BEN ROTHLISBUGER, AARON RODGERS REIGN
League-wide rankings can be fun and even instructive, but at
the end of the day, making the playoffs is about playing well in your division.
So while it is obviously good to have a quarterback who is better than most of
his peers, it can be even more important to have the best signal-caller in your
particular football neighborhood.
Of course, this is also no guarantee of success -- just ask
the Colts.
But it should offer a leg up in the annual chase for
postseason glory.
Below, I've listed the best quarterback in each division, in
no particular order, along with the heir apparent or runner-up.
AFC NORTH: Ben
Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh
Steelers. It's hard to imagine now, but people once
feared Big Ben would
have a relatively short career, given the beating he was taking under center.
From 2004 (his rookie year) to 2009 (when he was sacked a league-high 50
times), he absorbed 242 sacks, easily more than anyone else in the NFL in that
span. Since then, Big Ben has
benefitted from steady line play and an offensive philosophy that emphasizes
getting the ball out of his hand quickly. Consider that from 2013 to now, he's
taken just 142 sacks, seventh-least among QBs with 50-plus starts in that time
frame. He currently leads the NFL in passing yards (2,033) at age 36, and his
presence -- combined with the lackluster quarterbacking elsewhere in the
division -- is why Pittsburgh has won three of the past four division titles.
Next in line: Baker
Mayfield, Cleveland
Browns. He's got everything you want in a
quarterback: intangibles, arm strength, athletic ability and -- more than
anything -- tremendous competitiveness.
AFC EAST: Tom Brady, New England
Patriots. The other three teams in the division will
throw a party the day Brady retires. His collective career record against them
is 76-21 (22-10 against Miami, 26-8 against New York and 28-3 against Buffalo),
which makes for an absurdly dominant winning percentage of .784. He's directed
the Patriots to
an NFL-record 10 straight division crowns, and that streak might be even longer
had he not been hurt for most of the 2008 season.
Next in line: Sam Darnold, New York Jets. Darnold
is still just a rookie, but I think he's got a chance to be a pretty good
quarterback and could step up as the division's alpha when (if?) Brady hangs
'em up.
AFC SOUTH: Andrew Luck, Indianapolis
Colts. I would say Luck hit the ground running in
his return to game action after losing all of
2017 to shoulder issues. He's thrown a league-high 288 passes
through six games, putting him on pace to breeze past the current
regular-season record (727, set by Matthew
Stafford in 2012) with 768 attempts. The 1-5 Colts are
floundering, but Luck is clearly benefitting from the offensive system
installed by new head coach Frank Reich. General manager Chris Ballard has
shown he can draft talent, and I think Indy will put the pieces in place for
Luck to resume winning at a prolific clip (don't forget, his record in his
first three seasons was 33-15) by 2019.
Next in line: Deshaun
Watson, Houston
Texans. He's played pretty well in his return from a
torn ACL that abbreviated his rookie season, completing 64.5 percent of his
passes and compiling a passer rating of 90.8. But he's also been sacked 25
times, most in the league, underscoring my one concern with him: his ability to
stay healthy long-term.
AFC WEST: Philip Rivers, Los Angeles
Chargers. As (understandably) eager as some are to
anoint Patrick
Mahomes, Rivers remains the king of the division -- for now. The
36-year-old has thrown 15 touchdown passes in his first six games, tying a
career best for his first six games in a season, and he has 76 scoring throws
since 2016, more than any other quarterback in the NFL. The Chargers'
system is taking full advantage of what Rivers can do. If tight end Hunter Henrymanages to
return from injured reservethis year, Rivers -- who loves throwing
to tight ends -- will elevate his play even further.
Next in line: Patrick
Mahomes, Kansas City
Chiefs. Mahomes' promise is obvious, but I think he
needs a full season under his belt before he can push Rivers aside. There were
times on Sunday when
he was fooled by the Pats' D -- tactics that Rivers' veteran experience would
have probably helped him see through.
NFC EAST: Carson Wentz, Philadelphia
Eagles. Based on what we saw on
"Thursday Night Football,"-- 26 of 36 passing for 278 yards,
three touchdowns and a passer rating of 122.2 -- Wentz is really starting to
regain the form that made him a frontrunner for MVP before suffering a knee
injury last December. In fact, Wentz is currently on pace to finish with 4,172
passing yards, easily more than what he had in 2017 (3,296), and he's
maintaining a healthy touchdown percentage of 5.1 while bringing his
interception percentage down to a miniscule 0.6. I expect Wentz to continue to
improve. The concern (if any) stems from the loss of running back Jay Ajayi to injured
reserve.
Next in line: Dak Prescott, Dallas
Cowboys. Wentz, like Prescott, is just 25, so it's
easy to foresee Wentz continuing to be the man in this division for a
generation. Should something happen to Wentz, however, Prescott could step
into the void, provided he can rediscover the 2016 version of himself -- which
would require the Cowboys to
find him some receivers.
NFC NORTH: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay
Packers. Hands down, Rodgers is the choice here.
Though it's been true for nearly a decade, Monday's incredible
comeback win over the
Niners further reinforced the idea that as Rodgers goes, so go
the Packers.
Injuries have been a bit of an issue lately, with a knee issue lingering this season. But the 34-year-old
is still on pace to record his first 5,000-yards season, and I still expect him
to play at a very high level well beyond his 40th birthday.
Next in line: Matthew
Stafford, Detroit Lions. It's
unfortunate for Stafford that he's in the same division as Rodgers, because
Stafford is very good in his own right. He's only 30 years old now and has a
long career still ahead of him; if Rodgers should slow down, Stafford will be
there to take up the mantle.
NFC SOUTH: Drew Brees, New Orleans
Saints. The NFL's all-time leading passer has a good
chance to secure his second Super Bowl title
with the Saints.
If you've become inured to praise of Brees' quarterback play, perhaps you'd
like to view his otherworldly performance through this lens: He's got Michael
Thomas on pace to finish with 147 catches, which, in addition
to setting a new single-season NFL record, would give him 343 on his career --
obliterating the mark for a player's first three NFL seasons (288, set by Odell Beckham and
Jarvis Landry).
Next in line: Cam Newton, Carolina
Panthers. Like Rodgers, it's hard to imagine when
Brees will begin to backslide -- it appears right now that he could keep
playing this way forever. That said, the 29-year-old Newton (who gets the edge
here over the 33-year-old Matt Ryan because of
age difference) is positioned to play at a high level for years to come.
NFC WEST: Russell
Wilson, Seattle
Seahawks. Wilson has still not missed a single NFL
start in his career, and he continues to position himself to own every major
franchise passing record. He also has the most victories (65) for a quarterback
in his first six seasons, and he needs just five more wins this season to claim
the mark for his first seven. It's hard to believe Wilson was the sixth
quarterback taken in the 2012 NFL Draft.
Wilson's career winning percentage is .667 -- of the five quarterbacks selected
ahead of him (Andrew Luck, Robert
Griffin III, Ryan
Tannehill, Brandon
Weeden and Brock Osweiler), only one (Luck) has started more
than 30 games while maintaining a career winning percentage above .500.
Next in line: Jared Goff, Los Angeles
Rams. Goff is good -- and Sean McVay has made him
better. Yes, the man who once failed to clear 160 yards per game as a rookie is
on pace to break the 5,000-yard mark in his second season under McVay.
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