It's less than a month since the World Series ended, but
already baseball fans and certainly major league organizations find themselves
looking ahead to 2019. We know teams like the recently crowned champion Boston
Red Sox and the New York Yankees will be in next year's World Series
discussion. Houston and the Los Angeles Dodgers will be as well.
Of course, there will be teams that come out of nowhere
to contend, like Oakland and Atlanta did this season, and those that will
disappoint, perhaps following in the path of the Washington Nationals.
Then there are clubs in limbo, at a crossroads, perhaps —
ones that can go either way next season and beyond. With that in mind, here are
five teams that should remain on their current paths to potential greatness and
five that might as well fold their hands and begin anew.
STAY THE COURSE
CHICAGO CUBS:
Aren't they supposed to be in the midst of a dynasty? Not the way things went
last season when scoring runs became a major issue in the final month or so of
the regular season. With Milwaukee now a proven threat in the NL Central, the
Cubs' perennial success is no longer a given. Theo Epstein and Co. are
certainly not ready for a rebuild at this point, but they also don't appear to
have the cash to spend on the likes of Bryce Harper, and to a lesser extent,
Manny Machado. What the Cubs do have is a solid core — with or without Kris
Bryant — in Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo, Willson Contreras and one of the top
starting pitching staffs in baseball.
MINNESOTA TWINS:
The drop-off from postseason participant in 2017 to 84-loss club this past
season made the Twins one of the bigger disappointments of 2018. But there's
still reason to believe they can bounce back in 2019 and remain on a successful
course over the following seasons. New manager Rocco Baldelli will bring a
fresh approach to a roster that includes young talent in Miguel Sano and Max
Kepler. However, the club is still waiting for both to truly break out.
Minnesota will also have some money to spend on established talent. And don't
forget: It still plays in the worst division in the majors, meaning the
potential for a rebound season is quite possible.
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIES: A 12-28 record down the
stretch proved the Phillies were not ready for prime time. However, they have
the money to be major players this offseason, reportedly with an eye clearly
set on Bryce Harper. Aaron Nola is a stud ace, but there are still holes — a
defense that committed the second-most errors in the majors (123). But
Philadelphia saw first-hand what Atlanta was able to accomplish in 2018, and
with the right veteran acquisitions that make sense on the field and the
payroll, a postseason berth is looming.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS:
It's now three straight seasons without a postseason appearance; that hasn't
happened in St. Louis since the late 1990s. Sure, some of the "Best Fans
in Baseball" would like to see a rebuild, but that doesn't make sense.
Despite the playoff drought, the Cardinals still won at least 83 games in each
of the last three years, were contenders well into September and enjoyed a
rebirth of sorts when Mike Shildt took over for fired manager Mike Matheny in
mid-July. The Cardinals will aim for a big bat this winter, and that along with
some improved defense (major league-leading 133 errors in 2018) should keep
them in postseason contention.
TAMPA BAY RAYS:
Winning 90 games in 2018 didn't get the Rays into the postseason, but if asked
to pick between them, Oakland (97 wins) and Seattle (89), the group in Florida
seems to have the better future. Don't forget: Tampa Bay was bothered by
injuries this season yet had the second-lowest ERA (3.74) in the AL thanks to
Cy Young Award winner Blake Snell. Former Cardinal Tommy Pham might have found
the right home in Tampa and infielder Willy Adames looks like a budding star.
The small-market Rays are always one bad season away from a rebuild, but that
should not be the case at the moment.
TEAR IT DOWN
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS: What seemed to be a promising 2018 season,
ended with 11 wins in the final 35 games and an 82-80 mark. Now, the
Diamondbacks reportedly are looking to rebuild since a good number of their key
players are free agents. They also have plenty of intriguing pieces to help
complete the puzzle of most would-be contenders, beginning with stars Paul
Goldschmidt and Zack Greinke. Arizona currently can't seriously compete with
the Los Angeles Dodgers, or even Colorado, in the NL West. So why not start
from scratch and begin a process that will eventually make that a reality
again?
CLEVELAND INDIANS:
OK, maybe there's not a complete rebuild needed in Cleveland. But while an
average Indians team could still win the AL Central for another year, or two,
they've taken steps back in terms of being a true postseason contender. Free
agency will hit their bullpen hard this offseason. However, if the Indians can
find a way to successfully develop even more youth around young stars in
Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, Carlos Carrasco and Mike Clevinger, they should
be able to perennially compete with the likes of the Yankees, Astros and Red
Sox.
LOS ANGELES ANGELS:
They have arguably the majors' best player in Mike Trout, but where has that
gotten the Angels? Only one postseason appearance in his eight seasons — and
Los Angeles was swept by Kansas City in that 2014 Division Series. Brad Ausmus
is a seasoned manager, but the pitching staff is in shambles, Shohei Ohtani's
health should be a concern and there is not much depth to work with. Trading
Trout might seem drastic, but if the club doesn't improve, it needs to see what
the most valuable commodity in baseball is worth.
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTS: An aging, expensive roster
that's lost 187 games over the last two seasons does not make for an enticing
future. New president of baseball ops Farhan Zaidi is tasked with deciding the
Giants' direction. A rebuild would seem to make the most sense, and ace Madison
Bumgarner seems like as good a piece as any to get the ball rolling. The Giants
must find a way to get back to the level of every-other-year champions, and
Zaidi seems like a good choice to lead the charge. It just might take more lean
years to make it happen.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS:
Don't fault the Blue Jays for trying to go all in, and it almost worked with
back-to-back postseason trips and a run to the ALCS in 2016. However, that
window for greatness looks to have closed, following a second straight
fourth-place campaign. What's exciting for Toronto is a farm system that boasts
baseball's No.1 prospect in Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and top-10 talent Bo
Bichette. If both names sound familiar, they should. A youth-infused overhaul
should actually be exciting for Jays' fans, knowing that the potential for
established major league success doesn't seem too far away.
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