Finally, we've arrived. The stretch run
of the 2018-19 NBA season is here, and with it come the games that
will define the campaign and change the landscape of the upcoming postseason.
The final 20-plus games of the year are going to be
thrilling to watch unfold, as teams will be fighting and jockeying for
position, with some hoping to earn a spot that will allow them to host a
playoff series or two, and others just hoping to qualify for the playoffs,
period.
Obviously, some organizations lucked out in having the
toughest part of their schedule early in the year, when they were as close to
full health as possible. Others, however, have the misfortune of facing a
buzzsaw to close the season, one that could knock them out of postseason
contention altogether.
Below, using Tankathon's handy Remaining
Schedule Strength tool, which ranks teams based on the win
percentages of the opponents that await them to close the year, we break down
the five teams with the easiest, and most difficult, remaining schedules.
FIVE EASIEST REMAINING SCHEDULES
5. MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Remaining schedule strength: 0.472
The race for the top seed in the East should be quite
interesting to close this season, what with the top two seeds both finding
their way onto this list.
The current No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference is the
Milwaukee Bucks, who, with 25 games remaining, sit at 43-14, the best record in
the league. Nevertheless, Milwaukee can't get too comfortable, as they only
have a one-game lead on the No. 2 seed in the East, a team that's coming up
first on this list.
What's more, Milwaukee still has to face the Boston Celtics
(twice) and the Houston Rockets (once) to close the year, tough matchups which
should be quite fun playoff previews, and which will show us the kind of form
the Bucks will be on heading into the postseason.
4. PHOENIX SUNS
Remaining schedule strength: 0.460
At the All-Star break, the Phoenix Suns have the league's
worst record at 11-48; so really, their remaining strength of schedule is only
interesting for lottery positioning purposes.
Even then, with the revised lottery odds, the teams with the
three worst records will all have an equal chance at the top pick (14 percent),
so the Suns only have to worry about not falling out of the bottom three. With
games against the Golden State Warriors and Rockets remaining, however, Phoenix
probably won't have to overly fret about winning too much.
3. ORLANDO MAGIC
Remaining schedule strength: 0.460
As has become a bit of the norm over recent years, the
bottom of the Eastern Conference playoff standings is wide open as we arrive at
the stretch run. Thus, the Orlando Magic, sitting at 27-32, are still in the
thick of the postseason race in the East.
In fact, winners of their last five games and with the
third-easiest schedule remaining, it's not too farfetched to think the Magic
really can make a run at the playoffs to close the season. If Orlando does end
up making it in, it would be their first postseason appearance since 2011-12.
2. UTAH JAZZ
Remaining schedule strength: 0.452
Although the first half of the season was a mild
disappointment for the Utah Jazz, they can take solace in the fact that they
have the second-easiest schedule to wrap up 2018-19.
The Jazz are 12-4 over their last 16 games, so considering
their form is improving anyway, and with the added benefit of a soft schedule
to close the year, there's even a chance the Jazz can make a push for
home-court advantage in the first round. That would be huge in improving their
chances of winning a playoff series for the third year running in the loaded
Western Conference.
1. TORONTO RAPTORS
Remaining schedule strength: 0.450
The top seed in the East, the Bucks, have the fifth-easiest
schedule to close the year.
The team with the easiest schedule to finish the season,
though?
That would be the Toronto Raptors, the second seed in the
East.
Mostly battling it out against lesser foes over the final
20-plus games of 2018-19, Toronto and Milwaukee both have a huge opportunity to
finish with the top record in the Eastern Conference. Considering that would
mean a first-round matchup against an eight seed that will likely finish the
year with a losing record, as well as hosting every series throughout the
postseason, it's clear why both teams will look to give max effort on a nightly
basis, and avoid playing down to their competition.
FIVE MOST DIFFICULT REMAINING SCHEDULES
5. MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
Remaining schedule strength: 0.538
Despite an ugly start to the season, both on the court and
off it, the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-30) are only four games out of a playoff
spot in the West.
And yet… with the fifth-toughest remaining schedule, it's a
bit hard to see them making a real push at a playoff spot, especially with how
battered they've been by the injury bug. Their recent form (3-6 in their last
nine) also hasn't helped matters.
4. DENVER NUGGETS
Remaining schedule strength: 0.540
With just over 20 games remaining, the Denver Nuggets sit
second in the West, trailing the reigning champion Warriors by two games. And
although they would almost certainly love to surpass Golden State by season's
end, their remaining schedule is going to make things difficult.
They do face the Warriors two more times to close the year,
so if they can get two positive results out of those matchups, their chances of
finishing with the West's top seed get exponentially better.
3. BROOKLYN NETS
Remaining schedule strength: 0.541
After winning 58 games over the prior three seasons, the
Brooklyn Nets have finally turned things around this year. With 24 games left
in their campaign, Brooklyn sits at 30-29 and in the Eastern Conference's six
seed.
And because of how poorly the teams at the seven seed in the
East and below are doing, it looks like the Nets are going to make the playoffs
for the first time since 2014-15. That's even despite them having the league's
third-toughest schedule to close the year, with games against the Bucks,
Warriors and Celtics still to go.
2. CHARLOTTE HORNETS
Remaining schedule strength: 0.541
Speaking of the teams at the bottom of the East's playoff
standings, the Charlotte Hornets are presently the No. 7 seed in the
conference, despite their 27-30 record.
But with three teams within one game of them in the
standings, and due to them having the second-toughest schedule remaining, it
wouldn't be all too shocking to see Charlotte struggle to make the playoffs
this year.
It's going to be a grind for the Hornets to close the year,
as multiple games against the Raptors and Warriors still await them.
1. OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Remaining schedule strength: 0.572
One of the six best teams in basketball this year according
to net rates, the Oklahoma City Thunder carry the distinction of having the
toughest schedule remaining league-wide.
Thankfully, they sit at 37-20 at the All-Star break, doing
more than enough to position themselves comfortably among teams looking to host
at least one playoff series. Of course, their goal is going to be to finish as
close to the top of the West at year's end as possible, so this final stretch
is going to be important for them.
As the current three seed out west, Oklahoma City has a
three-game lead on the fourth-seeded Portland Trail Blazers, while sitting two
games out of the second-seeded Nuggets, and four games behind the top-seeded
Warriors.
Catching up to Denver or Golden State won't be easy,
especially with a humdinger of a schedule still to go, but the Thunder have
proven to be an elite team thus far this season, so they may just be up to the
challenge.
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