MY MLB PLAYOFFS 2018 SIM RESULTS
With the Wild Card games settled, I used MLB the Show 18 to
simulate the results for the remainder of the 2018 MLB Playoffs.
The 2018 Major League Baseball playoffs are officially
underway. With the two Wild Card play-in games settled (our Sim correctly
predicted one of the games), the MLB playoff brackets are set.
The Colorado Rockies topped the Chicago Cubs in extra
innings, while the New York Yankees blasted the Oakland Athletics. This sets up
Divisional Series matchups between the Atlanta Braves vs L.A. Dodgers, Colorado
Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers, Cleveland Indians vs Houston Astros and, lastly,
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox.
Because my initial season Sim was so incredibly wrong –
picking the Chicago Cubs to win the World Series – I’m gone ahead and re-simmed
the MLB playoffs using the teams that are actually in it.
Obviously, pitching matchups are so unpredictable in the
playoffs, so I just did a standard playoff sim using the team’s top four starters.
Aside from determining the starter, I had zero input on how the games unfolded.
I simmed back-to-back games until one team won the required amount, and then
that team moved on.
With all of that set, let’s see who MLB The Show 18 predicts
to win the 2018 World Series.
NLDS: COLORADO ROCKIES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS
This sim is actually being posted after the results of the
first game. The Brewers also decided to go with a “bullpen” staff to pitch the
first game, which is obviously hard to do with a simulation, so I picked their
No. 1 starter in the game Zach Davies. The Rockies’ real-life game one starter,
Antonio Senzatela, also wasn’t featured on the in-game roster, so I went with
their No. 1 starter, Jon Gray.
GAME 1: BREWERS 5, ROCKIES 4
The Brewers offense got to Gray early, scoring one run in
each of the first three innings. However, the Rockies tied it up in the top of
the fifth with a two-RBI double by Charlie Blackmon (2-4, 2B, 2 RBI, R), who
was then driven in by DJ LeMaheiu on a single. The Brewers responded in the
bottom half of the inning with a solo shot by Lorenzo Cain (3-3, HR, 2B, 2 RBI,
2 R). An insurance run in the bottom of the seventh gave the Brewers all they
needed to hold the lead for game one.
GAME 2: BREWERS 3, ROCKIES 0
Brewers starter Chase Anderson absolutely dominated this
one, tossing eight innings of shutout ball. The Brewers did just enough
offensively, led by Ryan Braun who went 3 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs.
GAME 3: BREWERS 4, ROCKIES 1
Bust out the brooms because the Brewers sweep the Rockies
after another pitching gem. Jhoulys Chacin went six innings and gave up only
one earned run. Meanwhile, a three-run blast by Eric Thames in the fourth was
all the Brewers needed to take the series.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS WIN
3-0
NLDS: ATLANTA
BRAVES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS
This sim was also conducted after the conclusion of game one
of the NLDS between the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers. However, the
starters for the game were both announced beforehand and available in the game.
GAME 1: DODGERS 5,
BRAVES 3
Some late-game heroics by Chris Taylor gave the Dodgers a
game one win. Heading into the bottom of the ninth inning all tied-up at three,
Taylor crushed a two-run home run to center field off Braves relief pitcher
A.J. Minter
GAME 2: DODGERS 9,
BRAVES 1
Veteran Clayton Kershaw overcame a shaky first inning in
which he loaded the bases with only one out. He escaped the jam with limited
damage, only giving up an RBI single to Johan Camargo. From there, he cruised
through seven innings, earning a game two win with the help of a potent offense
that saw home runs by Joc Pederson and Yasiel Puig. Justin Turner and Cody
Bellinger also recorded two RBIs each.
GAME 3: BRAVES 5,
DODGERS 2
With Sean Newcomb getting the start at home, the Braves
battled to a five to two win. The Braves young offense got to Rich Hill early,
forcing him to exit after just 4.2 IP (5 ER, 4 BB). Second-baseman Ozzie Albies
(1-4, HR, RBI, R) and right fielder Nick Markakis (2-2, 2B, RBI, R) led the
offense.
GAME 4: BRAVES 3,
DODGERS 1
Game four was pretty quiet offensively, with the only runs
coming in the seventh inning. Logan Forsythe got the Dodgers on the board in
the top of the seventh with an RBI double, but the Braves responded with a
rally in the bottom half of the inning. With Johan Camargo and Danny Santana
on, Dansby Swanson grounded to right for an RBI single. He was then driven in
by a double by Kurt Suzuki. The win forced a game five.
GAME 5: DODGERS 9,
BRAVES 5
I went back to the game one pitching matchup for the series
finale. It was a back-and-forth slugfest between the two teams. The Dodgers
scored early on a three-run home run by Justin Turner in the bottom of the
first. Seager would carry the offense the rest of the way, going 3-4 with two
home runs, four RBIs, and three runs scored. Mike Foltynewicz lasted only four
innings while giving up six earned runs. His struggles could be attributed to a
lack of control as he walked six batters.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS WIN 3-2
ALDS: CLEVELAND
INDIANS VS HOUSTON ASTROS
The 2017 World Series champs meet the 2016 World Series
runner-up. With both teams featuring strong offenses and dominating pitching
staffs, this is a fantastic matchup on paper. With the probable starters
already revealed at the time of the sim, I was able to get the pitching
matchups accurate for at least the first three games.
GAME 1: INDIANS 5,
ASTROS 2
Game one featured two superstar pitchers in Corey Kluber for
the Indians and Justin Verlander for the Astros. But Verlander struggled early
and was forced to leave after just five innings (5 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO). Kluber, on
the other hand, coasted through seven innings, giving up two earned runs while
striking out 10. While the Astros managed to get on base, they failed to drive
in runs during key moments of the game.
GAME 2: ASTROS 14,
INDIANS 2
What a walloping this one was. After a three-run fourth, the
Astros exploded in the seventh inning, scoring seven runs on seven hits. Marwin
Gonzalez finished the game 2-4 with a home run and five RBIs, while Josh
Reddick and Carlos Correa each added two RBIs. Despite the score, it was
actually close until the seventh, with Carrasco only giving up four runs on six
innings. The bulk of the damage was done on Tyler Olson (0.2 IP, 6 H, 7 ER).
GAME 3: INDIANS 9,
ASTROS 2
This time, it was the Indians turn to come alive at the
plate. Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez led the charge with three RBIs each.
That was all Trevor Bauer (7.1 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 5 SO) would need to get the
Indians back on top.
GAME 4: ASTROS 9, INDIANS
5
The Indians jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first inning and
looked to cruise to game-four win; however, an eight-run sixth inning by the
Astros kept the series alive. Charlie Morton overcame his first inning
struggles and ended up with a decent game (5 IP, 3 ER, 6 BB, 7 SO). He was
aided by an offense that included Evan Gattis (2-3, HR, 3 RBI), Alex Bregman
(2-5, 2B, 2RBI), and Marwin Gonzalez (1-4, 2RBI).
GAME 5: INDIANS 6,
ASTROS 1
A rematch of game one almost went exactly the same way.
Verlander, once again struggled (5 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO), while the
offense failed to muster any runs. The Indians couldn’t have asked for a better
start from ace Corey Kluber who pitched a complete game (9 IP, 8 H, 1 ER, 1 BB,
9 SO).
CLEVELAND INDIANS WIN 3-2
ALDS: NEW YORK
YANKEES VS BOSTON RED SOX
Baseball fans couldn’t have asked for a better ALDS matchup
than between AL East divisional rivals the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox.
The Yankees are powered by a high octane offense, while the Red Sox boast both
an incredibly dominant pitching staff and a solid offense of their own. In a
clash of titans, who will come out on top?
GAME 1: RED SOX 9,
YANKEES 8
Game one certainly lived up to the hype. A back-and-forth
slugfest ended in the bottom of the ninth inning with a solo home run by Red
Sox third baseman Rafael Devers. Both pitchers struggled mightily, which was
kind of unexpected when you have Chris Sale on the mound (5.2 IP, 9 H, 6 ER, 6
SO). But an offense with J.D. Martinez (2-3, HR, 2B, 3 RBI), Xander Bogaerts
(2-4, HR, 5 RBI) and Mookie Betts (2-4, 2 2B, 2 R), can help.
GAME 2: YANKEES 2,
RED SOX 1
Game two couldn’t have been more opposite as both offenses
were held in check the entire game. Masahiro Tanaka was brilliant, pitching 6.2
innings and holding the Red Sox to just one earned run. Aaron Hicks was the
savior for the Yankees, driving in two RBIs on a triple in the top of the
sixth.
GAME 3: YANKEES 1,
RED SOX 0
They say pitching reigns supreme in the postseason and that
looks to be the case in this series as both offenses were shut down for the
second straight game. Luis Severino pitched a gem for the Yankees going eight
strong innings and striking out 12. Gary Sanchez was responsible for all of the
game’s offense, hitting a solo home run in the bottom of the fifth.
GAME 4: YANKEES
15, RED SOX 0
Holy cow! I don’t think anyone expects to see this coming.
Chris Sale, pitching on short rest, struggles once again, giving up 6 ER in
five innings. Meanwhile, the Yankees, led by C.C. Sabathia (7.0 IP, 0 ER, 4
SO), exploded on offense. Gary Sanchez remained hot, going 3-5 with two home
runs and six RBIs.
NEW YORK YANKEES WIN 3-1
NLCS: LOS ANGELES
DODGERS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS
After sweeping the Rockies, the Brewers enter the National
League Championship Series rested and ready to go. The Dodgers, meanwhile, were
pushed to the brink but they’ve got the playoff experience. At this point, it’s
nearly impossible to predict pitching matchups, so I went down the in-game
staff order for the best possible matchups.
GAME 1: DODGERS
11, BREWERS 0
The Dodgers, who came up just short last year, looked like a
team on a mission. They were led by starter Clayton Kershaw who went all nine
innings and struck out 11 while giving up zero runs. The offense was carried by
Yasiel Puig (2 HR, 4 RBIs), Chris Taylor (3-4, HR, 3B, 2 RBI, 3 R) and Corey
Seager (2-4, 2 2B, 3 RBIs, 2 R).
GAME 2: BREWERS 4,
DODGERS 1
The Brewers rebounded in game two thanks to a solid pitching
performance by ace Chase Anderson (6.2 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 7 SO). The Dodgers struck
first in the fourth on a Justin Turner RBI double, but the Brewers’ bats found
life in the seventh inning. Manny Pina jump-started things with a two-run RBI
double.
GAME 3: BREWERS 3,
DODGERS 1
Another dominant pitching performance held the Dodgers
offense in check. A normally potent offense, Brewers starter Jhoulys Chacin
went five innings, giving up just one earned run while striking out seven. The
Brewers scored all three of their runs in the third on home runs by Lorenzo
Cain (2 RBI) and Travis Shaw (1 RBI).
GAME 4: BREWERS 5,
DODGERS 4
The Brewers stayed hot and got one game closer to punching
their ticket to the World Series. Travis Shaw was, once again, the hero,
driving in three runs on a home run. The Brewers jumped out to a five-run lead
and held on, despite a valiant comeback attempt that saw the Dodgers score
three runs combined in the eighth and ninth innings.
GAME 5: DODGERS 4,
BREWERS 3
On the brink of elimination, the Dodgers turned to ace
Clayton Kershaw. The Brewers got to him early, jumping out to an early
three-run lead. The Dodgers clawed their way back, though, and a ninth-inning
RBI from Corey Seager forced extra innings. Patience at the plate would pay off
for the Dodgers as Jacob Barnes walked three batters in the top of the 11th,
including walking in the game-winning run (Turner walked, bringing in Logan
Forsythe).
GAME 6: BREWERS
11, DODGERS 1
The Brewers jumped out to a three-run lead and made sure not
to look back. Keeping their foot on the pedal, they scored six runs in the
fifth, extending their lead 9-1. Insurance runs in the sixth and ninth innings
were unnecessary, but more of a statement rather.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS WIN 4-2
ALCS: CLEVELAND
INDIANS VS NEW YORK YANKEES
After a heartbreaking loss to the Chicago Cubs in the 2016
World Series, the Indians are looking to return to the spotlight. But in their
way are the Bronx Bombers who smashed the MLB leader in wins, the Boston Red
Sox. The Indians managed to knock off last year’s defending champs, but do they
have the pitching to stop the Yankees high-powered offense?
GAME 1: YANKEES 4,
INDIANS 2
Well, Corey Kluber managed to slow the Yankees offense down,
but it wasn’t enough as the Yankees stole a win in extras. Kluber held the
Yankees in check for seven innings, giving up only one earned run on a
Giancarlo Stanton single that brought in Aaron Judge. The Yankees took the lead
on a Bradon Drury single, but the Indians tied in the bottom of the ninth on a
Francisco Lindor sacrifice fly. The teams would battle for four more innings
until Giancarlo Stanton would launch a two-run home run in the top of the 13th
inning.
GAME 2: YANKEES 7,
INDIANS 4
Up three to two in the top of the ninth inning, Gary Sanchez
made sure the Indians would have no shot at coming back. The Yankees slugger
launched a grand slam which proved to be the difference-maker as the Indians
rally in the bottom of the ninth fell short this time.
GAME 3: INDIANS 5,
YANKEES 3
Led by Trevor Bauer (7.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 7 SO), the
Indians got a much-needed win in Yankees stadium. The offense came to
life against J.A. Happ, with Michael Brantley (1-4, 2B) and Edwin Encarnacion
(2-4, 2 RBI, R) each getting two RBIs.
GAME 4: YANKEES 9,
INDIANS 4
With the win, the Yankees pulled within one game of
returning to their first World Series since winning it in 2009. They got close
to returning last year but fell just short. What a difference an offseason
makes as newcomer Giancarlo Stanton (3-4, 2 HR, 2B, 4 RBI) was very much a
factor in their game four win. Fellow slugger Aaron Judge also had a home run
with two RBIs. C.C. Sabathia pitched eight strong innings, giving up four
earned runs.
GAME 5: INDIANS 6,
YANKEES 3
Facing elimination, the Indians turned to ace Corey Kluber,
while the Yankees sent out their own ace in Luis Severino. Again, the result
was extra innings but this time it was the Indians who won in 10 innings. A
two-run RBI double by Francisco Lindor gave the Indians the lead, and Michael
Brantley added an insurance run. Time to return to Cleveland!
GAME 6: YANKEES 7,
INDIANS 3
The Yankees punched their World Series ticket in dramatic
fashion. Down three to one, the Yankees rallied for four runs in the eighth
inning. The charge was led by none other than Giancarlo Stanton who kicked
things off with two-run double to left field. With the game tied at three, Greg
Bird gave the Yankees the lead on a two-run home that scored Judge.
NEW YORK YANKEES WIN 4-2
WORLD SERIES: NEW
YORK YANKEES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS
The 2018 World Series features two teams with dramatically
different pasts. The Brewers haven’t appeared in the World Series since 1982
when they were in the American League. They ultimately lost the World Series to
the Cardinals. The Yankees, meanwhile, have a long history of winning but
haven’t appeared in a World Series since their 2009 championship. They got
close to returning last year but lost in seven games to the eventual champions
Houston Astros.
GAME 1: YANKEES 8,
BREWERS 7
The Brewers proved they can keep pace with the Yankees’
high-powered offense but it was the Yankees who came out on top in game one.
The Bronx Bombers crushed three home runs (Greg Bird, Brandon Drury, Aaron
Judge). But it was Bird’s home run in the top of the ninth on the normally
dominant relief pitcher Josh Hader that proved to be the difference maker.
GAME 2: YANKEES 5,
BREWERS 2
Both Masahiro Tanaka (6 IP, 5 H, 1 ER) and Jhoulys Chacin (6
IP, 7 H, 2 ER) had strong starts for their respective teams, but the Yankees
bats came to life at the end of the game. The Yankees took the lead 2-1 in the
top of the sixth before added three insurance runs in the eight.
GAME 3: YANKEES 6, BREWERS 5
The Brewers jumped out to a two-run lead in the first inning
and entered the seventh inning ahead 5-2, but let’s face it; you can’t stop the
Yankees offense. You can only try to contain it. And they failed to do so. When
the Yankees front office put together a lineup that includes Aaron Judge,
Giancarlo Stanton and Gary Sanchez, they had in mind innings like the seventh
which saw the Yankees rally for four runs. Judge hit an RBI-scoring sac fly,
while Stanton (2-4 2 HR, 3 RBI, 2 R) and Sanchez (3-4, HR, 2 RBI, R) both
homered.
GAME 4: BREWERS 4,
YANKEES 0
The Brewers somehow managed to shut out the Yankees offense
and stave off a World Series Sweep. Christian Yelich set the tone early,
hitting a solo home run in the first inning. Orlando Arcia would add a two-run
double in the fifth. The biggest difference here was the Brewers ability to
completely shut down the Yankees offense – something we had not seen all
series.
GAME 5: YANKEES 4,
BREWERS 1
Both Luis Severino and Chase Anderson had solid starts.
Anderson held the Yankees to just two runs on six innings. The two runs were
all the Yankees would need with Luis Severino on the mound (7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER,
11 SO).
And just like that, the New York Yankees are back on top of
the MLB mountain. Sure, a lot of fans will be awfully angry to see them hoist
another championship trophy, but I say it’s good to have the villains back.
No comments:
Post a Comment