The first half of the 2018-19 NHL season was full of
excitement, surprises and even a little bit of chaos thanks to some coaching
changes and a CEO publicly calling out his team's best players. All of it has
set the stage for a fantastic second half, as we try to figure out who is going
to take charge in the MVP race, which surprise team will end up being for real
and who is going to ultimately take home the Stanley Cup. We examine all of
that and more, with 25 questions heading into the second half of the 2018-19
NHL season.
IS MATT MURRAY BACK?
Goaltending was one of the issues that prevented the
Pittsburgh Penguins from completing the three-peat during the 2017-18 season.
During the first month of the 2018-19 season, it looked like it once again
might be a problem. But ever since Matt Murray returned from injury in early
December, he has played some of the best hockey of his career and looked like
the goalie who won back-to-back Stanley Cups during the 2015-16 and 2016-17
seasons. No one should expect him to maintain the pace he has played at over
the past month. But if he gets back to the level he played at during his first
two years in the league, this will be an extremely difficult team to beat in
the playoffs given the talent it has in its lineup.
WILL THE WASHINGTON CAPITALS REPEAT?
There have been only three repeat Stanley Cup champions in
the NHL since the 1990 season. The Pittsburgh Penguins have done it twice
(1990-91 and 1991-92; then 2015-16 and 2016-17), and the Detroit Red Wings have
done it once (1996-97 and 1997-98). That alone tells you how difficult it is to
win the Stanley Cup two years in a row. Do the Washington Capitals have what it
takes to join that club? On paper the answer certainly seems to be yes. Even
with the shorter summer, the Capitals have come back in 2018-19 and looked just
as good (and at times even better) than they did during their championship
season. Alex Ovechkin and Nicklas Backstrom are still dominating, Tom Wilson
has added goal scoring to his game, John Carlson looks like a potential Norris
Trophy contender, and they still have Braden Holtby, one of the league's best
postseason goalies.
WILL THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING FINALLY BREAK THROUGH?
The Tampa Bay Lightning have been one of the top three teams
in the NHL over the past four years based on every objective measure we have to
analyze and evaluate hockey teams. They have elite talent, they have individual
award winners, they win a ton of games, they score at a level almost no other
team in the league can match and they typically go far in the playoffs. They
have been in at least the Eastern Conference Final in three of the past four
seasons, reaching the Stanley Cup Final once and losing in Game 7 (including a
one-goal game on the road) the other two times. The only year during that run
that they missed the playoffs was one that was ruined by significant injuries
to key players, including Steven Stamkos who missed most of that season. They
still almost ended up making the postseason that year. When it comes to this
team, it once again has everything to make a deep run and is looking like it is
going to have a great chance to finish with the league's best record. Is this
the year this squad gets its Stanley Cup?
WILL WILLIAM NYLANDER GET ROLLING FOR TORONTO?
The Toronto Maple Leafs finally got William Nylander under
contract, but after missing a significant portion of the season he has yet to
find his rhythm. Because it is happening in Toronto, and because he got a huge
contract and because he sat out a quarter of the season to get that contract,
he is going to face immense pressure. Eventually he is going to return to being
the 60-70 point player he was over the first few years of his career and
probably even exceed that at some point. Whether that happens this season or
next season with a fresh start remains to be seen. But if the Maple Leafs are
going to end their Stanley Cup drought that goes all the way back to 1967, they
are going to need that version of Nylander to arrive this season and make an
impact.
WHAT WILL THE MVP RACE LOOK LIKE?
We know Connor McDavid is the best player in hockey, and by
extension, the most valuable player in hockey. We also know that because the
team around him is lousy, it will work against him in voting just as it did a
year ago. Will there be any sort of change in that mindset? Or will it go to
Nikita Kucherov in Tampa Bay for his incredible offensive performance? Or
perhaps one of the top-line Colorado Avalanche players? Will Alex Ovechkin, now
a Stanley Cup winner, who is once again the league's leading goal-scorer on a
contender and likely division champion get another one to add to his
collection? One thing is for sure: We are headed for another few months of
"what does value mean?" arguments.
WILL ANYBODY SCORE MORE GOALS THAN ALEX OVECHKIN?
Alex Ovechkin has led the league in goals in five of the
past six years and through the halfway point is once again in the top spot. But
he has a few challengers behind him in Jeff Skinner, John Tavares and Gabriel
Landeskog. You can also never rule out Patrik Laine in Winnipeg. If Ovechkin
leads the league again, it will be his eighth goal-scoring crown and the
second-most in league history.
WILL CAREY PRICE REGAIN HIS FORM?
Perhaps the most remarkable thing about the Montreal
Canadiens remaining in the playoff race through the first half of the season
has been the fact they did not have their top defender, Shea Weber, for most of
the first three months and have only received average play from their top
overall player, starting goalie Carey Price. Add in the fact they traded Max
Pacioretty and Alex Galchenyuk over the summer, and it is sort of amazing this
team even has a shot at the playoffs. What would give the Canadiens an even
better chance is if Price started to play like one of the league's top goalies
once again. They have a ton of money invested in him and Weber for several more
years, and the concern there has always been the fact they put themselves on
the hooks for those contracts after both players were on the other side of
their 30th birthdays. That is not a normal approach for teams to take.
WHAT'S NEXT FOR THE FLYERS?
The Philadelphia Flyers find themselves near the bottom of
the NHL standings in what can only be described as a disappointing and chaotic
season. They have fired their general manager, their assistant general manager,
their head coach and one of their assistant coaches, and they have tried to
find another fix in net with the call-up of top prospect Carter Hart. New
general manager Chuck Fletcher has a lot of decisions to make as it relates to
the future of several players, including free-agent-to-be Wayne Simmonds. Along
with that, he needs to find a permanent coach (Joel Quenneville?), figure out
if Hart is to be the guy in net and whether or not the team needs tweaks or a
full-on rebuild. In other words: They have a lot of questions.
WILL THE BRUINS MAKE A MAJOR ADDITION?
If they want to be serious contenders, they will almost
certainly have to. They are a top-heavy team with a great top line and a great
defense pairing, but they just don't have much else after that. They are
basically an Eastern Conference version of the Colorado Avalanche. That may be
good enough to get in the playoffs, but will it be enough to climb through the
gauntlet that would potentially be the Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay
Lightning in the first two rounds of the playoffs?
HOW WILL THE NEW YORK ISLANDERS HANDLE THEIR SURPRISING SUCCESS?
After losing John Tavares over the summer, the New York
Islanders have exceeded expectations this season and are right in the thick of
the Eastern Conference playoff race. The problem is that a lot of their success
seems to be based on smoke and mirrors, and it may not be sustainable.
Remember, they were in a similar position a year ago before completely falling
apart in the second half. There is also the fact they have three key forwards
without contracts beyond this season in Anders Lee, Jordan Eberle and Brock
Nelson. Can they afford to lose any of them for no compensation this summer,
and how will that impact their plans in the short term?
WHAT WILL THE CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS DO?
As long as they have Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane on the
roster, it is really hard to imagine the Chicago Blackhawks throwing in the
towel and going through a full-scale rebuild. But the team around them is not
particularly good and is headed for its second consecutive non-playoff season.
A lot of the core has either aged or is no longer a part of the organization
and one of their most important players, starting goalie Corey Crawford, is
once again dealing with concussion issues. None of that is ideal. The
Blackhawks do have some salary cap space coming their way this summer and could
probably create a bit more if they find a way to unload some of their
problematic contracts (Brent Seabrook, for example). Are there a couple of
quick fixes that can help this team retool on the fly? Or is this more of what
we should expect from Chicago for the remainder of the Toews-Kane era?
WHO WILL BE THE BIG SELLERS?
It is not hard to identify the true contenders at this
point, as well as the teams that are out of it. We know the Ottawa Senators
will continue their fire sale, but what about teams like the New York Rangers
and Detroit Red Wings? Both started rebuilds last season and were active at the
deadline, and both have the potential to flip a lot of assets this season as
well. In New York, Kevin Hayes seems like a given to get traded, while the Red
Wings could potentially unload Gustav Nyquist or Jimmy Howard to keep adding
draft picks and prospects to their cupboard.
DO THE KINGS START REBUILDING?
The Los Angeles Kings have stalled out. Their offense is
dreadful, their core is getting older and slowing down, and there does not seem
to be much coming in the near future that will significantly change things for
the better. They just signed Drew Doughty to a long-term contract, so you know
he is not going anywhere — and neither should Anze Kopitar. But would they ever
consider moving Jonathan Quick? This team needed to hit the reset button two or
three years ago and is only regressing even more under its current
construction.
CAN ANYONE CHALLENGE ELIAS PETTERSSON FOR ROOKIE OF THE YEAR?
It seems to be a one-horse race at this point for the Calder
Trophy, as Vancouver Canucks sensation Elias Pettersson is running away with
it. He has been an immediate impact player and has helped keep the Canucks in
the playoff race. The only thing that might work against him is that he has
missed more than 10 games due to injury, and there are a couple of really good
defenders in Miro Heiskanen in Dallas and Rasmus Dahlin in Buffalo. But
assuming he doesn't miss much more time and keeps scoring goals the way he has
been, this may be Pettersson's award to win.
ARE THE CALGARY FLAMES A REAL STANLEY CUP CONTENDER?
They might be. They have been one of the biggest surprises
in the NHL this season by not only charging toward a playoff spot, but by also
being one of the best teams in the league at the halfway point. The Flames
really are fascinating because they have some elite top-end talent (Johnny
Gaudreau, specifically) and a potential Norris Trophy defender in Mark
Giordano. They also have a pretty reasonable path through the first two rounds
of the Stanley Cup playoffs where, if they can win the Pacific Division, one of
their top competitors (San Jose or Vegas, which would almost certainly be the
Nos. 2 and 3 teams in the Pacific Division) would be guaranteed to lose in the
first round. The big question for this team will be the goaltending.
WILL PETER CHIARELLI DO SOMETHING BOLD IN EDMONTON?
With another season of Connor McDavid's prime years on the
verge of being wasted, there seems to be a playoffs-or-bust mentality in
Edmonton as it relates to the future of general manager Peter Chiarelli. That
could be a problem for Oilers fans because it could mean desperation trades
that don't really help the short-term outlook but could potentially damage the
long-term outlook. There have been too many of those trades in Edmonton over
the years, and with the Oilers struggling and Chiarelli seemingly in
desperation mode, it could mean someone like a Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Leon
Draisaitl or Oscar Klefbom gets traded in a repeat of the Taylor Hall deal. The
Oilers have already changed coaches, replacing Todd McLellan with Ken
Hitchcock, but that is not going to be enough to fix a team that has nothing of
substance around its top three stars (one of whom is a megastar, generational
talent).
WILL JOE THORNTON GET ANOTHER SHOT AT THE STANLEY CUP?
Joe Thornton should be remembered as one of the greatest
players of all time, but unless he gets a championship there is always going to
be a sentiment that his career is missing something. And that is unfortunate
because it also makes him one of the most underappreciated players to ever play
the game. When taking into account his entire body of work throughout his
career, Thornton has probably been one of the top five players of his era and
one of the best pure passers to ever step on an NHL ice surface. The Sharks
have gone all in on trying to build a championship team around him, especially
with the addition of Erik Karlsson. The Sharks have almost all of the
ingredients necessary for another trip to the Stanley Cup Final and the salary
cap space to maybe make another big add before the playoffs to help Thornton
finally get the one piece of hardware his Hall of Fame career is lacking.
WHAT HAPPENS WITH ALL OF THE DRAMA WITH THE DALLAS STARS?
The weirdest story of the first half of the season had to be
Dallas Stars CEO Jim Lites profanely calling out his best players, Tyler Seguin
and Jamie Benn, in several on-the-record interviews with local Dallas media.
What made it so strange is that even though Seguin and Benn have not quite
played up to their usual levels, they have still been the team's best players
this season and their line has been the team's most dominant and productive.
The Stars are still looking like a playoff team, but you cannot take back
things that were said publicly and on the record. If the Stars end up falling
short, the fallout should be directed at the front office and general manager,
who have built what has been a consistently mediocre team over the past six
years.
HOW FAR CAN THE COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS GO?
They are going to be a playoff team again, but the intrigue
here is still how they handle the second half of the season. Their top two
players, goalie Sergei Bobrovsky and winger Artemi Panarin are free agents
after this season, and their departures would leave two massive holes on the
roster. There is always the possibility they try to load up for one more run
with this core, but they also have to worry about just how good Bobrovsky can
be. He has had a down year and opened up the second half by getting suspended for a big game due to an undisclosed
"incident." His playoff struggles throughout his career are
well-documented, and it is difficult to see Columbus going on a deep run
without him playing at a high level.
WILL COLORADO'S TOP LINE BE ENOUGH?
The Colorado Avalanche have the NHL's best line in Nathan
MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and Gabriel Landeskog, and they have been borderline
unstoppable for much of the season. They helped carry the Avalanche to the
playoffs a year ago and are the single biggest reason they are still in the
playoff hunt this season. But for as good as that trio is, they are going to
need some help from another line if they are going to be anything other than a
team that just simply gets into the playoffs and then bows out in the first
round. It's kind of remarkable one line has taken the team even this far.
WILL THE BUFFALO SABRES MAKE THE PLAYOFFS?
They have not been there since the 2010-11 season, but after
a 10-game winning streak in November they looked to be back on track. The bad
news is outside of that winning streak, which was mostly driven by overtime and
shootout wins, the Sabres have been a completely mediocre team driven almost
entirely by a top line of Jack Eichel and Jeff Skinner. Then there is also the
question of what happens with Skinner, a free agent after the season, who has
been one of the league's top goal scorers.
DO THE VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS HAVE ANOTHER DEEP RUN IN THEM?
The Vegas Golden Knights were the story in the NHL during
the 2017-18 season, going on an improbable run to the Stanley Cup Final in
their first year of existence. After a slow start to the 2018-19 season, they
are once again looking like one of the best teams in the league. If they can
ever get Max Pacioretty back on track, they could have two great scoring lines
in a division that is wide open for the taking.
WILL THE SENATORS SELL OFF EVEN MORE?
Over the past year, the Ottawa Senators have completely torn
apart their roster, dealing Derick Brassard, Erik Karlsson, Mike Hoffman, Kyle
Turris and several other significant players. They have a few more players who
could be on the trading block before the deadline, including Matt Duchene, Mark
Stone and perhaps even starting goalie Craig Anderson. Duchene and Stone are
eligible to be unrestricted free agents after this season, and it remains to be
seen whether or not they will want to re-sign with a clearly rebuilding, and
often times, completely dysfunctional franchise. The Senators are already one
of the bottom teams in the league and would only get worse without Stone and
Duchene. That would be great news for the Colorado Avalanche, owners of the
Senators' 2019 first-round draft pick.
WILL THE BLUES TEAR IT DOWN?
Halfway through the 2017-18 season, the St. Louis Blues had
one of the better records in the entire NHL. Then they fell apart in the second
half, missed the playoffs, and after an offseason spending splurge that saw
them bring in Ryan O'Reilly, Patrick Maroon, David Perron and Tyler Bozak they
have one of the worst records in the league. This will be a second straight
non-playoff season for a core that has really only made one meaningful
postseason run in eight years. The Blues already changed coaches several times
during that stretch, and at some point you have to wonder when they hit the
reset button.
WILL THE DUCKS MAKE A COACHING CHANGE?
The 2018-19 Ducks are following the script of every Randy Carlyle-coached
team from the past 10 years. After some initial success early on, they are
getting absolutely crushed on the shot chart and relying entirely on their
goaltending, which has been nothing short of amazing. It is a shocking sign as
to how bad the rest of the team has been that even with some of the best
netminding in the league, the team is still in danger of missing the playoffs.
That cannot be a good sign for the long-term future of the coach.
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