Super Bowl LIII's nearly upon us -- but 30 teams already have begun the
effort to reach Miami next February for Super Bowl LIV. Here's one thing each NFC team
can do to supplant the Los Angeles Rams as conference champions.
ARIZONA CARDINALS
Be right about Kliff Kingsbury. No team in the
NFL feels further away from the Super Bowl than
the Cardinals,
so it's safe to say there's more than one thing this roster needs. This was the
worst team in the NFL by a wide margin in
2018, and it will be tough for Arizona to cover up all its shortcomings --
especially on the offensive line -- in one offseason. Enter Kingsbury. General
manager Steve Keim is banking on the new coach providing Josh Rosen with
a schematic advantage, like Frank Reich did for Andrew Luck and
Matt Nagy did for Mitchell
Trubisky as first-time NFL head coaches in '18. If Keim isn't
quickly proven right, there could more organizational upheaval a year from now.
ATLANTA FALCONS
Build the defense Dan Quinn talks about having. It
is easy to get hypnotized by Falcons coach
Dan Quinn's offseason speeches about speed, energy and accountability on
defense. It has been much tougher for Quinn and GM Thomas Dimitroff to
translate Quinn's defensive philosophy into production; his defenses haven't
ranked in the top 20 in DVOA in any of Quinn's four seasons at
the helm. Whether it's because the pass rushing talent isn't good enough or
Quinn's coaching doesn't move the needle, the Falcons'
defense has consistently underperformed relative to expectations. Injuries
alone didn't explain their 2018 showing. We'll see if Quinn taking over
the play-calling makes a difference.
CAROLINA PANTHERS
Pray to the Football Gods for Cam Newton's
shoulder. The work that GM Marty Hurney must do to improve line play
on both sides of the ball pales in importance compared to something that is
totally out of Hurney's control. The Panthers will
go as far as Cam Newton's
right arm takes them. Newton was already streaky with accuracy before his recent
surgery, the second on his right shoulder. The latest procedure is a
concern for Coach Ron Rivera entering a season where he'll likely be on the hot
seat. Early, optimistic timetables about Newton's recovery don't mean much at
this point, because all offseason timetables are optimistic.
CHICAGO BEARS
Expand Mitchell
Trubisky's playbook. Year 1 of the Matt Nagy era
went better than anyone could have expected, resulting in an NFC North title
and a home playoff game. That includes Trubisky's development, which followed a
Jared Goff-like, second-year leap from overwhelmed rookie to mid-level
offensive caretaker. Now comes the hard part. With every starter expected back
on offense, the biggest opportunity for the Bears to
grow will come in the offseason. Goff noticeably took on more responsibility
at Rams practices
before his third season, and it translated in the games that counted. It's on
Nagy and Trubisky to build the Bears offense
together, with more expected from the quarterback in 2019.
DALLAS COWBOYS
Pay DeMarcus
Lawrence his money. A year ago in this spot, I
made the case for the Cowboys to release Dez Bryant. Jerry Jones can use some
of the savings from Bryant's departure to give soon-to-be free-agent pass
rusher DeMarcus
Lawrence all the money. After backing up his breakout 2017
campaign with a 10.5-sack effort in '18, Lawrence is one of the top five
defensive linemen in football. At 26 years old, he's cap space well spent.
DETROIT LIONS
Find defensive difference-makers. Matthew
Stafford's stagnant 2018 season in a stale Lions offense
got a lot of attention. So did coach Matt Patricia's press-conference demeanor.
Less talked about: a total lack of defensive playmakers. The Lions are
beefy up front (with Damon
Harrison, A'Shawn
Robinson and Da'Shawn Hand) in a spread-it-out world. Who are
opposing offenses worried about in the back seven, aside from cornerback Darius Slay?
Heading into Year 4 of his tenure, GM Bob Quinn needs to find some
difference-makers through the draft or free agency -- preferably both.
GREEN BAY PACKERS
Maximize Aaron Rodgers'
strengths. Talent isn't the issue. Aaron Rodgers went God
Mode enough in 2018 to prove he still has it. Left tackle David
Bakhtiari, wideout Adams and running back Aaron Jones provide
a stable foundation to build from. New coach Matt LaFleur is a mystery, but any
change for Rodgers should be positive after it became so clear his marriage to
Mike McCarthy lost its spark years ago. Getting a fresh voice in Rodgers' ear
may be just as important as getting fresh ideas in the playbook.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Fix the offensive line. The carefully
constructed defense coach Mike Zimmer and GM Rick Spielman have created can
only take the Vikings so
far -- and it can only stay together for so long. With excellent talent
throughout the skill positions, the potential for growth clearly lies with the
offense. Offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski, who landed the
full-time gig after serving in an interim capacity in 2018,
needs to create an offense that takes advantage of its incredible wideouts
without driving Zimmer to grumble to reporters about
establishing the run. That is only possible to do with a better
offensive line. While play-calling and Kirk Cousins'
struggles in big games drew plenty of criticism, the bottom line is, the Vikings weren't
going anywhere with their line performing as poorly as any in the league. The
coaching and the personnel need to be better.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Move on. Sean Payton said it well: The Saints
will probably never get over the no-call toward the end of
regulation in their NFC title-game loss. That will be doubly true if it's the
closest 40-year-old Drew Brees
ever gets to a Super Bowl again.
Payton sets the tone for his team, and how he navigates this group past one of
the most brutal playoff defeats imaginable will be a huge challenge. Just a few
seasons removed from three straight 7-9 seasons, Payton and Brees are well
aware that it's easier to fall right out of the playoffs -- like 2017
conference title game participants Jacksonville and Minnesota did in '18 --
than it is to get homefield advantage once more.
NEW YORK GIANTS
Say goodbye to Eli Manning. This
is not about what's out there in free agency or in this draft. To keep
Manning at quarterback is to accept a ceiling on the Giants'
potential. If the team can protect Manning well and supply him
with open receivers early in the down, the Giants'
offense can be functional. But hoping your franchise quarterback maxes out as,
say, the 16th-best starter in the league is aiming too low. The championship
window with Manning has passed. They've already won two titles with him --
hanging on for another year or two in hopes of one last 9-7 season is just
delaying a future the Giants should
embrace after recording five losing seasons in six years.
PHILADELPHIA
EAGLES
Swing big on the offensive line. Left
tackle Jason Peters,
center Kelce and guard Brandon
Brooks are longtime mainstays with uncertain futures due to big
contracts, retirement and injury. Facing an offseason with a ton of moving
parts throughout the roster, GM Howie Roseman will make aggressive moves, if
past history is any indication. Even with a tight cap situation,
the Eagles have proven nimble at making trades or finding value in the
market.
SAN FRANCISCO
49ERS
Improve their injury luck. GM John Lynch knows
that his roster needs a lot of work, especially on defense. But a little more
injury luck would also go a long way. The 49ers ranked 23rd in Football Outsiders' adjusted games lost in
2017, then lost Jimmy
Garoppolo, running back Jerick
McKinnon and a host of others throughout the 2018 season. Lynch
needs to build on an improved 2018 draft class with another big draft and spend
wisely in what is likely to be a busy 49ers free
agency period.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Draft another edge rusher. Offensive coordinator
Brian Schottenheimer understandably took heat for the Seahawks' wild-card
loss to the Cowboys, but it was also notable that Pete Carroll's
defense couldn't get fourth-quarter stops against a limited offense. The team
had a higher offensive DVOA ranking for the season (ninth) than defense (14th),
and the lack of pass rushers outside of Frank Clark was
one big reason why. The Seahawks can
use the franchise tag to retain Clark, but he could use someone to serve as the
Cliff Avril to his Michael
Bennett.
TAMPA BAY
BUCCANEERS
Address the secondary ... again. The good news
is that new defensive coordinator Todd Bowles has a strong history of coaching
up defensive backs, especially under new Bucs coach Bruce Arians during their
time together in Arizona. The bad news is that the Bucs don't have many sure
things on the roster, despite spending six picks on the secondary over their
past three drafts (including two second-rounders in 2018 and a first-rounder
on Vernon
Hargreaves in '16). The new Bucs staff will have to quickly
evaluate which remaining players fit in their plans, then attack free agency
and the draft to cover up the remaining holes.
WASHINGTON
REDSKINS
Do the impossible by finding a good, cheap quarterback. The Redskins are
operating as if Alex Smith won't be back for
the 2019 season. But his $20 million cap figure remains, which complicates the
team's efforts to regroup at the position. With current backup Colt McCoy headed
for free agency, the Redskins are
likely to look to veterans and the draft for help. Smith's salary could also
impact decisions on whether to keep veteran defenders Josh Norman and Zach Brown.
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