Saturday, January 5, 2019

NFL WILD-CARD WEEKEND GAME PREVIEW


I ended the season with a record of 164-90 5 games out of first place for the season. How will I do in the playoffs my picks are below.
INDIANAPOLIS (10-6) at HOUSTON (11-5)
WHEN: Sunday,
TIME: 4:35 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
RADIO: WFAN 660-AM 101.9-FM
OPENING LINE - Texans by 3
RECORD VS. SPREAD - Indianapolis 8-7-1, Houston 7-7-2
SERIES RECORD - Colts lead 26-8
LAST MEETING - Colts beat Texans 24-21, Dec. 9
LAST WEEK - Colts beat Titans 33-17; Texans beat Jaguars 20-3
AP PRO32 RANKING - Colts No. 8, Texans No. 7
COLTS OFFENSE - OVERALL (7), RUSH (20), PASS (6).
COLTS DEFENSE - OVERALL (11), RUSH (8), PASS (16).
TEXANS OFFENSE - OVERALL (15), RUSH (8), PASS (17).
TEXANS DEFENSE - OVERALL (12), RUSH (3), PASS (28).
STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES — Colts will make first playoff appearance since 2014 AFC championship game loss at New England. ... Only four players who appeared against Patriots will be active Sunday: QB Andrew Luck, WR T.Y. Hilton, LT Anthony Castonzo, and K Adam Vinatieri. ... Indy has won four straight and nine of last 10, including 24-21 win at Houston in early December, to become third team in league history to make postseason after starting 1-5. ... Defense forced turnovers in 15 games, finished with 26 takeaways and team allowed 16.4 points over Colts’ final eight games. ... Offensive line allowed league-low 18 sacks after giving up league-high 56 in 2017. ... Colts lead league in third-down conversion percentage (48.6). ... Luck is 3-3 in playoffs and threw 39 TD passes this season, second in league. ... He has thrown TD passes to 13 receivers this season, tying league record established by Matt Ryan in 2016 and matched by Drew Brees earlier in 2018. ... Marlon Mack has four 100-yard games, most by Colts running back since Joseph Addai also had four in 2007. ... Hilton has topped 100-yard mark four times at Houston, including nine-catch, 199-yard game on Dec. 9. ... Pro Bowler Eric Ebron set franchise record for TD caches by tight end with league-high 13. ... Rookie LB Darius Leonard had league-best 163 tackles, breaking Colts’ 27-year-old franchise record (Jeff Herrod, 160). ... Vinatieri became career leader in scoring and field goals this season — and already holds postseason marks with 234 points, 56 field goals. Vinatieri has played in 30 career postseason games, second most behind Tom Brady. ... Colts and Texans are two of three teams (New Orleans) that did not allow 100-yard rusher in 2018. ... Texans are sixth team since 1980 to reach playoffs after starting 0-3 and first since 1998. ... Houston won AFC South for third time in four years. ... Texans have 26 players with combined 87 games of playoff experience. ... Houston’s 11 wins are second in franchise history behind its 12 wins in 2012. ... Houston led NFL with nine comeback wins this season. ... Coach Bill O’Brien is 1-2 in three playoff games. ... DE J.J. Watt had AFC-leading 16 sacks, 25 quarterback hits, and 18 tackles for losses and forced career-high seven fumbles, which tied for most in NFL. It’s Watt’s fourth season with at least 15 sacks, which ranks second in NFL history behind Reggie White (5). ... DE Jadeveon Clowney tied career-high with 21 quarterback hits, had nine sacks, 16 tackles for losses, three fumble recoveries and forced one fumble. ... WR DeAndre Hopkins tied franchise record with 115 receptions for career-high 1,572 yards receiving, which ranked second in NFL. ... QB Deshaun Watson has 4,165 yards passing with 26 touchdowns and 551 yards rushing with five scores to become first player to have at least 4,000 yards passing and 25 touchdowns and 500 yards rushing and five scores in single season in NFL history. He hasn’t thrown an interception in franchise-record 207 attempts, longest active streak in NFL. ... RB Lamar Miller had 973 yards rushing with five touchdowns and 163 yards receiving with another score. ... Rookie WR Keke Coutee should return after missing last five games with hamstring injury. ... CB/S Kareem Jackson had career-high 87 tackles, including five for losses, forced two fumbles and led team with 17 passes defended. MY PICK HOUSTON
SEATTLE (10-6) AT DALLAS (10-6)
WHEN: Saturday
TIME:  8:15 p.m. ET
TV: Fox
RADIO: WFAN 660-AM 101.9-FM
OPENING LINE — Cowboys by 1
RECORD VS. SPREAD — Seahawks 9-5-2, Cowboys 9-6-1
SERIES RECORD — Cowboys lead 10-9
LAST MEETING — Seahawks beat Cowboys 24-13, Sept. 23
LAST WEEK — Seahawks beat Cardinals 27-24; Cowboys beat Giants 36-35
AP PRO32 RANKING — Seahawks No. 10; Cowboys No. 11
SEAHAWKS OFFENSE — OVERALL (18), RUSH (1), PASS (27)
SEAHAWKS DEFENSE — OVERALL (16), RUSH (13), PASS (17)
COWBOYS OFFENSE — OVERALL (22), RUSH (10), PASS (23)
COWBOYS DEFENSE — OVERALL (7), RUSH (5), PASS (13)
STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES — Only other playoff meeting was 21-20 Seahawks victory in Seattle during 2006 season when Tony Romo botched hold on snap of potential go-ahead field goal with 1:19 remaining. ... Previous postseason appearance for both teams came in 2016, with both losing in divisional round. ... Seventh playoff appearance for Seahawks in nine seasons under Coach Pete Carroll, six in past seven with QB Russell Wilson. ... Matchup features two of top six QBs in wins in first three seasons of career: Wilson is first with 36 from 2012-14, Dak Prescott tied for fifth with 32. Wilson, Prescott tied for most 100-plus rating games in first three NFL seasons at 24. ... Seattle first team with 1,000-yard rusher and three with at least 300 yards since 2001 Steelers. ... Seahawks led NFL with plus-15 turnover margin, with 11 giveaways tied for third fewest in league history. ... Wilson tied for third in NFL with 35 TD passes, ranked third with 110.9 rating. He had club season record of seven games with at least three touchdown passes. He has 2-0 record vs. Prescott with four TDs, no interceptions, including 21-12 win in Week 16 last season that eliminated Dallas from playoff contention. ... RB Chris Carson led team with 1,151 yards rushing, club’s first 1,000-yard rusher since Marshawn Lynch on Seattle’s most recent Super Bowl qualifier in 2014. ... WR Tyler Lockett led team with career highs in catches (57), yards receiving (965) and TDs (10). ... WR Doug Baldwin has 24 receptions, 266 yards, and two touchdowns in past three playoff games. ... LB Bobby Wagner made fifth straight Pro Bowl, has at least 100 tackles in all seven seasons. ... Frank Clark (14) and Jarran Reed (10 1/2) had career highs in sacks. Combined 24 1/2 sacks were most for Seattle teammates since Mike McCrary and Mike Sinclair had 26 1/2 in 1996. ... Rookie P Michael Dickson set franchise record for average (48.2 yards) and net average (42.5). ... Cowboys tied with Packers, Patriots for second-most playoff wins with 34, two behind Steelers. Cowboys will pass Steelers for most postseason games with 62. ... Cowboys with three NFC East titles in past five seasons under Jason Garrett. With firing of Marvin Lewis in Cincinnati, Garrett only coach among top six in tenure with current team (8 1/2 years) without Super Bowl title. ... Dallas has lost three straight to Seattle, with one touchdown total. ... Cowboys have won both wild-card games in 10 seasons at AT&T Stadium, are 7-1 at home this season. ... Prescott had career high with 3,885 yards passing, has six TDs rushing in each of three seasons. ... RB Ezekiel Elliott led NFL with 1,434 yards rushing, was second with 2,001 yards from scrimmage. He joined Earl Campbell, Eric Dickerson, Emmitt Smith, and Edgerrin James as backs to win at least two rushing titles in first three seasons since 1970 merger. Elliott set franchise record for catches by running back with 77, one more than Herschel Walker in 1986. ... Cowboys were 29th in yards passing in seven games without WR Amari Cooper, 11th in nine games after acquiring him for first-round pick in trade with Oakland. ... Backup T Cameron Fleming, in first season with Cowboys, has most playoff experience on team with nine games. Went past four seasons with Patriots, winning two Super Bowls. ... Two-time Pro Bowl and 2016 All-Pro LB Sean Lee played just one playoff game in first eight seasons. ... LB Leighton Vander Esch set club rookie record with 176 tackles, according to coaches’ count. ... DE DeMarcus Lawrence led team with 10 1/2 sacks in second straight double-digit sack season, earned second straight Pro Bowl. He has two sacks in three career playoff games. ... K Brett Maher set franchise record by 6 yards with 62-yard FG and was 6 of 7 from at least 50 yards, but just 13 of 19 from 30 to 49. MY PICK DALLAS
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (12-4) AT BALTIMORE (10-6)
WHEN: Sunday
TIME: 1 p.m. EST
TV: CBS
RADIO: WFAN 660-AM 101.9-FM
OPENING LINE - Ravens by 2 1/2
RECORD VS. SPREAD - Los Angeles 9-7, Baltimore 8-8
SERIES RECORD - Ravens lead 7-5
LAST MEETING - Ravens beat Chargers 22-10, Dec. 22, 2018
LAST WEEK - Chargers beat Broncos 23-9; Ravens beat Browns 26-24
AP PRO32 RANKING - Chargers No. 5, Ravens No. 9.
CHARGERS OFFENSE - OVERALL (11), RUSH (15), PASS (10).
CHARGERS DEFENSE - OVERALL (9), RUSH (9), PASS (9)
RAVENS OFFENSE - OVERALL (9), RUSH (2), PASS (22).
RAVENS DEFENSE - OVERALL (1), RUSH (4), PASS (5).
STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - In first meeting, Ravens held Chargers to season low in points. ... Chargers making first postseason appearance since 2013, Ravens first appearance since 2014. ... Chargers’ 12 wins are most since 2009, when they had 13. ... Los Angeles was third in NFL in yards per play (6.8) and sixth in points per game (26.8). ... Chargers led AFC with 6.62 yards per play on first down. ... LA QB Philip Rivers was second in passer rating (105.5). And is averaging 8.5 yards per attempt, which is best since 2010. ... Chargers RB Melvin Gordon makes playoff debut after finishing ninth in AFC with 885 rushing yards. He had 1,375 yards from scrimmage, marking third straight season he was over 1,200. ... Los Angeles WR Keenan Allen has 199 receptions over past two seasons. He had 142 yards and two touchdowns in last playoff game (Jan. 12, 2014, at Denver). Allen has three TDs in three games vs. Ravens. ... WR Mike Williams has 10 TDs, becoming first Chargers receiver since Tony Martin in 1996 (14) to have 10 or more. ... DE Melvin Ingram had two fumble recoveries in last meeting with Ravens. ... Chargers DE Joey Bosa has 5 1-2 sacks after missing first 10 games due to foot injury. ... LA S Derwin James led team with 105 tackles, becoming first rookie in franchise history to have 100 or more. ... Chargers K Michael Badgley connected on 93.8 percent of field-goal attempts (15 of 16); percentage leads AFC and fourth in NFL. ... Ravens 6-1 since rookie QB Lamar Jackson took over for Joe Flacco. ... Under first-year coordinator Don Martindale, Ravens allowed NFL-low 292.2 yards per game and ranked second in fewest points allowed, 17.9 per contest. ... Ravens have had Top 10 defense in eight of coach John Harbaugh’s 11 seasons. ... Baltimore finished with 2,441 yards rushing, second-highest total in franchise history, and finished with franchise-best 5,999 total yards. ... Overall final seven weeks, Ravens RB Gus Edwards tied for third in NFL with 654 yards rushing. Jackson’s 556 yards ranked seventh. ... Edwards finished with team-high 718 yards after being elevated from practice squad in Week 6. ... Ravens K Justin Tucker went 35 for 39 on FGs. He had two blocked and missed from 53 and 65 yards. Career percentage of 90.1 best in NFL history, and he has scored 141 points in each of last three seasons. ... Mark Andrews had 68-yard TD catch vs. Chargers and led all rookie TEs in yards receiving (552) and ranked third with 34 receptions and third in catches (34). ... Ravens LB Za’Darius Smith led team with 8 ½ sacks, including 1 ½ in last games vs. Chargers. ... Baltimore S Eric Weddle had 19 interceptions and 6 ½ sacks in nine seasons with Chargers. ... Ravens 7-1 in wild-card games, with five straight victories. ... Baltimore owns plus-26 turnover differential in its 23 playoff games. ... Ravens have allowed 16.4 points per game in postseason, best playoff mark since 1970 merger. ... Baltimore has 19 players with playoff experience, led by LB Terrell Suggs with 17 games. ... Suggs has 12½ sacks in postseason, third most in NFL history. ... Jackson is first rookie QB to start playoff game for Baltimore since Flacco in 2008. Jackson, 21, will be youngest QB to start playoff game in NFL history. ... Ravens 65-23 at home since 2008, second-best record in NFL behind New England. .. Baltimore 3-2 at home in postseason; last home game in playoffs was Jan. 6, 2013, when team won Super Bowl. MY PICK BALTIMORE
PHILADELPHIA (9-7) AT CHICAGO (12-4)
WHEN: Sunday
TIME: 4:40 p.m. EST
TV: NBC
RADIO: WFAN 660-AM 101.9-FM
OPENING LINE — Bears by 4
RECORD VS. SPREAD — Philadelphia 6-9-1, Chicago 12-4
SERIES RECORD — Bears lead 29-14-1
LAST MEETING — Eagles beat Bears 31-3, Nov. 26, 2017
LAST WEEK — Eagles beat Redskins 24-0; Bears beat Vikings 24-10
AP PRO32 RANKING — Eagles No. 12, Bears No. 3
EAGLES OFFENSE — OVERALL (14), RUSH (28), PASS (7)
EAGLES DEFENSE — OVERALL (23), RUSH (7), PASS (30)
BEARS OFFENSE — OVERALL (21), RUSH (11), PASS (21)
BEARS DEFENSE — OVERALL (3), RUSH (1), PASS (7)
STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES — Eagles are 2-1 against Bears in postseason, with Chicago’s win coming in “Fog Bowl” at Soldier Field on Dec. 31, 1988. ... Eagles have won five of last six this season. ... Eagles are making 26th postseason appearance, trying to become third No. 6 seed to win Super Bowl. ... Philadelphia advanced to NFC title game as sixth seed following 2008 season, lost to Cardinals. ... QB Nick Foles is 3-1 in playoffs and was Super Bowl MVP last season. ... Zach Ertz set single-season record for TE with 116 catches. ... WR Alshon Jeffery had 843 yards receiving, his most since 1,133 with Chicago in 2014. He missed first three games of schedule with injury. ... WR Nelson Agholor had career-high 64 receptions. ... Rookie RB Josh Adams led team with 511 yards rushing. ... DT Fletcher Cox led team with career-high 10 1/2 sacks. DE Michael Bennett had nine sacks. ... S Malcolm Jenkins played every snap on defense and 136 on special teams. ... Bears posted their best record since 2006 team went 13-3 on way to Super Bowl appearance, loss to Colts. ... Bears captured NFC North championship, made playoffs for first time since 2010 team won division. ... Bears have won nine of 10. ... Coach Matt Nagy has more wins than any rookie coach in franchise history. ... Chicago went 7-1 at home after going 7-17 over previous three seasons under John Fox. ... Chicago led NFL in takeaways (36), interceptions (27), tied for third in sacks (50). Bears had franchise-low eight INTs in each of previous three seasons. ... Bears scored at least 24 points in 11 games, most for them since scoring 24 or more 11 times in 1995. ... Chicago allowed 1,280 yards rushing, franchise low for 16-game season. ... Bears gave up league-low 17.7 points per game. ... CB Kyle Fuller tied for league lead with seven interceptions. .. LB Khalil Mack led team with 12 1/2 sacks, tied for third in NFL with six forced fumbles. ... QB Mitchell Trubisky tied Bears single-season record with four 300-yard passing games. Trubisky compiled 109.7 rating over final three regular-season games, completing 75.9 percent of passes for three TDs, no INTs. MY PICK CHICAGO

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