The 2018 MLB trade deadline has come and gone. It certainly left teams open for both praise and criticism. But
as we look forward to the rest of the season, the playoffs and even beyond,
what did we learn?
We certainly wouldn’t have expected the biggest deal of the
deadline day to be struck between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Tampa Bay Rays.
So, what does that mean for each team? The Los Angeles Dodgers probably struck
the biggest deal of the trade season overall. But as we move toward the waiver
deadline on August 31, this team can’t be done.
The Washington Nationals more or less stood pat. Sometimes,
that’s a good thing. But that’s a tough argument to make about this team.
Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Reds also stood pat. We wouldn’t have expected that
at the beginning of the year. Going forward, it tells us a lot about what the
team is likely planning on doing in the offseason.
These are the top 10 takeaways from the 2018 MLB trade
deadline.
1. IN FOUR MONTHS,
A LOT HAS CHANGED IN PITTSBURGH
The Pittsburgh Pirates were a 75-87 team in 2017 and traded
arguably the best pitcher and hitter from that team in the offseason. It was
hard to be optimistic. But at the deadline, the Pirates were buyers — and they
should have been. Yes, Pittsburgh gave up a lot to get Archer, but it got a
top-tier starter in return. Additionally, the Pirates landed reliever Keone
Kela. That’s the kind of move that might not feel huge now, but it could be in
September or even October. Four months ago, it looked as though the Pirates
would do well to not lose 100 games. Times have changed in Steel City.
2. BEING
OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE NATIONALS FRONT OFFICE IS NOT EASY
We can debate whether Washington should have bought or sold
at the deadline. But for all intents and purposes, it really did neither. A big
move like trading Bryce Harper could have set the Nats up well after Harper’s
likely departure in free agency. Trading for someone like J.T. Realmuto could have
drastically upgraded Washington’s chances to get to the playoffs in 2018 and
maybe take one more run at a championship. Instead, the Nationals made only one
minor deal, essentially holding serve while maintaining the status
quo in a season where things have not gone according to plan.
3. RAYS GET SMART
TRADING CHRIS ARCHER
Archer has been something of a franchise icon in Tampa. It’s
never easy to trade those guys. But the Rays did just that, really improving in the process. It
seems now that the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees will control the
American League East forever. But much like it did in the mid-2000s, this
dynamic will eventually change. At least one of those teams will go through a
small window of relative struggles. When that happens, teams such as Tampa need
to be ready to pounce. With Austin Meadows and Tyler Glasnow, the Rays are set
up much better to do that now than they were before trading Archer.
4. YOUNG PHILLIES
DON’T WANT TO WAIT
Almost no matter what happens over these final two months,
the 2018 season has been successful for the Philadelphia Phillies. A young
Phillies’ nucleus has shown itself to be quite capable. But this front office
isn’t waiting. Philadelphia traded for Asdrubal Cabrera days before the deadline, and
then struck with a big move on July 31 by landing Wilson Ramos. That’s a sign of a team that’s ready
to win right now and has a clear plan of attack. That’s a pretty stark contrast
to its division rival in Washington.
5. REDS BELIEVE IN
THEIR TEAM
The Reds aren’t making the playoffs in 2018. We know this.
But they also have a winning record since Jim Riggleman took over from the
fired Bryan Price. From all appearances, that’s given Cincinnati's front office
confidence in this team as we head toward 2019. Other than trading the
struggling Adam Duvall to the Atlanta Braves, the Reds didn’t sell. Guys like
Scooter Gennett and Raisel Iglesias could have landed a good haul, but both
remain in Cincinnati. It doesn’t mean much in 2018. But when we get into the
offseason, don’t be surprised to see this team aggressively try to improve.
6. A’S AND TIGERS
BOTH STRIKE OUT WITH MIKE FIERS DEAL FALLING THROUGH
The Detroit Tigers are rebuilding. The Oakland Athletics are
coming out of a rebuild and are ready to compete for a playoff spot, but they
badly need a starting pitching upgrade. Fiers is having a solid season (3.54
ERA, 1.24 WHIP) and has been even better of late (2.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP over his
last 11 starts). Oakland has a big farm system that could have helped Detroit’s
rebuild. So, how did this deal — which was reportedly close to being made — go awry? These
two teams could have significantly helped each other. We have a feeling that
both will come to regret not making this deal happen.
7. METS CONTINUE
TO BE DOOMED BY FRONT OFFICE
The New York Mets were really in the driver’s seat. A number
of contenders desperately needed a top-tier starting pitcher, and the overall
starting pitching market was weak. The Mets could have gotten a good haul for
Jacob deGrom. But even if he was kept, dealing someone like Noah Syndergaard or
even Zack Wheeler could have gone a long way toward rebuilding a poor farm
system. Instead, New York traded Jeurys Familia and the aforementioned Cabrera, two
pending free agents who didn’t land a great deal in return. Unless something
really changes, it’s hard to imagine 2019 going any better than 2017 and 2018.
8. BAFFLINGLY SLOW
DEADLINE IN SAN FRANCISCO
The San Francisco Giants could have sold some pieces,
cleared some cap space and given themselves a strong chance in the upcoming
free-agent class (where they reportedly have big plans to sign Harper).
They could have also decided to go all-in and try to sneak one more playoff run
out of an aging team. Instead, they stood pat, much like the Nationals did. San
Francisco’s World Series wins this decade give this front office more benefit
of the doubt than Washington’s gets. There’s nothing wrong with that. With that
said, the Giants’ deadline activity (or lack thereof) is similarly hard to
explain.
9. YANKEES
ARE WELL-POSITIONED FOR ANOTHER DEEP OCTOBER RUN
As good as the New York Yankees have been this season; there
was reason to be pessimistic about this team heading into the postseason. For
starters, the Yankees are presently on track to start the playoffs in a
single-elimination game. But even beyond that, a starting rotation with Luis
Severino and a lot of question marks is less than ideal for October. But that’s
changed. J.A. Happ is a significant upgrade to the rotation. Even
if it’s not as significant, adding Zach Britton to an already-loaded bullpen makes a
shaky rotation less of a problem. That goes a long way toward removing that
pessimism.
10. DODGERS MAKE
BIG MOVES, BUT MUST CONTINUE TO BE ACTIVE
Los Angeles made the biggest move of the trade season by acquiring Manny Machado. It also made a potentially nice,
under-the-radar move by trading for Brian Dozier. That’s the good news. The bad news
is that this team did little to upgrade the pitching. The starting pitching
after Clayton Kershaw isn’t great. The bullpen before Kenley Jansen isn’t
reliable, and John Axford isn’t going to change that much. It’s awfully
hard to imagine this pitching staff holding up through October. As such, the
Dodgers must continue to pursue upgrades through the waiver deadline or risk
another disappointing postseason.
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