With the non-waiver deadline having passed us by, many
contenders will have to rely on the roster they presently possess to capture
playoff berths and advance through October. Who are the 10 players who could
most impact the postseason races in the month to come?
COREY
DICKERSON, PITTSBURGH
PIRATES: The Pirates remain on the edge of the
postseason race and Dickerson's remarkable adjustment against high fastballs
this year -- he was one of the worst against the pitch last season -- has
transformed him back into an above-average bat with a .318/.351/.517 slash
line. He has quietly been one of the best hitters in the game. Can he keep it
up now that the Pirates have traded for Chris Archer to
sustain their push?
COREY KLUBER, INDIANS:
While the Indians are all but assured a postseason spot with 99 percent
division-winning odds, according to FanGraphs, they might have the player most
under the microscope down the stretch in the reigning American League Cy Young
winner. Kluber had a "get shot" injected into his right knee prior to
the All-Star break to treat an undisclosed issue. He has struggled mightily
over the past two months as his release point and velocity have dropped, likely
tied to his knee issue. He lost confidence in a signature breaking ball and his
two-seamer and cutter have flattened out up in the zone.
How healthy is Kluber? That is the question. While Trevor Bauer surpassed
Kluber in productivity this season, the Indians will need as many aces as
possible to navigate through an AL playoff field that will be loaded with super
teams.
JAMES PAXTON, SEATTLE
MARINERS: The Mariners have a legit ace card in
their quest for the second American League wild card with Paxton, one of the
best pitchers in the majors. He has been dominant whenever he has been on the
mound since the start of the 2017 season but the issue is that he keeps making
trips to the disabled list. He has missed two starts before and after the
All-Star break. For the Mariners to hang on to the second wild card and make
their first postseason appearance since 2001, they need Paxton to be healthy.
ASDRUBAL
CABRERA, PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIES: Entering play Friday, the Phillies had
45.3 percent odds to win the National League East, the best in the division.
They've clearly arrived ahead of schedule but they're in this position despite
a few flaws. They tried to address one of them, infield offense, with the
addition of Cabrera, who arrived with a 122 wRC+ this season (107 career). It's
not clear how exactly the Phillies will use the versatile Cabrera, but
rookie Scott Kingery
has really struggled (66 wRC+ at the time of the trade) and Cabrera could give
the Phillies an upgrade there. Upgrading shortstop in Philly is one of the
biggest upgrades that any contender could make.
RONALD ACUNA
JR., ATLANTA
BRAVES: The game's No. 1 prospect had his season put
on pause in missing several weeks with a knee injury but when he has been on
the field he has been as good as advertised. The five-tool 20-year-old has been
20 percent better than the league-average player and with a full second half he
could help the Braves push the Phillies in the East.
COLE HAMELS, CHICAGO CUBS: The
Cubs don't need the newly acquired Hamels to be great or to be his vintage
self; they simply need him to upgrade one of the worst starting rotations among
the contenders. The Cubs entered the weekend after acquiring Hamels, ranked
25th in WAR (3.0) among starting pitchers. There is a huge gap between the
Cubs' rotation and the rest of the contenders. The Cubs have struggled mightily
at developing their own arms. The Cubs are encouraged by how well Hamels has
pitched on the road this season. Away from Texas he posted a 2.93 ERA road
compared to a 6.41 at home with the Rangers.
ZACH BRITTON, NEW YORK
YANKEES: The Yankees already have the most dominant
bullpen by a number of measures and they added a third potential power lefty, a
rare luxury, in acquiring Britton from the Orioles. If Britton is anywhere near
his peak self, the Yankees might have a historically good bullpen, one that
could help shrink the Red Sox's lead in the East, and propel the Yankees to the
World Series. Last postseason, a record 46.4 percent of innings were thrown by
relievers in the postseason. In that kind of competitive environment, pen depth
could make all the difference.
JONATHAN LUCROY, OAKLAND
ATHLETICS: The A's took a chance on Lucroy
rebounding this season and to date it hasn't paid off -- he has been dreadful
as behind the plate and as an offensive performer. Once one of the best two-way
threats at catcher, hamstring issues and age have perhaps caught up with
Lucroy. If the A's are unwilling or unable to upgrade the position, they at
least need more out of Lucroy. The A's have one of the best offenses in the
game despite Lucroy's ice-cold bat. If his bat warmed, the A's could rival
about every lineup in the AL.
BRYCE HARPER, WASHINGTON
NATIONALS: Not only is Harper playing for a
contract, what he hopes is a record deal (and such a deal seemingly more
unlikely by the day), but he's trying to keep the Nationals in the NL East
hunt. Despite Washington's struggles and rumors of a major sell-off prior to
the deadline, the Nationals have 47 percent playoff odds heading into the
weekend, according to FanGraphs. Harper has a career-worst .253 BABIP despite
line-drive and hard-hit rates in line with his career marks. Perhaps Harper and
the Nationals simply need better luck.
CLAYTON
KERSHAW, LOS ANGELES
DODGERS: While the Dodgers certainly enjoyed a boost
in adding this summer's biggest trade chip, Manny Machado,
nothing could help the club pull away from the Diamondbacks and advance deep
into October than getting Kershaw back on track. Kershaw has had his best month
of the season in July, posting a 2.19 ERA over 24 innings. Still, keep an eye
on his velocity, which keeps trending down. The Dodgers' fortunes will largely
be determined on whether they have the best pitcher in the National League or a
shell of his previous self.
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