Last weekend, the Cleveland Browns, Buffalo Bills and New
York Jets all pulled off big upsets. Who’ll rise above expectations in NFL Week
6?
Can the Bills shock a more formidable team for the third
time this season? Can the Pittsburgh Steelers begin to wrest the AFC North away
from their bitter rival? Will Patrick Mahomes and Co. buck history at Gillette
Stadium?
The following favorites are on upset alert in NFL Week 6.
BUFFALO BILLS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS (-8.5)
The biggest issue facing the Texans this year is that
they just haven’t been able to keep second-year quarterback Deshaun Watson from
getting pummeled. Houston has allowed 18 sacks, and Watson has taken many more
hits, in part due to an absurd offensive scheme in which he is put in danger on
designed runs.
The Bills can bring heat, having tallied 12 sacks so far
this year. They can also create turnovers and have done so with nine total
forced turnovers in five games. If Buffalo’s defense can continue to apply pressure
and come up with takeaways, then Josh Allen and Co. will have short fields to
score. This has been the recipe for success in the team’s two wins so far this
year, and the Texans are susceptible to it.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. NEW YORK JETS (-2.5)
Isaiah Crowell is a game-time decision for the Jets as he
tries to recover from an ankle injury. So, he’ll either sit this one out or be
somewhat hobbled. Bilal Powell is a capable backup, but he’s not nearly as
explosive as Crowell, and the Colts have been much better at stuffing the run
this year than we’ve seen recently.
On the other side, while it’s true that Indianapolis is
banged up on offense, Andrew Luck has been coming up huge for his offense
recently. The past two games, against Houston and New England, Luck has passed
for 829 yards and seven touchdowns.
All it’s going to take for the Colts to come away with a
road win is for the defense to force a turnover or two. That’s doable against a
rookie quarterback.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. ATLANTA FALCONS
(-4)
What we have here is a couple of the worst pass defenses
in the league going up against offenses capable of exploding for touchdowns on
every single play. Between the two of them, the Buccaneers (13) and Falcons
(12) have allowed 25 passing touchdowns this year.
Jameis Winston will get his first start of the 2018
season. He was not sharp a couple of weeks ago when he replaced Ryan
Fitzpatrick in the team’s disaster of a loss to the Chicago Bears. However,
Atlanta’s defense cannot hold a candle to what the Bears were bringing. Winston
should have a soft landing in this game.
Matt Ryan and Co. are absolutely capable of lighting the
Bucs up all game long. That being said, nobody should be surprised if the road
team comes up with an upset win in this game, as the Falcons have come up short
every weekend since beating a run-down Philadelphia Eagles squad in Week 1.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS
(-3)
Cincinnati currently controls the AFC North and holds a
1.5-game lead over the Steelers heading into Week 6. There are certainly
reasons to believe that the Bengals can further their lead in this division,
especially considering how bad Pittsburgh has been at allowing offenses to move
the ball through the air.
However, the Steelers do one thing better than any other
team in the league: They lead the NFL with 19 sacks, and a rattled Andy Dalton
is capable of handling opposing defenses the keys to the kingdom.
If James Conner can get going on the ground, then it’ll
open up passing lanes for Big Ben to find his wildly talented receivers and
tight ends. Furthermore, Bengals cornerback William Jackson is questionable
with a knee injury. If he plays, he’ll have his hands full with Antonio Brown,
with a potentially balky knee. Advantage: Pittsburgh.
BALTIMORE RAVENS (-2) VS. TENNESSEE TITANS
With the defense leading the way, the Titans have been in
every game they’ve played this year. They’ve won three, and their two losses
came by a combined eight points. Tennessee has allowed seven total touchdowns
all year long, rank fifth in passing defense and can bring pressure up front.
On the other side, Joe Flacco has certainly been able to
sling the ball around this year, but he’s coming off a brutal start against
Cleveland and is once again going to be hard-pressed to find success through
the air on the road in Week 6. If Marcus Mariota can make a few big plays, that
might be all the Titans need to win this game.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
(-3.5)
History is very much against the Chiefs going into
Gillette Stadium and beating the Patriots on Sunday night. The reason for this
is that quarterbacks 25 or under have collectively gone 1-41 at Gillette
Stadium all-time in regular-season games. (You’ll never guess who earned that
lone victory.)
On top of that, Kansas City’s defense isn’t exactly a
brick wall that figures to stop Tom Brady very often. Especially now that he
has Julian Edelman back and since he’s developing a nice rapport with Josh
Gordon.
All that being said, don’t be surprised if Patrick
Mahomes wakes up from his mini-slump to have another monster game against a New
England defense that’s given up 11 passing touchdowns this year. And don’t be
surprised if the Chiefs are 6-0 after Week 6.
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