With All-Star Weekend in the books, it's time to
look at which NBA Finals contenders are in the driver's seat for home-court
advantage, which teams are still fighting for a playoff spot and which
struggling clubs already have eyes on the draft.
THE NBA FINALS
CONTENDERS
1. GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORS
Record: 41-16 (1st in West) The Nuggets' staff might have coached in the All-Star Game, but the Warriors own the best record in the Western Conference. Keep an eye Golden State and Denver as they battle it out for the top seed in the conference: The Warriors and Nuggets split a pair of games in Denver, while Golden State hosts the final two contests that could decide home-court advantage throughout the West playoffs.
Record: 41-16 (1st in West) The Nuggets' staff might have coached in the All-Star Game, but the Warriors own the best record in the Western Conference. Keep an eye Golden State and Denver as they battle it out for the top seed in the conference: The Warriors and Nuggets split a pair of games in Denver, while Golden State hosts the final two contests that could decide home-court advantage throughout the West playoffs.
2. MILWAUKEE
BUCKS
Record: 43-14 (1st in East) With the best record in basketball, Milwaukee is sitting pretty and should be concerned merely about maximizing its playoff potential. The trade to secure floor-spacer Nikola Mirotic, who will make his Bucks' debut after the break, was seemingly a wise move in that direction.
Record: 43-14 (1st in East) With the best record in basketball, Milwaukee is sitting pretty and should be concerned merely about maximizing its playoff potential. The trade to secure floor-spacer Nikola Mirotic, who will make his Bucks' debut after the break, was seemingly a wise move in that direction.
3. TORONTO
RAPTORS
Record: 43-16 (2nd in East) The Raptors have been one of the league's most consistent winners this season, even with the load management of Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry's missed games. Now they're without Fred VanVleet, a vital member of their rotation, for a few weeks. The pressing question down the stretch for the Raps: Can this high-IQ group that has endured sporadic absences find the cohesiveness necessary to win an Eastern Conference title?
Record: 43-16 (2nd in East) The Raptors have been one of the league's most consistent winners this season, even with the load management of Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry's missed games. Now they're without Fred VanVleet, a vital member of their rotation, for a few weeks. The pressing question down the stretch for the Raps: Can this high-IQ group that has endured sporadic absences find the cohesiveness necessary to win an Eastern Conference title?
4. OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDER
Record: 37-20 (3rd in West) The Thunder reached the All-Star break in third place out West, four games behind the Warriors. The Thunder have positioned themselves as a legitimate contender, built on the strength of a top-five defensive efficiency and two MVP-caliber team leaders, Russell Westbrook and Paul George. If defense and superstars win championships, a healthy Thunder squad is one that no one will want to face in the playoffs.
Record: 37-20 (3rd in West) The Thunder reached the All-Star break in third place out West, four games behind the Warriors. The Thunder have positioned themselves as a legitimate contender, built on the strength of a top-five defensive efficiency and two MVP-caliber team leaders, Russell Westbrook and Paul George. If defense and superstars win championships, a healthy Thunder squad is one that no one will want to face in the playoffs.
5. DENVER
NUGGETS
Record: 39-18 (2nd in West)
Record: 39-18 (2nd in West)
The Nuggets reached the break with the second-best record
out West, despite injuries that have seen them miss a combined 82 games from
their starting five. Nikola Jokic has
turned in an MVP-caliber campaign thus far, ranking third in the NBA with a
Real Plus-Minus of 6.46 that has led the Nuggets to the fourth-best offensive
efficiency in the league.
6. PHILADELPHIA
76ERS
Record: 37-21 (T-4th in East)
Record: 37-21 (T-4th in East)
With the trades for Jimmy Butler and Tobias Harris,
the Sixers let it be known to the world that their aspiration this season is
nothing less than the NBA Finals. If the first four games and 73 minutes their
new starting lineup has played together is any indication, they have a strong
case to be a favorite in the East. The Philly Phive has an eye-popping net
rating of plus-24.6 points per 100 possessions. -- Arnovitz
7. BOSTON
CELTICS
Record: 37-21 (T-4th in East)
Record: 37-21 (T-4th in East)
The Celtics are currently tied for fourth in the East with
the 76ers, a game behind the Pacers. They are likely too far behind to catch
the first-place Bucks or second-place Raptors, so their most likely scenario
has them challenging for the third seed. However, they are widely considered to
have one of the most talented rosters and own the third-best scoring margin
(plus-6.4) in the NBA. Perhaps the best news for the Celtics is the recent play
of Gordon
Hayward, who has averaged 21.0 points (63.3 shooting), 4.7 assists
and 4.7 rebounds during the three games leading into the break and looks like
he is approaching full strength for the first time this season.
8. HOUSTON
ROCKETS
Record: 33-24 (5th in West)
Record: 33-24 (5th in West)
James Harden is
working hard to make history. Can he keep that up and have enough gas left to
go deep in the playoffs? Can 33-year-old Chris Paul stay
healthy and find his superstar form again? Paul also has to figure out how to
best fit with Harden being so ball-dominant. One good sign: Paul is plus-52 in
the past four games despite not shooting well (39 assists, five turnovers).
-- MacMahon
DON'T FORGET ABOUT
US
9. PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERS
Record: 34-23 (4th in West)
Record: 34-23 (4th in West)
The Blazers enter the post-All-Star break in a precarious
position. Portland will have to be nearly perfect to catch up to Golden State,
Denver or Oklahoma City in the top three West playoff spots. The Blazers
currently own the fourth seed, which comes with home court in the first round
of the playoffs. Meanwhile, Portland has four teams breathing down their necks
trying to take it away.
10. INDIANA
PACERS
Record: 38-20 (3rd in East)
Record: 38-20 (3rd in East)
Credit to Indiana, which has gone 13-9 without injured
All-Star Victor
Oladipothis season after posting an 0-7 mark in games without him in
2017-18. As a third-place team, the Pacers should still be a lock to make the
playoffs in the East, even without their best player. But it'd be a huge
accomplishment to somehow hold on to home-court advantage.
11. UTAH JAZZ
Record: 32-25 (6th in West)
Record: 32-25 (6th in West)
Ricky Rubio maintained
his professionalism -- and sense of humor -- as the Jazz dangled him in an
attempt to upgrade with Mike Conley.
Utah probably needs Rubio, a free agent this summer, at his best to advance
past the first round for the third straight year. The Jazz also need Dante Exum to
come back strong after a long absence due to a left ankle sprain.
12. SAN ANTONIO
SPURS
Record: 33-26 (7th in West)
Record: 33-26 (7th in West)
Can DeMar DeRozan get
his groove back? His production and efficiency have slipped significantly since
the calendar flipped to 2019, as he has dealt with fatigue and nagging
injuries. The Spurs look like a good bet to extend their playoff streak to
record-tying 22 years. The question is whether Spurs can do any damage once
they get there.
13. LOS ANGELES
LAKERS
Record: 28-29 (10th in West)
Record: 28-29 (10th in West)
LeBron James returned
more than two weeks ago, but the Lakers still find themselves slotted at No. 10
in the Western Conference playoff race. Missing the postseason would be
embarrassing for the Lakers, even with the tempered expectations set at the
start of the season. Qualifying won't be easy, as the upstart Kings have shown
no signs of tailing off, and the resilient and transitional Clippers still able
to play .500 ball or better, irrespective of who's on the roster.
14. LA CLIPPERS
Record: 32-27 (8th in West)
Record: 32-27 (8th in West)
The Clippers won't say it aloud, but most within the front
office wouldn't mind being edged out at the finish line for a playoff spot,
thus allowing them to retain their first-round draft pick this June. In the
meantime, the top priority is the continuing development of rookie point
guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
The Clips would love to be able to enter free-agency pitches not only with cap
space, but evidence that Gilgeous-Alexander is a point guard with the skills to
lead an elite, contending team.
15. SACRAMENTO
KINGS
Record: 30-27 (9th in West)
Record: 30-27 (9th in West)
Do the Kings finally have enough to make the playoffs for
the first time since 2006? Adding quality veteran forward Harrison
Barnes as a starter and veteran guard Alec Burks off
the bench sure showed the club is going for it this season. De'Aaron Fox has
been outstanding in his second year at point guard, and perhaps it's time for
the Kings to take the training wheels off talented forward Marvin Bagley
III and let him start.
CHASING THE
PLAYOFFS
16. BROOKLYN NETS
Record: 30-29 (6th in East)
Record: 30-29 (6th in East)
It's ironic that in a season the Nets finally own their
first-round draft pick, they're playing their way into the postseason -- but
Brooklyn will gladly take a pick in the teens in exchange for the playoff
berth. Even with the Nets' recent slide, no team works harder, gets more out of
its personnel and is better coached than Brooklyn. The gritty supporting cast
has been a revelation, but the Nets' postseason hopes will rest in large part
on the play of D'Angelo
Russell, who has led the team in scoring in each of the past nine
games.
17. DETROIT
PISTONS
Record: 26-30 (T-8th in East)
Record: 26-30 (T-8th in East)
Detroit won five of its last seven games before the break
and enters the second half of the season in a tie for the eighth and final
playoff spot. The Pistons retooled their roster some, hoping to find a bit more
support for Blake Griffin,
who has been great, but at times looked overburdened on offense because of the
team's lack of ball handlers. At this point, with just one playoff appearance
in the previous nine seasons, Detroit will take some mid-April basketball
anyway it can get it.
18. CHARLOTTE
HORNETS
Record: 27-30 (7th in East)
Record: 27-30 (7th in East)
The Hornets were gracious hosts for All-Star Weekend, but
their fans are more worried about getting back to the postseason. Charlotte,
however, made no significant move at the trade deadline to help its cause. The
Hornets have tough competition for the final two playoff spots with Detroit,
Miami and Orlando.
19. MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVES
Record: 27-30 (11th in West)
Record: 27-30 (11th in West)
The Timberwolves desperately need to pick up some wins if
they hope to make the postseason for the second year in a row. Minnesota is
currently four games out of the playoff race behind the Clippers. Success would
certainly help the cause for interim head coach Ryan Saunders in his hopes to
be permanent. Consistent elite play from forward Andrew
Wiggins to complement All-Star Karl-Anthony
Towns would help, too.
20. ORLANDO MAGIC
Record: 27-32 (10th in East)
Record: 27-32 (10th in East)
The Magic are having a season that exceeds expectations
across the board. The team was expected to be in full rebuild mode, but instead
the strong play of first-time All-Star Nikola
Vucevic has them entering the break a half game out of the
playoffs and on a five-game winning streak. In addition, the deadline deal to
bring in 2017 No. 1 overall pick Markelle
Fultz gives the Magic three top-five draft picks from the past
two drafts (along with Mo Bamba and Jonathan
Isaac) to develop as a potential future core.
21. MIAMI HEAT
Record: 26-30 (T-8th in East)
Record: 26-30 (T-8th in East)
The Heat limped into the All-Star break, having lost six of
their past eight games to fall into a tie for the last playoff spot. They
remain one of four teams within a game of each other for seeds 7 through 10,
though, and have a veteran-laden team that would like to send legend Dwyane Wade into
retirement with a playoff berth.
22. WASHINGTON
WIZARDS
Record: 24-34 (11th in East)
Record: 24-34 (11th in East)
With the franchise clearly being built around Bradley Beal at
this point, the next two months should be about establishing which teammates
fit best alongside him for the coming years, and doing everything you can to
keep Beal healthy for next season. Washington sits three games out of the No. 8
seed, so a late-season charge isn't out of the question, either.
SO, WHEN'S THE
LOTTERY?
23. DALLAS
MAVERICKS
Record: 26-31 (12th in West)
Record: 26-31 (12th in West)
Rookie sensation Luka Doncic will
be pushed to his limits, as he has as much responsibility on his shoulders the
rest of the season as anyone but a couple recent MVPs. Dorian
Finney-Smith, Maxi Kleber, Jalen Brunson get
extended auditions to prove they're good fits as role players who complement
the kid.
24. NEW ORLEANS
PELICANS
Record: 26-33 (13th in West)
Record: 26-33 (13th in West)
The rest of the season is about managing the Anthony Davis dumpster
fire and figuring out who will be the Pelicans' point man in trade discussions
this summer. As coach Alvin Gentry does his best to keep the Pelicans focused
amid all the distractions, the league office might need to reconsider whether
the franchise has the right to act in its own best interest by putting Davis on
the shelf for the rest of the season.
25. ATLANTA HAWKS
Record: 19-39 (12th in East)
Record: 19-39 (12th in East)
There are some who would argue that the Hawks are doing
themselves a disservice by winning games and decreasing their odds in the Zion
Williamsonsweepstakes. But Atlanta will happily take the incremental
progress of its young core -- Trae Young, John Collins and Kevin Huerter most
notably -- and the cultural foundation being laid down by head coach Lloyd
Pierce. It's an inexperienced group that may still lose a ton of games down the
stretch, but the Hawks seem to have recused themselves from the 2019
Tankathon.
26. MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIES
Record: 23-36 (14th in West)
Record: 23-36 (14th in West)
* Pick will go to Boston if outside top 8
|
Hey, hey, let's convey! Not quite an inspiring rally cry,
but the Grizzlies' primary goal is to get rid of the top-eight protected pick
they owe the Celtics now, not when it's top-six protected next year or
unprotected in 2021. Mike Conley will
surely get shopped again this summer, but he's helping mentor Jaren Jackson
Jr. to be Memphis' future face of the franchise.
27. CHICAGO BULLS
Record: 14-44 (14th in East)
Record: 14-44 (14th in East)
The chief curiosity for Chicago heading into the second half
should be seeing how Otto Porter
Jr. continues to fit alongside Zach LaVine and Lauri
Markkanen. The early results have been more than encouraging: In
their 110 minutes as a trio, Chicago has outscored opponents by 14 points per
100 possessions. Seeing what that group does once Wendell
Carter Jr. returns should be somewhat instructive for next
year.
28. CLEVELAND
CAVALIERS
Record: 12-46 (14th in East)
Record: 12-46 (14th in East)
* Pick will go to Atlanta if outside top 10
|
Cleveland has a handful of things to monitor once it resumes
play. Can Cedi Osman,
who has averaged 20 points per game over the past month or so, become a
consistent second scorer going forward? Can Kevin Love,
now healthy again, restore his value as a franchise-caliber player? (If not as
a legitimate centerpiece, then as trade asset.) But the most important question
will come in mid-May, when the Cavs have a chance to win the lottery.
29. PHOENIX SUNS
Record: 11-48 (Last in West)
Record: 11-48 (Last in West)
As bad as things seem to be for the Suns, the good news is there
finally seems to be some stability. There is no potential change in head coach,
general manager or even arena on the horizon and they finally have a point
guard, Tyler Johnson.
Don't be surprised if the Suns play the role of spoiler the rest of the regular
season. Foes will take the Suns lightly, but with young stars Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton and
other budding talent, they can be competitive.
30. NEW YORK
KNICKS
Record: 11-47 (Last in East)
Record: 11-47 (Last in East)
The Knicks had parlayed an impressive 18-game losing streak
into the worst record in the NBA before winning the last pre-break game to move
a half-game ahead of the Suns. However, under the new draft lottery rules, the
teams with the three worst records share the same chance at the No. 1 overall
pick. The Knicks are three full games behind the Bulls for the fourth-worst
record in the league, so they have some wiggle room while continuing their
season-long youth movement without fear of lowering their lottery odds.
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