Saturday, December 15, 2018

MY GUIDE TO TODAYS BOWL GAME

It's the most wonderful time of the year: College football bowl games are here, and a six-pack of games on Saturday rings it in.
Picking the result of every single bowl game could be tough, but using the FPI data and Vegas lines, this breakdown can be your guide to victory.
The College Football Playoff semifinals won't kick off for another two weeks, but there's plenty of action to watch between now and then. From the Celebration Bowl to the College Football Playoff National Championship Presented by AT&T, here are the reasons to watch and predictions for all 41 bowl games.
SATURDAY, DEC. 15
AIR FORCE RESERVE CELEBRATION BOWL
NORTH CAROLINA A&T VS. ALCORN STATE 
TIME: Noon ET
TV: ABC
PLACE: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta
Why to watch: It's the first bowl game of the year, and it will determine the de facto HBCU national champion.
Whom to watch: North Carolina A&T defensive end Darryl Johnson became the first Aggies player since 1997 to be named MEAC Defensive Player of the Year. He leads the MEAC with 10.5 sacks and 18.5 tackles for loss. His strip sack clinched the Aggies' 20-17 upset of Jacksonville State, and he had seven tackles and one sack in a 28-23 win over FBS foe East Carolina.
Motivating factor for North Carolina A&T: The Aggies can win their second straight HBCU national title. They defeated Grambling 21-14 in the Celebration Bowl in 2017.
Motivating factor for Alcorn State: The Braves are seeking their first HBCU national championship since 2014 and their first under Coach Fred McNair, the brother of former Alcorn State and NFL quarterback Steve McNair.
Prediction: North Carolina A&T 27, Alcorn State 24
NEW MEXICO BOWL PRESENTED BY PROGRESSIVE
TIME: 2 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
PLACE: Branch Field at Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico)
Why to watch: It would have been a matchup of two of the hottest coaches in the Group of 5: North Texas' Seth Littrell vs. Utah State's Matt Wells. But Wells left for Texas Tech, and interim coach Frank Maile will lead the Aggies in their seventh bowl in eight seasons.
Whom to watch: Utah State quarterback Jordan Love completed 65.8 percent of his passes for 3,208 yards, 28 touchdowns and 5 interceptions while running for six more scores.
Motivating factor for North Texas: The Mean Green can win 10 games for the first time in school history and win their first bowl game since 2013.
Motivating factor for Utah State: The Aggies will try to keep their high-scoring offense going without Wells. They averaged 47.2 points per game, which was third in the FBS and tops among Group of 5 programs.
Prediction: Utah State 42, North Texas 31
AUTONATION CURE BOWL
TIME: 2:30 p.m. ET
TV: CBS Sports Network at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida)
Why to watch: Only 135 miles separate the Louisiana schools, and both overcame 1-3 starts to reach the postseason.
Whom to watch: The Green Wave are 4-1 since Justin McMillan became the starting quarterback. He has 13 touchdowns (9 passing, 4 rushing) with only 3 interceptions in that stretch.
Motivating factor for Tulane: The Green Wave haven't won a bowl game since defeating Hawaii 36-28 in the 2002 Hawaii Bowl.
Motivating factor for Louisiana: The Ragin' Cajuns have dropped 22 of 28 games against Tulane, though the instate rivalry has been far more competitive in recent years. Tulane won the most recent meeting 41-39 in four overtimes in 2016.
Prediction: Tulane 28, Louisiana 27
MITSUBISHI MOTORS LAS VEGAS BOWL
TIME: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC
PLACE: Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas
Why to watch: Two coaches in their second acts -- Arizona State's Herm Edwards and Fresno State's Jeff Tedford -- have found unexpected success.
Whom to watch: Fresno State quarterback Marcus McMaryion, an Oregon State transfer, has completed 69.8 percent of his passes for 3,453 yards, 25 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He ranks No. 3 among Group of 5 players with a 78.5 total QBR.
Motivating factor for Fresno State: The Bulldogs are trying to become the first team in the 97-year history of the program to win 12 games in a season. They can also beat the Sun Devils for the first time; they're 0-3 in the series, with the most recent meeting coming in 1941.
Motivating factor for Arizona State: The Sun Devils can turn around their postseason slump in Edwards' first season. They've dropped six of their past eight bowl games and three of the past four.
Prediction: Fresno State 35, Arizona State 28
RAYCOM MEDIA CAMELLIA BOWL
GEORGIA SOUTHERN VS. EASTERN MICHIGAN 
TIME: 5:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
PLACE: Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama
Why to watch: Georgia Southern has been one of the more remarkable turnaround stories in the sport. After going 2-10 last season, the Eagles are 9-3 this year under coach Chad Lunsford, who took over after their 0-6 start in 2017.
Whom to watch: Georgia Southern sophomore Shai Werts is the last FBS starter who has yet to throw an interception. In fact, the Eagles have turned the ball over only five times -- fewest in the FBS. They're on pace to break the NCAA record of eight turnovers lost in a season.
Motivating factor for Georgia Southern: With a victory over Eastern Michigan, Georgia Southern would win 10 games in a season for the first time since joining the FBS in 2014.
Motivating factor for Eastern Michigan: The Eagles are playing in only their third Division I bowl game and their first on American soil in 31 years. Their only bowl victory was a 30-27 win over San Jose State in the 1987 California Bowl.
Prediction: Georgia Southern 34, Eastern Michigan 28
R+L CARRIERS NEW ORLEANS BOWL
MIDDLE TENNESSEE VS. APPALACHIAN STATE 
TIME: 9 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
PLACE: Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans
Why to watch: It's the bowl game to watch if you love defense. The Mountaineers allowed only 15.7 points per game, sixth fewest in the FBS and second-lowest among Group of 5 teams. The Blue Raiders held four of their past seven opponents to 17 points or fewer.
Whom to watch: Middle Tennessee quarterback Brent Stockstill was named Conference USA MVP after throwing for 3,214 yards, 28 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. It will be his final college game with his father, Middle Tennessee coach Rick Stockstill.
Motivating factor for Middle Tennessee: The Blue Raiders can win bowl games in back-to-back seasons for the first time in school history. They defeated Arkansas State 35-30 in the Camellia Bowl last season, their first postseason victory since 2009.
Motivating factor for Appalachian State: It's about pride for the Mountaineers after coach Scott Satterfield left for Louisville. Assistant head coach/defensive line coach Mark Ivey takes over as interim coach. The Mountaineers are 3-0 in bowl games since joining the FBS.
Prediction: Appalachian State 24, Middle Tennessee 21

No comments: