NHL PLAYOFF RACE
RESET
The NHL begins sending out their "playoff picture"
emails on the first evening after the trade deadline. It's a large spreadsheet
filled with the current standings, the schedules ahead and the "tragic
numbers" for teams in playoff contention, i.e. the number of points they
have to lose and the team in the last wild card has to gain before they're
eliminated. (Memo to Connor
McDavid: It's 30 right now for the Edmonton
Oilers.)
This email symbolizes the start of the stretch run, when we
start really focusing on the playoff races and all of the various factors, as
well as our Playoff Watch Daily page, for you to keep tabs on it all.
This week in The Wish List, we present a snapshot of these
playoffs races. Keep in mind that "ROW" are the teams' regulation and
overtime (non-shootout) wins, which are the first tie-breaker if they're
knotted in points at the end of the regular season on April 6.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
ATLANTIC DIVISION
1. Tampa Bay
Lightning (103 points, 43 ROW, 17 games left)
2. Boston Bruins (85
points, 36 ROW, 18 games left)
3. Toronto Maple
Leafs (82 points, 39 ROW, 18 games left)
METRO DIVISION
1. New York
Islanders (81 points, 34 ROW, 19 games left)
2. Washington
Capitals (79 points, 33 ROW, 18 games left)
3. Columbus Blue
Jackets (75 points, 36 ROW, 19 games left)
WILD CARD
WC1. Montreal
Canadiens (75 points, 32 ROW, 18 games left)
WC2. Carolina
Hurricanes (74 points, 33 ROW, 19 games left)
IN THE HUNT
Pittsburgh
Penguins (74 points, 32 ROW, 19 games left)
Philadelphia
Flyers (68 points, 28 ROW, 18 games left)
Buffalo
Sabres (66 points, 25 ROW, 19 games left)
THE WORST
POSSIBLE HOMECOMING FOR JOHN TAVARES
The former Islander returned to a bold display of
displeasure from his former fans. And, oh yeah, his team lost 6-1, too.
WHERE YOU DON'T WANT TO BE: Wild card No. 2. That
gets you the Lightning in Round 1, and they're 16-2 in the first two rounds of
the playoffs in their past two postseasons. Of course, if you're the
Hurricanes, you're probably just happy to be there.
WHAT'S INTERESTING ABOUT THE HURRICANES: Money Puck has
them at 77.8 percent to make the playoffs, which is a higher probability than
the Canadiens (73.08) team that they're chasing. Pittsburgh is right in the
middle at 74.52 percent.
MOST FASCINATING TEAM: Obviously it's the Blue
Jackets. They're the Giancarlo
Stanton of hockey, taking the mightiest swing and knowing it's
either a home run or an epic whiff. What happens if they go all-in and they
miss the playoffs? I don't want to even consider it, because I want to believe
that fortune favors the bold, but -- what if they miss? What does this team
look like in 2019-20?
X FACTOR: The Penguins. After their eight-game
winning streak to close out the 2018 calendar year, Pittsburgh hasn't won more
than two games in a row. They can't find consistency, can't find their rhythm,
can't stay completely healthy. It's still Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Phil Kessel and Kris Letang.
It's still a franchise that hasn't missed the playoffs since 2006. They could
finish anywhere from second in the Metro to outside out of the playoffs
entirely, and no one would be shocked.
MATCHUPS WE WANT TO SEE: There are several
scenarios in which the New York Islanders face either John Tavares or
Barry Trotz's old team in the playoffs, and we really, really hope to see one
or both reunions.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
CENTRAL DIVISION
1. Nashville
Predators (79 points, 35 ROW, 16 games left)
2. Winnipeg Jets (78
points, 35 ROW, 19 games left)
3. St. Louis
Blues (74 points, 33 ROW, 19 games left)
PACIFIC DIVISION
1. Calgary
Flames (89 points, 41 ROW, 18 games left)
2. San Jose
Sharks (82 points, 37 ROW, 18 games left)
3. Vegas Golden
Knights (73 points, 31 ROW, 17 games left)
WILD CARD
WC1 - Dallas Stars (69
points, 32 ROW, 18 games left)
WC2 - Minnesota
Wild (68 points, 30 ROW, 18 games left)
IN THE HUNT
Colorado
Avalanche (68 points, 27 ROW, 18 games left)
Arizona
Coyotes (67 points, 27 ROW, 18 games left)
Chicago
Blackhawks (63 points, 26 ROW, 18 games left)
Vancouver
Canucks (63 points, 24 ROW, 17 games left)
WHERE YOU DON'T WANT TO BE: In the two vs. three
series in the Pacific, but alas it appears we're destined to lose either the
Sharks or Golden Knights after one round because they're a bit locked in. Should
be a classic series, but still a bummer.
MOST FASCINATING TEAM: St. Louis. Was that
11-game winning streak their calling card to the rest of the league that the
formerly last-place team is now a championship contender, or are we in for a
regression before the playoffs hit?
X FACTOR: The Coyotes had a quiet trade deadline
because they're getting a slew of players back from injury. (True to form, they
may have lost Derek Stepan to
injury last night.) One reason they're an X factor: They currently have only
seven playoff teams on the schedule the rest of the way, and two of the games
(Vegas and Winnipeg) are in the last two games of the season, i.e. the rest
zone.
MATCHUP WE WANT TO SEE: Nashville and Winnipeg.
C'mon, why pretend this isn't one of the NHL's absolute bangers of a playoff
series? Of course, it would be nice if Pekka Rinne could
win a game or two in a critical spot this time around.
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