Once the exciting rapid-fire
announcements of college football bowl games comes to an end, reality sets in.
And some matchups are unappealing.
While we’re not suggesting you
should avoid these contests — this is often a great accomplishment for the
players and it’s the last of college football this year — our expectations are
low. Season-long trends suggest an ugly game.
Since there are 39 bowls, several
exhibitions won’t be that memorable. And when these games aren’t great, don’t
say we didn’t warn you.
FAMOUS IDAHO
POTATO BOWL
BYU’s offense may have seemed to
improve late in 2018, but two clashes with dismal defenses and Utah’s
special-teams issues boosted the Cougars. They’re a run-first team with a low
scoring ceiling. On the other side will be Western Michigan, which surged to a
6-2 record but lost quarterback Jon Wassink to injury. His replacement,
freshman Kaleb Eleby, could not buoy the Broncos and their subpar defense. If
you’re actively trying to miss the Potato Bowl, the 4 p.m. ET kickoff happens
at prime traveling time on the Friday before Christmas.
HAWAII BOWL
Save for the season-ending game
at San Diego State, the efficiency of Hawaii’s offense had a tendency to
disappear against solid competition. We’ll trust that trend instead of a bright
performance in the finale. Louisiana Tech ceded more than six yards per play
once in 2018 and seldom allowed explosive gains of 30-plus yards. But the
Bulldogs have a pretty rough offense, too. They cracked 400 yards of offense on
just three Football Bowl Subdivision foes. Our only hope is the combination of
Hawaii’s home-field advantage and its shoddy defense creates an exciting fourth
quarter.
CHEEZ-IT BOWL
We appreciate good defense. This
season, both TCU and Cal posted top-25 marks in yards allowed per play. There’s
nothing wrong with a showdown between two good defenses. The problem is these offenses are brutal. TCU never adequately replaced Kenny
Hill, trying three QBs en route to a 6-6 record. It was a similar story for Cal,
which alternated Chase Garbers and Brandon McIlwain before settling with the
former. To say Cal lacked explosiveness with Garbers is an understatement. Ugly
offense will overshadow good defense in the Cheez-It Bowl.
PINSTRIPE BOWL
Alex Hornibrook can’t do it
again, right? Last year, he shredded a superb Miami defense for career-high
marks of 258 yards and four touchdowns in the Hurricanes’ home stadium. But this Miami defense
is nothing short of elite. If the unit contains Jonathan Taylor,
the ‘Canes should overwhelm an otherwise uninspiring Wisconsin offense. Will
Miami score much, though? Poor blocking drops and inconsistent play from quarterbacks have plagued Mark
Richt’s team all season. Throw in likely sub-freezing temperatures to sting
Miami, and this could be a low-scoring slog in New York.
BELK BOWL
Can you actually be confident in
either South Carolina or Virginia? The Gamecocks piled up 500 yards in five games
yet failed to reach 400 in the other seven. Virginia ripped off a 6-2 start but
dropped three straight ACC games down the stretch. Although both defenses are
decently opportunistic, the offenses were decidedly average at protecting the
ball. The glass-half-full interpretation means takeaways will lead to easy
points and a high-scoring game. The pessimistic view is it’ll be a
mistake-filled affair only worth watching when the Peach Bowl is in a
commercial break.
SUN BOWL
Through six games, Stanford’s
defensive front was ineffective. If that had remained true, Pitt’s potential dominance on the ground would be enticing.
Instead, the Cardinal turned in an impressive effort during their final six
contests. And you needn’t look further than Pitt’s last two games to discover
how the offense fared when forced to pass; Kenny Pickett mustered 3.5 yards per
pass attempt. Dreadful. Hopefully, the efficient version of Stanford QB K.J.
Costello shows up. Otherwise, the Sun Bowl crowd will be observing a whole
bunch of mediocre offense.
HOLIDAY BOWL
In the modern era, the 2008 Sun
Bowl between Oregon State and Pitt accounted for the fewest points: three.
There’s a non-zero chance the Holiday Bowl ties that record. Northwestern’s
offense ranks 124th nationally in yards per play, while Utah’s defense is 13th
in that category. Of Northwestern’s final seven opponents, only Notre Dame and
Ohio State scored more than 17 points. Utah lost dual-threat quarterback Tyler
Huntley and star runner Zack Moss to injury. If you thought Utah’s loss in the Pac-12 title was ugly, you might consider avoiding
this one.
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