Thursday, January 31, 2019

MIDSEASON REPORT CARDS ON NHL EASTERN CONFERENCE TEAMS


Remember that moment of uncertainty back in school when report cards were sent home? That moment when you were sure that you aced a class but wondered if the teacher saw it differently? Or, conversely, that moment when you silently hoped that D you thought you'd have to explain to your parents might, miraculously, become a C instead?
Progress reports are always stressful, but ultimately, they serve as equal parts validation and motivation. So we decided to hand out report cards to all 31 teams as they head down the stretch of the season to the trade deadline. Stats are collected from sites like CorsicaNatural Stat Trick and Hockey Reference.
It's time to separate the honor roll from those headed for detention.
METROPOLITAN DIVISION
PITTSBURGH PENGUINS
Preseason over/under: 102.5 Current points pace: 98
Forwards: B+
The Pens score a ton (3.49 goals per game, fifth in the league). No, Evgeni Malkin doesn't look like himself, but he's still at higher than a point-per-game pace. The Pens would like better production from their bottom six, but what team wouldn't?
Defense: B-
The Penguins have managed shorthanded (without Justin Schultz) thanks to Kris Letang's bounce-back season and Marcus Pettersson, who has charmed since being acquired from the Ducks. The team is allowing too many shots though, nearly 33 per game.
Goalies: B
Matt Murray had concerning play to start the season, but since returning from injury in mid-December he is 10-1-0 with a .944 save percentage. Casey DeSmith is developing quite nicely and has the numbers (.917 save percentage through 28 games) to prove it.
Special teams: A-
Once again, the power play has the ability to be lethal, and the Pens rank sixth in the league (24.8 percent). The penalty kill also ranks sixth in the league (83.3 percent).
Coach: A-
Mike Sullivan is a coach who is constantly making adjustments, and that helped pull the Penguins out of a poor start into a scorching hot December. It doesn't feel like Pittsburgh has hit its full potential just yet.
GM: A-
Jim Rutherford is a GM who is never satisfied. He probably overpaid for Jack Johnson in free agency, but his midseason adjustments -- specifically, swapping Daniel Sprong for Pettersson -- have turned out to be just what the team needed. Does he have another move up his sleeve before the deadline?
Class president: Kris Letang
He hasn't been flawless. But the fact that the team's No. 1 defenseman has returned to form has been pivotal, as he's averaging 26-plus minutes per game, his second-best career average.
In danger of failing: Derick Brassard
Not the best way to go into free agency. Brassard was so coveted as a No. 3 center heading into last season's trade deadline, and now finds himself expendable, and likely to be traded.
Overall team grade: B
It has been a streaky four months for Sidney Crosby & Co. -- from goaltending to winning and losing in bunches -- but the Penguins still lurk in good playoff position and look to hit their stride at the right time.
CAROLINA HURRICANES
Preseason over/under: 85.5 Current points pace: 89
Forwards: C
Another team carried exclusively by their top line. The Canes have endured some anemic stretches, which might cost them a playoff spot. Acquiring scoring help is an extreme necessity.
Defense: A-
Carolina might have the deepest blue line in the NHL, full stop. They'll likely auction a defenseman off in a trade, for scoring help; though let's laud these guys for allowing the fewest shots per game in the league.
Goalies: C
The Scott Darling situation is unfortunate. Carolina thought it might have a decent backup option in Petr Mrazek, but they lucked out on waivers with Curtis McElhinney, who has put up gratifying performances and a .914 save percentage.
Special teams: C-
Another year of a drab power play (it ranks 23rd in the league). At least there are signs of hope that it can be fixed; in one four-game stretch earlier this month, the Canes scored five power-play goals.
Coach: B
Dealing with limited resources, rookie head coach Rod Brind'Amour has churned a lot out of this group. They're having fun and buying in to his up-tempo style. But they still don't look like a playoff team.
GM: B-
There have been some shrewd moves: the Calvin De Haan offseason acquisition, grabbing McElhinney on waivers and the trade to land Nino Niederreiter. There have also been some misses. We hope this team won't be stunted by frugality.
Class president: Sebastian Aho
The third-year forward began the season with a 12-game point streak and never let up; Aho is now at 57 points in 50 games. He is the team's most consistent and exciting forward.
In danger of failing: Scott Darling
It's an unfortunate situation, but there's a chance we'll never see Darling fully realize his full potential as an NHL starter.
Overall team grade: C+
They're having fun, they're still rocking great Corsi figures and ... they're still not in the playoff picture. There's a lot of potential here, but Carolina isn't quite ready to level up yet.
COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS
Preseason over/under: 97.5 Current points pace: 99
Forwards: B+
The Blue Jackets have blossomed as a top-10 scoring team, and it's not just the Artemi Panarin show. The entire first line has been sensational, with Cam Atkinson (28 goals) and Pierre Luc Dubois (18) pulling weight. The second line is tough to play against, but production trails after that.
Defense: A-
The Blue Jackets are getting production from their defensemen, who control shot share and push the pace of play. The blueliners have been crucial, with the team getting less-than-expected production in net.
Goalies: B
As Sergei Bobrovsky enters contract uncertainty, it hasn't been his best season; he has allowed three or more goals on 20 occasions, sandwiched by some signature strong play. Joonas Korpisalo has emerged as a proficient No. 2.
Special teams: B-
The power play is once again a burden (ranking 27th in the league at the break), but at least the team is addressing it, hiring Martin St. Louis as a consultant. Columbus has a top-10 penalty kill.
Coach: A
John Tortorella gets an A solely for this: The team's two most talented players are mired in dramatic contract situations, something that could derail a locker room. And yet, it hasn't felt like a distraction at all. Kudos to a veteran coach for keeping the group on message.
GM: B-
Jarmo Kekalainen made a good bet on Anthony Duclair and a whiff (so far) on Riley Nash. How he ultimately handles Bobrovsky and Panarin -- the most pressing decisions for any GM this year -- will be the basis for ultimate judgement.
Class president: Cam Atkinson
On pace for 48 goals and 85 points -- which would shatter his previous career bests of 35 goals and 62 points, set in 2016-17 -- Atkinson's offensive surge eases a bit of the anxiety over potentially losing Panarin at the trade deadline.
In danger of failing: Riley Nash
He was the Blue Jackets' only big free-agent acquisition (signed to a three-year, $8.25 million deal to shore up center depth) and hasn't matched the expectations, recording just six points while averaging 10:30 of ice time per game and potentially having a career-worst season in the faceoff circle (43.2 percent).
Overall team grade: B+
It's been a season beset by uncertainty behind the scenes given the looming free agency of Panarin and Bobrovsky, and yet the Blue Jackets have played distraction-free hockey. Depending on how the trade deadline shakes out, could this be the year they finally win a playoff series?
NEW JERSEY DEVILS
Preseason over/under: 91.5 Current points pace: 75
Forwards: C+
Taylor Hall's prolonged absence leaves a unit that needs playmakers. Six players have double-digit goal totals, which is promising.
Defense: D+
This defense lacks two things: depth and dominant players. That means the Devils are often playing catch up; they've allowed the fifth-most goals in the league at 3.37 per game.
Goalies: D+
Rookie MacKenzie Blackwood has shined of late, which helps forgive for what the Devils got out of the position at the beginning of the season, which was dreadful. Keith Kinkaid crashed back to Earth, while we might have seen the last of Cory Schneider.
Special teams: B+
If there's a silver lining to this Devils' season, it's the penalty kill, which has been consistently excellent. New Jersey has the second-best mark in the league at 87.4 the power play ranks 18th.
Coach: C+
Coming off the finest season in his career, it's hard to fault John Hynes too much for New Jersey's current state. He wants his team to play more physical, let's see how his team responds.
GM: C+
Rob Shero did nothing to address his defense in the offseason, and the results show. Of course, Shero is in for the long play, and he likely predicted this regression, therefore, he isn't giving his team every resource -- just yet.
Class president: Kyle Palmieri
He filled in for Taylor Hall at All-Star Weekend, which was emblematic of his role for the Devils this season. In the absence of the reigning MVP, the 27-year-old Palmieri is carrying the load, on pace for a career-high 39 goals.
In danger of failing: Cory Schneider
The 32-year-old Schneider is on the books for $6 million over the next three seasons, which leaves the Devils in a predicament. He's slow, allows goals in bunches and looks like he might not ever fully recover from hip surgery.
Overall team grade: D
We knew the team would likely take a step back from last season's revelation, but not quite like this. Plagued by poor goaltending and a lack of playmakers, the Devils are biding their time in the rebuild.
NEW YORK ISLANDERS
Preseason over/under: 82.5 Current points pace: 105
Forwards: B+
The Islanders are able to roll out four lines, independent of matchups. New York has been able to get balanced production, though there are weak spots -- the third line, particularly, has had a few rough patches.
Defense: A
The Islanders were last in goals against at 3.57 per game last season, and hit the All-Star break in first this season, at 2.41. Credit is due to goaltending, but also a refocused bunch led by a healthy Johnny Boychuk and top partner Nick Leddy. Others have stepped up, too; Scott Mayfield and Devon Toews have been delights.
Goalies: A
After detailing past battles with alcoholism and bipolar disorder, the new scenery and structure has worked wonders for Robin Lehner, who at $1.5 million is the league's 46th-highest-paid goaltender. At the break, he led the league in save percentage (.931) with a stingy 2.02 GAA. Thomas Greiss has played terrific as well.
Special teams: D
The Islanders' 5-on-5 numbers are spectacular. Conversely, the power play (ranking 24th at the break) and penalty kill (22nd) are not.
Coach: A
Barry Trotz won the midseason Coach of the Year Award, as voted by the Pro Hockey Writers Association. What he has been able to do with this team -- motivating a buy in post-John Tavares, creating a defensive structure -- is nothing short of extraordinary.
GM: A-
We were skeptical of Lou Lamoriello this summer. After losing Tavares, it appeared the strategy was to sign every fourth-line forward available. Some of the patchwork fixes have worked. The goaltending acquisitions have been huge. Signing Trotz was a grand slam.
Class president: Robin Lehner
Lehner's renaissance is the league's most compelling comeback story. His resurgence aligns perfectly with the Islanders' resurgence.
In danger of failing: The power play
The man-advantage unit has been a momentum killer at times. Perhaps a trade-deadline acquisition -- the Islanders could be in on any of the top forwards available -- could add a jolt and reward this group for its strong start.
Overall team grade: A
The Islanders are the most impressive first-half team in the league. There was no pity after losing the franchise center. The once-porous defense and goaltending suddenly are strengths.
NEW YORK RANGERS
Preseason over/under: 75.5 Current points pace: 82
Forwards: C
Mika ZibanejadKevin Hayes and Chris Kreider are thriving under new coach David Quinn. Mostly everyone else is underperforming, with high-profile youngsters -- namely Pavel BuchnevichFilip Chytil and Lias Andersson, who has been shuttling to the AHL -- taking longer to fit in.
Defense: C-
This eight-man rotation just isn't working. It's a blend of bloated contracts (Kevin ShattenkirkMarc Staal), streakiness (Brady Skjei) and youngsters who are raw. New York has allowed the sixth-most goals in the league at five-on-five, and fourth-most shots per game.
Goalies: B
Henrik Lundqvist's win in the Save Streak competition at All-Star weekend was perfectly emblematic of his current role with the Rangers: down to the last chance, still capable of brilliance, ultimately it's inconsequential.
Special teams: C-
The power play hovers around the league average -- Zibanejad has been particularly lethal here, with 16 power-play points -- but the penalty kill ranked 26th entering the All-Star break.
Coach: C+
Taking the job at the cusp of the rebuild? That's no easy task. Quinn is trying to motivate via benchings and is teaching by holding more intensive practices than his predecessor. The results should come eventually, but it's definitely going to be a process.
GM: B-
The letter to fans came out about a year ago outlining the rebuild, and to this point, management has stayed true to the plan. Full marks for that. Even bigger marks if they can recoup value at the deadline.
Class president: Mika Zibanejad
Among veterans, he might be the Rangers' only untouchable forward at the deadline, or at least he should be. The 25-year-old center will likely smash his previous career high of 51 points. As of the break, he was on pace for 75.
In danger of failing: Mats Zuccarello
For most of the first half, the Norwegian fan favorite was mired in a terrible slump. The impending UFA is a good bet to be gone by the trade deadline, and unfortunately, his value is quite low.
Overall team grade: C-
Rebuild commence. The first month was a red herring, and there will be difficult months ahead. As long as the team sticks to the plan, though, this season will be remembered as the roughest in the transition.
PHILADELPHIA FLYERS
Preseason over/under: 97.5 Current points pace: 79
Forwards: C-
The Flyers are 22nd in the league, averaging just 2.82 goals per game. The big-free agent acquisition, James van Riemsdyk, took a while to get going while other players the Flyers are depending on -- Nolan Patrick and Jakub Voracek -- have been frustrating.
Defense: C
The team's two most talented defensemen, Shayne Gostisbehere and Ivan Provorov, are having off seasons. There have been bright spots, though. See: Radko GudasRobert Hagg. Philadelphia has allowed 3.4 goals per game, fourth-most in the league, but goaltending is partially to blame.
Goalies: D
Hextall was preaching patience, but its evident Hart is ready to be a star ... now. His recent emergence masks what was becoming a historically hysterical game of musical chairs for Flyers goalies. The collective struggles nearly cost the team the season.
Special teams: F
The Flyers have the worst power play in the league. They're at risk of finishing below 12.2 percent, which is the record for a franchise worst-mark (set in 1967-68). Philadelphia has the fourth-least-efficient penalty kill in the league.
Coach: INC
Dave Hakstol's message was getting stale with the players, so he got the cut. Now it appears Scott Gordon is giving a jolt, but it's too early to tell if it's sustainable.
GM: INC
Chuck Fletcher inherited a roster in peril. He has threatened seismic moves -- everyone is available, it seems, besides Claude Giroux and Carter Hart -- and he'll be closely scrutinized at the deadline.
Class president: Carter Hart
The numbers are impressive: a .922 save percentage through his first 13 starts. Yes, it's a small sample size, but Hart has given fans a reason to believe and the team something to rally around. He's not a franchise-saver, but it feels like saving this season.
In danger of failing: Every goalie not named Carter Hart
The Flyers have already tied the NHL record for cycling through seven goaltenders in a season. The six used before Hart arrived ranged from unlucky to inept.
Overall team grade: D
The team had high hopes, but expectations spiraled quickly. Coach Hakstol and GM Ron Hextall became quick casualties as new GM Fletcher is forced to salvage the roster.
WASHINGTON CAPITALS
Preseason over/under: 97.5 Current points pace: 98
Forwards: B
Alex Ovechkin is on another ridiculous tear and the Capitals can score in bunches; plus, they have the league's fourth-best shooting percentage (11.2). But that's masking some depth issues. Evgeny KuznetsovLars Eller and the third line are underperforming.
Defense: B-
The Caps have had to weather injuries to Christian Djoos and Brooks Orpik, as well as a few lapses by other regulars. Overall though, it's very similar to last year's group; the promotion of Todd Reirden (who was previously in charge of defense as an assistant) has allowed for stability.
Goalies: B+
Braden Holtby was selected to his fourth-straight All-Star Game and has been solid enough, although we know he is capable of more. New backup Pheonix Copley, meanwhile, has been one of the best surprises, with 10 wins in his first 15 appearances.
Special teams: C
The power play began the season hot (20-for-67 in the first 21 games) but slumped from Dec. 15 on (6-for-52) and now ranks 10th in the league at 21.8 percent. The penalty kill, which ranks 25th, has allowed multiple power-play goals on 10 different occasions.
Coach: B
As a rookie head coach, Reirden has been as even keel as they come. With a veteran roster, there isn't too much space for coaching, although he'll be tested to pull the team out of the midseason funk.
GM: B+
There's not a lot of reason to criticize Brian McClellan. After rightfully keeping the band (mostly) together, he has been able to find depth replacements for defense (Jonas Siegenthaler) and goaltending (Pheonix Copley) from within.
Class president: Alex Ovechkin
It feels like this team goes as their captain goes, and my oh my has the 33-year-old been hot. Ovechkin has more than double the amount of goals of any other Capital.
In danger of failing: Andre Burakovsky
In the final campaign of a two-year bridge contract, Burakovsky has not been able to consistently produce as the Caps imagined. He's a trendy name on the trade market and could benefit from a change of scenery.
Overall team grade: B
What's worse than a hangover? A delayed hangover. The Capitals looked like they could fend it off with familiar early-season play but entered a tailspin before the break. Hopefully a week off gets them back on track.
ATLANTIC DIVISION
BOSTON BRUINS
Preseason over/under: 102.5 Current points pace: 98
Forwards: B+
Whether or not you believe the line of Patrice BergeronBrad Marchand and David Pastrnak is the best line in the NHL, they are the heartbeat of this Bruins team, accounting for 63 of the Bruins' 145 goals as a team. David Krejci has had a fine season as the anchor of a second scoring line, usually with Jake DeBrusk, with 40 points. Sean Kuraly has played well enough to have made Riley Nash a distant memory. But they're going to need some more from their bottom six to overcome the deep contenders in the East, and they're going to need that elusive top-six winger at the deadline to really get the Stanley Cup parade rolling.
Defense: B+
About what you'd expect. Torey Krug has 33 points in 39 games, with 21 of them on the power play. Zdeno Chara is still doing Zdeno Chara things, and his pairing with Charlie McAvoy (when healthy) is solid. Brandon Carlo is good support for Krug, and the Kevan Miller and Matt Grzelcyk pairing isn't bad for what it is.
Goalies: A-
Tuukka Rask worked through some issues this season to find his form, posting a .919 save percentage and an 8.33 goals saved above average. The Bruins have gotten eerily identical numbers from Jaroslav Halak. One of the best tandems in the NHL.
Special teams: B
The Bruins have a lethal power play, second in the NHL at 27.3 percent. Their penalty kill is middling at 16th in the league (80.3 percent). Marchand and Bergeron play on both.
Coach: B+
Bruce Cassidy has the benefit of having a few constants anchoring his lineup as he tries dozens of combinations around them to see what works. But he has done well to keep the ship running during some frustrating injuries.
GM: B+
Don Sweeney had some nice summer additions that have worked well, including Halak and defenseman John Moore. He swung and missed on Rick Nash during the last trade deadline, but one assumes he's going to get another pitch this deadline with guys like Wayne Simmonds and Artemi Panarin potentially on the move.
Class president: David Pastrnak
Pastrnak has taken things to another level this season, with 28 goals in 50 games.
In danger of failing: David Backes
Backes has five goals in 41 games, skating 13:40 per game. He makes $6 million annually through 2022 and was a healthy scratch for the first time in his career this season.
Overall team grade: B+
A very solid foundation for a championship team that still feels like it's a big piece or two away from really making that push.
BUFFALO SABRES
Preseason over/under: 80.5 Current points pace: 92
Forwards: B
Sometimes as hockey fans, we should all take a step back and ask what we did to deserve such joys as watching Jack Eichel (16-37-53) and Jeff Skinner (31-14-45) coexist on the same line. Whether it's with Sam Reinhart or Jason Pominville, that line has dominated to the tune of a plus-19 in goal differential. And then ... a bit of a drop-off. The duo of Conor Sheary and Casey Mittelstadt has been together for much of the season; with the latter player starting to find his game after a horror show December (two points in 13 games). Kyle Okposois a veteran hand on different lines, while Evan Rodrigues and Tage Thompson are starting to contribute. Zemgus Girgensons and Johan Larsson have been a decent duo, while Vladimir Sobotka can still win a faceoff.
Defense: C+
Rasmus Dahlin has been overshadowed in the rookie race by Elias Pettersson, which is a shame, because the first overall pick has been strong -- the Sabres have an on-ice save percentage of .937 when he's out there. Zach Bogosian has been a strong partner for him. Rasmus Ristolainen has 31 points and defensive deficiencies. The rest of the blue line has had its struggles.
Goalies: B+
Carter Hutton (.911) and Linus Ullmark (.914) have similar numbers across the board, with Ullmark just a shade better in fewer games (19, to Hutton's 31). It's a little amazing that the Sabres solidified their goaltending position by jettisoning Robin Lehner, who might now be a Vezina Trophy candidate for the Islanders. What a world.
Special teams: B
The Sabres are 22nd in the NHL at 16.8 percent on the power play. Their penalty kill is a bit better at 81.8 percent, good for ninth.
Coach: C+
Phil Housley's front-runner status for the Jack Adams seems years ago, rather than months. He has moved pieces around to try to find the right fit. The Sabres are very much in the hunt, but some of their underlying numbers leave something to be desired.
GM: B+
Jason Botterill brought on Skinner, Hutton and Sheary. He also watched as Patrik Berglund, a key part of the Ryan O'Reilly trade, took his puck and went home.
Class president: Jeff Skinner
Who knew all Jeff Skinner needed was an All-Star center to threaten 50 goals in a contract year?
In danger of failing: Marco Scandella
Scandella was acquired as a puck-moving offensive defenseman. He has nine points in 40 games this season and has been getting rolled at 5-on-5 in shot attempts.
Overall team grade: B
The Sabres aren't that team winning 10 in a row, and they're not that team that lost the next five games after they did. They're a team blessed with a dominant top line that is clearly still building toward contention. Just being in a playoff race will do wonders for Eichel and Dahlin.
DETROIT RED WINGS
Preseason over/under: 75.5 Current points pace: 72
Forwards: B
Dylan Larkin has 48 points in 51 games, working well with Gustav Nyquist (32 assists) and a variety of wingers that has included Tyler Bertuzzi (28 points) and old standby Justin Abdelkader (five goals in 51 games). Andreas Athanasiou is finally putting his blazing speed to good use with his best offensive season, scoring 17 goals and adding 13 assists in 45 games, although his line has been out possessed 5-on-5. Anthony Mantha is just a tick down from his previous two seasons but has been strong. Old hands Frans Nielsen and Thomas Vanek do what they do, while 19-year-old top prospect Michael Rasmussen has contributed with 13 points in 41 games.
Defense: C+
The Red Wings have tried several combinations of defensemen: Nicklas JensenNiklas KronwallDanny DeKeyserMike GreenFilip HronekJonathan Ericsson, rookie Dennis Cholowski and the currently injured Trevor Daley. Some of these combinations were the result of injuries, while others were out of ineffectiveness. Of the group, Jensen was featured most prominently on the combinations that produced the best results. This is not a coincidence.
Goalies: B+
We are all witnesses to the Jimmy Howard renaissance. The 34-year-old career Wing has a .916 save percentage and a quality starts percentage of .636 in 34 games. He earned his trip to the All-Star Game. Jonathan Bernier was brought in to tandem with Howard, but his .892 save percentage in 20 games wasn't what Detroit bargained for.
Special teams: D+
Detroit has the 25th-best power play in the NHL at 16.2 percent. They have the 23rd-best penalty kill at 77.6 percent. Their special teams are ... not special.
Coach: C+
The success obviously hasn't been there for Jeff Blashill, who will spend what many assume will be his last season in Detroit out of the playoffs again. But the Red Wings play hard, and he has done well in developing some of their young talents.
GM: C
Ken Holland made a bold draft pick in Filip Zadina, who has looked promising in Grand Rapids. He made a strong trade last season when he sent Tatar to the Golden Knights at the deadline. He has other assets to move this season -- although some of them have trade protection, because Ken Holland is why. Then, we'll all wait to see if he moves on to other opportunities.
Class president: Nicklas Jensen
As mentioned, Jensen has been one of the most underrated players in the NHL this season, posting an expected goals plus/minus of plus-1.79 playing with a variety of different defense partners. Will the Red Wings keep him around?
In danger of failing: Luke Glendening
Glendening has 17 points on the season. He also has a minus-156 in shot attempts and a minus-8.13 in expected goals. Woof.
Overall team grade: C
Not as bad as their record, but not good either. But boy, that Jimmy Howard has been good.
FLORIDA PANTHERS
Preseason over/under: 94.5 Current points pace: 82
Forwards: B
The Panthers are 15th this season with 152 goals, and over half of them have come from five forwards. Mike Hoffman (23 goals) is on the best goal-scoring pace of his career. Evgenii Dadonov (18) and Aleksander Barkov (17) have been a reliable duo. Frank Vatrano has been a revelation with 16 goals in 47 games, both career highs. Jonathan Huberdeau leads the team with 49 points in 48 games, with 12 of them coming on goals. (Vincent Trocheck, an offensive dynamo, has 18 points in 21 games due to injury. Nick Bjugstad was limited to 32 games.) Now the bad news: The Panthers are having a rough defensive year, and that includes the forwards, where even the reliable Barkov is a minus-7 in goal differential. And the rest of the forward group has been underwhelming.
Defense: C+
If Keith Yandle and Aaron Ekblad could play the entire game, the Panthers would be fine. They've been great this season, with Ekblad notching 21 points and Yandle tallying 31 with an even goal differential. Mackenzie Weegar and Bogdan Kiselevich have been surprisingly effective, while Mark Pysyk and Mike Matheson have been subpar. Like the forwards, it's a top-heavy group.
Goalies: D
Through 48 games, the Panthers don't have a goalie with a save percentage greater than .900. Roberto Luongo (.896), James Reimer (.897) and Michael Hutchinson (.839) have been by far the team's weakest group. Luongo, 39, is having arguably the worst season in his storied NHL career, with a goals saved above average of minus-8.01.
Special teams: B+
The Panthers have an outstanding power play, third in the league at 26.8 percent. They have a middling penalty kill at 80.6 percent, good for 14th.
Coach: C-
Bob Boughner obviously can't play goal himself, or else he might have tried it by now. The Panthers are 11th in shot attempts but 20th in percentage of scoring chances at 5-on-5. If Florida misses the playoff cut again, Boughner should hire a private eye to keep tabs on Joel Quenneville's whereabouts.
GM: B
Dale Tallon managed to launder Mike Hoffman through San Jose, which has worked out nicely. He also got Edmonton to overpay for Alex Petrovic, which was also addition by subtraction. There's a strong foundation here. Tallon just needs to figure out how to tie it all together, which honestly is an annual struggle.
Class president: Frank Vatrano
Vatrano went from being a low-key deadline pickup last season to someone who might post more goals this season than he has in his career to date.
In danger of failing: Roberto Luongo
We all want Roberto Luongo to win. We all want Roberto Luongo to be a part of this league as long as possible. But this season has been injury-plagued and deleterious to the Panthers, and he turns 40 in April.
Overall team grade: C-
The Panthers have shown some life lately, but it's probably too late to rally for a playoff spot. One of the NHL's biggest disappointments this season.
MONTREAL CANADIENS
Preseason over/under: 80.5 Current points pace: 98
Forwards: A-
The Canadiens have gone from 29th in the NHL last season in goals to 14th in 2018-19, and their improved forward group has been a major factor in that. Max Domi (44 points), Tomas Tatar (38 points), Joel Armia (12 points) and rookie Jesperi Kotkaniemi (23 points) all arrived in the offseason. Phillip Danault (33 points) has taken a leap in production, while holdovers like Jonathan Drouin (37 points), Artturi Lehkonen (23 points) and the always delightful Brendan Gallagher (30 points) and Andrew Shaw (24 points) have all been strong this season.
Defense: B
Shea Weber has been fantastic since returning from injury, with 16 points in 27 games and transforming Victor Mete into his new Ryan SuterJeff Petry has been paired with both Mike Reilly and Jordie Benn, and neither combo really took off. Brett Kulak has been in the mix, too.
Goalies: B+
Carey Price has a goals saved above average of plus-8.52 this season, which is being celebrated as a return to form for the former Vezina winner. He has a .915 save percentage and a .541 quality-starts percentage in 37 starts. Antti Niemi has been a less-than-stellar backup.
Special teams: C-
It's a good thing Montreal is so dominant at 5-on-5 because its power play is 30th in the NHL (13 percent) and the penalty kills is 19th overall at 79.5 percent.
Coach: A-
Claude Julien probably hasn't gotten the love he deserves yet for this Montreal turnaround -- that's what happens when Barry Trotz sucks all the air out of the room -- but he's working the lines well and has this team playing a tenacious style that has paid off offensively and defensively at even strength. Last season the Canadiens were 13th in percentage of scoring chances at 5-on-5; this season, they're fifth.
GM: B+
Look, to paraphrase Black Widow from "The Avengers," Marc Bergevin has red on his ledger. There are many mistakes he has made, and many mistakes that have yet to come to light. (Let's revisit that Carey Price contract in a few years.) But right now, this season, you have to give the man credit for the additions he made up front, which are paying dividends.
Class president: Max Domi
Domi is like a transfer student from Arizona who arrives on the first day of class and ends up valedictorian. His pace has slowed a bit, but 44 points in 51 games is beyond anyone's expectation for him.
In danger of failing: Matthew PecaCharles Hudon
Neither Peca nor Hudon have managed to surpass each other in competition for a forward spot this season, in the sense that both have been overwhelmed at 5-on-5. In 29 games, Peca has a minus-9.49 in relative Corsi.
Overall team grade: A-
The Canadiens are not out of the woods yet, with the Eastern Conference bubble still featuring the Sabres and Hurricanes trying to pick someone off, but with 61 points in 51 games the Canadiens look like a playoff team.
OTTAWA SENATORS
Preseason over/under: 69.5 Current points pace: 71
Forwards: B
Mark Stone has 50 points in 50 games. Matt Duchene as 47 points in 41 games. That's the good news. The bad news is that they're both pending free agents, and their contract status could mean their time in Ottawa could be at an end. But what a season they've had so far. Ditto Ryan Dzingel, who is in the last year of his deal and has 20 goals. Beyond these three players, who have played together, it has been a mixed bag for Ottawa. There have been solid contributions from Chris Tierney (32 points), Mikkel Boedker (27 points), Zack Smith (19 points in 41 games) and Bobby Ryan (30 points in 47 games). There has been promise from young players like Colin White (26 points) and Brady Tkachuk (23 points). Also, Magnus Paajarvi was on the team.
Defense: C+
Thomas Chabot has been a revelation this season, with 39 points in 42 games. He has primarily played with Dylan DeMelo in an effective duo (plus-10 goal differential). Less effective? Almost every other pairing. Mark BorowieckiMaxime LajoieChristian JarosBen Harpur and Christian Wolanin have all seen time.
Goalies: C-
The Senators have used five different goalies this season, including Craig Anderson (.906, 3.55) and Anders Nilsson (.931, 2.14 in seven games). Their .898 team save percentage is actually No. 22 in the NHL, but the Senators have the worst goals-against average (3.74).
Special teams: D+
Ottawa is 15th on the power play, at 20.3 percent, and 29th on the penalty kill, at 75.5 percent.
Coach: C-
For a minute earlier this season, it appeared that Guy Boucher would have this Ottawa team defiantly contending in the Eastern Conference. That minute passed officially around the Senators' eight-game losing streak from Dec. 21 through Jan. 9.
GM: C+
Say what you will about Pierre Dorion, but he found a defensive partner for Chabot and a forward that has averaged 17:35 per game from the Erik Karlsson trade, along with a draft-pick bounty. Does that excuse the fact that Colorado owns what might be the first pick overall in the draft from Ottawa, having traded it for Matt Duchene, who might not even re-sign with the Senators? Um, no.
Class president: Mark Stone
Stone is having a tremendous offensive season to go along with (finally) some Selke Trophy buzz in a contract year.
In danger of failing: Cody Ceci
In danger? With yet another possession-disaster season (minus-290 shot attempts, minus-20 in 5-on-5 goal differential); Cody Ceci is repeating the grade at this point.
Overall team grade: D
The Senators are who we thought they were: a bad hockey team with a few outstanding veteran players and some hope for the future. Well, save for that lottery pick they no longer own.
TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING
Preseason over/under: 107.5 Current points pace: 125
Forwards: A
The deepest collection of forwards in the NHL. Nikita Kucherov is chasing an MVP and a scoring title with 78 points in 49 games. Brayden Point is chasing a massive new contract with 65 points in 49 games and the growing reputation of the NHL's next great two-way center. Steven Stamkos (57 points in 49 games) is chasing his first Cup. Tyler JohnsonOndrej PalatYanni GourdeJ.T. MillerAlex KillornAnthony CirelliCedric Paquette, what's left of Ryan Callahan ... what an assemblage of talent.
Defense: A-
This defenseman corps might just match the forwards for quality depth. Victor Hedman has entered his "perennially contending for the Norris Trophy" phase of his career. The Bolts have had him with (much maligned) veteran Dan GirardiRyan McDonagh has cooled off since a Norris-caliber start, but he has contributed at both ends. Mikhail Sergachev and Braydon Coburn are first and second in shot-attempt plus/minus for the Lightning, while Anton Stralman can play with anyone. Erik Cernak has been used as well.
Goalies: A-
Andrei Vasilevskiy had a .925 save percentage through his first 28 games, which meant a 15.47 goals saved above average. He's a legit Vezina contender. While Louis Domingue can't replace him as a Stanley Cup-caliber goalie should some injury befall Vasilevskiy, he filled in admirably during the starter's absence in the regular season.
Special teams: A
The Lightning have the NHL's top power play (29.5 percent) and fifth-best penalty kill (83.5 percent).
Coach: A
Jon Cooper had the Lightning on a historic points pace for most of the season and has juggled this roster's many parts expertly. The Jack Adams usually goes to the guy who turns around a bad team rather than the guy who captains the fastest ship in the fleet, but you expect Cooper would be a finalist at this point.
GM: INC
Julien BriseBois took over from Steve Yzerman in September, and in fairness, we're not going to judge the guy for the Slater Koekkoek-for-Jan Rutta trade. But suffice it to say, he helped Yzerman build this roster (and did so with perennial cap acrobatics).
Class president: Brayden Point
Point needed 82 games to score 32 goals and 66 points last season. He scored 30 goals and recorded 65 points in his first 49 games this season. A massive breakout year for the 22-year-old center.
In danger of failing: Anton Stralman
Stralman isn't anywhere close to flunking, but we should note that he's the only player on the current roster for the Lightning that's in negative expected goal differential territory (-1.96 through 31 games in an injury-plagued season).
Overall team grade: A
The best team in the NHL this season through the first 50 games.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS
Preseason over/under: 106.5 Current points pace: 104
Forwards: A-
The addition of John Tavares (54 points in 49 games) to Mitch Marner's life has been gigantic, as the Leafs winger leads the team with 62 points. Tavares has 30 goals on the season, with a chance to pass his career best of 38. So that's one line. The other line features Auston Matthews (1.23 points per game) and William Nylander, the latter of whom is still trying to find his game after his contract negotiation went deep into the season. So that's two lines. Then there's Nazem Kadri (32 points) who has skated with Patrick Marleau (22 points) this season. Kasperi KapanenAndreas JohnssonZach HymanConnor Brown ... it all adds up to a talented group that Mike Babcock has deployed in waves this season.
Defense: B
So what happens with Morgan Rielly (50 points) now? Does the Norris contender play with the recently acquired Jake Muzzin, whose presence bumps the Leafs up a notch in the report card? Does Ron Hainsey slip down the lineup to where Travis Dermott and Igor Ozhiganov reside? Toronto fan pariah Jake Gardiner and Nikita Zaitsev are the other combination. Muzzin helps, but this group needs another impact player to be at a championship level.
Goalies: A-
Frederik Andersen (.923) has been an incredible last line of defense for the Leafs, with a .676 quality starts percentage and a plus-16.51 goals saved above average. Garret Sparks (.907) is 6-3-1 as a backup.
Special teams: B+
The Leafs are ninth on the power play (22.1 percent) and 12th on the penalty kill (81.1 percent). Could be better; could be worse.
Coach: A-
Babcock has the Leafs playing a strong possession game (ninth in shot-attempt percentage) that helps power a dynamic offense (3.55 goals per game). But the test isn't in the regular season. It's in Babcock winning a playoff round for the first time since Nicklas Lidstrom retired.
GM: A-
Bed sheets or not, Kyle Dubas successfully sold Tavares on coming to the Leafs, got Nylander on the contract he was comfortable with and made a potentially strong trade for Muzzin. There are still further steps in this plan, but it's coming together.
Class president: Mitch Marner
At this rate, Marner is going to pass his career high in points before Valentine's Day. It's going to be a very, very interesting contract tango with Marner and Matthews and Dubas.
In danger of failing: Ron Hainsey
Hainsey is the Leafs' worst player for shot-attempt differential and has a relative expected goals for percentage of minus-5.77.
Overall team grade: A-
The Leafs have an overpowering offense when it's clicking, a goalie that can win them games by himself and a defense that they hope can handle the other beasts of the East. For now, they're just short of an 'A.'

No comments: