Saturday, August 4, 2018

I RANK THE WORLD SERIES CONTENDERS AFTER THE TRADE DEADLINE


All 30 teams have one goal entering the MLB season: winning the World Series. But by the end of July, we're able to differentiate the contenders from the pretenders. Most of the teams with a viable shot at winning the 2018 World Series were active at the July 31 trade deadline. Here are all 20 remaining viable World Series contenders ranked, as of Aug. 1.
1. HOUSTON ASTROS
The reigning champs made headlines at the trade deadline by acquiring maligned former Blue Jays closer Roberto Osuna for Ken Giles and two pitching prospects. Osuna's 75-game suspension for his domestic abuse arrest will end later this week, but it's clear he makes the dominant Astros bullpen even better. Aside from injuries to middle infield stars Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve, Houston doesn't have many holes and leads MLB in run differential (+180) through 109 games.
2. BOSTON RED SOX
Boston didn't make any huge deadline splashes, but the team clearly improved by adding Nathan Eovaldi and Ian Kinsler. The team continues to hold off the Yankees in the AL East and has an impressive +176 run differential after 109 games, trailing only the Astros. The big concern now is Chris Sale, who went on the DL with a shoulder injury but isn't expected to miss significant time.
3. LOS ANGELES DODGERS
The Dodgers are in a dogfight in the AL West, but their deadline deals will certainly help their cause. During July, they added Manny Machado, Brian Dozier and John Axford. The team's +91 run differential trails only the Cubs in the National League, and that's despite the absence of Clayton Kershaw for part of the first half. The Dodgers are getting healthy at the right time with the recent return of Yasiel Puig and now have a truly imposing lineup, adding to Matt Kemp, Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy and hopefully Justin Turner by the playoffs.
4. NEW YORK YANKEES
Yankees general manager Brian Cashman did a nice job adding for this year with Zach Britton, J.A. Happ, and Lance Lynn while also keeping the team's top prospects and even adding to its international spending money. The question is whether the additions will be enough, as the Yanks looked primed for the AL wild card one-game playoff trailing the Red Sox by 5.5 games and without Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez for at least a few weeks. The Yankees also have to figure out what to do with Sonny Gray, who continues to struggle in the rotation.
5. CLEVELAND INDIANS
Cleveland paid dearly when it traded top catching prospect Francisco Mejia to the Padres for relievers Brad Hand and Adam Cimber, but it was a deal the Indians had to make to compete in this year's playoffs. They also added Leonys Martin, who will likely man center field the rest of the way due to the team's injuries. The Indians have a chance to beat anyone because of their big three of Corey Kluber, Carlos Carrasco, and Trevor Bauer, but it remains to be seen if their big lead in the weak AL Central will be a help or a hindrance.
6. CHICAGO CUBS
Despite a thin farm system, Theo Epstein and Co. were able to address needs by adding Cole Hamels and Brandon Kintzler to the pitching staff. The starting rotation has shown signs of chafing with struggles from Jose Quintana and Mike Montgomery recently, and Hamels shows upside despite recent struggles due to his high strikeout rate. Now the biggest concern is Kris Bryant's recurring shoulder injury.
7. MILWAUKEE BREWERS
The Brewers showed that they're going all in, adding infielders Mike Moustakas and Jonathan Schoop at the deadline. The infield will have Travis Shaw and Schoop playing out of their natural positions up the middle, but their powerful bats should make up for the defensive issues. Milwaukee has been keeping up with the Cubs despite mediocre starting pitching, and the lineup is arguably the scariest in the NL, adding to Jesus Aguilar, Lorenzo Cain, Christian Yelich, and Ryan Braun.
8. WASHINGTON NATIONALS
It seems like the sky is falling in Washington, with the Nats well behind in the NL East. There were trade rumors involving Bryce Harper and Gio Gonzalez, but the team opted to keep the pair in their walk years. Washington did trade Brandon Kintzler, weakening the bullpen. Still, it's tough to overlook the team's star power with Harper, Max Scherzer, Juan Soto, Daniel Murphy and hopefully the return of Stephen Strasburg from injury. If the Nats can somehow get into the tournament at the end of the year, the roster will look extremely dangerous.
9. PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
One of the surprise teams of 2018, the Phils lead the NL East and helped their offense by acquiring Asdrubal Cabrera and Wilson Ramos. The latter is on the DL with a hamstring injury but is certainly an offensive upgrade for a team that has struggled to score runs at times. With just a +23 run differential through 107 games, it looks like the Phils have overachieved. But the new additions could be enough to hold off Atlanta and Washington.
10. ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Arizona has spent most of the year in first place in the NL West, but the Diamondbacks have the Dodgers and Rockies right on their tail. After losing Jake Lamb, Arizona acquired Eduardo Escobar from Minnesota and also addressed bullpen needs with Matt Andriese, Brad Ziegler and Jake Diekman. The rotation hasn't performed great this year but still shows upside if Robbie Ray can get on track, and the lineup has turned around its fortunes since June when Paul Goldschmidt found his stroke. Unfortunately, LA's talent and mammoth deadline additions could be too much for Arizona to contend with.
11. ATLANTA BRAVES
The youngsters have broken out in Atlanta earlier than expected and general manager Alex Anthopoulos supplemented the team's talent with the additions of Adam Duvall and Kevin Gausman. The lineup looks healthy and is getting surprising contributions from Nick Markakis and Johan Camargo, on top of Freddie Freeman and Ozzie Albies. Gausman has historically been much better in the second half but has an ERA well above 4.00 since the start of 2017, so it remains to be seen if his addition is enough for Atlanta to make the playoffs.
12. OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Oakland was relatively quiet at the deadline with limited funds, but the cheap acquisition of Jeurys Familia makes the A's bullpen one of the most dominant in the game. The A's have already proved their depth, finding starting pitchers at Triple-A after getting ravaged by injuries, and also seeing big offensive contributions from Khris Davis, Jed Lowrie, and Matt Chapman. Oakland has an AL wild card spot well within reach, but it remains to be seen if this team can stack up with the AL powerhouses.
13. COLORADO ROCKIES
Colorado had a tremendous July, putting itself in the thick of the NL West race. The lineup has shown plenty of depth, and Jon Gray recently was able to find himself after returning from Triple-A. The team's downfall this year has been the bullpen, despite spending big on Wade Davis, Bryan Shaw and Jake McGee in the offseason. The addition of Seunghwan Oh should help, but the Rockies still have a negative run differential, showing their overachievement in the win column.
14. PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Attendance has been lackluster in Pittsburgh this season after the team traded Andrew McCutchen and Gerrit Cole in the offseason. But the Pirates became buyers after a surge in July. They added Keone Kela and Chris Archer to an already capable pitching staff, but they're likely approaching October with the goal of a wild card spot as they sit seven games behind the Cubs and six behind the Brewers in the NL Central.
15. SEATTLE MARINERS
The Mariners are just barely holding off Oakland for the second AL wild card, and they're now doing so with a negative run differential. Seattle added bullpen depth with the additions of Adam Warren, Zach Duke and Sam Tuivailala and also improved its outfield defense with Cameron Maybin. The lineup has slowed down without the suspended Robinson Cano, however, and the starting rotation has struggled behind James Paxton and Marco Gonzales, ranking right in the middle of MLB with a 4.08 ERA.
16. ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
The Cardinals have started a youth movement since firing manager Mike Matheny in mid-July, promoting Triple-A pitchers Daniel Poncedeleon, Austin Gomber and Dakota Hudson. That youth movement continued after the team traded outfielder Tommy Pham, allowing rookies Harrison Bader and Tyler O'Neill to see more playing time. Sitting 4.5 games back in the wild card race, the Cardinals shot at a playoff run looks dire after losing Carlos Martinez to another injury.
17. LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Pitching injuries have disrupted what was supposed to be a magical year for the Angels, now without Matt Shoemaker, Garrett Richards and Shohei Ohtani's pitching prowess. They waved the white flag at the deadline by trading Ian Kinsler; they are now 9.5 games out of the wild card. The lineup is starting to be more fun to watch now that Kole Calhoun has found his stroke, adding to stars Mike Trout, Justin Upton, Andrelton Simmons and DH Ohtani. But the Angels have almost no shot at making the playoffs.
18. SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
The Giants went all in when they added Andrew McCutchen, along with Evan Longoria's mammoth contract, but their bad luck from 2017 has carried over into this season. Madison Bumgarner is now healthy, but the team has lost Jeff Samardzija and Johnny Cueto. The Giants stood pat at the deadline, and their odds of a playoff spot are remote, now five games back of a wild card with more than a handful of teams ahead of them.
19. MINNESOTA TWINS
The Twins had high hopes for 2018, but injuries to Ervin Santana, Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano effectively ended their season. Minnesota sold Eduardo Escobar, Lance Lynn, Zach Duke and Brian Dozier at the deadline and would need an epic collapse by Cleveland to have any chance of making the playoffs.
20. TAMPA BAY RAYS
The Rays have made the most of what they have after trading most of their offense from last season, with manager Kevin Cash resorting to bullpen days and the introduction of the relief pitcher "opener" to start games. The team has to be commended for remaining above .500, but the Rays are well behind in the playoff race and shipped off Nathan Eovaldi, Wilson Ramos and Chris Archer at the deadline. The additions of Jalen Beeks, Tommy Pham, Austin Meadows and Tyler Glasnow do give them more players to build around for the future.




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