Friday, November 16, 2018

AFC WEST GAME BY GAME PREDICTIONS


DENVER  BRONCOS
ENGLEWOOD, Colo. -- The Denver Broncos have spent the offseason trying to dig out from last season's 5-11 finish, their worst showing since 2010 -- the year before John Elway returned to the team as the top football decision-maker. They've signed Case Keenum at quarterback and believe he's just what they need.
But the roster, at least pre-draft, still looks too thin in spots to compete for a playoff spot in the AFC West. History says the Broncos should at least get back to .500 this time around. After all, they haven't had back-to-back losing seasons since 1971-72.
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9 vs. Seattle Seahawks, 4:25 p.m. ET
This is the Seahawks' first trip to Denver since 2010. They have largely dismantled the Legion of Boom defense, having released Richard Sherman, traded Michael Bennett and Earl Thomas is a no-show for the early portion of the team's voluntary offseason workouts. The team is also regrouping some on offense, with three of their most productive pass-catchers having departed in free agency. Record: 1-0
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16 vs. Oakland Raiders, 4:25 p.m. ET
The Raiders created some of the biggest headlines of the offseason when they signed Coach Jon Gruden to a 10-year deal to resurrect some swagger. Wide receiver Jordy Nelson was their most significant signing in free agency -- he'll turn 33 in May -- but Gruden's quest for "grinders" leaves largely the same kind of roster the Broncos faced last season. Record: 2-0
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23 at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET
The Ravens have given quarterback Joe Flacco some new targets in Michael Crabtree and John Brown, and some in the league believe the Ravens might have interest in adding Dez Bryant as well. It will be a test for the Broncos' revamped secondary, with Bradley Roby in an increased role and Tramaine Brock having been signed. Record: 2-1
Week 4: Monday, Oct. 1 vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 8:15 ET
Their playoff spot assured, the Chiefs sat most of their regulars last New Year's Eve in Denver and still gave the Broncos their 11th loss of the season. Patrick Mahomes got his first start at quarterback in that game and is now Andy Reid's permanent starting quarterback. Record: 2-2
Week 5: Sunday. Oct. 7 at New York Jets, 1 p.m. ET
The Jets are on the hunt for the quarterback of their future in this draft, but at the moment they're still a rebuilding team trying to rise from the ground up with a draft-centric approach. The Broncos have won three of their last four road games against the Jets. Record: 3-2
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14 vs. Los Angeles Rams, 4:05 p.m. ET
Just start with former Broncos head coach/assistant Wade Phillips calling the defensive plays for the Rams to go with former Broncos captain Aqib Talib at one of the starting cornerback spots after being traded last month. The Rams were the big-splash team this offseason, having added Talib, Ndamukong Suhand Brandin Cooks in recent weeks. Record: 3-3
Week 7: Thursday, Oct. 18 at Arizona Cardinals, 8:20 p.m. ET
They have a new coach in Steve Wilks, a new quarterback in Sam Bradford and one of the team's foundation players -- wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald -- back for his 15th season. The Cardinals have been a frequent preseason opponent for the Broncos and are again this year, but the Broncos haven't played a regular-season game in Arizona since 2010, or just after Josh McDaniels had been fired as head coach. Record: 4-3
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28 at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m. ET
Last season's trip to Arrowhead was the real beginning of the spinning carousel that became the Broncos' quarterback depth chart. Trevor Siemian threw three interceptions in the Broncos' loss that night. Thus began the season of change, as the Broncos went through three starters behind center -- twice -- in the games that followed. Record: 4-4
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4 vs. Houston Texans, 4:05 p.m. ET
The Broncos likely get a glimpse at one of the best young combinations in the league in quarterback Deshaun Watson and wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins has already said he believes the two can be the "best duo in the NFL." The Texans' last win in Denver was in 2012, when Gary Kubiak was Houston's coach. Record: 5-4
Week 10: BYE
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18 at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 p.m.
The Broncos trip to the Chargers' temporary soccer stadium home in '17 turned out to be an ugly -- yet historical -- one, as Denver was shut out for the first time since 1992. It was the Chargers' first win in their return to the Los Angeles area since 1960. Record: 5-5
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m.
This will likely be the best group of receivers the Broncos face in Antonio BrownJuJu Smith-Schuster and Martavis Bryant. If the Steelers find a way to clean up the offseason drama with RB Le'Veon Bell, the Broncos' defense gets the sternest of tests. The Broncos have won three of the last four meetings with the Steelers, including two playoff wins. Record: 5-6
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2 at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET
Bengals wide receiver A.J. Green has promised he will rebound from a "crummy" 2017 season. The team has spent plenty of time on an overhaul of the offense, as Bill Lazor -- who was moved into a play-calling role after Ken Zampese was fired two games into '17 -- gets an offseason to put in his playbook. The Broncos won in their last trip to Paul Brown Stadium in 2016. Record: 6-6
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9 at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 p.m. ET
The Broncos get their first look at quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo -- the 49ers' $137 million man -- leading a team that also added Richard Sherman as former Broncos safety John Lynch works through his second year as the 49ers' general manager. This is the Broncos' first regular-season game against the 49ers in California since 2002 -- the 49ers were the "home" team against the Broncos in London in 2010. Record: 6-7
Week 15: Saturday, Dec. 15 vs. Cleveland Browns, 4:30 p.m. ET
The Broncos don't really know who two of the biggest names they will face in this one are at the moment, as the Browns have the Nos. 1 and 4 overall picks in the draft. But Cleveland was aggressive in the offseason after a combined 1-31 record over the past two seasons, adding wide receiver Jarvis Landry and quarterback Tyrod TaylorRecord: 7-7
Week 16: Monday, Dec. 24 at Oakland Raiders, 8:15 p.m. ET
Last season's trip to Oakland on Nov. 26 was supposed to be the start of Paxton Lynch's stretch run to show he could be an option for 2018. But he tossed a red zone interception, injured his ankle and didn't start again until the season finale. Record: 8-7
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30 vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 4:25 p.m. ET
The Chargers feel they are ready to be "the" defense in the division, a title the Broncos have held for much of the past five or so seasons. The Chargers look stout in front of quarterback Philip Rivers, having added center Mike Pouncey. The offense will again hinge on what Rivers has left in the tank. Record: 8-8
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
The most difficult portion of the Kansas City Chiefs' schedule comes in the first six games, which includes four on the road. The schedule eases considerably after that. The Chiefs will play just one playoff team from 2017 over their final 10 games and finish with three of their last four games at Arrowhead Stadium.
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9, at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 p.m. ET
The Chiefs have won eight straight against the Chargers, five times by double-digit margins. The streak continues, but just barely. Record: 1-0.
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET
The Chiefs haven’t won in Pittsburgh since 1986. They won’t be able to overcome all that bad history. Record: 1-1.
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23, vs. San Francisco 49ers, 1 p.m. ET
Alex Smith was the 49ers quarterback the last time they played in Kansas City, in 2010. Much has changed since, but the result won’t. Record: 2-1.
Week 4: Monday, Oct. 1, at Denver Broncos, 8:15 p.m. ET
The Chiefs have won three straight in Denver, but victory came only on a field goal on the last play in each of the last two seasons. It’s the Broncos’ turn on their home field. Record: 2-2.
Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7, vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET
The Jaguars almost beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead two years ago, when they had a bad team. Jacksonville is no longer a joke. Record: 2-3.
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, at New England Patriots, 8:20 p.m. ET
The Chiefs pulled out a win in a memorable game in New England in prime time last year. It’s too much to ask for that to happen again. Record: 2-4.
Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 21, vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET
The Chiefs’ schedule eases considerably with the arrival of this game. The Chiefs will take advantage. Record: 3-4.
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28, vs. Denver Broncos, 1 p.m. ET
The last five games at Arrowhead between these teams have been in prime time. The Chiefs will continue their modest winning streak in the daylight. Record: 4-4.
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET
Browns GM John Dorsey, fired last year by the Chiefs, gets to watch the quarterback he so boldly moved up to draft for Kansas City in 2017. He’ll wish Patrick Mahomes II played for the Browns. Record: 5-4.
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, vs. Arizona Cardinals, 1 p.m. ET
Sam Bradford is 1-0 at Arrowhead, but that win came in the Big 12 championship game in 2008, when he played for Oklahoma. Things will be different this time. Record: 6-4.
Week 11: Monday, Nov. 19, vs. Los Angeles Rams (in Mexico City), 8:15 p.m. ET
Marcus Peters will be motivated to beat the team that traded him. He might even attempt to make a tackle or two. Record: 6-5.
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, at Oakland Raiders, 4:05 p.m. ET
Jon Gruden lost his first three games against the Chiefs in his previous time coaching the Raiders. He’ll get off to a similar start against Kansas City this time. Record: 7-5.
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET
Joe Flacco is 3-0 all-time against the Chiefs, with two wins coming at Arrowhead. But there’s a first time for everything. Record: 8-5.
Week 15: Thursday, Dec. 13, vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 8:20 p.m. ET
The Chiefs’ long winning streak against the Chargers comes to an end, putting Kansas City’s playoff hopes in danger. Record: 8-6.
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, at Seattle Seahawks, 8:20 p.m. ET
The teams played a classic, hard-fought game at Arrowhead the last time they met, in 2014. Record: 8-7.
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, vs. Oakland Raiders, 1 p.m. ET
The Chiefs get the win in their final game and a sweep of the Raiders. But will that be enough to put them in the playoffs? Record: 9-7.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
COSTA MESA, Calif. – The Los Angeles Chargers will be road warriors in 2018. According to ESPN Stats & Information, the Chargers have to travel 30,797 miles round trip this season, including a home game in London in Week 7 against the Tennessee Titans.
Only the Oakland Raiders (31,716) travel more miles than the Chargers. That said the Chargers have the ninth-easiest strength of schedule in the NFL to start the regular season at .480. In the Chargers' second season in Los Angeles, Coach Anthony Lynn should have the advantage of continuity in a year of transition for the rest of the AFC West.
“Missing out on that playoff tiebreaker left a sour taste in everyone’s mouth, so schedule release day is pretty nice in that it helps us lock in on the job at hand for 2018,” Lynn said. “You know for months who you’re playing and where, but the 'when' brings everything that much more into focus. Looking at the schedule, there’s no doubt we have our work cut out for us. But I’m excited about this team and know we’ll be up for the challenge.”
Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9, vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 4:05 p.m.
Losers of eight straight against the Chiefs, the Chargers will face second-year pro Patrick Mahomes for the first time, as the Texas Tech product makes his second career start. Chargers defensive coordinator Gus Bradley should have some wrinkles in store. Record: 1-0.
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, at Buffalo Bills, 1 p.m.
The Chargers intercepted Nathan Peterman five times in the first half in a runaway win against the Bills last season. Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram will likely get a chance to chase around another inexperienced quarterback in the team’s season opener, whether it’s AJ McCarron or a rookie the Bills take in the draft. Record: 2-0.
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23, at Los Angeles Rams, 4:05 p.m.
The Chargers get an up-close look at their crosstown-rival Rams and the dream team they constructed during the offseason. Should be a tough game for the Bolts after traveling across the country a week earlier to face a physical Buffalo squad. Record: 2-1.
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, vs. San Francisco 49ers, 4:25 p.m.
The Chargers face quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo for the first time and the StubHub Center should be filled with 49ers fans. But I’ll take Philip Rivers and his cast of playmakers against a young San Francisco defense. Record: 3-1.
Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7, vs. Oakland Raiders, 4:05 p.m.
The Chargers face Coach Jon Gruden for the first time since his return to the NFL after a nine-year absence. Expect the Raiders, swept by the Chargers last season, to struggle against their AFC West rivals as Gruden works to change the culture in Oakland. Record: 4-1.
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m.
The Browns should be much improved and actually played the Chargers tough a year ago at the StubHub Center, so this game won’t be easy. However, the Browns will struggle to score points. Record: 5-1.
Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 21, vs. Tennessee Titans, 9:30 a.m.
The Titans are physical and do a great job creating a diversity of runs led by athletic quarterback Marcus Mariota, and the Chargers have to prove they are better at stopping the run. Record: 5-2.
Week 8: Bye
Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4, at Seattle Seahawks, 4:05 p.m.
The Chargers travel to Seattle to face the Seahawks for the first time since 2010. The Bolts usually play the Seahawks tough, but could struggle with the crowd noise and a resilient Seattle defense. Record: 5-3.
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, at Oakland Raiders, 4:05 p.m.
Gruden should have his Raiders rounding into shape by the second half of the season, and the Chargers usually struggle to steal a win in the Black Hole. Record: 5-4.
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, vs. Denver Broncos, 4:05 p.m.
The Chargers will get their first look at Case Keenum as signal-caller for the Broncos, who will have to do a better job of protecting the quarterback to have a chance in this one. Record: 6-4.
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, vs. Arizona Cardinals, 4:05 p.m.
Let go midway through last season by the Broncos, former Chargers head coach Mike McCoy landed in Arizona as the Cardinals' offensive coordinator. Will Sam Bradford still be Arizona’s quarterback by this point of the season? Not sure it will matter. Record: 7-4.
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m.
The Chargers travel to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers for the first time since 2012. The Chargers are 2-8 against Pittsburgh over the last 10 meetings. Record: 7-5.
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, vs Cincinnati Bengals, 4:05 p.m.
The Chargers are 19-14 against the Bengals, including 10-7 at home all-time. They should make it 11 in this one. Record: 8-5.
Week 15: Thursday, Dec. 13, at Kansas City Chiefs, 8:20 p.m.
The Chiefs hosted the Chargers on a nationally televised, Thursday night game last season and the Bolts fell short. The Bolts suffer the same fate here. Record: 8-6.
Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23, vs. Baltimore Ravens, 4:05 p.m.
Talented former Chargers safety Eric Weddle faces his former team for the first time. All of those practice battles between Rivers and Weddle will happen for real in this one. Record: 9-6.
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, at Denver Broncos, 4:25 p.m.
The Chargers haven’t won in Denver since 2013, but will find a way to get this one and sweep the Broncos for first time since 2010. Record: 10-6.
OAKLAND RAIDERS
Jon Gruden’s return to the NFL as a coach -- he was the Oakland Raiders' headman from 1998 through 2001 and with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers from 2002 through 2008 -- is a big deal. Big enough that the Raiders are on prime-time television four times in 2018. A rough start, which includes a “home” game in London and a chilly finish, will tell the tale for Gruden 2.0, even as the Raiders are tied for the fourth-easiest strength of schedule in the NFL. They had the fourth toughest in 2017.
Week 1: Monday, Sept. 10, vs. Los Angeles Rams, 10:20 p.m. ET
Welcome back to the NFL, Jon Gruden, and on ESPN’s Monday Night Football no less. Gruden’s first game on the Raiders sideline since the 2001 season is a monster test, against the likes of the Rams defense with Aaron DonaldNdamukong SuhMarcus Peters and Aqib TalibRecord: 0-1
Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16, at Denver Broncos, 4:25 p.m. ET
The last time Oakland played here, Derek Carr broke three bones in his back. Hopefully for the Raiders’ sake, the Broncos' defense does not break Oakland’s will. Record: 0-2
Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23, at Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET
Gruden & Co. finally break through, in the South Florida heat and humidity, for Gruden’s first regular-season win as Raiders coach since Dec. 15, 2001. Record: 1-2
Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30, vs. Cleveland Browns, 4:05 p.m. ET
Remember when Hue Jackson said he was going to take an even stronger hand with the entire Raiders organization? Neither do the Raiders. Record: 2-2
Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7, at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 p.m. ET
Things got ugly in a hurry the last time these two met on the Bolts’ temporary soccer pitch for a field. And the Chargers should be the division favorites. Record: 2-3
Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 14, vs. Seattle Seahawks in London, 1 p.m. ET
The Raiders are starting to coalesce with Gruden 2.0, while the Seahawks are in rebuild mode. Bruce Irvin and Marshawn Lynch have the last laugh over Uncle Pete (Carroll). Record: 3-3
Week 7: Bye
Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28, vs. Indianapolis Colts, 4:05 p.m. ET
Will Andrew Luck be playing by this time? If not, be sure to peep the faux Twitter account of him as a Civil War captain. Trust me. Record: 4-3
Week 9: Thursday, Nov. 1, at San Francisco 49ers, 8:20 p.m. ET
Technically, Oakland is closer to San Francisco than Santa Clara. Also technically, there is more grizzled veteran talent on the Raiders roster ... in mid-April. Record: 5-3
Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11, vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 p.m. ET
Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram are the NFL’s best pass-rushing duo. And Philip Rivers has a thing about driving daggers into the heart of Oakland. Record: 5-4
Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 18, at Arizona Cardinals, 4:05 p.m. ET
Gruden’s gang has been grinding and needs a laugher. The Cardinals provide the jokes. Record: 6-4
Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25, at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. ET
How many times will Michael Crabtree be flagged for his Kenny Powers finger-sniff post-TD celebration against the Raiders? Depends on how many times the Raiders put Shareece Wright on him. I kid. Kinda. Record: 6-5
Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2, vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 4:05 p.m. ET
Alex Smith is gone, much to the relief of the Raider Nation. Patrick Mahomes II, welcome to the Black Hole. Record: 7-5
Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9, vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:20 p.m. ET
These ancient AFC rivals will conjure up images of Stabler-Bradshaw, Atkinson-Swann, the Immaculate, ahem, DE-caption. Carr outlasts Roethlisberger under the lights. Record: 8-5
Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 16, at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. ET
New Raiders defensive coordinator Paul Guenther should have the blueprint on how to attack the Bengals. Yet it has all the makings of a trap game, given the emotional home games surrounding Cincinnati. Paging Admiral Ackbar. Record: 8-6
Week 16: Monday, Dec. 24, vs. Denver Broncos, 8:15 p.m. ET
Khalil, Case. Case, Khalil. Yes, the Raiders' all-everything edge rusher, Khalil Mack, should be in new Broncos QB Case Keenum’s grill all night in the Raiders’ fourth prime-time game of the year. Record: 9-6
Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30, at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m. ET
Arrowhead Stadium has been Carr’s personal house of horrors. Can Gruden perform an exorcism? Record: 9-7





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