Saturday, December 15, 2018

THE ONE MOVE THAT DEFINED THE 2018 NFL SEASON FOR ALL 32 TEAMS


The 2018 NFL season has been a dream come true for several teams this year and been an utter nightmare for many others. That’s how it goes.
Not everybody gets a happy ending in the NFL. The question left to everybody involved is where did the crucial moment come this year that helped define their success or failure. Usually, it can be traced back to one decision that started the ball rolling in either direction.
Maybe it was a big trade a team made or a key hiring or firing of a coach. Then again even more subtle moves can have a surprisingly far-reaching impact.
So let’s pose that question across the board. What was that one move that defined this year for every team in the league, for better or worse? As always I start with the team I covered for over 30 years the Pittsburgh Steelers
PITTSBURGH STEELERS: SIGNING JONATHAN BOSTIC
The Steelers are known as one of those few organizations in the NFL that view free agency like a casino. It’s nothing but straight gambling and most of the time the house has the edge. However, if a person occasionally pours a calculated amount of money into it, they sometimes might get lucky. This is how Pittsburgh has approached the market for years and it appears that moment of good fortune finally came around.
Nobody thought much of anything when the team signed veteran linebacker Jonathan Bostic. He’d been a journeyman of sorts, playing in Chicago, New England, and then Indianapolis as a former 2nd round pick who hadn’t quite panned out. The Steelers brought him in mostly as competition and depth for their inside linebacker spot with Ryan Shazier still out with his spinal issues. They never expected to get what they’ve gotten from him.
Bostic has 66 tackles, 2.5 sacks, and three passes defended on the year. He’s a big part of the Steelers having the 6th best run defense in the league.
ARIZONA CARDINALS: DRAFTING JOSH ROSEN
For better or worse, when the Cardinals signed Sam Bradford and drafted Josh Rosen in the first round, they effectively tied their hopes this season to the rookie quarterback.
That didn’t seem like too bad of an idea on the surface, at least to begin with.
Rosen, in my estimation, was one of the most pro-ready quarterbacks coming out of this year’s crop. He showed excellent mechanics in his years at UCLA and did a great job of running a pro-style offensive attack while he was there as well.
It made sense that Rosen would have success at the NFL level until it turned out to be a bit tougher than he or anyone else really imagined. Rosen has shown flashes throughout the year but has 10 touchdowns compared to 12 interceptions in his 10 games this season.
He’s taken 29 sacks in those 10 games and has proven he has a long way to go in his development. As a result, the Cardinals are one of the worst teams in the entire league.
ATLANTA FALCONS: KEEPING STEVE SARKISIAN
The Atlanta Falcons came into the 2018 season with high hopes and high expectations, as any team with a quarterback of Matt Ryan’s caliber should.
Unfortunately, injuries on defense have really limited this team’s ability to win close games and they have struggled badly on their way to a potential top five pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.
Their decision to retain Steve Sarkisian as offensive coordinator has not yielded balanced results on that side of the ball, causing the Falcons to almost be an easy out for teams this year with an average of 28 points allowed and 24 points scored per game this season.
In four of the Falcons’ last five games (all losses) they have been outscored by 10 or more points. The offense has not exceeded 20 points in that stretch of time, and Atlanta ranks 32nd in the NFL this season in rushing offense.
It appears the decision to keep Sarkisian has hindered Atlanta enough offensively to the point that they may need to make a big change this offseason.
BALTIMORE RAVENS: PASSING ON CALVIN RIDLEY
I don’t think anyone in Baltimore is going to be upset that the team eventually ended up with Lamar Jackson at the end of the first round, but with this team’s affliction for Alabama players and a desperate need for playmakers at receiver, how did they not end up with Calvin Ridley?
The Ravens used their first pick in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft on South Carolina tight end Hayden Hurst.
In nine games this season, Hurst has a total of seven receptions. Ridley had eight touchdown catches.
Even though the Falcons’ offense has not been very good, Ridley has proven himself to be much better than his draft position and the Ravens’ passing attack could use a dynamic player like him.
Unfortunately, they got in their own way during the draft, and got a better pass-catching option later in Mark Andrews. They could have had both Andrews and Ridley, but here we are.
BUFFALO BILLS: DRAFTING JOSH ALLEN
Even dating back to the weeks and months before the 2017 season, the Buffalo Bills appeared to be priming themselves for a run at a young quarterback in the 2018 NFL Draft.
They were trading away players left and right, and continued to do so all the way into the 2018 offseason even after they made the playoffs unexpectedly.
The Bills’ playoff appearance didn’t hinder them from being one of the top three teams to take a quarterback in the 2018 NFL Draft, as they accumulated enough capital to move up and select the big-armed Wyoming quarterback Josh Allen.
Allen has come to the Bills and done a much better job than I think most expected him to considering his struggles in college.
Allen has shown some of the same boom-or-bust potential in the NFL he had in college, but he’s morphed into a much better runner than I think anyone ever imagined. He looks like a young Cam Newton running around out there, and that’s not just hyperbole. He looks like one of the best running quarterbacks in the league.
Still, tying your fate to a rookie quarterback often means you are in for a losing season, and the Bills have struggled with players behind Allen on the depth chart as he’s missed some time due to injury.
CAROLINA PANTHERS: PROMOTING ERIC WASHINGTON
The Panthers’ promotion of Eric Washington has not gone as the team had hoped, let’s put it that way.
They rank 24th in the NFL in points allowed per game, and specifically have struggled against the pass.
It’s important to note that while Washington has been a highly respected assistant for years in the NFL, this was his first year calling plays in the league.  That’s not as easy of a job as some make it sound.
Ron Rivera also deserves some blame for the Panthers’ defensive woes, but this is a group effort and Carolina’s recent five-game losing streak included a 52-point embarrassment at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers.
CHICAGO BEARS: TRADING FOR KHALIL MACK
There were SO many moves by the Bears this year that could’ve qualified for this list including the hiring of head coach Matt Nagy or the retention of defensive coordinator Vic Fangio. Yet it’s impossible to argue the fact that this team didn’t truly become a force until the arrival of Khalil Mack on September 1st via one of the biggest landmark trades in franchise history.
Nobody saw the move coming. There was no way in the world the Oakland Raiders would be dumb enough to trade one of the best pass rushers in football. Never mind the unrealistic belief that GM Ryan Pace has the willingness to sacrifice the draft picks and money necessary to get him. Those people were quickly proven wrong.
Chicago sacrificed two 1st round picks and two others to get Mack from Oakland and quickly made him the highest-paid defensive player in NFL history. How did he reward them? He has 10 sacks this season with three games still to play and his presence has turned the Bears defense from a pretty good unit into the best in the NFL, paving the way for a 9-4 record.
CINCINNATI BENGALS: KEEPING MARVIN LEWIS
I would consider myself (at times) a pretty stubborn individual. I feel like the way I do things is often the right way of doing things, so I can empathize a bit with the management in Cincinnati, who seems to think the combination they have with Marvin Lewis, Andy Dalton, and the rest of their cast of characters is the right one.
The Bengals are hell-bent on believing that Lewis is the coach that will lead them to the Super Bowl, apparently. He’s certainly done a good job for the standards that have perhaps preceded his time with the team. The Bengals don’t have a bunch of Lombardi’s hanging around the team facility and they don’t really know what it’s like to win championships, so perhaps the ‘good enough’ mantra applies here.
But eventually, a change of scenery would be good for both the Bengals and Lewis, right?
Cincinnati has once again fallen short of expectations and injuries have killed their 2018 season. Will it be Lewis’ last with the team? Time will tell.
CLEVELAND BROWNS: DRAFTING BAKER MAYFIELD
Even before the Browns drafted Baker Mayfield, they hired John Dorsey and I think that move reset the course of the franchise.
Dorsey is a very good talent evaluator as evidenced by just his last two quarterback picks (likely league MVP Patrick Mahomes and Mayfield). Dorsey’s last two quarterback picks have reset the course for both of the franchises he worked for, but the decision to pick Mayfield was anything but an easy one.
There was no consensus number one grade on Mayfield by NFL Draft analysts. In fact, I personally had Darnold rated 1a. to Mayfield’s 1b. I thought both players were great, but it takes personal evaluation and up-close relationship development to make a call like this in a draft class that included five first-round quarterbacks.
Mayfield has proven to be the best one by far in the early portion of their respective careers, and in his first action in the 2018 regular season, he led the Browns to a comeback win in front of a national audience (against Darnold, no less).
There was nothing fortuitous about this selection. Dorsey made a call directly from his gut and it’s paying off.
DALLAS COWBOYS: TRADING FOR AMARI COOPER
Jerry Jones‘ trade for Amari Cooper was like a quarterback throwing the ball into heavy traffic, only to have his receiver come up with a huge reception and take it for a touchdown. You’ve been there, right?
When the ball is in the air, and you’re yelling at the TV, “No, no, no…” and then the receiver catches is, and you explode with joy.
That’s what this trade has been like for the Cowboys. Giving up a first-round pick for Cooper seemed like Jon Gruden had finally pulled one over on somebody, and he did it to a desperate Jerry Jones.
Even in less than half of a season, though, Cooper has proven to be an incredible difference-maker for the Cowboys, who have combined great defensive play with a balanced offensive attack. Cooper is the reason teams have to respect the Cowboys’ passing game now, whereas they did not have that player on the roster before.
The first-round pick now appears poised to be late in round one, and if the Cowboys were going to potentially draft a receiver anyway, why not trade for Cooper? It’s working extremely well.
DENVER BRONCOS: SIGNING PHILLIP LINDSAY
Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good, but it doesn’t hurt to be both lucky and good when it comes to the NFL Draft.
The Denver Broncos had one of the best draft classes in recent memory, bringing in Bradley Chubb, Courtland Sutton, Royce Freeman, Isaac Yiadom, Josey Jewell, and DaeSean Hamilton among others.
But it was after the draft when they brought in a local feel-good story in Phillip Lindsay, a small running back who wasn’t even invited to the Scouting Combine. Lindsay competed in offseason activities and even before training camp was earning some work with the number one offense.
By the start of the season, the hype surrounding Lindsay was pretty wild and then he scored the team’s first touchdown of the season. Since then, he’s scored nine more touchdowns and has over 1,000 all-purpose offensive yards. He’s become the Broncos’ featured offensive player and looks like a superstar in the making.
Lindsay’s emergence has helped the Broncos improve throughout the season, which included a three-game winning streak recently to get the team to a 6-6 record before their disappointing loss to the 49ers.
DETROIT LIONS: TRADING GOLDEN TATE
The Detroit Lions continue to confuse themselves, I think.
After hiring Patriots defensive coordinator Matt Patricia to be their new head coach, the Lions probably thought they were going to compete in the NFC North this season, but that hasn’t been further from reality.
Instead of competing for their division, the Lions are competing (yet again) for a high draft choice and they became a seller at the NFL trade deadline, helping out a fellow NFC team in Philadelphia by sending them wide receiver Golden Tate.
It was hard to fault the Lions for maximizing value on Tate, who is in the final year of his contract with the team and seems to be declining in his per-play effectiveness, but trading such a high profile player was indicative of how this season was going/has gone for Detroit.
They will once again need to re-tool their offensive weaponry this offseason.
GREEN BAY PACKERS: FIRING ALEX VAN PELT
Former NFL quarterback Alex Van Pelt has been coaching for almost 15 years, and had been with the Green Bay Packers since 2012 (running backs coach).
In 2014, Van Pelt took over coaching the quarterback position where he had a star pupil in Aaron Rodgers.
After four years in that role, the Packers opted to let go of Van Pelt, and he signed on to coach the quarterbacks of the Cincinnati Bengals.
Van Pelt wasn’t a scapegoat, necessarily, but the entirety of what the Packers are right now is just not working. Head coach Mike McCarthy was fired in-season, and Green Bay appears headed for a major shift in the way they operate with Ted Thompson also not running things in the front office anymore.
Van Pelt’s firing was one of the first dominos to fall in what has proven to be an avalanche of bad news for Green Bay.
HOUSTON TEXANS: DRAFTING JUSTIN REID
The Texans came into 2018 having been put in a bad spot of their own making. Thanks to previous trades in order to clear up the blunder that was the Brock Osweiler signing, the team had no 1st or 2nd round picks coming in this years’ draft. That presented a big challenge. They needed to find impact players for a roster that was ready to win now. Especially with some of their key veterans starting to approach the downslope of their careers.
In the end, they decided to go after some help for their secondary by using their first pick of the draft on Stanford safety Justin Reid in the 3rd round. It was a minor surprise he’d actually fallen that far according to experts. Many felt he had the sort of skill set to be a top 50 pick. Maybe even a 1st rounder. Time has quickly proven those experts were quite correct.
Not only does Reid have 69 tackles this season as a key member of the Texans secondary, but he also has three interceptions including one for a touchdown. He’s been a huge key to that unit ranking 5th in the NFL in points allowed.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: HIRING FRANK REICH
It looked like the Colts had their next head coach locked up after dismissing Chuck Pagano. New England Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels was fixing to come in and hopefully revive the offense around the returning Andrew Luck. Then at the last second, things changed. McDaniels balked and informed the team he was reneging on his agreement, deciding to return to the Patriots.
It was a low point for the Colts, who’d already missed out on getting their primary target Matt Nagy who went to Chicago. Things have a funny way of working out though. GM Chris Ballard acted quickly. He brought in Frank Reich, offensive coordinator of the reigning champion Philadelphia Eagles for an interview shortly after the announcement. Not long after he was hired as the new head coach in Indianapolis.
Under his direction, the Colts have experienced a major rebound. They’re 7-6 and in the thick of the playoff chase. Luck is having one of the best seasons of his career and the defense is also playing better than it has in years.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: STICKING WITH BLAKE BORTLES
Reaching the AFC championship last year had dire consequences for the Jaguars. As can so often happen, they were lured into a false sense of security by that success. Blake Bortles had played well down the stretch and made some big plays to get them to one game away from the Super Bowl. However, amidst the fun, they forgot that his play may have been spurred on by the fact he was in a contract year.
League history is sprinkled with many examples of mediocre players turning in strong runs like that in order to secure their big payday. Sure enough, Bortles got what he wanted in a three-year extension worth over $26 million in guaranteed money. He rewarded that faith of the front office by turning in his worst season as a pro and getting benched in favor of Cody Kessler.
This team missed a big opportunity to move on from him and now they’re likely to pay for it for the next couple of years unless they somehow snag a quarterback in 2019 who can help them win right away.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: PROMOTING PATRICK MAHOMES
This was going to happen regardless but it’s still a decision that wasn’t easy to make. The Kansas City Chiefs had consistency and stability with Alex Smith. He had led them to the playoffs after his best season ever as a pro. It would’ve been easy to understand if they decided to postpone a shift at quarterback for one more year. Andy Reid didn’t blink though. Smith was traded to Washington to avoid any controversies and the team moved ahead with Mahomes.
The results speak for themselves. The second-year quarterback is having the best breakout season one has ever had at that position with 4,300 yards passing and 43 touchdown passes in just 13 games. He’s the runaway favorite for MVP and the reason the Chiefs are 11-2 and on the cusp of claiming homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. Logical or not, the decision to go with him was a bold one that is paying off handsomely.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS: DRAFTING DERWIN JAMES
It looks like the Chargers are a different team in 2018. They’re beating teams they normally haven’t beaten in the past and doing it convincingly. Philip Rivers remains a stud for them at age 37, but the bigger surprise is how improved their defense has been. It went from okay unit with a great pass rush to a top 10 group in the space of a year. This despite star Joey Bosa missing a lengthy period of time with injury. So how does that happen?
Look no further than the arrival of Derwin James to their secondary. The rookie 1st round pick has been a revelation at safety this year with three interceptions and 3.5 sacks. He has made the back end of that defense far more treacherous to attack for quarterbacks and his ability to blitz has made it almost impossible to avoid him. That stability and playmaking skill he brings has helped to win a number of close games this year, something they couldn’t do in the past.
LOS ANGELES RAMS: TRADING FOR BRANDIN COOKS
The Rams were the #1 offense in scoring last year but it was felt there were still ways they needed to try and open things up for the passing game. Somebody who could threaten defenses deep and ease the stacked boxes Todd Gurley had to run against. That’s why GM Les Snead made the bold decision to trade the teams’ 1st round pick to the New England Patriots in exchange for wide receiver Brandin Cooks.
The 24-year old speedster had had two good seasons in New Orleans and then New England but hadn’t been able to lock down a long-term job. He wanted to find a more permanent home. It seems he’s done that. The Rams went from the #10 passing offense last year to #5 this year. Cooks is a huge reason for that as he’s already over 1,000 yards for the season and averaging over 15 yards per catch.
Gurley is just 102 yards away from topping his career high in rush, so that panned out as well. It was a highly productive move for the franchise and one people tend to overlook.
MIAMI DOLPHINS: RELEASING MIKE POUNCEY
Mike Pouncey hasn’t always been healthy but the center remained a quality blocker on the Dolphins offensive line for years. He played the entirety of the 2017 season and was still just 29-years old. Most expected him to continue on as their fixture at center. So when Miami made the momentous decision to release the former Pro Bowler, it came as a genuine shock.
It’s hard to figure out the exact reasoning for the move. The general belief is the Dolphins got tired of his somewhat lazy workout habits mixed with the health concerns and slightly declined play. They felt Daniel Kilgore would be able to handle the job. In hindsight, it’s fair to question that decision. Miami allowed just 33 sacks in 2017. This year they’re already at 36 with three games left to play.
Meanwhile, Pouncey landed in L.A. where Philip Rivers is in the midst of arguably the best season of his career. The center may not be elite anymore, but very good is still worth a lot at that position.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS: HIRING JOHN DEFILIPPO
After losing Pat Shurmur to the New York Giants head coaching job this offseason, the Vikings were set to change offensive coordinator against for the third time in three years. This time they went with a man with a growing reputation for his quarterback acumen in John DeFilippo. He’d just got done turning Carson Wentz into a Pro Bowler and Nick Foles into a Super Bowl MVP as the Philadelphia Eagles quarterbacks coach.
He seemed like the logical choice to take over a passing game that was ready to take flight with Kirk Cousins arriving from Washington. Things started out great. Cousins was putting up big numbers and are still on pace to set his career-high in touchdown passes. The problems became clear later on as DeFilippo simply couldn’t find a way to get the running game going.
Naturally, this caused increasing frustration for the defensive-minded head coach Mike Zimmer until things finally reached their breaking point in Seattle and DeFilippo was fired. Now 6-6-1, it may be too little, too later to overcome that misfire.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: TRADING FOR CORDARRELLE PATTERSON
The Patriots have always had that knack of scooping underrated players from teams who simply lack the wherewithal to use them correctly. It happened back in 2007 when they got Randy Moss from the Raiders. This isn’t on that same scale, but it’s another example of Oakland not knowing what they had. Cordarrelle Patterson may not be freak wide receiver people had hoped, but he’s proving to be an effective weapon all the same.
New England has gotten some huge plays out of him this year. Plays that proved crucial in some close games. His kick return touchdown in Chicago proved the difference in a win. He’s also scored touchdowns as a running back and a wide receiver. He’s a threat in two different phases and teams have had a hard time keeping him in check. Given how hot-cold the Patriots offense has been at times, it makes the trade look even better.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: SIGNING DEMARIO DAVIS
The Saints were a good defense in 2017 but they had a relatively weak area that haunted them much of the season. It was their ability to stop the run. They ranked a distant 16th against it and one can say the two rushing touchdowns they allowed in Minnesota last season was a big factor in their eventual loss. That’s why they moved quickly to sign inside linebacker Demario Davis, feeling he had the skill set to upgrade their linebacking corps.
It’s proven to be exactly what they’d hoped. Davis has solidified their front seven, paving the way for the #1 run defense in the NFL. The Saints are allowing just 77.61 yards per game on the ground and it’s a big reason they’re 11-2 and cruising towards the #1 seed in the NFC. Davis leads the team with 95 tackles. He also has three sacks and two forced fumbles. The man deserves to have his name mentioned in Pro Bowl discussions.
NEW YORK GIANTS: TRADING JASON PIERRE-PAUL
This remains a puzzling decision even now. The Giants used the excuse that they traded Jason Pierre-Paul to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers because the team was switching to a 3-4 defense. Pierre-Paul had spent his career as a 4-3 defensive end. It was a difficult fit. Then again, good defensive coordinators should be able to find a place for good pass rushers. New York refused to accept that and simply gave away a man who has 11.5 sacks this season.
Why is that such a thing? Namely, because the Giants defense has a minimal pass rush. Their leading rusher to date has five sacks this season. Less than half of what Pierre-Paul has managed. The team seems so optimistic they can still make the playoffs this year after back-to-back wins. It’s fair to offer questions and criticism and how much better their odds might be had they kept the former Pro Bowler around for another year.
NEW YORK JETS: DRAFTING SAM DARNOLD
This decision was going to have a ripple effect the moment it happened. It became clear the Jets were aiming to build the future of their franchise around Sam Darnold when he became the #3 overall pick in the draft. That was not the question. It was who would be the men to undertake that job? Would it be GM Mike Maccagnan and even more interestingly, would it be head coach Todd Bowles, a man with a defensive background.
Time has shown that Darnold’s presence is likely to bring about significant changes in 2019. Though he’s had plenty of flash moments showcasing his impressive talent, the scheming didn’t do him a lot of favors. That falls at the feet of the coaches. It’s obvious the Jets will likely follow the Rams and Bears blueprint of the past two years by firing their defensive head coach in favor of a top offensive mind who can mold their young quarterback into the player he should be.
That may not be entirely fair to Bowles who doesn’t have the greatest offensive personnel around Darnold, but that’s how it is.
OAKLAND RAIDERS: HIRING JON GRUDEN
No doubt the PR department is spinning things in such a way that makes Gruden look good after beating the favored Pittsburgh Steelers last Sunday. They’ve won two of their last four games and things must be getting better, right? Well, both wins were by two and three points respectively, both were at home and one of them was against the struggling Arizona Cardinals. The bottom line is the Raiders are still a three-win team and not going anywhere in 2018.
It doesn’t erase the fact that Gruden’s season as a whole has been a complete failure. He took over a team that made the playoffs two years ago and won seven games last year. They had a strong core of talent in place with Derek Carr, Amari Cooper, and Khalil Mack. All he had to do was build the roster up around them and this team had a chance to win. What did he do?
He signed off on trading both Mack and Cooper who are starring in Chicago and Dallas as both teams surge towards the playoffs. There is no question that the plummet of that team to the bottom of the AFC started with his arrival.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: LETTING PATRICK ROBINSON WALK
Hindsight is always 20-20. The Eagles got a great year out of veteran corner Patrick Robinson in 2017. He brought needed stability to the back end of their defense. One would think that would’ve been enough to convince them to work out some sort of extension. Instead the Eagles decided to protect their limited cap space and let Robinson walk in free agency, signing with his former team the New Orleans Saints.
It seemed like a safe move at the time, but playing it safe doesn’t usually win championships. The Eagles defense has sorely missed Robinson since he left. Their secondary has been beset by loads of injury issues at cornerback and its cost them in some critical games down the stretch. Games that probably would’ve ended differently had he been there to help. Sometimes it isn’t the big moves that determine the course of a season.
Even the lesser ones can end up having a huge impact.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: SIGNING NICK MULLENS
It was nothing more than a blip on the radar screen. Nick Mullen was signed by the 49ers as an undrafted free agent to provide depth behind Jimmy Garoppolo and C.J. Beathard. Nothing more. Not a single person expected there was even a remote possibility that the rookie would see a single snap in 2018. As has been proven many times, the NFL can often lay waste to teams’ prior plans. That was the case for the 49ers.
Both Garoppolo and Beathard went down with injuries over the course of the season, forcing the team to turn to Mullens. All things considered, they’ve gotten way more than they have any right to expect from an undrafted rookie. He’s helped them win two games against the Raiders and Broncos while throwing nine touchdowns to six interceptions. It hasn’t always been pretty, but under normal circumstances, this would be a one-win football team.
Every cloud has a silver lining and that’s Mullens.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: HIRING KEN NORTON JR.
Pete Caroll stunned a lot of people when he made wholesale changes to his coaching staff this year. None was more perplexing than replacing proven defensive coordinator Kris Richard with Ken Norton Jr. The same man who’d badly flamed out in Oakland. How could he be expected to carry on the Legion of Boom tradition? Carroll didn’t listen, sticking to his guns. Turns out that time was his best friend as the results have really come around.
The defense isn’t elite by any stretch but it’s become a quality unit that is able to play strong against most opponents. They can still rush the passer and still force turnovers. Much of the credit must go to Norton who’s done a good job coaching up a roster full of young players forced to follow in the footsteps of legends like Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor. All things considered with the team on the doorstep of the playoffs? It’s been a surprisingly productive decision.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: KEEPING MIKE SMITH
Problems with former defensive coordinator Mike Smith were starting to creep up last season. The Buccaneers defense failed to allow less than 20 points in any of their final seven games that season. Then, despite their rampant spending in free agency and the draft to upgrade their talent, the unit was even worse when the 2018 season began. In four of the five games he coached, the defense gave up at least 30 points.
The team finished 2-3 in that stretch. The problems persisted for another three weeks before his replacement Mark Duffner finally got things a little more under control. Yet it was too little, too late. The team was 3-6 and far out of the playoff picture. Not to mention their ongoing issues at quarterback. One has to wonder what might’ve happened had they made the switch before the season. Maybe a full year of a Duffner defense might’ve changed their fortunes.
TENNESSEE TITANS: HIRING MIKE VRABEL
The Titans felt they needed to go in a different direction at head coach this year. Mostly because despite Mike Mularkey making the playoffs in 2017, the direction of quarterback Marcus Mariota was going the wrong way. That’s why Mike Vrabel was hired. Not only could he help improve the defense given his background, but his Patriots connection meant he understood the steps he needed to take in order to get the young QB back on track.
All things considered, he’s done that. The Titans defense is one of the better units in the NFL, playing with an edge and toughness they didn’t use to have. Mariota still isn’t in the form he had early in his career, but he’s at least not throwing more interceptions than touchdowns as he did last year. One can call that progress. There is still work to be done in order to make the playoffs but one can say the change has been a positive one.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS: TRADING FOR ALEX SMITH
The move itself wasn’t overly panned at the time. It made some sense. It was clear the Washington Redskins were ready to move on from Kirk Cousins this offseason. Either that or he had basically navigated his way out of town. Regardless, they made the bold move to trade for veteran quarterback Alex Smith from Kansas City who’d made him available with the plan to switch to Patrick Mahomes this season.
Smith was coming off his best season as a pro, a four-time Pro Bowler known for his leadership and ability to manage a game. His numbers aren’t always pretty, but he tends to win more games than he loses.
This became true at the start of the season. Playing ball control offense, the Redskins churned out a 6-4 record with Smith and were atop the NFC East. Then he broke his leg badly against Houston, ending his year. His loss has completely deflated the team, who’s lost four-straight since he went down.


5 NFL TEAMS THAT MUST WIN IN WEEK 15


The playoff picture is starting to come into focus with several teams clinching their spot. Which five teams need a win the most this weekend?
The Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, and the New Orleans Saints have all booked their ticket to the playoffs, who will be the next to join them? Several more teams can secure their spot this weekend.
Last week, the five teams listed in this post went undefeated. Perhaps I have found the magic touch; you’re welcome Bears, Chiefs, Cowboys, Chargers, and Saints. In all seriousness, those may have been the easiest picks ever, but I digress.
Let’s kick this week’s picks off with an obvious one.
5. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
After last week’s utter meltdown, the Patriots have still yet to clinch their playoff spot. There’s a chance that they actually don’t even win the division, but the odds of that happening are slim to none. The Dolphins are still within striking range, but the Patriots could clinch the division this weekend with a win and a Dolphins loss. They can simply clinch a playoff berth with a win and a Titans loss or tie.
The Patriots travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers, who are coming off of a brutal loss to the lowly Oakland Raiders. Needless to say, they will be fired up and ready to fight. By no means will this be an easy game for the Patriots.
With a win not only do the Patriots get back to their winning ways, but they do their part in clinching the division. With the Dolphins playing the Vikings, anything can happen and the Patriots cannot control that. All they can do is win their game, and that is a must for them.
4. HOUSTON TEXANS
The trend of this week is teams that have a chance to clinch their respective division title. Houston can clinch the AFC South with a win and some help. In addition to beating the New York Jets, the Texans need the Indianapolis Colts and the Tennessee Titans to lose or tie. With the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants as the opponents to those teams respectively, two losses seem unlikely.
Regardless, the Texans have a chance to go on the road and make some noise. The Jets are 4-9, and minus the comeback win last week, have been an absolute train wreck recently. Coming off the loss to the Colts, the Texans need a big win, and this is a perfect opportunity.
There is a lot on the line here. A win, while not enough by itself, puts the Texans a step closer to a playoff spot. In addition, it serves as a huge boost of confidence and morale for the team after a hard-fought loss. The Jets are by no means intimidating, and the Texans have a great opportunity to build some momentum heading into the final two games of the season.
Deshaun Watson has a penchant for showing up when his team needs him the most, and this week is a perfect example of that. Will Watson be able to rally his teammates and lead them to a victory in the Big Apple?
3. DALLAS COWBOYS
One of the most surprising teams in the second half of the season has been the Cowboys. Since the acquisition of Amari Cooper, which was deemed highway robbery, the Cowboys are 5-1 and have surged to the top of the NFC East. Pinning it all on Cooper may be a bit of a stretch, but it is far from a coincidence.
Quarterback Dak Prescott has played better, the offense is less one-dimensional, and quite frankly, the whole team has a new confidence. It seems as though Cooper has brought an aura of swagger that has infected the team. Compared to the first half of the season, this team is night and day.
After beating the Philadelphia Eagles last week, the Cowboys are on the verge of earning a playoff berth. With a win, the Cowboys win the division outright, but they can also seal their title if the Eagles and Washington Redskins lose. Obviously, it would feel better to win and earn the division title, but there is a high chance the Eagles and Redskins both lose this weekend.
The Cowboys travel to Indianapolis to play the Colts in what will undoubtedly be a close, hard-fought game. Andrew Luck and company will give the stout Cowboys defense a run for their money. The Colts are fighting for their playoff lives, so they have a ton of incentive to play hard. For the Cowboys, win and the division is all theirs.
2. CHICAGO BEARS
Like the Cowboys, the Bears have surprised many people this season and are on the brink of winning the NFC North over the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers. Coming into the year, the Bears were 100-1 favorites to win the Super Bowl, as of last week, they are now 20-1. That is a drastic improvement for a team that did not even look like it would make playoffs heading into the season.
Obviously, a huge part of the Bear’s success is their defense, but the offense has more than carried its weight. Matt Nagy deserves a ton of credit for what he has done with this team and should be considered for coach of the year honors.
The Bears can clinch the division title and a playoff berth with a win over the Packers. We all remember what happened the last time these two met, but things are much different now than they were then. With the division on the line, in front of the home fans, the Bears have to get the job done.
After their dismantling of the Rams last week, the Bears seem like the real deal and could challenge for a Super Bowl. It all begins this week by earning their spot in the playoffs. Look for the Bears defense to stifle the Packers and their struggling offense, although Aaron Rodgers should never be underestimated.
1. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Prior to the season kicking off the Seahawks were one of the favorites to have the number one pick in the upcoming draft. Nearly 15 weeks later, they are 8-5 and one win away from a playoff appearance. So much for the ‘rebuild’ huh?
I guess people underestimated Pete Carroll and Russell Wilson, perhaps only Frank Reich and Andrew Luck have done more with less. The Seahawks were supposed to be rebuilding, but their young players have stepped up and filled the void left behind by some of their predecessors.
Although they have no shot at winning the NFC West as the Los Angeles Rams already clinched that, the fact that the Seahawks may be playing in January is a feat in and of itself. On the road against the San Francisco 49ers, the Seahawks have a great opportunity to pick up a win and book their ticket to the playoffs.
Wilson and company have made a lot of people eat their words, myself included. Their grit and toughness are on display every weekend and that is a huge reason behind their success. The Seahawks fight until the final whistle and things will be no different on Sunday as they try to get back to the playoffs.

DESMITH SHINES WITH 48 SAVES AS PENGUINS SLIP BY BRUINS 5-3


DATE: 7:00 PM, DECEMBER 14, 2018
COVERAGE: ESPN+
PITTSBURGH, PA 15295
ATTENDANCE: 18,549
100%
CAPACITY: 18,087
REFEREES: Marc Joannette and Brad Watson
LINESMEN: Shandor Alphonso and Brandon Gawryletz
Casey DeSmith is not the highest-paid or most accomplished goaltender on the Penguins. Yet he's playing like it, a development that's helped Pittsburgh keep its season from unraveling.
The backup thrust into a starting role while two-time Stanley Cup winner Matt Murray recovers from a lower-body injury and shaky play stopped a career-high 48 shots as Pittsburgh fended off a third-period Boston rally to slip by the Bruins 5-3 on Friday night.
DeSmith improved to 7-2-1 in his last 10 starts, keeping his cool even after the Bruins erased a two-goal deficit in the third period by scoring twice in 54 seconds. Jake Guentzel restored Pittsburgh's lead by tipping home Kris Letang's point shot with 9:13 to go, and DeSmith did the rest.
The Penguins appeared to be firmly in control after Zach Aston-Reese's short-handed goal -- Pittsburgh's first down a man in 57 games -- with 58 seconds to go in the second period made it 3-1.
Boston's Chris Wagner and David Krejci drew the Bruins even when they beat DeSmith less than a minute apart in the third. But the Penguins executed perfectly on a faceoff in the Boston zone, with Sidney Crosby winning the draw and then sending the puck back to Letang. He shot it and Guentzel extended his stick to get a piece of it. The puck slid by Jaroslav Halak for Guentzel's 13th of the season.
Brandon Carlo scored for the first time in 115 games for Boston and Halak stopped 24 shots but the Bruins had trouble with DeSmith, who has filled in capably with Murray spending most of the first two months of the season dealing with injuries or a serious dip in form.
The team activated Murray on Wednesday but coach Mike Sullivan has chosen to stick with DeSmith, though Murray is likely to make his first start since Nov. 17 on Saturday night when the Kings visit. DeSmith insists he won't change his approach now that he's engaged in a full-on competition battle for playing time.
The Bruins dominated for long stretches thanks in part to sloppy play by the Penguins, but DeSmith managed to keep Pittsburgh in it.
DeSmith's flashiest stop came in the first. He was sliding to his right when Brad Marchand picked up a bouncing puck and moved to DeSmith's left. The goaltender reached back with his glove and plucked a shot out of midair to keep the game scoreless.
Derek Grant gave the Penguins the lead shortly after DeSmith's save on Marchand. Phil Kessel, playing in his 277th consecutive game with the Penguins -- the fourth-longest streak in franchise history -- and 723rd straight overall, doubled Pittsburgh's advantage 1:56 into the second period.
The Bruins responded by pressing Smith, who eventually relented when Carlo fired a laser from the top of the right circle 11:53 into the second for just the seventh goal of his career and first since March 4, 2017, against New Jersey.
Though Boston eventually pulled even, Pittsburgh still ended up pulling away, with Aston-Reese putting in an empty-netter with six seconds left to ice it.
GAME NOTES

Letang exited late in the third period favoring his left leg and did not return. ... If Kessel stays healthy, he could break Craig Adams' club record of 319 straight games played near the end of the regular season. ... The Bruins were 0 for 2 on the power play. The Penguins were 0 for 1.
UP NEXT
BRUINS: Welcome the Sabres on Sunday. Boston took the first meeting 4-0 in Buffalo on Oct. 4.
PENGUINS: Host the Los Angeles Kings on Saturday night.
MY 3 STARS OF THE GAME
1: Casey DeSmith G – PIT, 48 Saves, .941 SV%
2: Zach Aston-Reese C – PIT, 2 Goals, 1 Assists
3: Chris Wagner RW – BOS, 1 Goals, 1 Assists
SCORING SUMMARY
1ST PERIOD

17:48
Penguins
Derek Grant (2)
Assists: Matt Cullen, Garrett Wilson
0
1






2ND PERIOD

1:56
Penguins
Phil Kessel (13)
Assists: Evgeni Malkin, Zach Aston-Reese
0
2
11:53
Bruins
Brandon Carlo (1)
Assists: Chris Wagner, Sean Kuraly
1
2
19:01
Penguins
Zach Aston-Reese (3) (Shorthanded)
Assists: Riley Sheahan, Brian Dumoulin
1
3

3RD PERIOD

7:08
Bruins
Chris Wagner (3)
Assists: Charlie McAvoy, Sean Kuraly
2
3
8:02
Bruins
David Krejci (5)
Assists: David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand
3
3
10:47
Penguins
Jake Guentzel (13)
Assists: Kris Letang, Sidney Crosby
3
4
19:54
Penguins
Zach Aston-Reese (4)
Assists: Sidney Crosby, Jack Johnson
3
5
Boston Bruins

FORWARDS
N. Acciari C
D. Backes C
C. Cave C
R. Donato C
J. Forsbacka Karlsson C
D. Heinen C
D. Krejci C
S. Kuraly C
B. Marchand LW
J. Nordstrom C
D. Pastrnak LW
C. Wagner RW
DEFENSEMEN
B. Carlo D
M. Grzelcyk D
S. Kampfer D
T. Krug D
C. McAvoy D
J. Moore D

TIME ON ICE
FACEOFFS
G
A
+/-
S
SM
BS
PN
PIM
HT
TK
GV
SHFT
TOI
PPTOI
SHTOI
ESTOI
FW
FL
%
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
18
14:07
0:21
0:55
12:51
5
3
62.5
0
0
-2
4
0
1
0
0
4
0
0
20
16:08
2:20
0:00
13:48
9
3
75.0
0
0
-1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
21
14:24
0:00
0:53
13:31
8
2
80.0
0
0
-1
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
18
14:01
2:20
0:00
11:41
0
0
0.0
0
0
-1
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
18
11:16
1:19
0:00
9:57
6
5
54.5
0
0
-1
0
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
18
13:49
1:19
0:00
12:30
0
0
0.0
1
0
-2
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
23
19:21
1:19
0:12
17:50
8
8
50.0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
16
12:03
0:21
0:00
11:42
3
1
75.0
0
1
-1
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
22
21:50
3:16
0:46
17:48
0
1
0.0
0
0
-1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
22
14:10
0:00
0:40
13:30
1
3
25.0
0
1
-2
7
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
21
20:07
2:20
0:00
17:47
0
0
0.0
1
1
2
9
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
18
12:42
0:21
0:34
11:47
0
0
0.0
G
A
+/-
S
SM
BS
PN
PIM
HT
TK
GV
SHFT
TOI
PPTOI
SHTOI
ESTOI
FW
FL
%
1
0
1
4
1
0
1
2
3
0
0
28
21:02
0:00
0:00
21:02
0
0
0.0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
29
20:54
0:27
0:40
19:47
0
0
0.0
0
0
-1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
11:04
0:00
0:43
10:21
0
0
0.0
0
0
-2
4
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
26
24:38
3:33
0:00
21:05
0
0
0.0
0
1
-1
1
1
0
0
0
4
1
0
30
23:09
0:44
1:17
21:08
0
0
0.0
0
0
-1
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
23
14:40
0:00
1:20
13:20
0
0
0.0
GOALIES
J. Halak G
SA
GA
SV
SV%
ESSV
PPSV
SHSV
SOSA
SOS
TOI
PIM
27
4
23
.852
20
0
3
0
0
58:35
0
* - A player receives a "plus" if he is on the ice when his Club scores an even-strength or shorthand goal. He receives a "minus" if he is on the ice for an even-strength or shorthand goal scored by the opposing Club. The difference in these numbers is considered the player's plus-minus statistic.

PITTSBURGH PENGUINS
Penguins
Z. Aston-Reese  C
D. Brassard  C
S. Crosby y C
M. Cullen C
D. Grant C
J. Guentzel C
P. Kessel RW
E. Malkin C
T. Pearson LW
B. Rust RW
R. Sheahan C
G. Wilson LW
DEFENSEMEN
B. Dumoulin D
J. Johnson D
K. Letang D
O. Maatta D
J. Oleksiak D
M. Pettersson D

TIME ON ICE
FACEOFFS
G
A
+/-
S
SM
BS
PN
PIM
HT
TK
GV
SHFT
TOI
PPTOI
SHTOI
ESTOI
FW
FL
%
2
1
2
5
0
1
0
0
9
0
0
23
14:13
0:00
1:18
12:55
0
0
0.0
0
0
-1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
19
13:41
0:44
0:00
12:57
3
10
23.1
0
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
27
21:05
1:16
0:00
19:49
14
11
56.0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
17
10:02
0:00
1:46
8:16
2
8
20.0
1
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
14
9:11
0:00
0:56
8:15
0
0
0.0
1
0
-1
2
0
0
2
4
3
1
0
26
21:28
1:16
0:00
20:12
0
0
0.0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
22
15:02
1:16
0:00
13:46
0
0
0.0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
21
15:24
1:16
0:07
14:01
5
7
41.7
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
18
13:06
0:32
0:00
12:34
0
0
0.0
0
0
-1
4
1
4
0
0
3
0
1
27
21:52
0:44
1:46
19:22
0
0
0.0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
20
13:55
0:12
1:11
12:32
2
4
33.3
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
1
0
15
8:17
0:00
0:56
7:21
0
0
0.0
G
A
+/-
S
SM
BS
PN
PIM
HT
TK
GV
SHFT
TOI
PPTOI
SHTOI
ESTOI
FW
FL
%
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
33
22:25
0:12
2:15
19:58
0
0
0.0
0
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
6
0
0
27
20:28
0:00
1:52
18:36
0
0
0.0
0
1
1
0
0
5
0
0
3
0
0
30
21:33
1:28
2:08
17:57
0
0
0.0
0
0
-2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
26
19:10
0:32
1:45
16:53
0
0
0.0
0
0
-2
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
26
18:46
0:00
0:00
18:46
0
0
0.0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
24
16:22
0:32
0:00
15:50
0
0
0.0
GOALIES
C. DeSmith G
SA
GA
SV
SV%
ESSV
PPSV
SHSV
SOSA
SOS
TOI
PIM
51
3
48
.941
41
0
7
0
0
60:00
0
* - A player receives a "plus" if he is on the ice when his Club scores an even-strength or shorthand goal. He receives a "minus" if he is on the ice for an even-strength or shorthand goal scored by the opposing Club. The difference in these numbers is considered the player's plus-minus statistic.