Cowboys owner Jerry Jones apparently couldn't bear to watch
another week with Allen Hurns playing nearly every snap, sending a 2019
first-round pick to Oakland in exchange for Raiders wideout Amari Cooper. It's
a fascinating price for a receiver who has struggled to produce for the last 20
games (3.5 catches and 48 receiving yards per game in that span, with eight
total touchdowns) and comes with a big price tag attached to the fifth-year
option of his rookie deal next year. The Cowboys are backing themselves into a
corner. They need to sign Cooper to a long-term contract, or the pick they
traded away will have truly been wasted. The move is intended to boost the
fortunes of a Cowboys team that is 3-4 despite ranking second in points
allowed. It's yet another lifeline for Coach Jason Garrett to keep his job and
break out of the win, loss, win, loss Garrett-ian pattern the Cowboys have been
stuck in for 10 games.
Dallas has bet on high-profile wideout talent like Roy
Williams and Terrell Owens before, with mixed results. But the Jones family is
clearly convinced they can turn around the career of Cooper, who was chosen
fourth overall by Oakland in 2015. While the Cowboys paid too high a price,
headline-making trades involving wideouts like Brandin Cooks, Josh Gordon,
Jarvis Landry and Kelvin Benjamin have become commonplace over the last year.
This is not just a passing fad: The NFL is becoming more
like the NBA and Major League Baseball. And with the Oct. 30 trade deadline
approaching, there could be plenty left to come. The Jaguars kicked off the fun
by acquiring Browns running back Carlos Hyde for a fifth-round pick last week.
Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson wants to be dealt, according to a report
by ESPN, even if coach Steve Wilks told NFL Network's Mike Garafolo a trade is
"out of the question" and Cardinals owner Michael Bidwill told NFL
Network's Ian Rapoport last week a trade wouldn't happen.
Broncos receiver Demaryius Thomas appears more likely to get
dealt and is already talking like a former Bronco. Dolphins receiver DeVante
Parker, Bills running back LeSean McCoy, Browns quarterback Tyrod Taylor and
Cardinals linebacker Deone Bucannon are all logical trade targets, and it's
worth remembering how last year's trade deadline caught the league flat-footed.
No one was talking about a Jimmy Garoppolo or Jay Ajayi deal until they
happened. Duane Brown and Marcell Dareus also changed teams.
The increase in trade activity is one quantifiable change in
a league where it's often tough to separate what we know from what we don't on
a week-to-week basis. After a wild Week 7 (with "Monday Night
Football" still to go, obviously), here's my attempt to sort it all out.
THINGS WE KNOW AFTER WEEK 7
ADRIAN PETERSON IS A FORCE OF NATURE.
Adrian Peterson is the offensive centerpiece of a 4-2 team
in the year 2018. This is getting surprisingly little attention, considering
the 33-year-old Peterson's pedigree, but this is hardly a case of an aging back
piling up yardage because of volume. He's fifth in the NFL in forcing missed
tackles, according to Pro Football Focus, bounding up, down and through
defenders each week like a man thrilled to do what he was born to do.
In an NFC East matchup straight out of 1988, it was
Peterson's Redskins -- and not Ezekiel Elliott's Cowboys -- who controlled the
game on the ground. (Give the Redskins' defensive line and their immortal
coach, Jim Tomsula, a lot of credit for that.) In a season with returns to
health of so many NFL superstars like J.J. Watt and Carson Wentz, Peterson
should not be overlooked as a candidate for Comeback Player of the Year. Again.
THE SAINTS CAN TRAVEL.
Time will tell if the Saints have to win outdoors in the
playoffs this season, but Sunday's stirring 24-23 victory should ease concerns
that their style of play doesn't travel outside of the dome they call home. It
doesn't get much better than coming back from 17-6 down on the road against the
best pass defense in football. This was Drew Brees' finest moment in a season
already full of them.
THE STEELERS AND PATRIOTS WEREN'T DOWN FOR LONG.
The Patriots were two games back of the Dolphins in the AFC
East after three weeks. After Week 7, New England is back in sole possession of
first place. The Steelers entered their Week 6 game in Cincinnati in last place
in the AFC North. Two weeks and just one game later for Pittsburgh, the
Steelers are in first place.
Many of the issues that led to the Patriots' and Steelers'
early losses remain unsolved, but the slow starts for both teams barely left a
flesh wound. They are in fine position to accomplish their goals, and it's not
even Halloween yet.
JAMES WHITE HAS ASCENDED ANOTHER RUNG IN THE PATRIOTS' ROLE-PLAYER
PANTHEON.
White is under the radar for a guy with a game-tying and
game-winning run in the freaking Super Bowl. Even as this season approached, he
was a relative afterthought in the Patriots' backfield, behind Rex Burkhead and
first-round pick Sony Michel. After Michel's knee injury Sunday, White's
already significant role is only going to increase.
White finished with 97 yards from scrimmage and two
touchdowns on 19 touches in Chicago, including eight straight runs with two
first downs to help kill the clock late in the fourth quarter. White is already
a team captain and was called by Tom Brady "one of the best teammates"
he's ever had. After the Patriots' ugly first three games, Brady personally
stumped for White to have a bigger role in this offense. Now White is the
team's leader in yards from scrimmage (569) and touchdowns (seven) on the
season. He's passed Danny Woodhead in the Patriots pantheon and is in the early
stages of a career that could look like Kevin Faulk's or Troy Brown's before
it's all done.
THE CHARGERS ARE GOING TO BE A BIG PART OF THE AFC PLAYOFF RACE.
At 5-2 heading into their bye week with a mostly favorable
November schedule ahead, the Chargers are going to be fixtures in the AFC's
playoff picture for the rest of the season. They still need to clean up aspects
of their defense and Coach Anthony Lynn's game management, but Philip Rivers'
dream season remains very much alive after four straight wins.
THE COLTS ARE NOT OUT OF IT.
Calling the Colts the best two-win team in football sounds
like damning with faint praise, but it's true. They have a positive scoring
differential after their home blowout against the Bills, and they look like a
different team with Marlon Mack and T.Y. Hilton back on the field. Mack is
absolutely an improved runner in his second season, and the team's banged-up
defense is slowing getting healthier, too.
The presence of Andrew Luck, combined with the rest of the
AFC South's struggles, gives the Colts a chance to climb back into the mix,
especially with a trip to the Raiders up next before three straight home games.
While blowing out the Bills doesn't sound like a feat, the Colts' 246 yards of
first-half offense against the quality Buffalo defense should open some eyes.
THE LIONS HAVE ALREADY TRANSFORMED.
Teams change throughout the course of a season, and no
team's offense has already morphed more than the Lions'. It's jarring to see a
Detroit team rush for 248 yards and score 32 points in a game in which Matthew
Stafford only needed to attempt 22 passes. At 3-3, the Lions have already
climbed out of the cellar of an NFC North so tight that the Bears fell from
first place to last in seven days. I have no idea if Matt Patricia's squad is a
playoff team, but they've demonstrated they win playing different styles of
offense, depending on the opponent. That's already a big change from a year
ago.
NO SEPARATION
The coverage of the Eagles in the Philadelphia newspapers
Monday morning was almost universally negative, and Coach Doug Pederson was
testy with the media the day after the defending champions' 17-point
fourth-quarter collapse against the Panthers. The analysis in Carolina was mostly
sunny, with an optimistic week of coverage on tap.
I would expect nothing else after the Panthers' stirring
comeback, but it's strange to imagine how different every article would be if
Cam Newton hadn't escaped Brandon Graham's grasp on fourth-and-10, or if Julius
Peppers hadn't leapt to block Carson Wentz's view on Philadelphia's final
offensive play.
It's cliche to say that NFL games come down to a single play
or two, but it's a cliche because it's true. I don't think any differently
about the Panthers and Eagles after Sunday's game. They look like two roughly
even, rugged NFC teams with defined strengths who have the goods to improve
their weaknesses and make a playoff run with a little fortune. Similarly,
little separated the Bucs and Browns, the Chargers and Titans, the Saints and
Ravens and the Cowboys and Redskins on Sunday, but there will be grand postgame
conclusions and meaning drawn, blame and credit assigned until we do it again
next week.
There is something unsatisfying and uncomfortable about
recognizing what a massive, perhaps dominant role randomness plays every NFL
Sunday in determining the latest standings. It's as if we want this sport that
we invest so much time in to make more sense than it really does, to apply some
order after the fact where it doesn't. I choose to embrace the chaos, accept
that many teams are roughly equal, and try to separate the trends with staying
power from the things we can't possibly know ahead of time. Which is most
everything.
THINGS I DON'T KNOW
WHERE PATRICK PETERSON WILL BE PLAYING IN TWO WEEKS.
It feels like the Bruce Arians era was so long ago. The
Cardinals appear strident about holding on to a vestige of that long-ago time
by retaining Peterson, but the cornerback's trade request should inspire some
aggressive offers from around football. Will general manager Steve Keim listen
if a first-round pick (or two) gets involved?
The Chiefs make the most sense for Peterson for a variety of
reasons, but it could get complicated to fit his salary-cap number into Kansas
City's plans. Don't assume only contenders will come calling for Peterson.
Teams like the Colts and Browns also make sense, partly because they can afford
to swing big.
IF THE DOLPHINS WILL TAKE THE BAIT AND TRADE RECEIVER DEVANTE PARKER.
Parker's agent blasted Coach Adam Gase as
"incompetent" in a fairly transparent move to get Parker shipped out
of town, like running back Jay Ajayi once was. After receiver Albert Wilson's
hip injury -- which is being called "significant" -- the Dolphins may
not want to act rashly.
Wilson would be my pick as Miami's offensive MVP through
seven weeks of the season, and his injury feels decisive for a team that has
lost three of four games. They will need to replace his production, and Parker
is a better option than anyone they can find on the waiver wire, especially
with veteran Kenny Stills requiring an MRI for a groin strain.
IF THE BENGALS ALREADY PEAKED.
In a league where teams gain 400 yards of offense just by
getting off the bus, the Bengals have failed to top 275 yards in back-to-back
games against the Steelers and Chiefs. Andy Dalton and friends have become
slump-busters for struggling defenses, just in time for everyone to notice that
the Cincinnati defense has taken a significant step back this season following
the departure of coordinator Paul Guenther for Oakland. At 4-3 with a home game
against the Bucs on tap, the Bengals have time to steady the ship. But they are
beginning to resemble most Marvin Lewis teams: on the edge of the playoffs as
the third-best team in the division, without real growth.
WHY THE TITANS REFUSED TO RUN ON THE GOAL LINE WITH THE GAME ON THE
LINE.
No team runs more on first downs than the Titans, a strategy
that, as the stats and Tennessee's game film both indicate, is incredibly
counterproductive. But the Titans stuck with the approach on Sunday,
demonstrating a commitment to a smashmouth philosophy that appeared to finally
pay off in Dion Lewis' stirring fourth-quarter performance in London. So why
did they choose to pass on three straight plays from the goal line with the
game on the line?
The first play worked. Tight end Luke Stocker made a nice
leaping catch to cut the Chargers' lead to 20-19 with 35 seconds left. The
Titans went for the two-point conversion, a call that might sound as if it was
based partly on analytics -- until you see the play call.
Running in short-yardage situations is the percentage play.
Of course, that doesn't always mean it's the right call, but it was surprising
to see the ground-and-pound Titans set up in a shotgun formation with four
receivers on their two-point attempt. After a penalty on the Chargers bailed
them out, they went with an empty backfield and failed again. It's a passing
league, but it's still shocking to see how often we see coaches prefer tossing
jump balls to Luke Stocker over trying to run the ball forward 2 yards.
Especially when it's the Titans.
IF BLAKE BORTLES' BENCHING WILL MAKE A DIFFERENCE.
Jaguars coach Doug Marrone said the quarterback position was
"open" after benching Blake Bortles following eight turnovers in
three games, but it didn't take long for Marrone to announce Monday the team is
sticking with Bortles as the team's starter. Even benching Bortles was a
remarkable admission after Jacksonville's brass -- led by Marrone and Tom
Coughlin -- refused to consider bringing in competition for him in the
offseason.
Cody Kessler took over for Bortles during Jacksonville's
third straight loss Sunday, but it's not a surprise the team isn't turning to
him. Kessler was not impressive in his five drives, leading the Jaguars to
seven points with an interception thrown in. He appeared allergic to pushing
the ball down the field, even with a big deficit. This benching is similar to
when Marrone benched Bortles in the third week of the preseason last year,
which turned out to be more about sending a message. The Jaguars' brass sent a
stronger message in the offseason when they did everything to back Bortles and
accept mediocrity at the position.
The Jaguars, now 3-4, could theoretically still give the
Browns a call to see how much Tyrod Taylor would cost in a trade. But that
would be admitting they made a mistake by sticking with Bortles, a problem this
franchise has made repeatedly since before Coughlin showed up.
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