SUPER BOWL LIII
WHEN: Sunday, Feb. 3 at 6:30 p.m. ET
WHERE: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
TV: CBS, CTV (Canada)
SPREAD: Patriots -3
TOTAL: 56.5
Today is the day.
The New England
Patriots and Los Angeles Rams will
play for the Lombardi Trophy. A clash of old and new, legends and rising stars.
Here's everything you need to know about football's biggest
day.
TALE OF THE TAPE
PATRIOTS
|
RAMS
|
|
11-5
|
Record
|
13-3
|
436
|
Points For
|
527
|
325
|
Points Against
|
384
|
111
|
Net Points
|
143
|
27.3
|
Points Per Game
|
32.9
|
393.4
|
Yards Per Game
|
421.1
|
266.1
|
Pass Yards Per Game
|
281.7
|
127.3
|
Rush Yards Per Game
|
139.4
|
20.3
|
Points Allowed Per
Game
|
24.0
|
359.1
|
Yards Allowed Per
Game
|
358.6
|
246.4
|
Pass Yards Allowed
Per Game
|
236.3
|
112.7
|
Rush Yards Allowed
Per Game
|
122.3
|
+10
|
Turnover
Differential
|
+11
|
3-5
|
Road Record
|
6-2
|
3-1
|
Non-conference
Record
|
4-0
|
HOW THE AFC CHAMPION PATRIOTS WERE BUILT
Just how does one build a Super Bowl contender? Look no
further than the team with machine-like efficiency: the New England Patriots.
The NFL's preeminent power will be making its third straight
Super Bowl appearance when it heads to Atlanta to face the Los Angeles Rams.
It's New England's fourth trip to the big game in the last five seasons.
The 2018 Patriots were thought to be the most vulnerable
version in years, with an aging quarterback and a lack of game-changing talent.
Yet here they are, playing for another Lombardi Trophy. Here's how the latest
version of the Pats was built:
KEY PLAYERS
YEAR
|
DRAFT
|
FREE AGENT
|
TRADE
|
2000
|
Tom Brady
|
||
2006
|
Stephen Gostkowski
|
|
|
2008
|
Matthew Slater
|
||
2009
|
Julian Edelman
|
||
Patrick Chung
|
|||
2010
|
Devin McCourty
|
||
Rob Gronkowski
|
|||
2011
|
Marcus Cannon
|
||
2012
|
Dont'a Hightower
|
||
2014
|
James White
|
||
2015
|
Shaq Mason
|
David Andrews
|
|
Trey Flowers
|
|||
Malcom Brown
|
|||
2016
|
Joe Thuney
|
Chris Hogan
|
Kyle Van Noy
|
Elandon Roberts
|
|||
2017
|
Deatrich Wise
|
Stephon Gilmore
|
Phillip Dorsett
|
Rex Burkhead
|
|||
Lawrence Guy
|
|||
2018
|
Sony Michel
|
Adrian Clayborn
|
Jason McCourty
|
Cordarrelle Patterson
|
|||
Trent Brown
|
It all began with a napkin.
In 2000, after less than a day on the job, Bill Belichick
stepped down as head coach of the New York Jets, handing the team president a
handwritten resignation note penned on a serviette as the introductory press
conference was set to begin.
The Patriots would trade three draft picks to the Jets in
exchange for two picks and the right to sign Belichick. The rest, as they say,
is history.
As head coach and de facto general manager, the five-time
Super Bowl champion has left an unmistakable imprint on the team's present-day
roster. Thirty-one players on the 53-man roster are homegrown, culled either
through the draft or as college free agents.
The blueprint begins with the mastermind in the hoodie.
COACHING STAFF
Full credit is also due to Josh McDaniels. He's spent 10 of
the past 13 years as New England's offensive coordinator and has led the unit
to eight top-10 finishes in total offense. Under McDaniels' watch, the team has
yet to finish worse than eighth in scoring offense.
There has been far more turnover at defensive coordinator,
as many have left to accept head coaching jobs elsewhere. But whether under the
direction of Romeo Crennel, Dean Pees, Matt Patricia, or Brian Flores, the
defense has remained under the watchful eye of Belichick. That approach figures
to continue with Flores' impending departure.
THE GOAT
When it comes to the roster, it all begins with Tom Brady.
The Patriots famously used a sixth-round pick in 2000 on the
unassuming quarterback out of Michigan. He spent his rookie year supporting
starter Drew Bledsoe before taking over for an injured Bledsoe in Week 2 of the
following season. Named the Week 3 starter, Brady wound up leading New England
all the way to a Super Bowl victory over the Rams - then of St. Louis - in
February 2002.
In the time since, he's cemented his spot as the arguably
the greatest quarterback of all time, winning four more Super Bowls and three
MVPs along the way.
Even now, in the later stages of his career, Brady remains
at the top of his game; he led the Pats back from a late 25-point deficit to
win Super Bowl LI and - at the age of 41 - outdueled young phenom Patrick
Mahomes to take New England to its ninth title game in the last 18 years.
BUILDING THROUGH
THE DRAFT
The pieces of this year's AFC championship team began
surfacing in 2006 when the Patriots scooped up venerable placekicker Stephen Gostkowski with
a fourth-round pick.
Special-teams ace Matthew Slater came
via the 2008 draft, while New England's 2009 selections netted Julian Edelman - now
second all-time in postseason receptions - and longtime safety Patrick Chung.
The Patriots also nailed their first two picks in 2010,
selecting Devin
McCourty - a starter in the secondary ever since - and
revolutionary tight end Rob Gronkowski.
All six players have been aboard for the Patriots' running
streak of eight consecutive AFC Championship Game appearances.
Linebacker Dont'a Hightower, star of
Super Bowl LI, was also a 2012 first-round selection.
UNHERALDED O-LINE
Today's offensive line began taking shape with the 2011
fifth-round selection of Marcus Cannon. He's moved
up and down the offensive line in his time with the Patriots but has held down
the right tackle spot since 2016.
Right guard Shaq Mason arrived in
the 2015 draft and center David Andrews joined
as a college free agent during that same offseason. Left guard Joe Thuney was a
third-round pick the following year.
Following the departure of Nate Solder for greener ($)
pastures last March, the Pats made a sly draft-day move, trading a 2018
third-round pick to the San Francisco 49ers for right tackle Trent Brown and a
fifth-rounder.
New England immediately installed Brown in the vacant left
tackle spot and the move has paid massive dividends; he's Pro Football Focus'
highest-graded tackle in this year's playoffs.
Meanwhile, the impact of a strong offensive line coach
cannot be overstated, and the Patriots may have one
of the best.
Dante Scarnecchia coached the O-line from 1998 to his
retirement after the 2013 season. It struggled so mightily in the two years
following his departure that the Patriots brought Scarnecchia out of retirement
for the 2016 campaign, and the unit has since rebounded to its previously
superlative standards.
The Patriots' offensive line didn't allow a sack or commit a
penalty in the AFC Championship Game, despite the raucous Arrowhead Stadium
crowd.
FREE-AGENT SPLASH
Though much of his roster was constructed through the draft,
Belichick isn't shy about targeting big fish using other means. He's traded for
the likes of Wes Welker, Randy Moss, and Aqib Talib, and he's used free agency
to nab such stars as Rodney Harrison and Darrelle Revis.
His latest big swing came ahead of the 2017 campaign when he
splashed $65 million on free-agent corner Stephon Gilmore. It was
the second richest-signing of the free-agency period and it didn't come without
its detractors.
But Gilmore has repaid Belichick's faith this season, the
second of his five-year deal. The 28-year-old was named a first-team All-Pro for
the first time in his career and graded out as PFF's No. 1 corner in the
league.
THE FINAL PIECE
After the Patriots allowed Dion Lewis to walk as a free
agent last offseason, leaving a substantial hole in touches and touchdowns on
their depth chart, the final position yet to be addressed was at running back.
Still, a running back wasn't thought to be a target for New
England in the 2018 draft - especially not one believed to have knee issues.
Former Patriots staffer Michael Lombardi reported just
before the draft that Sony Michel
had a bone-on-bone medical condition that could affect the longevity of his
playing career. It was believed such concerns would cause Michel to slip in the
draft.
But there the Patriots were with the 31st pick, ready to
pounce on the former Georgia star.
Leading New England in rushing with nearly 1,000 yards on
the ground, six touchdowns, and five more scores in the postseason, Michel
shined in his rookie season. He proved to be the final piece necessary for the
Patriots' third consecutive Super Bowl appearance.
HOW THE NFC CHAMPION RAMS WERE BUILT
In 2017, the Los Angeles Rams stunningly
set the league ablaze under the guidance of wunderkind Sean McVay, only to see
their fire extinguished in January.
Fast forward to this season: The Rams have ascended to
previously unimaginable heights and are set to take on the seemingly immortal
New England Patriots in Super Bowl LIII in Atlanta.
Here's how the Rams built the team that's taken them to the
precipice of their second Super Bowl title in franchise history:
KEY PLAYERS
YEAR
|
DRAFT
|
FREE AGENT
|
TRADE/WAIVER
|
2010
|
LG Rodger Saffold
|
||
2011
|
|||
2012
|
DE Michael Brockers
|
P Johnny Hekker
|
|
K Greg Zuerlein
|
|||
2013
|
|||
2014
|
DT Aaron Donald
|
LB Mark Barron
|
|
S Lamarcus Joyner
|
|||
2015
|
RB Todd Gurley
|
LB Matt Longacre
|
|
RT Rob Havenstein
|
|||
2016
|
QB Jared Goff
|
LB Cory Littleton
|
|
TE Tyler Higbee
|
|||
2017
|
LB Samson Ebukam
|
LT Andrew Whitworth
|
RG Austin Blythe
|
WR Josh Reynolds
|
WR Robert Woods
|
||
S John Johnson III
|
C John Sullivan
|
||
SCB Nickell Robey-Coleman
|
|||
2018
|
DT Ndamukong Suh
|
CB Aqib Talib
|
|
|
RB C.J. Anderson
|
CB Marcus Peters
|
|
CB Sam Shields
|
WR Brandin Cooks
|
||
DE Dante Fowler Jr.
|
FINDING THE
PILLARS
Every Super Bowl winner needs a nucleus of players to build
around, and L.A. is a prime example of how a team can alter its destiny through
the draft.
In 2014, the Rams - then based in St. Louis - used the 13th
overall pick on reigning Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald. A year
later, reigning Offensive Player of the Year Todd Gurley was
selected 10th overall. And finally, after giving up a king's ransom to jump up
to the No. 1 overall pick in the 2016 draft, the Rams announced Jared Goff as the
team's franchise quarterback.
All three players have been crucial in L.A.'s run to
Atlanta.
Donald's league-leading 20.5 sacks in 2018 were the most for
a defensive tackle in NFL history, all but assuring he'll retain his DPOY
title; Gurley has found the end zone an NFL-best 40 times since 2016, a
mind-boggling nine more than second-placed Alvin Kamara and 14 more than
third-placed Melvin Gordon; Goff has transformed into a Pro Bowler and is
coming off back-to-back seasons with a 100-plus passer rating.
STUCK IN
MEDIOCRITY NO LONGER
McVay wasn't the man L.A. initially envisioned leading its
team when the doors to the new $5-billion stadium in Inglewood open in 2020.
That, of course, was supposed to be Jeff Fisher.
Fisher has become a punchline due to his teams' propensity
to finish at, or around, the .500 mark. In fact, he had three such finishes
with the Rams in five years before being fired midseason in 2016 while sitting
at 4-9. But while Fisher deserved to lose his job and is clearly an inferior
coach to the man who succeeded him, his impact shouldn't be overlooked.
All three stars mentioned above were drafted under Fisher
(and general manager Les Snead, who remains in his role). Moreover,
starters Michael
Brockers, Mark Barron, Matt Longacre, Rob Havenstein, Cory Littleton, Tyler Higbee, Lamarcus Joyner, Johnny Hekker, and Greg Zuerlein were
all found and developed under Fisher's watch.
In an alternate timeline, maybe Fisher didn't destroy his
credibility by beefing with franchise legend Eric Dickerson and the Rams were
forced to watch another team steal their prize.
THE GOLDEN BOY
Although L.A. finally escaped the mediocrity that surrounded
the Fisher era, many believed the team blew its chance at success by picking
the youngest head coach in NFL history.
Ex-Rams coach Mike Martz provided a soundbite that will age
as poorly as any in league history, saying the Rams "hired a buddy for
Jared" before adding "wait a minute while I puke" in response to
the then-30-year-old's offensive expert label.
Twenty-four regular-season wins, back-to-back NFC West
titles, an impending Super Bowl appearance, and, of course, an avalanche of
points later, the Rams look like geniuses.
When Martz finishes vomiting, he has a full plate of his own
words to chow down on.
PICKING POCKETS IN
FREE AGENCY
L.A. has been active but selective in free agency under
McVay, searching for players who were either underutilized or deemed
expendable. The team's first free-agent haul was a bigger risk than most now
acknowledge, as it was headlined by a then-35-year-old left tackle and a wide
receiver who had never exceeded 700 yards in any of his first four seasons.
Andrew
Whitworth had been a stud blindside protector with the
Cincinnati Bengals, and while his signing was viewed as a good move to help
Goff, there was no guarantee he'd last for his entire three-year deal. Robert Woods was an
even bigger gamble considering his five-year, $39-million contract.
But both moves hit and hit big. Whitworth was Pro Football
Focus' third-ranked offensive tackle in 2018 and is the anchor of an elite
offensive line. Meanwhile, Woods racked up 2,000 yards over the last two years,
including his recent 86-catch, 1,219-yard campaign.
Ndamukong Suh was
the only big-name acquisition in free agency this past offseason, signing a
one-year deal to form a terrifying duo with Donald. However, C.J. Anderson might
arguably be the most impactful addition after multiple breakout performances
with Gurley either sidelined or struggling to get back to his usual dominant
form.
TRADE BIG OR GO
HOME
With Goff on an affordable rookie deal until at least 2020,
the Rams knew they had a small window to win a Super Bowl. Bucking conventional
wisdom, the front office attacked the underutilized trade market like few
playoff contenders before them in order to acquire elite-level talent.
In the 2018 offseason, Pro Bowlers Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib were
bought with second-, fourth-, and fifth-round picks to give defensive coordinator
Wade Phillips the cover corners he covets. After top target Sammy Watkins
signed with the Kansas City Chiefs in free agency for $16 million per season,
McVay found the home-run threat he'd been dying for in Brandin Cooks, who
required a first-rounder and was almost immediately handed the money offered to
Watkins. Meanwhile, longtime Rams Robert Quinn and Alec Ogletree were shipped
off.
While that's normally two or three seasons worth of blockbuster
moves for an average team, the Rams were far from done. Concerned about their
lack of pass rush in July, the Rams engineered a midseason trade for former
first-rounder Dante Fowler
Jr. by sending the Jacksonville Jaguars a third-round draft
pick in 2019 and a fifth-rounder in 2020.
If you need more to highlight just how aggressive L.A. was
this past offseason, remember the two superstars they tried but failed to trade
for: Khalil Mack and Odell Beckham Jr.
3 REASONS WHY THE PATRIOTS WILL WIN SUPER BOWL LIII
Life, death, taxes, and the New England Patriots advancing
to the Super Bowl. OK, maybe the last one doesn't count as a certain fact of
life, but the Patriots breezing through the AFC is becoming an expected January
routine.
Tom Brady is
looking to win his sixth Super Bowl as he squares off against the Los Angeles
Rams, the same franchise that he defeated to win his first title. There are
some familiar faces and some new contributors, but the Patriots' excellence
remains unchanged.
Here are three reasons why the Patriots will win Super Bowl
LIII.
WHITE WILL EXPLOIT
RAMS' LINEBACKERS
James White was
the hero of Super Bowl LI, setting a record for receptions while scoring three
touchdowns, including the game-winner. It's likely that White will be used
heavily again, primarily as a receiver coming out of the backfield to exploit
the Rams' linebackers.
James White has averaged 2.81 yards per route run this postseason –
leading all running backs by some margin.
The Rams' defensive line, led by Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh, is a
terrifying force that could steal this game. White will be counted upon to get
to the second level, create a mismatch against outside linebacker Samson Ebukam, and cause
havoc inside against Mark Barron and Cory Littleton.
White excels on screen plays and essentially hides behind
Patriots tackle Marcus Cannon,
waiting for the play to develop before sprinting past a host of defenders. It's
possible that the Rams use a safety to crash toward the line of scrimmage in
hopes of minimizing White's ability to leave the backfield, but he's incredible
at gaining yards after the catch. He's in line to cap off the best year of his
career with another monstrous Super Bowl performance.
PATRIOTS WILL
NEUTRALIZE DONALD'S DISRUPTION
Donald is an absolute wrecking ball that can and will take
over games, a rarity from a defensive lineman. New England's offensive line may
be the unit best equipped to stop Donald, and it will serve as a major key to
victory Sunday night.
New England allowed 21 sacks - the third-lowest total in the
NFL - and finished first in adjusted sack rate, according to Football Outsiders. This
is the best offensive line of Brady's career and, though the Rams probably
won't stunt against him, he'll be hyper-aware of where No. 99 is at all times.
Donald will likely be matched up against Joe Thuney throughout
the game, and center David Andrews will
need to assess where the reigning Defensive Player of the Year is prior to the
snap.
The greatest strength of the Patriots' offensive line is
their balance, with no weak point among the starters. New England can break the
opposition with their tempo and the offensive line should be aware on plays
designed to get the ball out quickly.
Bill Belichick deemed Donald unblockable. While that may be true,
if the collaborative strength of the Patriots' offensive line outweighs the
Rams superstar's singular impact, the Patriots have an excellent chance to
hoist the trophy.
TOM WILL DEFEAT
TIME, AGAIN
With under two minutes remaining in Super Bowl XXXVI, Brady
orchestrated a game-winning drive for a stunning 20-17 upset of the Rams. It
was the first moment that illustrated Brady's unmatched calm in the clutch, and
17 years to the day of his first victory, the Patriots' star quarterback will
be counted on again to lead his team to glory.
Narrative aside, it's perhaps unwise to compare the 2018
version of Brady to the 2001 vintage, considering that he's evolved into
arguably the greatest quarterback of all time. We all know Brady should never
be counted out. He proved as much during Super Bowl LI by bringing the Patriots
back from a 28-3 deficit to topple the Atlanta Falcons in overtime.
Brady's unmatched ability to dictate the tempo of the game
should gravely concern the Rams' defense. New England's drive chart during the
AFC Championship Game perhaps best illustrates this point. Brady is capable of
relying on a robust running game, led by Sony Michel and Rex Burkhead, and ate up
the clock on a 15-play, eight-minute touchdown drive. This strategy could be
employed again if the Patriots jump out to an early lead. New England can also
score at will, as it proved by engineering a six-play, 65-yard touchdown drive
in less than 90 seconds.
The pace of the game may be unpredictable, but Brady will be
prepared for all outcomes and there's nothing new the Rams can throw at him. No
quarterback is better at executing the hurry-up offense and Julian Edelman comes
alive with the stakes at their highest. It ain't over until the final whistle
blows, and this concern may push the Rams over the edge.
3 REASONS WHY THE RAMS WILL WIN SUPER BOWL LIII
The Los Angeles
Rams accelerated their window of contention by going on a major
spending spree last summer, and it has clearly paid off. Buoyed by the
additions of Brandin Cooks, Ndamukong Suh, and Marcus Peters, among
several others, the Rams cruised to the NFC West title and look to knock off
the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LIII.
Here are three reasons why the Rams will lift the Lombardi
Trophy on Feb. 3.
RAMS' 11 PERSONNEL
WILL EXPLOIT MISMATCHES
Depending on how closely you've paid attention this season,
you're either sick of hearing about 11 personnel or have little idea about what
it means. It simply refers to a grouping that includes three wide receivers
and, perhaps more importantly, one running
back and one tight end, who form the two-digit number. The Rams use
this personnel grouping 96 percent of
the time, often with receivers bunched on one side of the field, and it's key
for them in establishing play-action, jet sweeps, off-tackle runs, and several
other staples of their dynamic offense.
Although the Rams line up in their base formation more often
than any other team in the NFL, their usage of 11 personnel enables them to
boast arguably the NFL's most unpredictable offense. This play against the
Dallas Cowboys best illustrates how the grouping establishes a dangerous
running game, spearheaded by Todd Gurley and, more
recently, C.J. Anderson.
Josh Reynolds (No.
83) sprints into the backfield, setting up a potential jet sweep while Jared Goff sets up a
handoff to Gurley. Reynolds' motion freezes the Cowboys' defense, allowing the
offensive line to maul an unsuspecting defensive line and creating a massive
hole for Gurley to sprint through for the touchdown. On any given play,
Reynolds, Cooks, and Robert Woods are
threats to run a jet sweep, making it impossible for the opponent to key in on
a single ball carrier. The Rams will use this formation to exploit mismatches,
and we could see Cooks or Woods sprint to the outside to beat a slower Patriots
linebacker.
Los Angeles ran play-action on a league-high 34 percent of
offensive snaps, with Goff finding Cooks, Woods, Reynolds, and Gurley open
after selling the run in 11 personnel. Goff relies on the Rams wreaking chaos
pre-snap to open up the passing game and it's this personnel grouping that will
dictate whether the Rams get Cooks, Woods, and Gurley working to their fullest
capacity against a balanced Patriots defense.
DONALD, SUH WILL
GET TO BRADY AT KEY MOMENTS
Bill Belichick revealed what we already knew during his
media availability last Tuesday when he called Aaron Donald "unblockable." Donald
is the heavy favorite to win his second consecutive Defensive Player of the
Year Award. Though the Patriots' offensive line was arguably the best unit in
the NFL, a fully engaged Donald alongside Ndamukong Suh - who
is playing his best football of the year - may prove an insurmountable obstacle
to victory.
Donald's swim move is simply unfair and his uncanny ability
to time his burst off the snap makes him a nightmare to block. The Rams
superstar won an NFL-best 46 percent of
his pass rushes, defeating edge rushers Robert Quinn and Jadeveon
Clowney. And the Patriots cannot afford to block him with multiple linemen
because of Suh's menacing play, especially in the run game.
It will likely take a group effort to contain Donald - and
to a lesser extent, Suh - but Patriots left guard Joe Thuney and
center David Andrews will
probably be tasked with slowing down the Rams' star pairing. Thuney graded out
as the fourth-best pass-blocking guard in the NFL, while Andrews was rated as
the eighth-best pass-blocking center, according to Pro Football Focus.
Affording Tom Brady a clean pocket will be key for New England, but it's easier
said than done with Donald destroying everyone in sight.
RAMS WILL WIN THE
SPECIAL-TEAMS BATTLE
Field-position battles aren't the sexiest element of playoff
football, but they might decide what should be one of the closest Super Bowls
in recent memory. Both the Patriots and Rams put greater emphasis on special
teams than most clubs, and Johnny Hekker, Greg Zuerlein, and JoJo Natson will be
called upon when needed.
Hekker was named a second-team All-Pro in 2018. Some
consider him the best punter in the NFL, and Bill Belichick's raved about the
28-year-old. The Rams posted 43.9 net yards per punt, fifth-best in the NFL,
and Hekker will be tasked with trapping the Patriots inside their own 20.
Zuerlein's brilliance was already on display during the NFC
title game and the man nicknamed "Legatron" could make his mark on
history with a few clutch field goals. Few kickers in the NFL can hit from long
range better than Zuerlein, and if the Rams are stopped early in drives, the
veteran should be able to put up points regardless.
Natson and Sam Shields haven't
compiled a large enough sample size as returners, but both players possess the
speed and field vision required to break off a huge run to the house. Winning
the often overlooked third phase of the game will be essential in order to
topple the Patriots, and the Rams are one of the few teams with the personnel
to do it.
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