Saturday, December 29, 2018

MY NFL WEEK 17 PREVIEW AND PREDICTIONS


DOLPHINS (7-8) AT BILLS (5-10)
TIME: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET,
WHERE: New Era Field, Orchard Park, New York
TV: CBS 
 LINE: Bills by 3 1 / 2
DOLPHINS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Earlier this season against the Bills, Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill had three touchdown passes despite just 137 yards passing. He had plenty of time in the pocket that day. The offensive line has to give Tannehill time to find openings in Buffalo’s zone defense. The Bills’ pass rush hasn’t scared anyone this season either, so it’s not a tall task. Defensively, Miami has to keep an eye on Bills rookie QB Josh Allen. It tried to do so in their first meeting, but Allen had 135 yards rushing (a career high) on nine carries that day. Only one of those was a designed run that day.
BILLS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The Bills’ offensive line has struggled all season. Allen is pressured far too often, and the running game has not had any holes. If the offensive line can keep Allen upright, allowing him to take deep shots, it will potentially open holes for Allen or
LeSean McCoy via the ground game. Defensively, the front seven needs to apply more pressure. Opposing quarterbacks have had plenty of time to wait for routes to develop from their playmakers it has been a tough ask for Buffalo’s secondary players to hold their coverage for such an extended amount of time.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Bills’ Allen vs. Dolphins LB Kiko Alonso. In the first meeting, Alonso was the one charged with watching Allen. The rookie quarterback put him in a spin cycle on several occasions, leading to his career rushing day.
WHO WINS? The Bills’ secondary has bounced back a bit from their ugly day against Tannehill and the Dolphins. BILLS, 27-20
LIONS (5-10) AT PACKERS (6-8-1)
TIME: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET,
WHERE: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV: Fox 
LINE:  Packers by 7
PACKERS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Start fast, avoid turnovers and control the game on defense. The Lions are flat lining on offense (six weeks in a row scoring fewer than 20 points), so a fast start from Green Bay QB
Aaron Rodgers (442 passing yards in Week 16) and the Packers could have smooth sailing in the season finale. Expect turnovers to play a big role in a game between two non-playoff teams. In the first meeting this season, the Packers had three giveaways and lost. Mike Pettine’s defense must take away the run early and force Detroit QB Matthew Stafford and the Lions into a one-dimensional attack on offense.
LIONS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Feed the ball to WR Kenny Golladay and RB Theo Riddick and disrupt the Packers’ passing game. Golladay and Riddick need to be a game breaking options for Stafford and the Lions’ struggling offense. The Lions can hang around on the road by stifling Green Bay’s inconsistent passing game, which will require getting consistent pressure on Rodgers (who threw for 442 yards in a Week 5 loss to the Lions) and plaster coverage from the secondary.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Packers WR Davante Adams vs. Lions CB Darius Slay. Two Pro Bowlers will battle it out when the Packers have the football. Adams won the first meeting of 2018, catching nine passes for 140 yards and a touchdown in October.
WHO WINS? Last year, the Lions beat the Packers 35-11 without Rodgers in the season finale. This time, Rodgers returns the favor at Lambeau Field. PACKERS, 23-20
JAGUARS (5-10) AT TEXANS (10-5)
TIME: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET,
WHERE: NRG Stadium, Houston
TV: CBS 
 LINE: Texans by 8 1 / 2
JAGUARS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Jacksonville has had a woebegone season, and the reigning AFC South champions have been dethroned. The Jaguars will look to end on a high note. RB Leonard Fournette hasn’t been the battering ram he was in his rookie season, and he’ll need to summon that skill for one afternoon. LBs Telvin Smith and Myles Jack might not have made the Pro Bowl, but they can look like they are against a compromised run game. Pro Bowl CB Jalen Ramsey has three interceptions and must take away the quarterback’s lone reliable target. DE Calais Campbell has to make an impact against Houston’s bottom-tier pass protection that flirts with leading the NFL in sacks.
TEXANS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: They will have incentive to play their starters for as long as possible as the No. 2 seed and a first-round bye are possibilities. QB Deshaun Watson will need to find ways to allow the game to come to him rather than force his will and invite giveaways. The run game is sputtering, but it could be an opportunity for RB D’Onta Foreman, returning from a lengthy Achilles rehab, to get retribution. DE J.J. Watt must force the passer into hurried throws, and CB Kareem Jackson and the rest of the secondary must collect errant passes.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Jaguars CB Jalen Ramsey vs. Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins. The all-pro had three catches for 50 yards and a TD in the first meeting. A similar game could result in a Texans loss.
WHO WINS? Momentum and fortune favor Houston, which will clinch the AFC South title. TEXANS, 26-14
RAIDERS (3-11) AT CHIEFS (11-4)
TIME: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET,
WHERE: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
TV: CBS 
LINE: No line
CHIEFS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Don’t beat themselves. Self-inflicted wounds have been a big problem for the Chiefs. They’re particularly magnified in the games that Kansas City has failed to win. Sometimes that means penalties, which the Chiefs lead the NFL in this season. It could be an untimely false start by TE Demetrius Harris or a pass interference call on CB Orlando Scandrick. Other times it means Coach Andy Reid calling the right plays and putting guys in a position to win.
RAIDERS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Get pressure on Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes. The biggest problem for Oakland this season has been its inability to pressure the quarterback. As of Week 15, Chiefs DL Chris Jones had more sacks on the season than the Raiders did as a team. They need to figure out a way to get their young players rushing the passer better, and it all starts with DE Arden Key. If he can get after Mahomes, the Raiders will have a shot at an upset.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Chiefs S Eric Berry vs. Raiders QB Derek Carr. Carr didn’t have to face Berry the first time this season. Now the star safety is back healthy. Since 2014, his performances against the Raiders have been rather pedestrian. He has totaled 14 tackles in four games against the Raiders. Perhaps he’s due for a game-changing play, such as an interception or a forced fumble?
WHO WINS? The Raiders might have started their preparations for this game a full week early, but that alone will not be enough to edge out a Chiefs team that is playing at home. CHIEFS, 37-27
BEARS (11-4) AT VIKINGS (8-6-1)
TIME: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET,
WHERE: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis
TV: Fox 
LINE: Vikings by 6
BEARS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Keep doing what they’ve been doing. The Bears’ defense ranks third in the league in points allowed, and it needs to rattle Vikings QB Kirk Cousins, as it did during the first meeting. It also must take advantage of a Vikings’ offensive line that has been mostly bad this season.
Minnesota’s offense has the talent to be successful, but the Vikings haven’t been able to unleash it consistently. Pressure by the Bears will continue that trend.
VIKINGS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: This likely will be a low-scoring game. The Vikings have had a tough time with mobile quarterbacks, and that’s why Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky provides a challenge even for Minnesota’s talented defense. The Vikings will need to score, but if they can limit big plays from Bears RB Tarik Cohen and WR Allen Robinson, the offense won’t be asked to do as much.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Vikings QB Kirk Cousins vs. Bears’ defense. In the first matchup between these two teams, Cousins looked lost. Sure, he threw for 262 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw the ball 46 times and threw two interceptions. His 76.5 passer rating in the game was his second-lowest mark of the season. You bet he’ll be looking for revenge. And U.S. Bank Stadium is a little more quarterback friendly than Soldier Field.
WHO WINS? The difference in the game will be desperation coming from the Vikings’ end to not only get in the playoffs, but prove they belong once they get there. The U.S. Bank Stadium crowd will be loud for this one. VIKINGS, 14-10
JETS (4-11) AT PATRIOTS (10-5)
TIME: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET,
WHERE: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV:  CBS
LINE: Patriots by 13
JETS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: New York managed to keep the contest close in Week 12 for 30 minutes, but the Patriots pulled ahead in the second half by running the ball with RB Sony Michel, who finished the 2713 win with 133 yards and a touchdown. If the Jets are going to beat the Patriots, they’ll need to stop Michel and New England’s other running backs. Strangely, the Patriots might be on shakier ground when they turn to QB Tom Brady and New England’s aerial attack, which has struggled at times in recent weeks. If the defense puts the ball in Jets QB Sam Darnold’s hands, he must manage the game by playing turnover-free football.
PATRIOTS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: If the Jets can’t defend Michel, the Patriots should hammer him into New York’s defense for as many carries as possible. The rookie running back could prove the pivotal player again and would help keep some of the aging contributors in the passing game (Brady, WR Julian Edelman and TE Rob Gronkowski) fresh for the playoffs. Defensively, the Patriots can complicate coverage and blitzes before the snap to confuse Darnold, who might cough up the ball a few times.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Jets CB Morris Claiborne vs. Patriots WR Julian Edelman. This slot matchup should prove fiercely competitive. Edelman will continue to take on a bigger workload with Josh Gordon serving an indefinite suspension.
WHO WINS? New England doesn’t lose at home, especially not to a pushover team such as the Jets. PATRIOTS, 31-10
PANTHERS (6-9) AT SAINTS (13-2)
TIME: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET,
WHERE: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans
TV: 
LINE: No line
SAINTS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Overcoming the Carolina defense. The Saints’ defense proved it could handle the Panthers’ offense in their first meeting, led by S Vonn Bell and CB Eli Apple. And that was with QB Cam Newton in action. With Newton benched to rest his injured shoulder, QB Tyler Heinicke has the tall task of evading Saints pressure players Cameron Jordan, Sheldon Rankins and Marcus Davenport. Look for the Saints to find extra reps for WR Ted Ginn Jr, OT Terron Armstead and WR Tre’Quan Smith, who missed time with injury and need to get up to speed. RB Mark Ingram is chasing Saints’ records for rushing yards and touchdowns, so New Orleans might feature him.
PANTHERS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Keeping the Saints’ defense on its heels. That’s a tall order with a backup quarterback, but RB Christian McCaffrey is a great centerpiece in the backfield, and WR Curtis Samuel and WR D.J. Moore are underused downfield. On defense, they must get LB Luke Kuechly and LB Thomas Davis in favorable matchups, limiting yards gained after the catch.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Saints LB Alex Anzalone vs Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey. Anzalone has been lights out, while McCaffrey is a focus point for Carolina. If Anzalone can help limit McCaffrey’s rushing yards, the Saints should feel good about their chances of winning. If McCaffrey gets some big runs, watch out for an upset.
WHO WINS? The Panthers have punted the rest of their season by sitting Newton. The Saints are gearing up for the playoffs. SAINTS, 20-14
COWBOYS (9-6) AT GIANTS (5-10)
TIME: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET,
WHERE: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
TV: Fox  
LINE: Giants by 7
GIANTS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The Giants must find a way to remain motivated in the face of one final meaningless game. Head coach Pat Shurmur says that won’t be an issue, but with injuries mounting and nothing to gain, players run the risk of mentally checking out. If they can fight off that lull, the Giants need to ride RB Saquon Barkley start to finish. In many of their second-half losses, the Giants have gone pass heavy and shied away from their rookie, who says he’s ready to carry the load until the year’s final whistle.
COWBOYS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Hand the ball to RB Ezekiel Elliott early and often. In five of their six losses this season, Elliott has gained fewer than 100 yards and/or had fewer than 20 carries. Defensively, the Cowboys need to pressure QB Eli Manning. The more Manning is hit and knocked down, the more mistake-prone he becomes. And even with the team’s offensive superstars, the Giants are just not built to play catch-up.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Cowboys’ offensive line vs. Giants DT Dalvin Tomlinson. Since the Giants traded DT Damon Harrison, they have allowed a 100-yard rusher in all but two games. Tomlinson has struggled after an impressive rookie campaign. He’ll want to go out on a high note, but it won’t be easy against a talented interior offensive line and Elliot.
WHO WINS? The Giants might not have anything to gain, but Dallas already clinched the NFC East title. Giants’ players will want to send the fans and their first-year head coach out on a high note. GIANTS, 23-20
BENGALS (6-9) AT STEELERS (8-6-1)
TIME: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET,
WHERE: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh
TV: CBS 
LINE: Steelers by 14
BENGALS KEYS TO VICTORY: With nothing else to play for, Cincinnati should come out loose and try to play spoiler to the Steelers’ playoff hopes. But this is not the Bengals team we are used to seeing. QB Andy Dalton and WR A.J. Green are on injured reserve, so look for a heavy dose of RB Joe Mixon against a Steelers’ run defense that has some holes up front.
STEELERS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Everything is on the line for the Steelers, who found themselves sitting outside a playoff spot after a Week 16 loss to the Saints. RB James Conner has missed three consecutive games with a high ankle sprain, and if he can’t go again, the Steelers will have to rely on the arm of QB Ben Roethlisberger and let him sling it all over the field. Defensively, no team blitzes more than Pittsburgh, and with inexperienced QB Jeff Driskell playing for Cincinnati, the Steelers should attack in waves.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Bengals’ defensive line vs. the Steelers’ offensive line. Despite all of their struggles, Cincinnati still boasts an impressive defensive front. DT Geno Atkins and DE Michael Johnson can create havoc up front, so it will be up to a Steelers offensive line that features three Pro Bowlers to keep them in check.
WHO WINS? The Steelers are playing for their playoff lives, so they are going to come out holding nothing back. Plus the game is in Pittsburgh, which gives them an even greater advantage. The Steelers should win this one going away against a hobbled Bengals squad that’s already looking ahead toward next season. STEELERS, 38-21
BROWNS (7-7-1) AT RAVENS (9-6)
TIME: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
WHERE: M& T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
TV: CBS 
LINE: Ravens by 5
BROWNS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The Browns need to get into a rhythm quickly on offense and stay on the gas pedal. With the Ravens’ topnotch defense, there won’t be many opportunities to score, but when in the red zone, the Browns have to take advantage of the mobility of QB Baker Mayfield and score touchdowns over field goals. Defensively, the Browns should fully commit to stopping the run. With QB Lamar Jackson leading a run-heavy scheme, getting off the field quickly could throw the Ravens off balance.
RAVENS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The Ravens have to get to Baker Mayfield early and often, as his reads and decisions could pick apart a Baltimore defense that is built on quick pressure and unique blitzes. Offensively, the Ravens should try and work Lamar Jackson into a rhythm amid their run-heavy scheme and take some deep shots when needed.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Browns QB Baker Mayfield vs. Ravens S Eric Weddle. Weddle is the on field Coach for the Ravens’ defense, making pre-snap adjustments to confuse quarterbacks. Mayfield has to outsmart the veteran and not be fooled by the Ravens’ blitzes. Whoever wins this battle likely decides the outcome.
WHO WINS? The Ravens are on a roll, even as they have taken on some of the best teams in the AFC. While the Browns are showing signs of life, they are still too far behind in talent and coaching to match up well in Baltimore. If the Ravens fully commit to this game in their home closer, they walk away with a win. RAVENS, 30-13
FALCONS (6-9) AT BUCS (5-10)
TIME: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET,
WHERE: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
TV: Fox 
LINE: Even 
BUCS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Stopping the Falcons always starts with containing WR Julio Jones, something at which the Bucs have failed miserably for years. If DE Jason Pierre-Paul can keep up his impressive first season with Tampa Bay and create pressure on Falcons QB Matt Ryan, it would do wonders for a young, banged-up Bucs’ secondary. On offense, there has to be a renewed commitment to the ground game. The offensive line has struggled at protecting QB Jameis Winston, so the play-calling will have to get the ball out of his hands quickly to take advantage of a deep group of pass-catchers, led by Pro Bowl snub Mike Evans.
FALCONS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Ryan will need to take advantage of Tampa Bay’s youth and inexperience on defense with complex formations, motion and creative play calling. On defense, they’ll need to force Winston into costly turnovers by taking advantage of a weak right side of the offensive line. With LB Deion Jones back in the lineup, making those big plays shouldn’t be difficult.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Falcons DE Takkarist McKinley vs. Bucs OT Donovan Smith. McKinley has shown flashes of brilliance over the past two seasons, but the first round pick has yet to perform at a consistent level. His matchup against Smith will provide him with a prime opportunity for a breakout performance.
WHO WINS? Could this mark the end of the Dirk Koetter era in Tampa? The Falcons have been disappointing enough this year to think the Bucs have a shot at a victory, but do Tampa fans really want to lose their draft spot? FALCONS, 34-27
EAGLES (8-7) AT REDSKINS (7-8)
TIME: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET,
WHERE: FedEx-Field, Landover, Maryland
TV: Fox 
LINE: Eagles by 6 1 / 2
EAGLES’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The primary focus for Philadelphia will be to contain Washington’s rushing attack, especially since the Redskins have been leaning heavily on Adrian Peterson all season. With QB Josh Johnson also making plays with his legs, the Eagles will also need to focus on keeping him behind the line of scrimmage on broken plays. On offense, QB Nick Foles (who had the wind knocked out of him in the final drive against the Houston Texans) will need to run the offense around TE Zach Ertz and get the ground game going.
REDSKINS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The Redskins will need to get some contributions from the wide receiver position. With the Eagles’ secondary being suspect, they should open up the offense more for Johnson, with hopes to expose the defensive backs. A lot will fall on the defense to keep the game close, in particular safeties DJ Swearinger and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix. A strong focus will have to be put on the Eagles’ versatile backfield and Ertz.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Redskins CB Josh Norman vs. Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery. Although Jeffery has been inconsistent this season, he has totaled 242 receiving yards the past two weeks. Norman is having a solid season, and it will be interesting to see if he gets a majority share of the receiver.
WHO WINS? The defending champion Eagles are still alive in the NFC playoff race, while the Redskins have been eliminated. They’ll want to play spoiler at home, but they can’t match the Eagles’ firepower. EAGLES, 24-13
CHARGERS (11-4) AT BRONCOS (6-8)
TIME: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET,
WHERE: Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver
TV: CBS 
LINE: No line 
CHARGERS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: It’s not hard to slow Denver’s offense these days. After losing WR Emmanuel Sanders to a season-ending torn Achilles injury, the Broncos’ offense became one-dimensional. Los Angeles needs to focus on stopping Denver’s rushing attack, the only way the Broncos have been able to move the ball in recent weeks. On offense, QB Philip Rivers should target Denver’s inexperienced secondary. With CB Chris Harris sidelined by a broken leg, the Broncos have been forced to give more playing time to Isaac Yiadom and Jamar Taylor. Who? Exactly.
BRONCOS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Denver needs to get WR Courtland Sutton involved so the team is not relying only on RBs Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman to move the ball. The 6-3 Sutton will have a considerable size advantage if he’s matched up against 5-11 Casey Hayward, so QB Case Keenum should give him a chance to make plays in jump-ball situations. On defense, the Broncos need to prevent Rivers from dominating the game. L.A. probably will want to keep RB Melvin Gordon fresh for the playoffs, so Denver should focus on stopping the Chargers’ passing attack.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Chargers LT Russell Okung against Broncos OLB Bradley Chubb. Ex-Bronco Okung will try to protect Rivers from Chubb, a Defensive Rookie of the Year candidate. Chubb had one sack and two quarterback hits when the teams met on Nov. 18.
WHO WINS? Denver beat L.A. earlier, but with playoff seeding on the line, the road team will have extra motivation. CHARGERS, 24-17
49ERS (4-11) AT RAMS (12-3)
TIME: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET,
WHERE: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
TV: Fox 
LINE: Rams by 9
49ERS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The 49ers have been playing better than their record indicates, largely because of QB Nick Mullens and Coach Kyle Shanahan ’soffensive game plan. Against the Rams, the 49ers will have to take advantage of L.A.’s shaky run defense, particularly up the middle. The Rams allow the second-most rushing yards behind the center, so exploiting that hole will be crucial. Mullens will also need to take care of the football because the Rams have a knack for forcing turnovers. DT Aaron Donald is a game-wrecker and attacks the football when getting near the quarterback, while CBs Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib have great hands in the secondary.
RAMS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The Rams’ offense has struggled since the Week 12 bye, but the 49ers don’t pose much of a threat defensively. They’re at the bottom of the league in interceptions and struggle to take the ball away, which is great news for QB Jared Goff, who had six interceptions and seven fumbles over the last five weeks. The Rams have to stop giving the ball away and must convert in the red zone. San Francisco is in the bottom third of the league in redzone defense, which opens the door for the Rams to improve.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Rams LG Rodger Saffold vs. 49ers DT De-Forest Buckner. Buckner has quietly become one of the NFL’s better interior defenders, racking up double- digit sacks this season. Saffold has his work cut out for him.
WHO WINS? The Rams might not have a lot to play for, but they’ll come away with a win because of their defense. RAMS, 27-17
CARDINALS (3-12) AT SEAHAWKS (9-6)
TIME: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET,
WHERE: Century-Link Field, Seattle
TV: Fox 
LINE: No line 
CARDINALS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The Seahawks barely eked out a victory the last time these two clubs played, but Arizona will now be facing a very different team. Seattle QB Russell Wilson and his offense have been on a roll in the second half of the season, and the Cardinals’ defense will have to find a way to hold the Seahawks’ offense to fewer points, as they did in September. Arizona has beaten the Seahawks late in the season in Seattle the last three years and hopes to continue the trend in a pride match for the last-place Cardinals.
SEAHAWKS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: Coming off a tough matchup with the Chiefs in Week 16, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll has been adamant he won’t rest any starters. Seattle will continue to run the ball to wear out the already-weary Cardinals but must avoid falling into the trap of playing down to a perceived easier opponent. Like the 49ers when they faced Seattle, the Cardinals have nothing to lose against a division opponent. The Seahawks’ defense, banged up this late in the season, must remain on its toes to avoid a surprise attack from QB Josh Rosen and WR Larry Fitzgerald, who could be appearing in the final game of his career.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Cardinals QB Josh Rosen vs. Seahawks’ defensive line. Seattle’s defensive line will do everything in its power to deny Rosen any decision-making time and prevent the ball from landing in the hands of RB David Johnson.
WHO WINS? The Seahawks are the hotter team and are looking to snap their home-loss streak against Arizona. SEAHAWKS, 30-13
COLTS (9-6) AT TITANS (9-6)
TIME: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
WHERE: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
TV: NBC 
LINE: No line 
TITANS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The Titans need to snag the momentum early and keep it in their favor. The Colts blew the Titans out 38-10 earlier this year in a game in which Indianapolis was fully in control all game long. Tennessee can’t allow that to happen this time. The offensive line also has to do a better job keeping its quarterback upright and healthy. QB Marcus Mariota has been sacked 42 times and he left last week’s game with a stinger. He’s expected to be ready to play in Week 17.
COLTS’ KEYS TO VICTORY: The Colts will have no easy time going up against one of the best defenses in the league. They’ll need to protect QB Andrew Luck and take care of the football to avoid losing the turnover battle. Indianapolis has found success in incorporating their tight ends heavily against teams like the Titans.
MATCHUP TO WATCH: Titans’ defense vs. Colts QB Andrew Luck. In last week’s 25-16 win against Washington, the Titans’ defense was ultimately able to make big plays and get the job done. But throughout most of the game, the defense lacked its usual spark. It’ll be interesting to see if the defense can get back to business against a quarterback they have never beaten before and who threw for 297 yards and three touchdowns against them in Week 11.
WHO WINS? The winner of this game gets into the playoffs. The Titans have won four in a row and would seem poised to advance, but the Colts gave them issues on the road earlier this season, and Tennessee sometimes struggles against divisional opponents. The Colts will win a close one. COLTS, 23-17

MY NFL WEEK 17 PREVIEW


Multiple playoff berths are on the line in Week 17, and plenty of teams are still playing for positioning. The Steelers, at one time 7-2-1 and in total command of the AFC North, now need to beat the Bengals and hope Cleveland tops Baltimore, or they'll be on the outside looking in. For the Ravens, its win and they're in, and the Titans and Colts will also play in a virtual playoff game on Sunday night. Seeding is what's mostly at stake in the NFC, but the defending champion Eagles could still sneak into the playoffs at Minnesota's expense, and the Vikings don't have a picnic, as the NFC North champion Bears are visiting, with designs on a first-round bye if they win and the Niners upset the Rams. Let's take a look at all the action in Week 17. 
MIAMI DOLPHINS AT BUFFALO BILLS
SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET (CBS)
The Dolphins have the better record of the two teams, but they feel like a group going nowhere. It'll always be something in South Florida, be it injuries to Ryan Tannehill or a general lack of performance or talent. The Dolphins and their fans perhaps think that the division might open up sooner rather than later if the Patriots finally start to trend downward on a more permanent basis, but if Josh Allen develops the way the Bills think he will, and are hoping he will, Miami fans may find themselves looking up at a different team in the standings. Allen is the team's leading rusher, but that's not a trend that Buffalo wants to see continue. Allen's legs must be a supplement to his arm, and that part is still a work in progress. He has seven passing touchdowns against 11 interceptions. Allen's arm strength and deep-ball prowess is acknowledged, but he has only completed 52 percent of his passes this year, nowhere near good enough. If he makes a big leap in year two, the Bills, whose defense is second in the league in yards allowed this year, could surprise.
ATLANTA FALCONS AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET (FOX)
Tampa Bay's Achilles' heel has been the turnover. The Bucs have given up the ball 34 times this season, worst in the NFL. Jameis Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick have been just about equal in terms of culpability; Winston has 13 interceptions on the year, and Fitzpatrick has 12. That's an especially big problem given that the Bucs are still trying to figure out their quarterback situation. Winston still hasn't done anything to make anyone think he's the long-term answer, so it might be back to the drawing board for Tampa Bay. The Falcons would no doubt love to end the season on a three-game winning streak, but if they do, they'll be lamenting a bad start and an awful middle of their year, one that included a five-game losing streak. Injuries killed the Falcons' chances this year, and assuming they come back healthy for 2019, perhaps having added another impact defender in the draft, they'll be a tough out in the NFC South.
DALLAS COWBOYS AT NEW YORK GIANTS
SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET (FOX)
Dallas has proved to be one resilient team this year. Jason Garrett was under fire and the Cowboys stumbled to a 3-5 start, but they've gone 6-1 since, and their defense and running game, as well as the presence of Amari Cooper, makes them an interesting variable in what should be fascinating NFC playoffs. The Cowboys can't get a first-round bye, so it stands to reason that they'll rest some starters in this one. Whether or not they are willing to call more designed runs for Dak Prescott in the postseason might determine how far they can go. The Giants, meanwhile, will look to figure out their quarterback situation and try to find more reinforcements for Saquon Barkley, who too often was a one-man band this season. A good game from Barkley should get him over the 2,000-yard mark in terms of yards from scrimmage this season, but one imagines that the Giants would rather him not have to touch the ball over 350 times a season, though many of those touches were in the 
CAROLINA PANTHERS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET (FOX)
Carolina's season has completely cratered, and Cam Newton has already been shut down. The Saints have nothing to play for, as their thrilling win over the Steelers ensured that the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC will go through the Superdome. So, if you like backups, perhaps this is the game for you. There are a few individual talents worth mentioning here. Michael Thomas has been nothing short of spectacular for New Orleans all season long, and his 120 catches on 140 targets is an astonishingly high success rate. Christian McCaffrey broke Matt Forte's single-season record for receptions by a running back, and he has a chance to add to his total of 106 in this game. If McCaffrey has a decent outing, he'll also top 2,000 yards from scrimmage on the year. Carolina has to be left wondering what happened to a season that seemed so flush with promise when it was 6-2 and preparing to take on the Steelers in a Thursday night showdown. The Panthers haven't won since, dropping seven straight games. If Newton is healthy next year, though, they should be back as a force.
NEW YORK JETS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET (CBS)
The Pats don't have Josh Gordon anymore, Tom Brady has a knee injury of some severity, according to most reports — though Brady and the Pats claim it is "100 percent" — Rob Gronkowski is not his usual self and New England is flat-out bad on the road. That said, they're unbeaten at home, and a win here, coupled with losses by the Chiefs and Chargers, and would improbably give them home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. With Kansas City taking on Oakland and the Chargers playing Denver, that's unlikely, but it's still on the table. However, a mere win with no outside help would clinch the AFC's second seed for Bill Belichick. Sam Darnold is coming off his best game as a pro, despite the fact that it came in a losing effort. Darnold threw three touchdowns and no interceptions against the Packers, and New York's hopes for the future rest squarely on his shoulders. A strong game against New England would be a nice building-block experience for the future.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT HOUSTON TEXANS
SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET (CBS)
The Texans are still in play for home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs, but they would need to win and have the Patriots, Chiefs and Chargers all lose, which seems like asking a bit much, frankly. Still, the Texans will get at least one home game as champions of the AFC South, and if the bracket breaks their way, they could be a formidable out. Houston's rush defense is the best in the league, but its secondary leaves something to be desired. That secondary won't get a good workout against a Jaguars team that has no passing game to speak of, no clear path at quarterback and a host of problems all connected to the fact that they can't play offense in any sort of consistent, competitive way. Blake Bortles is a lame duck, Leonard Fournette was hurt much of the year and unimpressive for large chunks of time even when healthy and it's obvious that the Jags defense has contempt for the offense. No team would benefit more from an upgrade at quarterback than the Jaguars, but whether or not they'll get one remains to be seen.
DETROIT LIONS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS
SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET (FOX)
This battle of NFC North foes features a team in Green Bay that needs to figure out its future and one in Detroit still trying to create the same thing. It's likely that things are brighter for the Packers in the immediate term, primarily because they have Aaron Rodgers and the Lions don't, but if Detroit can figure out a way to bottle its performances against New England and these very same Packers from earlier in the season, they could be interesting. Still, it seems like an uphill climb for Lions head coach Matt Patricia, given the apparent strength of the NFC North. Chicago looks poised to be great for a long time, the Vikings are balanced and Green Bay will almost certainly be back with a vengeance in 2019. Assuming Green Bay finds the right coach, the combination of Rodgers and Davante Adams should be phenomenal for several years to come. Adams may top 120 catches and 1,500 yards this season and has emerged as one of the league's top-tier wide receivers this year, after never topping 75 receptions or going over 1,000 yards in any of his previous four seasons.
CLEVELAND BROWNS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS
SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET (CBS)
In an ironic twist, the entire city of Pittsburgh will have a keen eye on this game and will be rooting hard for Baker Mayfield and the Browns. The Ravens' situation is simple — they win and they're in. The Ravens' remarkable turnaround has been enough to save John Harbaugh's job, as Baltimore is working on an extension for him. That he's managed all of this while having to turn to Lamar Jackson under center and completely reinvent the Ravens offense on the fly is a testament to his abilities. Normally, a win over the Browns would be a foregone conclusion, but this Cleveland team is vastly different from previous iterations. Mayfield has transformed the franchise, and Gregg Williams has a 5-2 record as interim head coach. Cleveland has playmakers on defense, promising complementary pieces on offense like Nick Chubb and, most of all, something of an identity forming. But for some bad work in the kicking game, the Browns easily could be a playoff team, and they have plenty of motivation to finish with a winning record after going 1-31 the previous two years.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT WASHINGTON REDSKINS
SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET (FOX)
The Eagles have the look of a team that could be a real problem, provided they actually make the playoffs. The path for Philly is pretty simple — win against Washington and hope that the Vikings come up short against the Bears. The Eagles have a few things going for them. First, Nick Foles looks like 2017 Nick Foles, and that guy won a Super Bowl for the team. Second, the Bears actually have something to play for, namely a possible first-round bye, so they'll be highly motivated to beat the Vikings for that, and just to ruin their season. Foles scorched the Texans' suspect pass defense and led the Eagles on a gut-check, game-winning field-goal drive last week, but he should have at least a somewhat tougher time against a Washington defense that rates as considerably better against the pass. The problem for Washington, of course, is offense. Specifically, quarterback. There was no Foles riding to the rescue when Alex Smith got hurt, and especially not after Colt McCoy went down. If Philly scores 20 points, it feels like a safe assumption that it'll win.
OAKLAND RAIDERS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET (CBS)
The Chiefs still need to win this game to clinch home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs, and that's bad news for a Raiders team that managed to rise up and upset the Broncos in what might have been their last game in Oakland. The Chiefs have received excellent production from Damien Williams in his two games as a starter, and Oakland's run defense is porous, to say the least. The Chiefs can't afford to mess around in this one, so an all-business effort should be expected. The Raiders probably don't have much left in the tank, as it stands to reason that they would be emotionally drained coming off last week's win. One potentially troubling sign for Kansas City is this: It is 9-0 against non-playoff teams and only 2-4 against teams who would be in the playoffs if the season ended today. That's a troubling trend, and one that might foretell a short stay in the postseason, unless Kansas City finds a way to be a little bit better on the defensive side.
CHICAGO BEARS AT MINNESOTA VIKINGS
SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET (FOX)
There is still plenty at stake for the Bears in this game. A win coupled with a Rams loss to San Francisco would give the Bears the No. 2 seed in the NFC and the accompanying first-round bye. It would also put the Vikings in a precarious position, needing an Eagles loss to maintain their sixth seed. Chicago has been one of the biggest surprises in the league this year, its success fueled by an efficient offense and an opportunistic defense that ranks first in the league with 36 takeaways. The Bears forced three turnovers the first time these teams met, but that game was in Chicago, and the Vikings weren't quite as desperate as they will be for this one. Chicago's main vulnerability is its rushing offense. If the run is taken away and Mitch Trubisky is forced to win games, the Bears can be had. That is not to say that Trubisky isn't capable — his 96.0 passer rating is perfectly solid. But he's still not far enough along to where he can be counted on to deliver an excellent performance each week. Minnesota needs its running game, trending upward of late, to be great.
CINCINNATI BENGALS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS
SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET (CBS)
The Steelers let one slip away despite playing a mostly excellent game in New Orleans, and now they find themselves on the outside looking in on the AFC playoff chase. Mike Tomlin's team needs a win here and a Cleveland victory over the Ravens to qualify for the postseason, and fortunately for them, the Bengals appear to have packed things in for the year. Jeff Driskel inspires absolutely no one, and though the Bengals will no doubt want to play spoiler, it's hard to imagine them pulling a repeat of last year, where a victory in Baltimore kept the Ravens out of the playoffs. Even Cincy's usual shenanigans against the Steelers could be muted on account of the game being in Pittsburgh. The Steelers will undoubtedly try to put this one away early, and the dynamic duo of Antonio Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster should be enough to overwhelm Marvin Lewis' ragtag bunch. The Bengals are 1-6 in their last seven, but that probably won't be enough to put Lewis' job at peril.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT DENVER BRONCOS
SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET (CBS)
The Chargers missed out on a big opportunity to grab the top position in the AFC — they had no answers for the Ravens last Saturday night. Still, there is plenty at stake for Los Angeles, though admittedly, the prospect of the Chiefs losing to Oakland, which, coupled with an L.A. win would give the Chargers the AFC's top seed, is unlikely. The Chargers have been pretty consistent all year, but if there is one element of their game that perhaps could use some work, it's their running attack. Baltimore shut them down, and before that, they had been something of a mixed bag, though it didn't seem to affect Philip Rivers' play in any tangible, negative way. Still, more balance would go a long way for a team that will be picked by many to come out of the Wild Card Round and win the conference. Winning this game would be a statement, as the Broncos, despite their flaws and the likelihood that Vance Joseph is out as head coach, are still a tough out at home. Seeing Melvin Gordon and Keenan Allen both look sharp would be a boon for the Bolts as well.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS
SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET (FOX)
No team has gone from prohibitive favorite to possible one-and-done faster than the Rams. They look out of sync on offense, and even a thrashing of the woeful Cardinals couldn't have done much to ease the fears of the faithful. If Jared Goff is right and Todd Gurley is healthy, it is conceivable that Los Angeles could right the ship in a hurry and in emphatic fashion. If they aren't, the Rams could very well lose to a game Niners team that no doubt wants to spring a major upset on their division rival. San Francisco has been feisty the last three weeks, going 2-1, including an overtime upset of Seattle. Thing is, all three of those games have been at home, and this one isn't. Nick Mullens has played well enough to at least open some eyes around the league about his prospects as a long-term backup, though if he pulls a shocker here, his stock will rise considerably. He'll have to deal with Aaron Donald, newly in possession of the single-season sack record for an interior lineman, and that's not a pleasant experience for just about any opposing quarterback.
ARIZONA CARDINALS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET (FOX)
Arizona is one of many teams seemingly playing out the string, and as of this moment, the Cardinals would have the top pick in next year's draft. Outside of Chandler Jones, the Cards don't have an elite pass-rusher, but Nick Bosa would change that in a hurry and make their defense much more fearsome. Their real problem on that side of the ball is against the run, however, which makes the Seahawks an absolutely terrible opponent. No team is more committed to the ground game than Seattle, and arguably no team is better at it, either. The Seahawks don't have anything to play for, as they'll enter the playoffs as the five or six seed in the NFC, but that still isn't a good reason to pick against them. No matter who they sit, the Seahawks should be able to run the ball with impunity. Pete Carroll has claimed that he won't rest his starters, but if they handle Arizona like they should, they might find themselves sitting most of the second half.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT TENNESSEE TITANS
SUNDAY, 8:20 P.M. ET (NBC)
What better way to end the regular season than with a de facto playoff game? The stakes here are simple: The winner qualifies for the playoffs, and the loser does not. The only doomsday scenario for both teams involves a tie, which, coupled with a Steelers win, would send both packing and Pittsburgh to the playoffs. Indy is the hotter team of the two, having won eight of nine, but the Titans are winners of four in a row and have home-field advantage on their side. The crowd should be boisterous, and the key matchup is obvious. Can the Colts rush defense, which ranks sixth in the league in yards per carry allowed, slow down Derrick Henry, who has resembled a runaway freight train in recent weeks? Whichever team wins that particular battle will most likely win the game and the playoff berth that comes with it. That having been said, one imagines that the rest of the AFC will be rooting for the Titans, because everyone knows what Andrew Luck is capable of if he gets a seat at the table.

MY NEW NHL POWER RANKINGS AFTER WEEK 12


After a three-day sojourn, the NHL is back and so are my Power Rankings
1. Tampa Bay Lightning
Previous ranking: 1
They're on pace for 129 points. They've gone a month without a regulation loss. Eighteen players have double-digit points. What else is there to say?

2. Toronto Maple Leafs
Previous ranking: 2
How good has Mitch Marner been? He's only the fourth Maple Leafs player all time to have 50 points before Christmas (the others: Mats SundinDave Andreychuk and Doug Gilmour)

3. Washington Capitals
Previous ranking: 6
Yes, Alex Ovechkin has been ridiculously good. But this team isn't tethered to the star winger for success. Fourteen players have double-digit point totals, including surprises like Brett Connolly (22 in 36 games).

4. Winnipeg Jets
Previous ranking: 3
Is this the season Mark Scheifele emerges as a serious Hart Trophy candidate? Through 37 games he has 22 goals and 49 points while shouldering a massive workload (22:43 per game, fourth among all NHL forwards).

5. Calgary Flames
Previous ranking: 5
They have the league's most explosive offense, having scored five goals in a period on four different occasions. Defensively, Calgary ranks third in the league, allowing only 2.68 goals per game.

6. Nashville Predators
Previous ranking: 4
The banged-up Preds have been without at least one of their top players for the last six weeks. Even with a four-game slide heading into the break, they're comfortably in a playoff spot.

7. San Jose Sharks
Previous ranking: 7
Erik Karlsson is set to return from a two-game suspension; the defenseman is starting to find his offensive game with the Sharks, notching 11 assists in his past 10 games.

8. Buffalo Sabres
Previous ranking: 9
The Sabres sure are keeping fans on their toes in their breakout season. More than a third of their games have gone to overtime, in which Buffalo is 8-5.

9. Boston Bruins
Previous ranking: 10
The B's are getting healthier. The return of defenseman Zdeno Chara will be huge, but don't overlook winger Jake DeBrusk (sidelined three weeks with a concussion), who has 10 goals in 28 games.

10. Colorado Avalanche
Previous ranking: 8
Can Mikko Rantanen become the first Avs player to win the scoring title since Peter Forsberg in 2003? Nikita Kucherov has taken the scoring lead with 61, while Rantanen has 60 and Avs teammate Nathan MacKinnon has 57.

11. Columbus Blue Jackets
Previous ranking: 12
Bob is back! After an inauspicious start, Columbus Blue Jackets netminder Sergei Bobrovsky is 5-0-1 with a .962 save percentage in his last six starts.

12. Vegas Golden Knights
Previous ranking: 13
Marc-Andre Fleury's workload has been Herculean so far. He has already surpassed his 2017-18 starts total while leading the league with 2,078 minutes, 299 more than any other netminder.

13. Pittsburgh Penguins
Previous ranking: 19
The inevitable second-half surge begins as Pittsburgh has posted a plus-13 goal differential over its last 12 games, winning nine of them.

14. New York Islanders
Previous ranking: 15
The biggest improvement for the Islanders this season? Goal prevention. They've allowed only 95 goals in 35 games this season after letting in a whopping 124 in the same span last season.

15. Montreal Canadiens
Previous ranking: 18
The Habs have won eight of 12 games this month (with three to go on the calendar). Keep it up, and this will be Montreal's most successful December in a decade.

16. Edmonton Oilers
Previous ranking: 14
And just like that, the Oilers looked like their old selves again, allowing 14 goals in three games before the break (while scoring just six).

17. Anaheim Ducks
Previous ranking: 11
It still feels like the John Gibson show, especially as Anaheim's leading scorer (Ryan Getzlaf, nine goals and 20 assists) ranks 78th in the league in points right now.

18. Minnesota Wild
Previous ranking: 17
The Wild had a league-worst nine points (4-8-1 record) between Thanksgiving and Christmas, and look to turn things around, though they'll be without one of their top defensemen, Matt Dumba, for at least three months.

19. Dallas Stars
Previous ranking: 16
The Stars are a good team that takes some time to get going. They have a league-low 19 goals in the first period. (For comparison, Tampa Bay leads the league, with 50).

20. Vancouver Canucks
Previous ranking: 21
The Canucks aren't looking to next season just yet, but we must note 2018 first-round pick Quinn Hughes was the most noticeable player for Team USA in its first game at the world junior championship this week.

21. New York Rangers
Previous ranking: 20
The next two weeks look daunting, with seven of nine games away from Madison Square Garden. That stretch could make or break the Blueshirts' season.

22. Carolina Hurricanes
Previous ranking: 23
The Canes have been streaky, and, at least a bit unlucky; they have a league-low 96.73 PDO at even strength.

23. Florida Panthers
Previous ranking: 25
The Panthers need an extra scoring kick, and maybe they have it in-house with rookie Jayce Hawryluk, who scored two goals in his NHL debut last week.

24. Detroit Red Wings
Previous ranking: 24
How is the Red Wings' season going? Even though the team is playing better, according to the eye test, than last season, the Wings' record doesn't reflect it, and they are below average in nearly every statistical category.

25. Philadelphia Flyers
Previous ranking: 28
Carter Hart might just be as good as advertised, and there's more help to come. Philly has a league-high seven prospects participating in the world junior championship.

26. Ottawa Senators
Previous ranking: 22
Let's not get into winners and losers of the Erik Karlsson trade, but the Sens did find a gem in Dylan DeMelo, who is thriving in a larger role and bringing out the best in partner Thomas Chabot.

27. Arizona Coyotes
Previous ranking: 26
The Yotes have done a lot to improve their forward corps this season, and yet they rank 29th in goals per game, despite doing enough in the back end to win. That's extra impressive given that they've been without top netminder Antti Raanta for much of the season.

28. St. Louis Blues
Previous ranking: 27
The Blues remain the only NHL team that has not strung together more than two consecutive wins.

29. New Jersey Devils
Previous ranking: 31
The latest in the Devils' goaltending saga: Could rookie Mackenzie Blackwood be the savior? Too early to tell, but coach John Hynes says he'll get a "real good look" after the Christmas break.

30. Chicago Blackhawks
Previous ranking: 30
Hey, 2018 was a tumultuous calendar year for the Blackhawks. Perhaps a reasonable goal for 2019: Any noticeable improvement under new coach Jeremy Colliton.

31. Los Angeles Kings
Previous ranking: 29
The league's lowest-scoring team scored at least three goals in all four games before the Christmas break for the first time all season. Small steps.