
Player I want to see more of: rookie Broncos RB Phillip
Lindsay, who might be the best back Vance Joseph has.
NEW YORK
GIANTS 28, DALLAS
COWBOYS 24
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) | AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)
The Giants spoil
Dallas' home opener. They did precisely that nine years ago -- also in Week 2,
also on "Sunday Night Football" -- in the grand opening of Jerry
World (sort of). Hard to believe it's been that many years since the palatial
football estate opened. Unfortunately, for all its wonder, the stadium just
doesn't present a hostile environment for visiting teams. It's as if teams
enjoy playing there. Big Blue won there in a defensive slugfest -- and in Dak Prescott's
first start -- back in 2016. The G-Men will probably play eight in the box
against Dallas -- even on a few obvious passing downs, much like the Panthers did
in Week 1, daring Prescott to beat them through the air. The Saquon Barkley-Ezekiel
Elliott RB duel is pretty rad. Dallas needs this win more than
the Giants,
given the Cowboys'
schedule and the perception in some corners that they're
already done. Meanwhile, New York needs to close the deal, unlike last week.
MONDAY, SEPT. 17
CHICAGO BEARS 27, SEATTLE
SEAHAWKS 24
8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) | Soldier Field (Chicago)
Russell
Wilson gets Seattle moving late, when it's too little,
too late. Despite the collapse
in Lambeau, I like this Bears team.
The running game is totally legit. Tarik Cohen is Darren
Sproles 2.0 in the pass and run sections of this offense, while
the quality O-line makes it all go. And Chicago's defense will finish in the
top seven. Book it. The question mark is Mitch Trubisky, and if you believe a
tweet showing him miss a wide-open receiver is an indicator of his overall
play, you're missing the point. Windows close fast in the NFL, and he might
have been playing it safe -- i.e., trying not to turn the ball over. That's
normal for young QBs. Even Wilson played it safe early in his career. In this
game, Wilson will need his defensive line to prosper as much as his offensive
line, so as to force Chicago into second-and-longs.
THURSDAY, SEPT. 13
BALTIMORE
RAVENS 24, CINCINNATI
BENGALS 20
8:20 p.m. ET (NFL Network) | Paul Brown Stadium
(Cincinnati)
Pretty juicy matchup, even if these franchises don't have
the most "national" fan bases. As you might know, Andy Dalton silenced Ravens fans'
audible playoff dreams last year on
fourth-and-forever. Now, both squads are 1-0 and feature solid
defenses. Baltimore is better on that side of the ball, however, and should
remind Joe Mixon quite
early that these aren't the Colts
he's playing.
Key matchups: The Ravens'
offensive line against a strong Cincy front, and the Bengals'
receiving corps versus a Jimmy Smith-less defensive backfield.
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