Thanksgiving is less than a week away as NFL Week 11 is set
to play out, which means nearly every game carries significant playoff
ramifications. But as much as every team in contention desires to win, we’re
going to see some upsets take place around the league.
Which teams could experience the sting of being defeated by
an underdog? We have some ideas. Here are six teams on upset alert in Week 11.
TENNESSEE TITANS
VS. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-2)
It’s not surprising that the line on this game is so tight.
Both teams have been surging of late, coming into Week 11 with two (Titans) and
three (Colts) wins in a row.
Andrew Luck is hot, and the Colts have rediscovered their
long-lost ability to run the ball. However, they’re about to run into a
buzzsaw. Tennessee’s defense is top-four in total defense and leads the league
in scoring defense and it most recently confounded Tom Brady and Co.
On the other side, the emergence of
Dion Lewis as Tennessee’s No. 1 back has given the Titans an
identity on offense. And after a very rough start to the season, Marcus Mariota
is clicking with his receivers.
DALLAS COWBOYS VS.
ATLANTA FALCONS (-3)
This is a very intriguing matchup. It pits one of the
league’s best pass defenses (Dallas) against a prolific Atlanta offense that
ranks second in the NFL in passing yardage. Matt Ryan has been playing at an
MVP level this year, but don’t be surprised if the Falcons don’t have a huge
game through the air. Also, Dallas is no slouch defensing the run, which means
Atlanta could be quite frustrated on the offensive side of the ball.
If Dallas rides Ezekiel Elliott and makes him the focal
point, it typically shows up very strong offensively. Dak Prescott is much
better overall when he doesn’t have to carry the offense. Meanwhile, Atlanta
allows 5.2 yards per rush, which means Scott Linehan would be an idiot not to
exploit that squishy unit.
TAMPA BAY
BUCCANEERS VS. NEW YORK GIANTS (-2.5)
If we’re being honest, this game is a total toss-up. Neither
team has done much of anything recently that gives fans hope that a bright
future is right around the corner.
What we do know is that the Bucs are once again turning
their offense back over to offensive coordinator Todd Monken. At the least, he
has shown the ability to draw up a game plan that springs his receivers
open for Ryan Fitzpatrick to find his FitzMagic.
On the other side, while the Bucs are atrocious against the
pass, Eli Manning is still prone to throw the ball to the other team. Sure, he
went without a turnover against San Francisco on Monday night, but it’s worth
pointing out that the 49ers are worst team in the league when it comes to
creating turnovers. It wouldn’t be surprising whatsoever if he lapsed.
HOUSTON TEXANS
(-3) VS. WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Really, this game all boils down to a couple of simple
things.
First, can Washington get Adrian Peterson going on the
ground? In games that he’s been a major factor, the Redskins are a perfect 6-0.
All three of their losses have coincided with poor showings by the veteran
back.
The second issue that will determine the outcome is whether
Houston’s offensive line can win at the line of scrimmage against Washington’s
dynamic defensive front. If the Redskins win this battle, there’s a good chance
the game is theirs for the taking.
DENVER BRONCOS VS.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-7)
The Chargers have ripped off six straight wins and are
clearly one of the best teams in the AFC. They’ve also recently gotten an injection of Mamba juice, thanks to a special visit
from Kobe Bryant. They’re at home Sunday against a Broncos team that has lost
four of its last five games.
Everything about this game seems to tilt in favor of the
Chargers. But here’s the reason to pick the Broncos to pull off the upset: Von
Miller and Bradley Chubb. These two have 17 sacks between them and have the
ability to create turnovers.
Philip Rivers doesn’t fold easily, and he’s done an amazing
job of not turning the ball over this year. But if Denver can just squeeze one
or two out of him this game, the Chargers are ripe for an upset after so much
recent success.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
VS. CHICAGO BEARS (-3)
It’s going to take nothing but Minnesota’s best to knock off
the surprising leader of the NFC North on Sunday night.
Chicago has been a dynamo on both sides of the ball this
year, thanks to the way Mitch Trubisky has taken to Matt Nagy’s teachings and
thanks to the addition of Khalil Mack on the defensive side of the ball. As
such, the Bears enter Week 11 with a 6-3 record and a three-game winning
streak.
Minnesota, on the other hand, has not quite lived up to
expectations throughout the first half of the season but is surging. The
Vikings, after opening the season 1-2-1, have won four of their last five.
We’re putting Chicago on upset alert because Minnesota’s
defense has come on strong of late, and because Vikings running back Dalvin
Cook is finally fully healthy and ready to be the bell cow again. He transforms
that offense and gives Kirk Cousins an added dynamic dimension that will push
Minnesota over the top.
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