Friday, November 16, 2018

NFC SOUTH GAME BY GAME PREDICTIONS


ATLANTA FALCONMS
The Atlanta Falcons' quest for a return trip to the Super Bowl ended last season with a 15-10 loss to eventual Super Bowl champ Philadelphia in the divisional round.
The Falcons have a chance to rebound from that loss immediately with a season-opening prime-time showdown with the Eagles on Thursday, Sept. 6. Such a road win there would be the ideal start to the new season.
But in order to have success, the Falcons have to find consistency on offense, keep building on defense and find a way to overcome their special-teams woes.
Here are game-by-game predictions for how the Falcons might fare in 2018:
Week 1: Thursday, Sept. 6, at Philadelphia Eagles, 8:15 p.m. ET
The Eagles will be hyped as the city welcomes them back as champions. Quarterback Carson Wentz should be back in a starting role off an ACL injury. And the Eagles fortified their strong defense with the addition of Michael Bennett, a guy the Falcons had desired to add via a trade. Record: 0-1.
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, vs. Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET
The Falcons seem to have the Panthers' number in Atlanta, having won four straight against their division foe at home. It's always intriguing when Atlanta native Cam Newton comes home, but Deion Jones and the Falcons know how to knock him out of rhythm. Record: 1-1
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23, vs. New Orleans Saints, 1 p.m. ET
The bitter rivalry had a dramatic ending last season as Jones, a New Orleans native, came up with the leaping interception of Drew Brees. These games always seem to be close and could come down to Matt Bryant's leg. Record: 2-1
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET
These teams last met in 2014, with the Bengals winning 24-10 at home. The Bengals are coming off a 7-9 season, so this should be one of the easier early opponents, although last year's home losses to Miami and Buffalo showed the Falcons that nothing comes easy. Record: 3-1
Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7, at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET
There are some intriguing storylines here with the quarterback matchup between Matt Ryan and Ben Roethlisberger, the running back battle between Devonta Freeman and Le'Veon Bell, and the top receiver showdown between Julio Jones and Antonio Brown. The Steelers will be tough at home. Record: 3-2
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. ET
The Falcons swept the meetings last season and have won three in a row against the Buccaneers. Meanwhile, the Bucs still seem to be getting things figured out with quarterback Jameis Winston, who is dangerous but erratic. Record: 4-2
Week 7: Monday, Oct. 22, vs. New York Giants, 8:15 p.m. ET
Last year on this date, the Falcons traveled to New England for the much-anticipated Super Bowl rematch with the Patriots, only to get bullied in a 23-7 loss. Playing the Giants at home should be a much easier task, even if Odell Beckham Jr. goes off. Record: 5-2
Week 8: Bye
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, at Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. ET
Redskins cornerback Josh Norman already talked about how much he's looking forward to the matchup with his buddy Julio Jones, the guy Norman called the "ultimate competitor." The Redskins have a new signal-caller in Alex Smith, who will be competitive but not competitive enough to lead his team to victory. Record: 6-2
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET
The Browns' winless streak dating back to last season should be over by now, but they still have a long way to go. It will be interesting to see if one of the highly touted rookie quarterbacks is running Hue Jackson's offense by this time. Won't matter. Record: 7-2.
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, vs. Dallas Cowboys, 1 p.m. ET
Although the Falcons handled the Cowboys rather easily last season, it is likely to be a different story this time around with Ezekiel Elliott in the lineup. The Cowboys have Elliott and the offensive line to grind it out in a hard-fought, physical contest. Record: 7-3
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 26, at New Orleans Saints, 8:20 p.m. ET
This should be a rather entertaining Thanksgiving Day brawl, with the bitter rivals fighting for supremacy in the division. The running back tandem of Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram, if healthy, pose one of the toughest challenges of the season. And Drew Brees is Drew Brees. Record: 7-4
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, vs. Baltimore, 1 p.m. ET
There was a time when Matt Ryan vs. Joe Flacco was an intriguing matchup of taller quarterbacks. Not anymore. Flacco has fallen off significantly from his Super Bowl days. Record: 8-4
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, at Green Bay, 1 p.m. ET
A Falcons team that's used to playing indoors has to brace for potential frigid conditions at Lambeau Field. Not to mention it's hard to put the freeze on Aaron Rodgers, especially on his home turf. Record: 8-5
Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 16, vs. Arizona, 1 p.m. ET
New Cardinals coach Steve Wilks, formerly the defensive coordinator in Carolina, and defensive coordinator Al Holcomb, formerly the linebackers coach in Carolina, know how to attack the Falcons defensively. But it might take a year for the players to adjust in the new system. Record: 9-5
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 25, at Carolina, 1 p.m. ET
Depending on what version of Newton shows up, the Panthers should be much more formidable at home. It will be interesting to see how Christian McCaffrey is progressing at this time. And the Panthers will have linebacker Davis back (PED suspension) for this second meeting. Record: 9-6
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, at Tampa Bay 1 p.m. ET
The NFL set it up so that the final weekend is full of division matchups. This could go either way depending on the stakes, but Winston showed early in his career he was capable of giving the Falcons fits. And Mike Evans has done the same recently. Record: 9-7
CAROLINA PANTHERS
CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- The NFL apparently has something against the Carolina Panthers opening at home.
Make that had.
For the first time since 2013 and the second time in Ron Rivera’s eight years as head coach, Carolina opens at Bank of America Stadium -- against the Dallas Cowboys.
Perhaps the schedule-makers finally forgot how Rivera questioned them in 2016 when the Panthers had to open at Denver, a rematch of Super Bowl 50 that was played less than eight months earlier.
Rivera felt the defending NFC champions deserved to open at home. He was critical that the league made him and his players relive their 24-10 loss to the Broncos all offseason.
So the league rewarded Rivera this year with about as high a profile opener as one could get -- against America’s Team.
With that in mind, here’s a game-by-game look at how the Panthers will fare in 2018:
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9, vs. Dallas Cowboys, 4:25 p.m. ET
Any time Dallas comes to town, it creates a stir. It causes a bigger stir when it’s the first game -- and a national broadcast, at that. Here’s another twist: Remember when Norv Turner was the offensive coordinator at Dallas and helped Troy Aikman become a Hall of Fame quarterback and Emmitt Smith a HOF running back? Seems like forever ago. Well, Turner, 65, still is trying to work his magic, now with Cam Newton and Christian McCaffreyRecord: 1-0
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, at Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET
The Falcons have won four of five games in this series since putting an end to Carolina’s run at a perfect record with two games remaining in the 2015 season. That trend continues. Record: 1-1
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23, vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET
These teams played to a 37-37 tie the last time they met, 2014 in Cincinnati. You can almost guarantee that this one won’t end deadlocked. Record: 2-1
Week 4: Bye
Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7, vs. New York Giants, 1 p.m. ET
Giants general manager Dave Gettleman returns to the stadium where he helped build the Panthers into a Super Bowl runner-up in 2015 and perennial playoff contender. He’ll probably stop by one of his favorite restaurants in the Dilworth area. He still won’t tell anybody why owner Jerry Richardson fired him the week before last year’s training camp. Record: 3-1
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, at Washington Redskins, 1 p.m. ET
By now, the reviews for Washington cornerback Josh Norman in "Dancing with the Stars" will be fully known. His former Carolina teammates will either be ragging him or listening to his bragging. By now, the Redskins will know if Alex Smith was worth trading for to replace Kirk CousinsRecord: 4-1
Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 21, at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET
The Eagles may have won the Super Bowl last year, but they didn’t do it by making trades like they did with Carolina prior to free agency. The Panthers got wide receiver Torrey Smith, a dependable player with good leadership skills. The Eagles got cornerback Daryl Worley, who recently was released after being arrested when police found him passed out in a car. A gun also was found. That aside, the Eagles won the Super Bowl for a reason. Record: 4-2
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 29, vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET
Perhaps the new Panthers owner will choose this game to retire the jersey of Steve Smith, the team’s all-time leading receiver who went to the Ravens after being released by Carolina in 2014. Smith predicted there would be “blood and guts everywhere" when he faced the Panthers that season. Yeah, he was mad. This could be love and forgiveness. Record: 5-2
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. ET
Jameis Winston gave a pregame speech prior to a Week 9 game against New Orleans last year in which he formed his fingers into the shape of a W and pretended to eat it. When Winston couldn’t finish off the Panthers in December, allowing Carolina to clinch a playoff berth, the Panthers' team website trolled Winston with the picture of a cake shaped like a W, disappearing bite by bite. Winston won’t finish this one off, either. Record: 6-2
Week 10: Thursday, Nov. 8, at Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:30 p.m. ET
Rivera isn’t a big fan of Thursday night games. Now he has to face one of the best teams in the AFC on a Thursday. On the road. And the road team typically doesn’t fare well on a short week. Record: 6-3
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET
These teams meet in the Motor City for the second straight year. Detroit native Devin Funchess had a big game with seven catches for 53 yards and a touchdown last year as Carolina won. He was key off the field, too, tipping a couple of reporters to what he called the best wings in town. They were. Record: 7-3
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, vs. Seattle Seahawks, 1 p.m. ET
Seattle is retooling, but Russell Wilson always seems to be a thorn in Carolina’s side. These teams have faced each other seven times since Wilson entered the league in 2012, and the Seahawks have won five times. Make that six. Record: 7-4
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. ET
You keep hearing that this is going to be the year the Buccaneers will break into the playoff picture. It hasn’t happened since 2007, and there’s no reason to think this year will be different. Record: 8-4
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET
The typical December cold spell could work to Cleveland’s advantage here. But hey, this is a team that didn’t win a game in 2017. Weather doesn’t matter. Record: 9-4
Week 15: Monday, Dec. 17, vs. New Orleans Saints, 8:30 p.m. ET
Newton loves Monday Night Football. He spent part of a news conference last year before a prime-time game against Miami talking about the iconic MNF song performed by Hank Williams Jr. and how he planned to wear a cowboy hat to the game. He brought his game that Monday, throwing four touchdown passes and rushing for 95 yards to improve his MNF record to 5-1. Look for him to bring his best to this one as well. Record: 10-4
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET
Newton has one of the best records in the NFL in December since he entered the league in 2011. He also has a short history of losing big December games to the Falcons, none bigger than the one in 2015 that ended Carolina’s run at a perfect record. Record: 10-5
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, at New Orleans Saints, 1 p.m. ET
For the second straight year, the Panthers will have a chance to win the division with a victory on the road. They didn’t do it at Atlanta last season and they won’t do it again in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Drew Brees got that big contract extension for a reason. Record: 10-6
NEW ORLEAN SAINTS
The New Orleans Saints are bona fide Super Bowl contenders again after they finally ended a three-year playoff drought last season. But if they're going to make a serious run in 2018, they'd better start fast.
After being plagued by slow starts over the past four years (1-3, 0-3, 0-3 and 0-2), the Saints can't afford a repeat with the schedule looking much more favorable in the first five weeks than the final 11.
The Saints open with back-to-back home games for the first time since 2004, and four of their first five opponents had losing records last year. On the flip side, nine of their final 11 opponents had winning records last year.
Here's how I see things playing out:
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9, vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. ET
Tampa Bay's disappointing 2017 season reached its boiling point in New Orleans last year when a fight broke out on the sidelines after quarterback Jameis Winston and receiver Mike Evans got overly frustrated by cornerback Marshon Lattimore's shut-down performance. The Buccaneers failed to live up to lofty expectations, finishing last in the NFC South at 5-11 -- and the Saints can’t afford to let them start off on the right foot this season. Record: 1-0
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, vs. Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET
Likewise, the long-suffering Browns are bound to start turning things around soon after amassing so many premium draft picks in recent years (including the No. 1 and No. 4 overall picks next week). But the Saints can't let that turnaround begin just yet. Record: 2-0
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23, at Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET
The Saints can absolutely go into Atlanta and win -- like they’ve done in five of their past eight trips there and should have done again last season. But this rivalry is always close to a pick 'em. So if the Saints aren't going to start 5-0 heading into their bye week, this is the game that's mostly likely to trip them up. Record: 2-1
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, at New York Giants, 4:25 p.m. ET
I don’t expect this to be an easy road trip, either, despite the Giants' stunning 3-13 flop last season. Remember, New York is just one year removed from a playoff season -- and native New Orleanais Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. are bound to bounce back. (Get your popcorn ready for that Beckham-Lattimore matchup, by the way.) Record: 3-1
Week 5: Monday, Oct. 8, vs. Washington Redskins, 8:15 p.m. ET
Surely, the NFL and ESPN must have planned this, right? If Saints quarterback Drew Brees starts hot, he could be on pace to break Peyton Manning’s career passing yardage record inside the Superdome on Monday Night Football. Brees will need to average just a shade less than 300 yards per game in the first five games to surpass Manning's mark of 71,940. Record: 4-1
Week 6: Bye
Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 21, at Baltimore Ravens, 4:05 p.m. ET
Speaking of Brees, here's a trivia question for you: Name the only team he has yet to beat in his future Hall of Fame career. (How'd you guess?) Brees is 0-4 all-time against the Ravens, and this could be his last crack at them since they play only once every four years. (Coach Sean Payton has beaten every team but Baltimore and Denver.) I say they get it done this time, despite this being a tough opponent to face on the road. The bye week should help. Record: 5-1
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28, at Minnesota Vikings, 8:20 p.m. ET
This figures to be one of the must-see matchups of the season, with two of the NFC's top teams squaring off in a rematch of their unforgettable playoff game from January. And the Saints are obviously overdue for a win in Minnesota after their season ended in crushing fashion in that game, courtesy of Stefon Diggs' miracle 61-yard touchdown catch. But I'll give Minnesota the win here. The Vikings are even more loaded now after signing quarterback Cousins and defensive tackle Sheldon Richardson in free agency. Record: 5-2
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, vs. Los Angeles Rams, 4:25 p.m. ET
Speaking of top NFC title contenders, here comes another one into the Superdome a week later. The Rams also loaded up this offseason, acquiring defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh, former Saints receiver Brandin Cooks and cornerbacks Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters, among others. The Rams' defensive line, which already features all-world DT Aaron Donald, is downright frightening now. If any team can handle that front, it’s Payton, Brees and the Saints' loaded offensive line. But I'll give New Orleans the loss here, since they’re bound to face a little adversity at some point. Record: 5-3
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET
This is exactly the kind of "letdown" game against a solid, unfamiliar AFC opponent that I could see the Saints losing in the middle of an intense stretch that includes so many huge NFC matchups. But since I just hit them with the losses against Minnesota and L.A., I'll give them the win here against a Bengals team whose arrow is not pointing up right now. Record: 6-3
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET
Rest assured I don't expect the Saints to lose against all of the other top NFC contenders this season -- so I'll give them the win in this one against an Eagles team that is bound to be battling a bit of a Super Bowl hangover. The Eagles, however, proved to be one of the NFL's most balanced teams last season and should have rising star quarterback Carson Wentz back healthy by this time. Record: 7-3
Week 12: Thursday, Nov. 22, vs. Atlanta Falcons, 8:20 p.m. ET
Finally. The Saints get to play a Thursday night game at home after they had to play four of their past five Thursday night games on the road. And this one comes on Thanksgiving night -- a first in Superdome history. Let the "roasted Falcon for Thanksgiving" jokes commence. Record: 8-3
Week 13: Thursday, Nov. 29, at Dallas Cowboys, 8:20 p.m. ET
Ummm ... forget what I said about those Thursday night games at home. I guess it was too good to be true. This streak of NFC contenders the Saints will be facing throughout November and December is remarkable -- and I think Dallas will be back among the conference's best teams with a bounce-back season from QB Dak Prescott, RB Ezekiel Elliott and a loaded offensive line. Record: 8-4
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. ET
Perhaps the Buccaneers finally will start tapping into their potential as a rising young team by December -- but for now it still feels like the Saints have their number a little bit. Record: 9-4
Week 15: Monday, Dec. 17, at Carolina Panthers, 8:15 p.m. ET
Speaking of having a team's number ... the Saints went a perfect 3-0 against the rival Panthers last season, including the playoffs -- which led to that unforgettable scene where Payton and players danced with a broom in the locker room. It won't be easy for them to pull off another sweep this season, especially considering their first rematch will come on a Monday night in possibly frigid mid-December weather conditions. But this is a road game the Saints have proved they can win in the past, and Carolina could take a step back this year after losing guard Andrew Norwell and defensive tackle Star Lotulelei(though they did add DT Dontari Poe and receivers Torrey Smith and Jarius Wright, among others). Record: 10-4
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m. ET
What a way to follow up a tough Monday night road game -- a date with the Steelers six days later. Since I gave the Saints a big win at Carolina, I'll give them the letdown loss in this one. If you prefer to flip-flop those two results, I won't quibble. Record: 10-5
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, vs. Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET
If I picked the Saints to win at Carolina, I've got to pick them to finish off another sweep at home, too, right? This doesn't feel fair to the Panthers, who have proved to be a more than worthy adversary for the Saints during the Cam Newton/Luke Kuechly era. Before last season's sweep, the Saints lost three straight games to Carolina (and six out of eight). One way or another, these two games over the final three weeks should have huge playoff implications. Record: 11-5
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
TAMPA, Fla. -- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers' 2018 schedule features a tough opening three-game stretch featuring two divisional champs and the defending Super Bowl champions.
There is a Week 3 Monday Night Football game, an early Week 5 bye week and yet another odd scheduling quirk this year that will mean the NFC South title will come down to the wire in Week 17. It should be noted that there is no Thursday Night Football game on the Bucs' schedule for the first time since 2011, and every single Sunday game will be played at 1:00 p.m. ET unless it's flexed.
Here’s a game-by-game prediction of how the year will go:
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 10, at New Orleans Saints, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Bucs may be 11-18 all-time in New Orleans and the Superdome can be a particularly tough place to play, but since 2015, the Saints have gone 0-4 at home during the month of September. They're just not a good September team, period. In the last four years, they've gone 2-11 in September, the worst mark of any team in the league during that time frame. They'll get an early test from running back Alvin Kamara, who had 280 all-purpose yards in two games against the Bucs last year. Quarterback Jameis Winston and wide receiver Mike Evans should also get a pretty warm reception after that Lattimore altercation they had in the Superdome last year.
Record: 1-0
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Bucs have faced the reigning Super Bowl champion 21 times. They are 4-17 in those games, according to ESPN Stats & Info. This will actually be the third-straight season that the Bucs play the defending champs. They lost to the New England Patriots 19-14 at home in 2017 and they lost to the Denver Broncos 27-7 at home in 2016. The Eagles are 9-6 on the road in the month of September since 2010, second-best of any team in the league for that time period. Also, because the Eagles play on Thursday night the previous week, they'll have three extra days to prepare.
Record: 1-1
Week 3: Monday, Sept. 24, vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:15 p.m. ET
The Steelers are 45-24 all-time on Monday nights, the best record by any AFC team and third-best of any NFL team, according to ESPN Stats & Info. The Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers are the only NFL teams with better records in those games. With the secondary expected to be addressed in next week's NFL draft, this will provide an early test. In the last five seasons, no team has completed more passes of 20 or more air yards downfield than the Steelers. Since 2016, the Bucs are 27th in the league (39 percent) in completion percentage surrendered on passes of 20-plus air yards.
Record: 1-2
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, at Chicago Bears, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Bucs’ first three opponents had a .771 average win percentage from last season, which is the highest in the league when comparing teams’ first three opponents. They'll catch a little bit of a break in Chicago against a Bears squad that has finished 14-34 the last three seasons. The Bucs’ all-time record in Chicago is 6-21 -- going back to the old NFC Central days, but they've gone 2-0 against the Bears the last two years. They won't be able to push the tempo in sweltering Tampa heat, though, but possibly on the inexperience of young Mitch Trubisky.
Record: 2-2
Week 5: BYE
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, at Atlanta Falcons, 1:00 p.m. ET
If Winston can build off of what he was able to do on Monday Night Football last season against Atlanta -- throwing three touchdowns and zero interceptions in arguably his best-ever game, despite a 24-21 loss -- it could be a real tone-setter for the rest of the season. On the other hand, the Bucs' defense gave up 926 all-purpose yards in two games against the Falcons last year, more than any other team in the league.
Record: 2-3
Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 21, vs. Cleveland Browns, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Bucs are 2-0 at home against the Browns since 2002. They have faced the team scheduled to pick first-overall in the draft 15 times. Interestingly enough, those haven't been "gimme games." As a matter of fact, they are 5-10 in them, according to ESPN Stats & Info. Still, they should be able to win this, even with a revamped Browns' front office, top free agents in Jarvis Landry, Taylor and Damarious Randall and some quality draft picks getting ready to blossom -- it will take some time for those pieces to jell.
Record: 3-3
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28, at Cincinnati Bengals, 1:00 p.m. ET
You can always expect a punishing defense from Marvin Lewis' group, but last season, they struggled stopping the run at home, surrendering 4.55 yards per carry, third-most of any team in the league. Their 137.8 rushing yards allowed per game at home was also tops in the league. It should be noted, though, that they only gave up, on-average, 190 passing yards per game at home, fourth-best in the league, and their 36-percent red zone efficiency defense was third-best in the league. The Bucs could use a heavy dose of Peyton Barber here.
Record: 4-3
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, at Carolina Panthers, 1:00 p.m. ET
Since 2015, the Panthers are 6-1 at Bank of America Stadium in November, tied for the best home record in the NFL during that span. In October of last year at Raymond James Stadium, the Panthers' defense completely annihilated Winston, picking him off twice and preventing him from scoring a touchdown. With Winston healthy, things should be a lot closer, the way they were in Week 15, when the Bucs lost 22-19. Five of the last eight games between these two teams have been decided by one score or less.
Record: 4-4
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, vs. Washington Redskins, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Redskins' defense allowed the third-lowest completion percentage of opposing quarterbacks in 2017 (57.6 percent). They also yielded, on average, an opponent passer rating of 81.0, one of the top marks in the league. This group has some familiarity with quarterback Alex Smith, though not in Jay Gruden's system, after the Bucs pulled off a thrilling 19-17 win at Arrowhead Stadium, thanks to a fourth-quarter interception from safety Chris Conte.
Record: 4-5
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, at New York Giants, 1:00 p.m. ET
When defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul was introduced as the newest member of the Buccaneers, he said this matchup was already circled on his calendar. He spent eight seasons with the Giants, recording 58.5 sacks, 27 more than any of his teammates in that time span. On the other side of the ball, the Bucs will face a new-look Giants' 3-4 defense, and depending on where the chips fall, possibly one of the most electrifying running backs in years if they wind up drafting Saquon Barkley, whom general manager Dave Gettleman loves.
Record: 5-5
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, vs. San Francisco 49ers, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Bucs know Kyle Shanahan's offenses from his time with the Redskins and more recently, the Atlanta Falcons, but this will be their first time seeing quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, whose 1,542 passing yards in his first five starts was more than Joe Montana and Steve Young combined (1,479). He also had seven-consecutive wins to start his career, tied for the fourth-longest streak in the Super Bowl era.
Record: 5-6
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, vs. Carolina Panthers, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Bucs most-definitely want to play the Panthers at Raymond James Stadium in December, versus Bank of America Stadium. The Panthers are 6-5 on the road in December (.545) versus 10-1 at home (.909), the league's best home December record. This also marks the start of three divisional games in the final five weeks of the season, all at home, in yet another odd divisional schedule quirk.
Record: 6-6
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, vs. New Orleans Saints, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Bucs' 31-24 win over the Saints at home to close out last season not only helped them finish the year on a high note, but helped salvage head coach Dirk Koetter's job. This game also marked tremendous improvement from their rushing defense, holding Kamara and Mark Ingram to just 79 combined rushing yards. Defensive coordinator Mike Smith always emphasizes that the good teams run the ball well in December. It's up to the great defenses to be able to stop them.
Record: 7-6
Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 16, at Baltimore Ravens 1:00 p.m. ET
The Ravens are tough when they're at home, going 47-17 since 2010, the NFL’s fourth-best home record during that span. But if there's a bright side to that for the Bucs, they've actually had a drop-off in play the last eight years from November to December. Since 2010, they've gone 15-2 at home in November, the best in the league, but have slipped to 12-7 in December, 12th in the league. It'll be a test for Winston though. The Ravens' defense also notched 22 interceptions last season, more than any other team in the league.
Record: 7-7
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, at Dallas Cowboys, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Bucs may have lost to the Cowboys 26-20 in Week 15 of 2016, but statistically, this is actually a great time for road teams to visit AT&T Stadium. Since 2001, the Cowboys are 12-17 at home in the month of December, 28th in the league. In the last five years, they’ve gone 3-4 at home during that month, 27th in the league. They had no answers for Ezekiel Elliott, who rushed for 159 yards and a touchdown, but their revamped defensive line, featuring three former NFC East D-linemen in Pierre-Paul, Vinny Curry and Beau Allen, should fare better. Still, the Bucs are just 1-11 all-time at Dallas, with their lone victory coming in a 10-6 game in 2001.
Record: 7-8
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1:00 p.m. ET
This game will really be a four-ring circus, just like last year, because the Panthers and Saints will also be playing at 1:00 and those teams face heavily-back loaded divisional schedules too. For example, four of the Saints' final six games are NFC South opponents, while the Panthers will see four of their final five come from the division. The Bucs are 2-0 in season finales played at home under Koetter.
Record: 8-8



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