TENNESSEE'S STUMBLE COULD COST VOLS A 1-SEED
Tennessee's loss to Auburn on Saturday -- while mired in
quite a bit of goaltending controversy -- cleared up the 1-seed debate entering
Champ Week, as the Volunteers now need an SEC tournament championship to even
get back in the discussion.
Depending on what Kentucky does against Florida this
afternoon, Tennessee could end up as the 3-seed in the SEC tournament, and the
Volunteers' strength of schedule (SOS) numbers pale in comparison to the likes
of Kentucky, North Carolina and Duke.
After back-to-back elite defensive performances against
Kentucky and Mississippi State, though, Tennessee really struggled to guard
Auburn, especially in the second half. The Tigers made 13 3-pointers and turned
it over just five times. In fact, it was the fifth straight road game that
Tennessee has allowed at least one point per possession -- and if you include a
game against South Carolina in which the Vols allowed 0.99 points per possession,
the streak would run to eight games.
The Volunteers aren't as good defensively this season as
they were last season -- that's not really up for debate anymore. But the
metrics are somewhat concerning for the NCAA tournament. They rank in the
bottom half of the SEC in defensive turnover percentage and 3-point percentage
allowed, which can cause problems against dynamic guards who can make shots.
Tennessee is still a Final Four and title contender; the
Vols' offense is too good and they're too experienced. But the Volunteers are
likely out of the 1-seed discussion and have things to fine-tune in the next
week and a half.
1. VIRGINIA
CAVALIERS (28-2)
Previous ranking: 1
This week: Beat Syracuse 79-53 on Monday, beat Louisville 73-68 on
Saturday
The Cavaliers needed a strong finish on Saturday to beat
Louisville and secure at least a share of the ACC regular-season title. Ty Jerome was
terrific, as he has been so often throughout his career in Charlottesville. The
multitalented guard finished with 24 points, six assists -- and just one
turnover. Jerome totaled 40 points and 20 assists this week in wins over
Syracuse and Louisville.
2. GONZAGA
BULLDOGS (29-2)
Previous ranking: 2
This week: West Coast Conference tournament
If Sean Farnham's remarks on Saturday night's broadcast were
any indication, it sounds as if Gonzaga could get Killian
Tillie back at some point this season. Though Tillie hasn't
been a major factor this season because of injuries, he's a versatile big man
who can switch defensively and also step out and make shots. He provided an
added dimension off the bench during his nine healthy games in January and
early February.
3. NORTH
CAROLINA TAR HEELS (26-5)
Previous ranking: 4
This week: Beat Boston College 79-66 on Tuesday, beat Duke 79-70 on
Saturday
North Carolina forced a share of the ACC regular-season
title by completing the season sweep of Duke. The Tar Heels bossed the Blue
Devils in the paint in the first meeting and hurt them from the perimeter on
Saturday, making 12 3-pointers -- including four apiece from Coby White and Kenny
Williams. The Tar Heels now have the edge for a second 1-seed coming
out of the ACC on Selection Sunday.
4. KENTUCKY
WILDCATS (26-5)
Previous ranking: 6
This week: Beat Ole Miss 80-76 on Tuesday, beat Florida 66-57 on
Saturday
Kentucky's win over Florida, combined with Tennessee's loss
to Auburn, gives the Wildcats the inside track if an SEC team is to get a
1-seed on Selection Sunday. It was a slow first half, but John Calipari got
balanced production in the second half en route to victory. Here's a crazy
stat: Tyler Herro has
missed just five free throws all season -- and four came in the month of
December. After going 4-for-4 on Saturday, he's now 70-for-71 in the other four
months this season.
5. DUKE BLUE
DEVILS (26-5)
Previous ranking: 3
This week: Beat Wake Forest 71-70 on Tuesday, lost to North Carolina
79-70 on Saturday
Duke dropped to 3-3 without Zion
Williamson on Saturday, which is the reason they fall from
1-seed territory. The Blue Devils are simply not a top-four team (maybe not
even a top-10 squad) without Williamson, and until he returns, it's hard to
judge their résumé. Fortunately, Mike Krzyzewski said after Saturday's game
that he expects Williamson to return for the ACC tournament. If that's the case
-- and Williamson looks like himself -- Duke could rise back up.
6. TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERS (27-4)
Previous ranking: 5
This week: Beat Mississippi State 71-54 on Tuesday, lost at Auburn
84-80 on Saturday
The Volunteers likely lost their chance at a share of the
SEC regular-season title on Saturday, as LSU just needs to beat winless
Vanderbilt in Baton Rouge in order to earn an outright championship. Tennessee
is going to need Lamonte
Turner and Jordan Bowden to
find their perimeter shot before the NCAA tournament. In the Volunteers' last
seven games, the two guards are a combined 11-for-68 from 3-point range.
7. MICHIGAN
STATE SPARTANS (25-6)
Previous ranking: 8
This week: Beat Nebraska 91-76 on Tuesday, beat Michigan 75-63 on
Saturday
What a second-half performance for the Spartans. Michigan
State outscored Michigan by 18 points after halftime to complete a sweep of the
Wolverines and earn a split of the Big Ten regular-season championship. Cassius
Winston once again showed why he's arguably the best point
guard in the country with 23 points and seven assists. The Spartans finishing
tied for first despite injuries to Joshua
Langford and Nick Ward is
yet another feather in Tom Izzo's cap.
8. MICHIGAN
WOLVERINES (26-5)
Previous ranking: 7
This week: Lost to Michigan State 75-63 on Saturday
The Wolverines came up short in their quest to earn a split
of the Big Ten title, as they simply couldn't handle Cassius Winston and
Michigan State's second-half onslaught. They're still without Charles
Matthews, and their lack of consistent scorers could be an issue in
the postseason if Jon Teske or Zavier
Simpson aren't producing much offense on a given night.
Michigan's long-shot 1-seed hopes are also likely done.
9. LSU TIGERS (26-5)
Previous ranking: 9
This week: Beat Florida 79-78 on Wednesday, beat Vanderbilt 80-59
on Saturday
After 48 hours that saw its head coach get suspended
indefinitely, a starting guard held out and a starting forward injured, LSU
went out and simply dominated Vanderbilt to earn the outright SEC
regular-season title. The Tigers still had six players in double figures. The
question will be whether they get Javonte Smart or Naz Reid back
moving forward. They will need them in the postseason.
10. TEXAS TECH
RED RAIDERS (26-5)
Previous ranking: 10
This week: Beat Texas 70-51 on Monday, beat Iowa State 80-73 on
Saturday
The Red Raiders clinched at least a share of the Big 12
regular-season title with a road win at Iowa State, their first conference
championship since 1996, when James Dickey was
coaching them in the Southwest Conference. Jarrett
Culver was tremendous with 31 points. Tech has now won nine games in
a row heading into the Big 12 tournament -- scoring 80-plus in five of its past
six games, along with having the No. 1 defense in the country.
11. HOUSTON
COUGARS (28-2)
Previous ranking: 12
This week: Beat SMU 90-79 on Thursday, at Cincinnati (Sunday)
Thursday was a good night for Houston. Not only did the
Cougars beat SMU to bounce back from their loss to UCF last weekend, but
Cincinnati also lost to UCF in Orlando. As a result, Houston is alone in first
place at the top of the AAC standings and is guaranteed at least a share of the
regular-season championship. Of course, the season finale on Saturday comes at
Cincinnati -- the Cougars won the first meeting between the two teams in
Houston by seven.
12. PURDUE
BOILERMAKERS (23-8)
Previous ranking: 12
This week: Lost to Minnesota 73-69 on Tuesday, beat Northwestern
70-57 on Saturday
Matt Painter capped a tremendous three-month turnaround with
a win at Northwestern on Saturday, clinching at least a share of the Big Ten
regular-season title for the Boilermakers. Purdue started the season 6-5 after
losing four starters from last season but went 17-3 in its past 20 games. Chris
Beard deserves National Coach of the Year, but Painter isn't far behind.
13. KANSAS
JAYHAWKS (23-8)
Previous ranking: 14
This week: Lost to Oklahoma 81-68 on Tuesday, beat Baylor 78-70 on
Saturday
Although the narrative all week surrounded Kansas' Big 12
streak ending, the Jayhawks are still going to be a factor in the postseason.
They bounced back after Tuesday's loss with a win over Baylor, led by another
20-10 performance from Dedric Lawson.
The question for Kansas is going to be how it performs away from Lawrence. The
Jayhawks went just 3-6 on the road in Big 12 play and also lost at Kentucky and
Arizona State. On the plus side, they beat Michigan State, Marquette and
Tennessee on neutral courts.
14. FLORIDA STATE
SEMINOLES (25-6)
Previous ranking: 16
This week: Beat Virginia Tech 73-64 on Tuesday, beat Wake Forest
65-57 on Saturday
The Seminoles have now won 12 of their last 13 games, with
the lone loss coming at North Carolina in late February. They have secured a double-bye
in the ACC tournament, and their depth, versatility, size and experience make
them a tough team to prepare for on a short turnaround. Saturday's performance
wasn't great, but they locked down defensively -- especially after halftime.
Wake Forest made just three 3-pointers.
15. WISCONSIN
BADGERS (21-9)
Previous ranking: 15
This week: Beat Iowa 65-45 on Thursday, at Ohio State (Sunday)
The Badgers have now won 10 of their last 13 games after
crushing Iowa by 20 on Thursday -- although it was their seventh time in the
last eight games scoring less than one point per possession. On the plus side,
it was their best defensive performance of the season. Khalil
Iverson had another nice game for the Badgers, posting his
first career double-double. Iverson is now averaging 11.8 points and 6.6
rebounds in his last five games.
16. KANSAS STATE
WILDCATS (24-7)
Previous ranking: Unranked
This week: Beat TCU 64-52 on Monday, beat Oklahoma 68-53 on
Saturday
Kansas State earned a share of the Big 12 regular-season
title with a blowout victory over Oklahoma on Saturday, and the Wildcats will
be the 1-seed in the Big 12 tournament. It caps a tremendous midseason
turnaround for Bruce Weber and the Wildcats, who started conference play with
losses to Texas and Texas Tech -- then proceeded to win 14 of their final 16
Big 12 games. They're 7-4 against Quadrant 1 teams, which gives them the edge
over Virginia Tech for the final spot in the rankings.
DROPPED OUT:
Marquette (No. 13), Virginia Tech (No. 16)
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