The Pirates began 2018 with a pair of trades that were
interpreted as a step back. They wound up taking a step forward by putting
together a winning season while adding Chris Archer and Keone Kela at the
Trade Deadline, aggressive moves that reaffirmed their intent to compete in the
coming years.
Where do they go from here? We should get a better idea as
the Winter Meetings begin on Monday at the Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino in
Las Vegas.
Most of the Pirates' roster is set to return next season.
That's good news for their pitching staff, which should get a boost from a full
season of Archer alongside Jameson
Taillon and Trevor
Williams in the rotation, with Kela working between
closer Felipe
Vazquez and reliever Kyle Crick.
General manager Neal Huntington quickly filled two
position-player holes by signing infielder Jung Ho Kang and
outfielder Lonnie
Chisenhall. They lost veteran infielders Jordy Mercer and Josh Harrison, but
they have options up the middle with Adam Frazier ready
to take over at second base.
Ultimately, they must find ways to improve significantly if
they want to contend in the highly competitive National League Central next
year. The Wild Card field won't be easy to crack, either, with an apparent arms
race already underway in the NL East. Pittsburgh finished fourth in the
division with an 82-79 record last season, perhaps better than expected -- but
not good enough to play in October.
CLUB NEEDS: The Pirates quickly addressed two of
them by re-signing Kang, a potential power bat to complement Colin Moran at
third base, and signing Chisenhall, a necessary fourth outfielder. Huntington
has said the club is comfortable with rookie Kevin Newman and
utility man Erik Gonzalez as
a "starting point" at shortstop, but they are still monitoring the
market for an upgrade. Free agents such as Jose Iglesias, Adeiny
Hechavarria and Freddy Galvis would
make sense, as would slick-fielding Arizona shortstop Nick Ahmed.
Pittsburgh's pitching staff is mostly set, but expect the
Bucs to be on the lookout for a lefty who could add depth to their bullpen.
They would have to clear a spot in their rotation to make room for another
starter.
WHOM MIGHT THEY TRADE? The Pirates are typically
open to trading players with a year or two of club control remaining. The most
likely candidates in that group this year are catcher Francisco
Cervelli and right-handed starter Ivan Nova. It's nearly
impossible to imagine them moving left fielder Corey
Dickerson, who will also be a free agent after next season,
given right fielder Gregory
Polanco's uncertain rehab timetable.
The emergence of Elias Diaz could
make Cervelli expendable, but they are a better team with both catchers. They
have some young pitchers in the pipeline who could eventually replace Nova, but
likely not by Opening Day. Cervelli is due $11.5 million next season while Nova
will earn around $9 million, so trading either player would create significant
payroll flexibility for Pittsburgh.
PROSPECTS TO KNOW: Top prospect Mitch Keller should
be ready for the rotation some time next summer. They have a bunch of
interesting position players -- Ke'Bryan Hayes, Cole Tucker, Stephen
Alemais, Will Craig, Bryan Reynolds and Jason Martin --
who should spend most of next season in Triple-A, too. Clay Holmes, J.T. Brubaker and
Brandon Waddell will return as rotation/long-relief depth. Newman and Kevin Kramer could
start the season in Pittsburgh, depending on how the roster shakes out.
It seems unlikely that the Pirates will deal big-time
prospects this offseason after unloading top young talent such as Tyler Glasnow, Austin Meadows, Shane Baz and Taylor Hearn for
Archer and Kela at the Trade Deadline.
RULE 5 DRAFT: The Pirates' 40-man roster is
currently full, and if that remains true on Thursday, they won't be able to
select anyone. They had two Rule 5 Draft picks in camp last spring, and
reliever Nick Burdi is
still bound by Rule 5 restrictions after recovering from Tommy John surgery
most of last season. Burdi must remain on Pittsburgh's active roster for 60
days to start next season or be offered back to Minnesota.
PAYROLL SUMMARY: The Pirates' budget for next
year is unclear. Their projected payroll currently sits around $80 million,
which should give Huntington a little wiggle room. They began last season with
a payroll of $84,585,833, according to USA Today, and spent closer to $90
million on the Major League roster by the end of the season.
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