Monday, April 8, 2019

JETS VS. BLUES PLAYOFF PREVIEW


WINNIPEG JETS VS. ST. LOUIS BLUES
Jets: 47-30-5, 99 points, second in Central
Blues: 45-28-9, 99 points, third in Central
Season series: WPG 3-1-0; STL 1-2-1
The skinny
The Western Conference First Round between the Winnipeg Jets and St. Louis Blues is about trending.
The Jets, who reached the Stanley Cup Playoffs for the second straight season, led the Central Division with 68 points on Feb. 1, but finished 14-14-3. They held onto second place by going 2-1-1 in a season-ending four-game road trip and a 45-42 advantage in regulation/overtime wins (ROW).
The Blues were last in the NHL (15-18-4) on Jan. 2 before winning 11 in a row from Jan. 23 to Feb. 19. St. Louis was 23-6-4 after Feb. 1, second to the Tampa Bay Lightning (25-5-2) in that stretch.
GAME BREAKERS
Jets: Kyle Connor scored 34 goals, second on the Jets behind Mark Scheifele (38). Connor returned to the left wing on the top line with Scheifele and Blake Wheeler. He played with them for most of last season, but wherever he is in the lineup, he is always dangerous near the net and catches opponents off guard with his speed and quick hands.
Blues: Vladimir Tarasenko led St. Louis with 33 goals (16 since Feb. 2) and 12 on the power play. His sharpness in the second half was in lockstep with the rising Blues. Tarasenko's powerful shot and quick release makes him a threat from about anywhere in the offensive zone. He's scored 22 goals in 44 postseason games.
GOALTENDING
Jets: Connor Hellebuyck's numbers (34-23-3, 2.90 goals-against average, .913 save percentage) are off from last season (44-11-9, 2.36 GAA, .924 save percentage) when he was a Vezina Trophy finalist. But he was sharp down the stretch by going 6-3-1 with a 2.36 GAA and .930 save percentage since March 14.
Blues: Jordan Binnington (24-5-1, 1.89 GAA, .927 save percentage) is a Calder Trophy contender. The Blues allowed 27.3 shots per game since the 25-year-old rookie took over as the No. 1 goalie Jan. 7; second fewest in the NHL behind the Boston Bruins (27.2).
NUMBERS TO KNOW
Jets: The power play was fifth in goals (62) and fourth in percentage (24.8). It will face a stiff test against the Blues' penalty kill, which finished ninth at 81.5 percent.
Blues: They allowed 2,345 shots on goal, fourth fewest in the NHL, and gave up 72 goals from Feb. 1 to the end of the regular season, fewest in the NHL. That tied the Dallas Stars during that span, but the Blues did it in 33 games, the Stars 32.
INJURY REPORT
Jets: Defenseman Josh Morrissey (upper body) missed the final 20 games of the regular season. He has been skating with the Jets and could be ready for Game 1. Forward Brandon Tanev missed the final two games after being slashed on the hand by Minnesota Wild center Eric Staal on April 2. His status is unknown.
Blues: The Blues have no reported injuries, though defenseman Colton Parayko sat out the final two games for maintenance.
WILL WIN IF …
Jets: They can skate and disrupt the Blues' structure. Winnipeg's speed and up-tempo game has yielded strong results when it's in effect. If it can create odd-man rushes and offensive-zone pressure, there are plenty of finishers who can capitalize. This was the Jets' best look in the 2018 playoffs, where they won two rounds before losing to the Golden Knights.
Blues: Discipline and structure prevail. The Blues have been a tight, focused team in the second half, difficult to play against because they have few breakdowns, and it's been an impressive rehearsal for the postseason. If they can stick to that and pressure the Jets into more mistakes, their odds of winning the series increase.

HOW THEY LOOK 
JETS PROJECTED LINEUP
Kyle Connor -- Mark Scheifele -- Blake Wheeler
Nikolaj Ehlers -- Kevin Hayes -- Mathieu Perreault
Andrew Copp -- Bryan Little - Patrik Laine
Par Lindholm -- Adam Lowry -- Jack Roslovic
Josh Morrissey -- Jacob Trouba
Ben Chiarot -- Dustin Byfuglien
Dmitry Kulikov -- Tyler Myers
Connor Hellebuyck
Laurent Brossoit
Scratched: Matt HendricksBogdan KiselevichJoe MorrowSami NikuNathan Beaulieu

BLUES PROJECTED LINEUP
Brayden Schenn -- Ryan O'Reilly -- Vladimir Tarasenko
Jaden Schwartz -- Oskar Sundqvist -- David Perron
Patrick Maroon -- Tyler Bozak -- Robert Thomas
Zach Sanford -- Ivan Barbashev -- Alexander Steen
Vince Dunn -- Alex Pietrangelo
Jay Bouwmeester -- Colton Parayko
Carl Gunnarsson -- Robert Bortuzzo
Jordan Binnington
Jake Allen
Scratched: Robby FabbriJoel EdmundsonSammy BlaisZach SanfordChris ThorburnMichael Del ZottoMackenzie MacEachern


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