PURDUE'S A BIG TEN
(AND NATIONAL) CONTENDER AGAIN
The Big Ten has been an absolute gauntlet so far this season;
with upward of 10 teams being able to call themselves realistic contenders for
an NCAA tournament berth at various times in the past couple of months. Eight
teams are ranked among the top 31 in ESPN's Basketball Power Index, with 10 in
the top 50. It's the same at KenPom.
As a result, it's hard to figure out which team is real and
which isn't -- and it has led to a "flavor of the week" feel outside
of Michigan and Michigan State. One team, despite its ups and downs, that the
metrics have maintained an affinity for is Purdue. The Boilermakers started the
season just 6-5, but never dipped outside the top 20 at KenPom. Heading into
Sunday's 10-point win over Michigan State, they were No. 8 at KenPom and No. 10
in the BPI.
It turns out the metrics were right. Purdue has now won five in a row and eight of its past
nine, moving to 7-2 in the Big Ten. Carsen
Edwards is an All-American in the backcourt, but the
Boilermakers proved they can win without a huge game from him against the
Spartans. They're an elite offensive unit, with several shooters surrounding
Edwards, and emerging big men in Trevion
Williams and Matt Haarms.
The skeptic will say that we went through this with
Wisconsin and Ohio State and Nebraska and Maryland at different points so far
this season -- all have had a claim as the Big Ten's third-best team. But
Purdue feels different, and its schedule could also help immensely moving
forward. The Boilermakers don't play Michigan, Michigan State or Wisconsin
again this season. In fact, their toughest remaining games in the regular
season are on the road vs. a Maryland team that just lost by double-digits to
Illinois and at Nebraska, a team that just lost Isaac Copeland for the season.
Will there be slip-ups along the way? Of course -- the Big
Ten has been entirely unpredictable this season. But Matt Painter has this team
getting better as the season progresses, and the schedule is opening up for
that run to continue moving forward.
1. TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERS (18-1)
Previous ranking: 1 This week: at South Carolina (Tuesday), at Texas A&M (Saturday)
Previous ranking: 1 This week: at South Carolina (Tuesday), at Texas A&M (Saturday)
When Lamonte
Turner is a factor on the offensive end, Tennessee's offense
becomes that much more difficult to guard. In his past five games, he has hit
the double-figure mark three times (including two games with 20-plus points).
In those two single-digit games, Tennessee made a combined eight 3-pointers and
won by a combined eight points. Turner adds a different dimension.
2. DUKE BLUE
DEVILS (17-2)
Previous ranking: 2
This week: at Notre Dame (Monday), vs. St. John's (Saturday)
With Tre Jones back,
Duke has three games to work out some of its kinks before Round 2 of
Duke-Virginia. One thing the Blue Devils will hope to figure out is their
3-point shooting; in the past four games, they are 20-for-101 from behind the
arc. That was skewed by a 9-for-43 performance against Syracuse, but they might
not be able to win in Charlottesville going 2-for-14 again.
3. VIRGINIA
CAVALIERS (18-1)
Previous ranking: 3
This week: at NC State (Tuesday), vs. Miami (Saturday)
After allowing more than one point per possession in
back-to-back games two weeks ago, Virginia's opponents put up 100 points on 123
possessions in two games last week. The Cavaliers have now held opponents below
0.90 points per possession in all but four games this season, after allowing
opponents to hit that mark 16 times last season.
4. MICHIGAN
WOLVERINES (19-1)
Previous ranking: 4
This week: vs. Ohio State (Tuesday), at Iowa (Friday)
While Zavier
Simpson gets most of the defensive credit, Charles
Matthews has proved himself as one of the elite defenders in
the country, holding Romeo
Langford to 3-for-12 shooting on Friday -- one game after
limiting Coffey to 11 points on 4-for-11 shooting. Matthews is versatile,
he's got a very good frame and he's athletic. With Simpson at the point,
Matthews on the wing and Jon Teske down
low, those are three elite individual defenders.
5. GONZAGA
BULLDOGS (19-2)
Previous ranking: 5
This week: at BYU (Thursday), vs. San Diego (Saturday)
Gonzaga is set to begin arguably its most difficult
remaining stretch of the season -- even though three of its next four games are
at home. It starts with a road trip to BYU on Thursday, followed by home tilts
against San Diego, San Francisco and Saint Mary's. The Bulldogs will be favored
in each game by double figures, but we take the potential drama where we can
get it in the WCC.
6. MICHIGAN
STATE SPARTANS (18-3)
Previous ranking: 6
This week: vs. Indiana (Saturday)
After looking like a 1-seed and arguably the hottest team in
college basketball, Michigan State's 13-game winning streak came to an abrupt
halt on Sunday at Purdue. The Spartans were held below one point per possession
for the first time all season, and also had their worst defensive performance
of the campaign. It could have been the fact that it was their third game of
the week, but still, a surprising effort.
7. KENTUCKY
WILDCATS (16-3)
Previous ranking: 7
This week: at Vanderbilt (Tuesday), at Florida (Saturday)
With Michigan State losing, does Kentucky take the new
mantle as hottest team in the country? The Wildcats are really starting to
figure it out, and John Calipari has clearly settled on his go-to lineup. In
fact, Kentucky didn't get a single bench point against Kansas on
Saturday. Nick Richards did
block five shots in nine minutes, but the Wildcats have clearly defined roles
at this point.
8. KANSAS
JAYHAWKS (16-4)
Previous ranking: 8
This week: at Texas (Tuesday), vs. Texas Tech (Saturday)
9. NORTH
CAROLINA TAR HEELS (15-4)
Previous ranking: 9
This week: at Georgia Tech (Tuesday), at Louisville (Saturday)
Two road games await the Tar Heels this week, and they'll be
looking for revenge against Louisville on Saturday after the Cardinals blasted
them by 21 points in Chapel Hill on Jan. 12. The biggest key in that one for
Carolina will be making perimeter shots. The Tar Heels have made at least 40
percent of their attempts in five of their past six games. Against Louisville,
they went 3-for-22.
10. NEVADA WOLF
PACK (19-1)
Previous ranking: 10
This week: at UNLV (Tuesday), vs. Boise State (Saturday)
Nevada will look to build on its high-level performance from
last week's Colorado State win. The Wolf Pack's in-state rivalry game takes
place on Tuesday, as they travel to Las Vegas to play the Runnin' Rebels. UNLV
beat them once last season, although that took place in Reno. Nevada won the
game in Vegas by 26 points. Corey Henson should
be back for the Wolf Pack.
11. HOUSTON
COUGARS (20-1)
Previous ranking: 11
This week: vs. Temple (Thursday)
Houston became the first Division I team to hit the 20-win
mark on Sunday, beating Tulsa on the road. The Cougars now have a fairly tough
four-game stretch: vs. Temple, at UCF, vs. Cincinnati and at UConn. Temple blew
a lead at home to Cincinnati on Sunday, and looked like a tougher out earlier
in the month. But Houston could cruise for a while with one loss if it gets out
of this stretch.
12. VIRGINIA TECH
HOKIES (16-3)
Previous ranking: 12
This week: at Miami (Wednesday), at NC State (Saturday)
All three of Virginia Tech's losses this season have taken
place on the road: at Penn State, at Virginia and at North Carolina. The Hokies
have won only one true road game, and that was at Georgia Tech by three points
in a dreadful 52-49 affair. The significance of that is Buzz Williams' team now
heads to the road to face Miami and NC State. Both teams have struggled lately,
so the Hokies will hope to pick up some road wins.
13. MARQUETTE
GOLDEN EAGLES (18-3)
Previous ranking: 13 This week: at Butler (Wednesday)
Previous ranking: 13 This week: at Butler (Wednesday)
A key three-game stretch awaits Marquette: at Butler, vs.
St. John's, vs. Villanova. The Golden Eagles are still behind Villanova in the
standings, but they can stay on their heels -- and eventually pass them -- with
a 3-0 run. If Steve Wojciechowski can get Marquette back to playing defense
like it was prior to Saturday's win, while shooting like it did on Saturday,
Marquette could be the Big East title favorite.
14. LOUISVILLE
CARDINALS (15-5)
Previous ranking: 14
This week: at Wake Forest (Wednesday), vs. North Carolina
(Saturday)
After playing just 13 minutes and scoring six points in the
ACC opener against Miami, Steven Enoch has
become a major factor for Chris Mack and the Cardinals. He has scored in double
figures in five of his past six games, including 12 points and 11 rebounds
against Pittsburgh on Saturday. Enoch dominated at times in the preseason, and
would add a different dimension for Louisville if he continues to produce.
15. PURDUE
BOILERMAKERS (14-6)
Previous ranking: unranked
This week: at Penn State (Thursday), vs. Minnesota (Sunday)
Had you said that Purdue would beat Michigan State by
double-digits despite Carsen
Edwards shooting 4-for-19 from the field, most people would
have thought you were crazy. But that's what Matt Painter's team did on Sunday.
Five players scored in double figures, including 7-foot-3 Matt Haarms,
who is now averaging 10.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.0 blocks in his past three
games.
16. IOWA STATE
CYCLONES (15-5)
Previous ranking: No. 16
This week: vs. West Virginia (Wednesday), vs. Texas (Saturday)
Iowa State has been difficult to predict since the start of
Big 12 play. The Cyclones beat Kansas by 17, won at Texas Tech, dominated Ole
Miss on the road -- while also losing to Baylor and at home to Kansas State.
But if the Cyclones can gain some consistency, they can start to get some
momentum in Big 12 play. They're home for three of their next four games.
DROPPED OUT: Buffalo (No. 15)
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