Sunday, July 22, 2018

MY AL WEST SECOND HALF SEASON PREVIEW


HOUSTON ASTROS (64-35, 1ST PLACE, AL WEST)
BIG PICTURE: The defending World Series champions picked up where they left off, dominating most opponents and remaining atop the American League West for most of the first half. It appears the Astros are better than they were last year thanks to the addition of right-hander Gerrit Cole and the emergence of right-hander
Lance McCullers Jr. All-Star shortstop Carlos Correa has had to miss time because of a balky back, but the team doesn’t think it’s serious. Unless some unseen calamity strikes the Astros, they appear primed to make another deep postseason run.
BEST PERFORMANCE: Diminutive Jose Altuve continues to prove, pound-for-pound, he’s the best player in baseball. But at any size, few can match Altuve as he heads toward his fifth consecutive 200-hit season.
BIGGEST SURPRISE: McCullers’ off-speed pitches have made him an effective change-of-pace starter in a rotation built around power arms. It’s easy to overlook him when the Astros already have Cole and Justin Verlander, but that would be a mistake given his 119 strikeouts in 112 1 ⁄ 3 innings.
BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT: Ken Giles, hit hard in last year’s playoffs, lost his closer role and was demoted to Class AAA after another meltdown.
TRADE-DEADLINE FORECAST: With Giles being sent out, the Astros could use an experienced reliever.
KEY SERIES: vs. Seattle Mariners Aug. 9-12
SEATTLE MARINERS (58-39, 2ND PLACE, AL WEST)
BIG PICTURE: The Mariners have a chance to make the playoffs for the first time since 2001, and the fact that they might do it without suspended second baseman Robinson Cano is remarkable. Seattle’s secret sauce has been solid pitching, stingy defense and a great bullpen. The offense has been hit-or-miss, but Seattle remains among the leaders in one-run wins because of its timely hitting. Another positive sign is that the Mariners are winning even though Nelson Cruz, Kyle Seager and a few others have been inconsistent. What isn’t a plus is lefthander James Paxton’s back injury.
BEST PERFORMANCE: Shortstop Jean Segura shouldn’t have had to sweat to make the All-Star team. He is the catalyst of the offense and the anchor of a tight defense.
BIGGEST SURPRISE: Closer Edwin Diaz wasn’t under the radar when he saved 34 games last year, but he already has 36 saves.
BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT: The personable Cano was, to many, the face of the franchise. So when word came he failed a drug test and was lost for 80 games and any potential postseason play, his teammates were stunned.
TRADE-DEADLINE FORECAST: The Mariners are buyers, and the rotation could be an area of need with Felix Hernandez wearing down and Marco Gonzales’ innings being monitored.
KEY SERIES: vs. Houston Astros Aug. 20-22
OAKLAND ATHLETICS (55-42, 3RD PLACE, AL WEST)
BIG PICTURE: Few thought Oakland would be among the majors’ most surprising teams after finishing in the American League West cellar for three years in a row. But the A’s have sped past the Angels and are pushing the Mariners for the second AL wild-card spot.
BEST PERFORMANCE: Closer Blake Treinen, in his first full season with Oakland after coming over last July from the Washington Nationals, has a 0.94 ERA and 24 saves, including a streak of 20 in a row.
BIGGEST SURPRISE: Infielder Jed Lowrie, 34, made the All-Star team for the first time. The fact that he was chosen as a substitute for injured New York Yankee Gleyber Torres didn’t diminish Lowrie’s accomplishment. Lowrie is the first A’s middle infielder to make the All-Star team since Miguel Tejada in 2002.
BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT: Left fielder Matt Joyce has a chronic back problem that has wiped out parts of his season, and he is hitting .203 in 63 games.
TRADE-DEADLINE FORECAST: The A’s being buyers is a new twist this year, but after winning 21 of their last 27 games they might be tempted to trade for a chip or two. They could use a veteran pitcher, such as the San Diego Padres’ Tyson Ross or the Rangers’ Cole Hamels (if Texas would pick up some of Hamels’ contract cost).
KEY SERIES: vs. Seattle Mariners Aug. 13-15
LOS ANGELES ANGELS (49-48, 4TH PLACE, AL WEST)
BIG PICTURE: The Angels got off to one of the best starts in franchise history but quickly fizzled as the rotation, again, was beset by injuries. With top starting pitcher Garrett Richards learning his elbow was seriously hurt and then first baseman Albert Pujols (knee) landing on the disabled list just before the All-Star break, the Angels chances’ of securing a wild-card berth are slim. They are nine games out of a playoff spot.
BEST PERFORMANCE: Mike Trout is having a career year, and that’s quite a statement for a two-time American League MVP. He is hitting .310 with 25 homers while providing his usual stellar defense and baserunning.
BIGGEST SURPRISE: The word on two-way Japanese player
Shohei Ohtani was that he was something special. But the pitcher-hitter was dreadful in spring training, and some speculated he might open the year in the minors. Instead, he burst upon the scene with a memorable first month. Ohtani’s sore elbow has derailed his pitching, but he continues be among the team’s best hitters, especially against right-handers.
BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT: Kole Calhoun scuffled to start the season and landed on the disabled list, but he has shown signs of improvement.
TRADE-DEADLINE FORECAST: The injury to Richards likely cements the Angels’ intentions of being a seller.
KEY SERIES: vs. Seattle Mariners July 27-29
TEXAS RANGERS (41-56, 5TH PLACE, AL WEST)
BIG PICTURE: Much had to go right for the Rangers to contend, and not much did. They have resided in the American League West cellar nearly all season and have to face the reality it’s time for a rebuild. Texas tipped its hand by extending general manager Jon Daniels ’contract.
BEST PERFORMANCE: In his 14th major league season, outfielder Shin-Soo Choo made his first All-Star Game with an impressive first half that included reaching base a club-record 51 consecutive games.
BIGGEST SURPRISE: The Rangers were waiting for outfielder Nomar Mazara, long one of their top prospects, to blossom, and he finally has with 15 home runs and 58 RBI.
BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT: Second baseman Rougned Odor was coming off a rough year in which he batted.204, and the Rangers were eager to see him bounce back. But Odor’s power numbers are dreadful: He has six home runs and 24 RBI after averaging 31.5 and 81.5 the last two seasons, and he’s not hitting for average (.239) either.
TRADE-DEADLINE FORECAST: Daniels should field plenty of calls. Left-hander Cole Hamels is a prime candidate to be traded, but his contract could limit the buyers to big-market clubs unless the Rangers agree to pay part of his salary. Although his contract runs out at the end of the season, there’s a $20 million team option for next year.
KEY SERIES: vs. Oakland Athletics July 23-26






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