Friday, November 16, 2018

AFC NORTH GAME BY GAME PREDICTIONS


PITTSBURGH STEELERS
PITTSBURGH -- The Pittsburgh Steelers' opponents for next season finished below .500 collectively last season, but the franchise won't be fooled into thinking that's a major advantage this time around. The team's 2018 schedule is well-stocked with heavy hitters and travel-heavy stretches that will make earning a spot atop the AFC most challenging. Pittsburgh has proved equipped to handle those challenges with four straight seasons of double-digit wins. Earning a fifth will require the offense to win a few shootouts and the defense to improve.
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9, at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET.
The Steelers open in Cleveland for the second straight year, and the Browns played them tight in two games last season. New receiver tandem Landry and Josh Gordon should test the Steelers' secondary. But Pittsburgh has won nine of their past 10 over Cleveland, and it's not stopping that trend against a roster in transition. Record: 1-0
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m. ET
This is a fascinating matchup because the Chiefs offense under Smith struggled to beat the Steelers' zone coverages, but new quarterback Patrick Mahomes will try to challenge that scheme vertically. The Steelers will likely sell out on stopping Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, leaving Artie Burns or Haden in one-on-ones against Sammy Watkins. Steelers will do just enough to contain him. Record: 2-0
Week 3: Monday, Sept. 24, at Tampa Bay Bucs, 8:15 p.m. ET
The Bucs enter a pivotal year for Dirk Koetter's staff, and Jameis Winston's play improved late last season. Tampa is capable of beating anyone, and the Steelers are 2-5 against Florida teams (Jaguars, Bucs, Dolphins) since 2013. Pittsburgh will cave under the September heat. Record: 2-1
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, vs. Baltimore Ravens, 8:20 p.m. ET
Baltimore is averaging 28.8 points per game in its last four Heinz Field games, and the Ravens will be salty after losing three straight to the Steelers. Desperate to break a three-year playoff skid, Baltimore will bring the intensity to Pittsburgh, which starts slow for the second consecutive year. Record: 2-2
Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7, vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET
Shootout! Matt Ryan vs. Ben Roethlisberger is a delicious passing matchup. But this is about the time Le'Veon Bell finds his peak performance after missing training camp, shredding a good front seven for 100-plus yards. And Antonio Brown will be eager to perform in a matchup against Julio Jones, two kings in the receiver pantheon. Record: 3-2
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET
The Steelers simply know how to win in Cincinnati. They've won eight of nine games in Paul Brown Stadium since 2010. Nearly everyone is close, and this one will be no different. Vontaze Burfict will be back from suspension, but the Bengals won't have the speed to keep up with the Steelers' offense. Record: 4-2
Week 7: Bye week
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28, vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m.
The Browns have acquired enough talent to start winning games, but the Steelers will be energized coming off the bye and haven't lost to Cleveland at Heinz Field since 2003. Record: 5-2
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m.
Record: Not seeing these two battle it out in the December cold seems unnatural. But the Ravens still don't have a legitimate No. 1 receiver, which helps Pittsburgh contain Alex Collins and the running game on the way to a series sweep. Record: 6-2
Week 10: Thursday, Nov. 8, vs. Carolina Panthers, 8:20 p.m.
The Panthers are trying to preserve Cam Newton by running him less, but his dual-threat ability could give the Steelers problems in this matchup. The Panthers have the linebacker speed to combat Pittsburgh's quick passing game, which can help them overcome a 1-5 all-time record against the Steelers. Record: 7-2
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, at Jacksonville Jaguars, 8:20 p.m.
Roethlisberger's home-road splits are well-documented (nearly three-to-one TD-INT ratio since 2015), but the Steelers will need his best in a matchup with playoff implications, and he'll deliver. The Steelers' defense was embarrassed twice by Jacksonville last year and will stop the bleeding. Record: 8-3
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, at Denver Broncos, 4:25 p.m. ET
Denver still owns a top-10 defense and has won four of its past five at home over Pittsburgh. Cue one of the Steelers' curious rushing defense performances, which in this case will prove costly for playoff seeding. Record: 8-4
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 1 p.m. ET
Record: The Chargers have one of the league's most underrated rosters as far as talent, but the Steelers sense the playoffs slipping and decide to turn up the heat. Roethlisberger and Philip Rivers battle it out like it's the 2004 draft, putting up a combined 60-plus points. Record: 9-4
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, at Oakland Raiders, 8:20 p.m. ET
This seems like a good time for a reminder that the Steelers have won seven straight prime-time games. Roethlisberger is at his best under the lights, which will be needed against Khalil Mack & Co. Record: 10-4
Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 16, vs. New England Patriots, 4:25 p.m. ET
The Steelers have a healthy Antonio Brown this time, which will be the difference in a second straight Week 15 matchup with New England. Brady will figure out the Steelers' defensive plan eventually, but the Steelers offense always likes its chances at home in December. And Jesse James gets the touchdown he's waited a year to catch. Record: 11-4
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, at New Orleans Saints, 4:25 p.m. ET
The Saints' magma-hot offense overpowers the Steelers as they come off the Patriots high. Drew Brees' quick passing game gives a much-improved secondary problems. Both teams will probably be vying for a top-two playoff seed in their respective conferences. Brees likes his chances at home. Record: 12-4
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET
Record: The Steelers will likely need this game to clinch a playoff bye and home game, and though the Bengals are always up for disrupting Pittsburgh's plans, Bell outplays Joe Mixon in a run-heavy matchup. Record: 13-3
BALTIMORE RAVENS
The Baltimore Ravens must overcome a heavy road schedule in the first two months of the season if they want to end their three-year playoff drought. The Ravens then stay at home for the entire month of November and finish the regular season by playing two of their last three games at M&T Bank Stadium.
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9, vs. Buffalo Bills, 1 p.m. ET
The Ravens typically start off strong under Coach John Harbaugh at home. Since 2008, Baltimore is 5-1 in season openers played at M&T Bank Stadium. It was only two years ago when the Ravens opened up at home with a 13-7 victory against the Bills. Record: 1-0
Week 2: Thursday, Sept. 13, at Cincinnati Bengals, 8:20 p.m. ET
Paul Brown Stadium is Joe Flacco’s house of horrors. In nine games there, Flacco has thrown six touchdowns and 13 interceptions for a woeful 61.8 passer rating. He’s thrown for over 200 yards in Cincinnati only once in his career. Record: 1-1
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23, vs. Denver Broncos, 1 p.m. ET
Denver has become one of the worst road teams in the NFL. The Broncos have lost nine of their past 10 games away from Mile High. Quarterback Case Keenum could change that, although there are doubts whether he can come close to repeating his career year with the Vikings last season. Plus, the Ravens get extra rest coming off a Thursday night game. Record: 2-1
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, at Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:20 p.m. ET
If the Ravens have learned anything in Pittsburgh, it's that they have to figure out how to finish out games. Stopping Ben Roethlisberger in the fourth quarter has been a major problem. In his past two games against Baltimore at Heinz Field, Roethlisberger has completed 30 of 43 passes (69.8 percent), throwing for 392 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions in the fourth quarter (121.5 passer rating). Record: 2-2
Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7, at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET
The Ravens relocated from Cleveland in 1996, but they still make their home in Northern Ohio judging by how often they win there. No quarterback has won more games in Cleveland than Flacco since 2008. He is 8-1 with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. Record: 3-2
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, at Tennessee Titans, 4:25 p.m. ET
The Titans have been extremely tough to beat at home. Tennessee has won 10 of its past 12 games at Nissan Stadium, including a 23-20 win over the Ravens last season. Marcus Mariota has thrown for 14 touchdowns with four interceptions during that stretch. Record: 3-3
Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 21, vs. New Orleans Saints, 4:05 p.m. ET
An amazing bit of trivia: The Ravens are the only team that Drew Brees hasn’t beaten in what likely will be a Hall of Fame career. Brees is 0-4 against Baltimore, throwing nine touchdown passes and eight interceptions. Brees is well aware of this fact, which means it will be difficult for this streak to continue. Record: 3-4
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28, at Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET
No quarterback has won more home games over the past three seasons than Cam Newton. He is 18-5 (.783), scoring a total of 50 touchdowns (38 passing and 12 rushing). This is a bigger challenge than the last time Baltimore played in Charlotte in 2010, when Brian St. Pierre started for the Panthers. Record: 3-5
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET
The Ravens haven’t lost home games to their biggest rival in consecutive seasons since 2001-02. How long ago was that? Tommy Maddox was quarterbacking the Steelers. Unlike last year, Baltimore isn’t playing host to Pittsburgh days after flying across the Atlantic from London. Record: 4-5
Week 10: BYE
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET
Under Coach Marvin Lewis, the Bengals are 7-8 in Baltimore, notching three more wins than any other team since 2003. But the Ravens will be motivated by getting knocked out of the playoffs by Cincinnati on their home turf. Mention “fourth-and-12” to any Ravens player and see what reaction you get. Record: 5-5
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, vs. Oakland Raiders, 1 p.m. ET
The Ravens won in Oakland last season, but that win came against EJ Manuel. It’s a different story with Derek Carr, who is 2-0 against the Ravens. He has thrown for seven touchdowns with one interception for a 110.6 passer rating versus Baltimore. Record: 5-6
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, at Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET
Matt Ryan has recorded the sixth-best passer rating at home (102.4) over the past two seasons, throwing for 27 touchdowns against 11 interceptions. The last time Ryan played Baltimore in Atlanta was 2010, when he passed for 316 yards and three touchdowns. Record: 5-7
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m. ET
Patrick Mahomes takes over for Alex Smith as Kansas City’s starting quarterback, which works in Baltimore’s favor. Under Coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 20-8 against rookie or second-year quarterbacks, forcing 27 interceptions. Record: 6-7
Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 16, vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. ET
Tampa Bay was the worst defense in the NFL last season, and the Buccaneers were even more horrendous away from home. The Buccaneers allowed a league-worst 29.2 points per game on the road. Flacco and the offense have to take advantage of this to gain momentum for the home stretch. Record: 7-7
Week 16: Saturday/Sunday, Dec. 22 or 23, at Los Angeles Chargers, TBD
This is the time of year when the Chargers begin their late-season fade. The Chargers are 5-8 in December since 2015, and only five teams have been worse during this month. This is Baltimore's first NFL game in Los Angeles since October 1975, when the Colts lost to the Rams 24-13 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. The expectation is lots of Ravens fans will pack the StubHub Center and make it feel like a home game for Baltimore. Record: 8-7
Note: The NFL will decide no later than after Week 8 whether the Ravens-Chargers will be played on Saturday (Dec. 22) or Sunday (Dec. 23). If the game is played on Saturday, it will be at either 4:30 p.m. ET or 8:20 p.m. ET on the NFL Network; if the game is selected for Sunday, it will be 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET
The Ravens have defeated the Browns in nine of the past 10 meetings at M&T Bank Stadium. That dominance has meant beating seven different Cleveland quarterbacks: Derek Anderson, Brady Quinn, Seneca Wallace (twice), Brandon Weeden (twice), Connor Shaw, Cody Kessler and DeShone Kizer. Next up, former Ravens backup Tyrod Taylor or a rookie first-round pick. Record: 9-7

CINCINNATI BENGALS
The Cincinnati Bengals won't have any time to waste this season. They'll need a quick start more than ever after an 0-3 beginning doomed them to a 7-9 finish last season.
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9, at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. ET
Colts quarterback Andrew Luck hasn’t taken a snap since the 2016 season, and there’s no guarantee he will be back by Week 1. So much uncertainty doesn’t bode well for the Colts, who had the second-worst offense in the league last season, just ahead of the Bengals. It also doesn’t bode well for Indy's chances to get off to a quick start after a 4-12 season in 2017. Record: 1-0
Week 2: Thursday, Sept. 13, vs. Baltimore Ravens, 8:20 p.m. ET
The Bengals' offense was blindsided by the Ravens’ defense in Week 1 last year, but a fresh start under offensive coordinator Bill Lazor should give Cincinnati a new look. The Bengals fared much better in their second matchup against the Ravens last season, with Lazor at the helm after offensive coordinator Ken Zampese was fired. Record: 2-0
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23, at Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET
The Panthers' only losses at home last season were to the playoff-bound Saints and the eventual Super Bowl-winning Eagles. Although it's doubtful the NFC South will be as good as it was in 2017, the Panthers should still be a good enough team to make it difficult for the Bengals to steal a road victory. Record: 2-1
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, at Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET
The Falcons might have let the NFC divisional playoff game slip out of their hands against the Eagles, but they have been a very good team the past two seasons. Back-to-back road trips against teams with double-digit wins in 2017 won’t be easy for Cincinnati. Record: 2-2
Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7, vs. Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET
The Bengals easily handled a 10-6 Dolphins team in 2016, and Miami has gone the wrong way since then, winning only six games in 2017 and shipping Pro Bowl wide receiver Jarvis Landry to the Browns this offseason. Record: 3-2
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET
The Bengals haven’t beaten the Steelers since Nov. 1, 2015, and Pittsburgh hasn’t had a drop-off since that point. Until the Bengals can prove they can get the Steelers monkey off their shoulders, it’s hard to predict a victory with any confidence. Record: 3-3
Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 21, at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m. ET
The second matchup against the Steelers took so much out of the Bengals last season that a depleted defense allowed 33 points in a loss to the hapless Bears. It’s fair to expect there could be another post-Steelers letdown on the road against a playoff-caliber team like the Chiefs. Record: 3-4
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28, vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. ET
The Buccaneers are going to have a tough time improving in 2018, with three playoff-caliber teams in their division. They had the worst defense in the league last season, and even the trade for Jason Pierre-Paul might not measurably improve their struggling pass rush. The Bengals can take advantage of this spot at home. Record: 4-4
Week 9: BYE
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, vs. New Orleans Saints, 1 p.m. ET
The Saints were one play away from going to the NFC Championship Game last season. With quarterback Drew Brees back and a good crop of young players, they could have the best offense the Bengals face all of 2018. Record: 4-5
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET
The Bengals had a nice run against the Ravens, with five consecutive wins from 2013 to 2015, but the two teams split the series the past two seasons. Both organizations have been middle of the pack the past two years, and if 2018 turns out anything like that, they’re likely headed for a split again. Record: 4-6
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET
The Browns have made a number of moves in the offseason that have generated buzz and have gotten people talking about their potential as contenders. But with one win in two years, it seems doubtful they’ll be ready to turn things around quite yet. Record: 5-6
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, vs. Denver Broncos, 1 p.m. ET
The Broncos have tried to fix their quarterback situation by signing Case Keenum after finishing 20th in passing offense last season. But will that be enough to turn their fortunes around? The Broncos have had late collapses the past two seasons, and the Bengals get them at home late this year, which could work in Cincinnati’s favor. Record: 6-6
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 p.m. ET
The Bengals haven’t had to make a trip to the West Coast since 2015, but they’ve fared surprisingly well there lately, winning their past five games in the Pacific Time zone. The Chargers' offensive line has been inconsistent for the past few years, and if the Bengals' defense can stay healthy, that could be a spot for their pass rush to attack. The Chargers ended last season on a hot streak, and this one could really go either way. Record: 7-6
Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 16, vs. Oakland Raiders 1 p.m. ET
It will be a chess match when the Raiders and former defensive coordinator Paul Guenther come to town. Guenther spent more than a decade in the Bengals' organization and knows them as well as anybody. While it's hard to predict what the team will be like now that Jon Gruden is back, the Raiders certainly could be better than their 6-10 record last season. Record: 7-7
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET
Eventually, the Bengals' winning streak against the Browns, which dates to the 2014 season, will be snapped, but it won’t be this season. While the Browns might close the margin, they still won’t improve enough to win either matchup against the Bengals in 2018. Record: 8-7
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET
This is a difficult opponent to close out the regular season for the Bengals, especially on the road. The Steelers have lost only two of 12 games at home in December since the 2013 season. With both teams likely to be beaten up at this point, the Steelers should still have the edge. Record: 8-8
CLEVELAND BROWNS
A winless team has nowhere to go but up, so the Cleveland Browns have no choice but to be a better team in 2018. In Tyrod Taylor they have a professional quarterback with experience and will clearly be an improved team with the draft and other offseason additions. But the Browns also have a new offensive coordinator, new quarterback, new running back and new receiver, all of whom must mesh by September. As the Browns have shown in the past, that's a tall order. This will be an improved team, but it won't be a .500 team. Five wins will be a measure of improvement though.
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9, vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1:00 p.m. ET
This is a very tough opener, given the Steelers' overall edge in talent and the way they play the Browns. But if a team is going to dream, it has to dream big. Why not start here? The Browns played the Steelers well twice in 2017 (though one game was against backups), and they will pull out every stop in the universe to win this opener. Cleveland is overdue for an upset win. Win. Record: 1-0
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, at New Orleans Saints, 1:00 p.m. ET
It's foolish to pick against Drew Brees in a game his team should win. The Saints have been together a long time and know how to win this kind of game. Record: 1-1
Week 3: Thursday, Sept. 20, vs. New York Jets, 8:20 p.m. ET
This game is as good as any to measure how much the Browns have improved. The Jets game was one of the games the Browns easily could have won in 2017. They should be able to pull it out this season. How does a fast start sound? Record: 2-1
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, at Oakland Raiders, 4:05 p.m. ET
Derek Carr had an off season in 2017. He should bounce back. He's just one of many really good quarterbacks the Browns have to overcome, and can't. Record: 2-2
Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7, vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1:00 p.m. ET
For whatever reason, the Ravens seem to figure out ways to beat the Browns. They've won six in a row and seven of eight over the Browns going back to 2014. At some point, though, that trend has to end. How does a winning record after five games sound? Record: 3-2
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 1:00 p.m. ET
Philip Rivers continues the gauntlet of quarterbacks the Browns must run, but the Chargers are beatable even with Rivers. The Browns beat them in Cleveland two years ago, and with better quarterback play could have won on the West Coast last season. The fast start continues. Record: 4-2
Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 21, at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1:00 p.m. ET
It's tempting to go with the Browns here, but the fast-start bubble has to burst at some point. Jameis Winston on the road will be too much. Record: 4-3
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28, at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1:00 p.m. ET
The only good thing about this game's location on the schedule is that the league saved the Browns the annual end-of-the-season embarrassment in Pittsburgh. It's too much to expect the Browns to sweep the Steelers, especially in Pittsburgh. Record: 4-4
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 1:00 p.m. ET
This will be an interesting game because the Browns will not have to face an experienced top quarterback. Patrick Mahomes gets the chance to take over in Kansas City. What gives the Chiefs the edge is their overall team speed. Record: 4-5
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1:00 p.m. ET
If Matt Ryan and Julio Jones are healthy, they are too much. The Browns simply do not have a cornerback to cover Jones. Record: 4-6
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18. Bye week.
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, at Cincinnati Bengals, 1:00 p.m. ET
Cincinnati has won the last seven games between the two teams entering the 2017 season. The trend continues. Record: 4-7
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, at Houston Texans, 1:00 p.m. ET
Deshaun Watson put a hurting on the Browns last season. If he's healthy as he comes back from knee surgery, he'll do the same this season. If Watson does not play, however, the door is open for a win. For this exercise, assume Watson plays. Record: 4-8
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, vs. Carolina Panthers, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Panthers are coming off an 11-win season and have Cam Newton. The Browns are reeling. Advantage, Carolina. Record: 4-9
Week 15: Saturday, Dec. 15, at Denver Broncos, time to be determined.
The Broncos fell to five wins a year ago for a reason. They are depending on Case Keenum at quarterback. In this matchup, the Browns have the quarterback edge. Record: 5-9
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Bengals have had the Browns' number lately for some reason, and until the Browns change things, it's tough to pick against that trend. Record: 5-10
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, at Baltimore Ravens, 1:00 p.m. ET
It took a record-setting day from Josh McCown for the Browns to beat the Ravens in Baltimore in 2015. That's the only win for Cleveland in the last eight games between the teams heading into 2018. Record: 5-11




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