Super Bowl LIII's nearly upon us, but 30 teams already have begun the effort
to reach Miami next February for Super Bowl LIV. Here's one thing each AFC team
can do to finally supplant the New England Patriots as conference champions.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Keep Antonio Brown unless
offered a first-round pick, plus more. The same Twitter lemmings who
insist Brown has no trade value said the same about Amari Cooper,
then mocked the Cowboys for giving
Oakland a first-round pick for Cooper in a trade that directly
led Dallas to win the NFC East and a playoff
game. Brown is still playing at a Fame level and has
significant value, regardless of the drama that's up. Any attitude
concerns would be lessened in a new environment. With that said, it makes more
sense for the Steelers to
work out their differences with Brown than it does to trade him elsewhere for
pennies on the dollar. Pittsburgh may have to wait until draft weekend to find
the right deal, but if I were the Steelers,
I wouldn't make the move unless I got a first-round pick back, ideally with a
little extra. The team's Week 17 game against
the Bengals -- with Brown
out, no single Steeler topped 64 receiving yards -- was a reminder
of how difficult he'd be to replace.
BALTIMORE RAVENS
Rebuild their defense on the fly. Ascendant
general manager Eric DeCosta is taking over the franchise at a
challenging time. While attention will naturally be focused on
quarterback Lamar Jackson's
development, maintaining the teams top-flight defense without allowing it to
get too old will be a bigger challenge. A valuable chunk of the front seven
-- Terrell Suggs (36
years old), C.J. Mosley (26), Za'Darius
Smith (26) and Brent Urban (27)
-- is set to hit free agency. Most of their veteran starting secondary --
cornerbacks Jimmy Smith (30)
and Brandon Carr (32),
along with safeties Tony
Jefferson (27) and Eric Weddle (34)
-- have contracts that could put them at risk to be released. One way or
another, this defense is going to look a lot different next season.
BUFFALO BILLS
Give Josh Allen a
chance. This is not the space to debate Allen's ultimate landing spot
in the football cosmos. Coach Sean McDermott and GM Brandon Beane are tied to
the seventh overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft,
just like previous regimes were tied to quarterbacks EJ Manuel and
J.P. Losman. For Allen to succeed, every position group on the Bills offense
needs to get better. With huge holes on the offensive line and at wide
receiver, Beane should invest free-agent dollars and draft picks in finding
talent that fits with Allen. Buffalo has already announced that veteran
RB LeSean McCoy,
Allen's biggest supporter, will be back.
CINCINNATI BENGALS
Make Andy Dalton better
by doing the same to his surroundings. Andy Dalton
remains superior to the alternatives at quarterback, in part because of a
low-cost contract and an uninspiring free-agent market and draft class at the
position. Would Joe Flacco really
be an improvement? Even if the Bengals use
a draft pick on someone to eventually challenge Dalton, the Red Rifle is very
likely to be the Week 1 starter in 2019. That means it's up to expected head
coach Zac Taylor and new
coordinator Brian Callahan to make Dalton better. Both bring
offensive mindsets, and the expected arrival of Callahan's father, Bill, to
coach the offensive line may be the best news yet. Putting an improved
offensive line out there with A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd and Joe Mixon gives
Dalton a chance.
CLEVELAND BROWNS
Refrain from buying their own hype. A year ago in
this space, I wrote that "Everyone knows" what the Browns needed
to do. They did it, by drafting the right franchise quarterback in Baker
Mayfield. Elevating offensive coordinator Freddie Kitchens to head
coach makes it easier to carry the good vibes from December -- when Cleveland
went 3-2, with Mayfield throwing for 296.6 yards and two touchdowns per game --
into an offseason where the Browns have
oodles of cap space and not too many screaming roster needs. (Although Mayfield
could use another wideout.) This sounds crazy for a team that won just seven
games in 2018, but the Browns'
next hurdle is to show they can handle expectations.
DENVER BRONCOS
Assemble another home-run draft class to get younger on
defense. The 2018 season was a frustrating one for Broncos executive
John Elway, but the excellent work he did in the draft (and after the draft,
signing rookie running back Phillip Lindsay) could turn the team's fortunes
around. Putting together a stellar group of rookies after years of misses is
nice. Stringing two strong groups in a row would create a core to build around.
Elway signaled that he's leaning on defense in an offense-first league by
hiring Vic Fangio -- who brings 32 seasons of experience as a defensive
assistant in the NFL, most recently as the Bears'
coordinator -- to be head coach, and now the team needs to replenish the side
of the ball that has typically been its strength with youth, a process that began
with the selection of edge rusher Bradley Chubb in
the first round a year ago. The offensive-line and quarterback problems that
have plagued Elway for years will look better if the defense is dominant again.
HOUSTON TEXANS
Fix the offensive line (yes, still). I could
write "offensive line" for a number of teams this year, as is true of
most years. But the Texans'
problems are so systemic that the blame has to start with Coach Bill O'Brien.
He has been unable to find the right coaches or players to solve an issue that
has plagued his entire five-season tenure in Houston thus far, an issue that
accelerated after the trade of left tackle Duane Brown in
2017. This remains a top-heavy offense with a big drop-off in reliability after
quarterback Deshaun
Watson and receiver DeAndre
Hopkins, but building a competent line still remains more important
than supplementing the skill-position talent.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Draft and sign pass rushers.GM Chris Ballard checked
a lot of boxes in 2018. He found his forever head coach, even if Frank
Reich wasn't his
first choice. Andrew Luck is
healthy again. Ballard's draft unearthed core stars, like linebacker Darius
Leonard, and all but fixed the team's offensive line. The defense
was greater than the sum of its parts all season, so now it's time to improve
those parts. The Colts had
a lot of valuable, try-hard rotational pieces on the defensive line, but not
one single pass rusher who consistently won on the edge. It's just Ballard's
luck that their need matches up with the strength of
this free agent class and draft.
JACKSONVILLE
JAGUARS
Acquire Nick Foles. One
year after the Jaguars chose to
re-up with Blake Bortles rather than pursue Kirk Cousins,
they figure to be going after this season's most attractive
quarterback acquisition. Nick Foles would
be a far riskier signing if not for the presence of new Jaguars
offensive coordinator John DeFilippo, who worked with Foles in
Philadelphia. It remains to
be seen whether the Jaguars will have to give up a draft pick in
addition to committing to a big contract to nab Foles, but this is an
organization that has boxed itself into a corner. The Jags have a defense that
is ready to win now. They just need the quarterback to match.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Build out the back seven. Andy Reid took the
first necessary step toward improving an underperforming Chiefs defense
by firing
longtime coordinator Bob Sutton. The results haven't matched the
talent on the defense for years, but it's fair to say the talent beyond the
defensive line needs a lot of work. The Chiefs should
use the franchise tag on free-agent-to-be Dee Ford,
and then invest in pieces throughout the secondary and in off-ball linebackers.
With Reid's play-calling and Patrick
Mahomes' talent driving the Chiefs'
offense, their defense only needs to be good enough. It wasn't in
the AFC
Championship Game loss to the Patriots.
LOS ANGELES
CHARGERS
Get tougher on the interior. Coach Anthony Lynn
wants a team that is rugged in the running game and tough to run against.
The Chargers went
12-4 despite not being strong in either area by the end of the season. All
three members of the defensive tackle rotation of Darius Philon, Brandon
Mebane and Damion Square are
set for free agency. So is inside linebacker Denzel
Perryman, who has struggled to stay healthy, appearing in just 42 of
64 possible games. Combine that with a sagging interior offensive line that
couldn't convert short-yardage situations late in the season, and this is a
squad that needs beef on both sides of the ball.
MIAMI DOLPHINS
Take multiple swings at quarterback, including Teddy
Bridgewater. Bringing this Dolphins team
to the Super Bowl in
expected head coach Brian Flores' first season
at the helm would top what his mentor Bill Belichick
accomplished with the Patriots back
in 2001, Belichick's second season in Foxborough. It's hard to imagine Flores
getting that far that fast, because the team should be starting over at
quarterback. It's the right time to cut the cord with Ryan
Tannehill, seven years after Miami picked him eighth overall, and
the best way to replace him is to try everything. Sign Teddy
Bridgewater to a short-term deal and draft
someone to develop. Unless that combination immediately outperforms Dan Marino's
"Ace Ventura" cameo, the Dolphins should
search for a quarterback each offseason until they find someone who sticks.
NEW YORK JETS
Supply Sam Darnold with
assets. Wide receiver Quincy Enunwa is
a keeper, and restricted free agent Robby
Anderson is worth retaining. Tight end Chris Herndon,
drafted in the fourth round last year, is promising. After that, nearly
everyone on offense besides Darnold is replaceable. While it's tough to make
wholesale changes in one offseason, the Rams and Bears have
shown in recent offseasons that it's possible. The Jets smartly
bet on offense by hiring Coach Adam Gase, and now it's time to double down by
focusing on making Darnold's life easier. Offensive linemen count as assets,
too.
OAKLAND RAIDERS
Avoid contracts that cripple the Las Vegas Raiders. In
a win-now league, I hesitate to say any team is a few years
away. But with a surplus of draft picks, plenty of cap space and a roster
that's unquestionably worse than it was when Jon Gruden arrived last January,
the Oakland
Raiders are extremely unlikely to wrap up their Bay Area days
in style. They are, however, set up to build their roster for the long haul if
they make smart decisions and stick to a patient plan. They could end up in no
man's land if the pain from a 4-12 season makes Gruden direct new GM Mike
Mayock to unload all of owner Mark Davis' money on free-agency mediocrities in
an effort to win seven games, creating new contractual burdens that will travel
with this team to Las Vegas in 2020. They should try to pack light.
TENNESSEE TITANS
Hope that Arthur Smith is the one. Yes,
quarterback Marcus
Mariota needs more weapons on the outside. But what he needs
even more is a play-caller with a clear idea of how to maximize his strengths.
Heading into his fifth NFL season, Mariota is already on his third head coach
and fourth offensive coordinator. Former Titans tight
ends coach Arthur Smith is next at the plate, following Matt LaFleur's
departure for Green Bay. Mariota has some defined weaknesses to his game, and
the organization has to decide whether it can win with him as he enters the
fifth-year option campaign of his rookie contract.
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