THREE KEYS TO VICTORY FOR THE BREWERS-DODGERS NATIONAL LEAGUE
CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES
1. Staying hot: Both the Dodgers and Brewers
enter the NLCS red-hot. Both finished strong in September, both won tiebreaker
games to win their divisions outright, and both won their respective NL
Division Series. One team will have to lose at some point, and if Game 1
momentum is really determined by the starting pitchers, Los Angeles appears to
have the edge with Clayton Kershaw lined up to open the series.
2. Keeping the Brewers off the bases: If there’s
a weakness to Milwaukee’s offensive game, it’s that these Brewers got on base
at a pedestrian .323 clip in the regular season. With plenty of power
throughout the lineup — especially in scorching-hot No. 2 hitter Christian
Yelich — and enough speed to lead all NL teams in stolen bases this year, the
Milwaukee club will be primed to cash in with runs any time a runner reaches
base. Dodgers catcher Yasmani Grandal is merely average at throwing out base
stealers and a couple of L.A. pitchers — most notably closer Kenley Jansen —
struggle to hold baserunners close. But no team in the National League did a
better job than the Dodgers of keeping opponents off base during the
regular season.
3. Hit the most homers: In a major league
landscape increasingly dominated by the long ball, the Dodgers and Brewers
ranked Nos. 1 and 2 in the National League, respectively, in home runs during
the regular season. The Brewers’ power is mostly concentrated in 30-plus homer
sluggers Yelich, Jesus Aguilar and Travis Shaw, where the Dodgers have pop up
and down the batting order. The Dodgers will look to capitalize early, as
Milwaukee is far stronger in its bullpen than in its starting rotation. The
reverse is true for the Dodgers, as Los Angeles enters the series looking
considerably weaker in their late-inning pitching options than their
starters.
Prediction: Though the Brewers finished the regular
season with the better record (96-67 to 92-71), the Dodgers’ depth and
postseason experience give them the edge in the NLCS. With Kershaw coming
off the best postseason start of his career — an eight-inning scoreless gem
against the Braves in Game 2 — and Hyun-Jin Ryu extending his dominant
September stretch into the postseason, the Los Angeles rotation will outmatch
Milwaukee’s and make the distinction in bullpen strength a non-issue. DODGERS
IN 6.
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