Thursday, February 28, 2019

HERE’S HOW I THINK THE WESTERN CONFERENCE PLAYOFF RACE WILL PLAY OUT


Predicting how the 2019 NBA Playoff picture will play out in the Western Conference, as the Lakers, Kings and Clippers battle for the final spot
The Western Conference is as stacked as it’s ever been in recent years. At one point this season, 14 out of the 15 teams seemed to have a legitimate shot at making the playoffs (sorry, Phoenix Suns).
Now teams like the Memphis GrizzliesNew Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks have all seemingly dropped out of the race, leaving 11 teams to fight it out for the eight playoff spots available.
The Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder all seem to be locked into the top three spots. The Portland Trail Blazers and Houston Rockets look to be playoff locks as well, meaning there are three spots left between the Utah JazzSan Antonio SpursLos Angeles ClippersSacramento Kings, Los Angeles Lakers and Minnesota Timberwolves.
With less than two months remaining in the 2018-19 NBA regular season, we try and predict how the Western Conference playoff picture will play out. Let’s start off by looking at who is most likely to fall out of the playoff race.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
Despite remaining competitive throughout the season after all the Jimmy Butler drama and subsequent trade, the T’Wolves just don’t have enough to make it in, in this stacked Western Conference.
Karl-Anthony Towns has been a beast and Derrick Rose has been one of the best stories all year but there just aren’t enough other pieces on this squad to make them anything more than a decent, middle-of-the-pack team.
The only thing that could change Minnesota’s fortunes is if Andrew Wiggins can come out of nowhere and become the 20-25 point-per-game scorer he once seemed destined to be. However, that is looking more and more unlikely by the day. Credit the Wolves for not falling apart after the departure of Jimmy B, though.
SACRAMENTO KINGS
The Sacramento Kings have surprised everyone this year. Before the season, most would have had them as a bottom-feeder and lottery contender but they came out with a vastly improved young core (led by their dynamic backcourt of De’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield) and have just played hard and competed every night.
They also added Harrison Barnes at the trade deadline which was a big upgrade on the wing.
So, why are they going to be on the outside looking in at season’s end?
Although acquiring Barnes was a smart move, it will take a little while to get him acclimated into the team but they can’t really afford to play the long game here. And that is what will ultimately lead to their downfall. With only three playoff spots up for grabs, the Kings just don’t have enough time to overtake a team like Utah and I don’t see them sneaking into the eighth spot because of another team I’ll get to in a little bit.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
The Clippers were looking like a playoff lock early in the year. They even occupied the No. 1 seed in the West for a brief time. However, they did eventually come back down to Earth but were still a good team and a tough out.
But that all changed when they traded away their leading scorer and best player, Tobias Harris at the deadline.
It seems clear the organization didn’t want to just be an average team, happy with just making the playoffs and instead opted to go in the opposite direction, looking to rebuild. Because of this, don’t expect this team to still occupy the final playoff spot when the season is over. I imagine they’ll slip below .500 before too long.
That means it comes down to the Jazz, Spurs and Lakers; the teams who I think have the best chance of making the playoffs. Now, Utah and San Antonio currently occupy the sixth and seventh spots; both have been playing well as of late and both teams are healthy. So it isn’t too much of a stretch to have them remain in the top eight for the rest of the year. Things get interesting when we talk about the third and final team from this list; the Los Angeles Lakers.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS
The Lakers currently sit at 29-30, three games back of the eight spots. And with just 25 games left, any rational person would think it’s a real long shot they get in and they would be right if this were just any middle-of-the-pack team. But we’re missing one key factor here…
Arguably the greatest basketball player to ever have lived. The current best player on the planet who continues to defy age. The best leader in the sport and a guy that has not missed the playoffs since his second year in the league in 2005!
If history has taught us anything – in basketball and sports in general – it’s that you should never count out the true greats. And that’s why I have LeBron and the Lakers not only making it into the playoffs but overtaking the Spurs to get the seventh seed, avoiding the Warriors in round one.
Expect a healthy, motivated and energized LeBron to come out of the gates swinging post-all-star break.


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