Then there were 12. The NFL playoff bracket is set, and while there were certainly a few surprise
postseason teams, all of them earned the right to play in January.
Unlike previous years, though, the field is wide open. It really does seem like any of the 12 teams still standing can go on a run and lift the Lombardi Trophy on the first Sunday of February in Atlanta.
However, that doesn’t mean the seedings are irrelevant in each conference. Here are our NFL power rankings heading into the 2019 playoffs.
Unlike previous years, though, the field is wide open. It really does seem like any of the 12 teams still standing can go on a run and lift the Lombardi Trophy on the first Sunday of February in Atlanta.
However, that doesn’t mean the seedings are irrelevant in each conference. Here are our NFL power rankings heading into the 2019 playoffs.
1. NEW ORLEANS
SAINTS (13-3)
The Saints are a powerful team, but the best thing they have
going for them in the playoffs is home-field advantage. During the Sean
Payton-Drew Brees era, the Saints are 5-0 at home during the postseason.
On the road, they are 1-5, with the most recent defeat the
excruciating loss at Minnesota last year in what is now known as
the Minneapolis Miracle.
Even at 39, Brees is what makes the Saints go. New Orleans
finished the regular season third in points and eighth in yards. On defense,
the Saints gave up 20.7 points per game in their six wins at home.
2. LOS ANGELES
RAMS (13-3)
The Rams hit a little speed bump in December, suffering
back-to-back losses for the first time in the regular season under Sean McVay,
but they appear back on track. Even without Todd Gurley, Los Angeles scored 79
combined points in their final two games against the lowly Cardinals and
49ers.
One of Los Angeles’ three losses came in New Orleans, and
the Rams may have to head back there to get to the Super Bowl. Securing a bye
with the win Sunday was huge. It gives all the team's stars, including Gurley,
an extra week of rest.
Early in the season, Gurley was an MVP candidate, as he
averaged nearly 144 yards from scrimmage per game through the first half. He
slowed down a little, especially in the rushing department, but Gurley still
scored 21 touchdowns and finished third in rushing with 1,251 yards.
3. KANSAS CITY
CHIEFS (12-4)
There’s a lot to like about the Chiefs offense. The biggest
questions are can the Kansas City defense hold up, and where is this team
mentally?
Patrick Mahomes just completed the second 5,000-yard,
50-touchdown season for a quarterback in league history. Even at 23, there’s
confidence that he can beat the likes of Tom Brady and Philip Rivers, despite
losing to them during the regular season. Mahomes and all his weapons are the
reasons why Kansas City is the favorite in the AFC.
But the defense is a concern. The Chiefs ended the season
ranked second to last in yards allowed and 24th in points allowed. They did,
though, lead the league with 52 sacks. Pressuring quarterbacks will be key in
January.
Mental fortitude is another question with the Chiefs. Kansas
City has lost six straight home playoff games at Arrowhead Stadium. There’s a
lot of pressure to break that streak this year.
4. CHICAGO BEARS
(12-4)
The Bears are officially back. Khalil Mack may be the
household name, but the addition of Roquan Smith and the maturation of Leonard
Floyd, Eddie Jackson and others has Chicago playing the best defense in the
NFC.
Winning nine of the last 10 games, the Bears are also as hot
as anybody. During that stretch, they have allowed an average of 14.9 points
per game. Chicago also posted a league-leading 36 takeaways.
Offensively, Chicago may still be a year away from putting
together a true championship unit, but under first-year coach Matt Nagy, the
Bears possess enough offensive innovation that they are very difficult to game
plan against.
5. LOS ANGELES
CHARGERS (12-4)
As an AFC wild-card team, the Chargers face a very difficult
road to the Super Bowl, but they have put together an impressive resume. Philip
Rivers had one of his best seasons and should be in the MVP conversation. He
passed for 4,308 yards, 32 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.
The Chargers should have plenty of confidence playing on the
road this January too. In December, they went into Pittsburgh, Kansas City and
Denver — all cold places — and won all three games.
Three of Los Angeles’ four losses this season came against
the Chiefs, Rams and Ravens. The Chargers are arguably the most complete team
in the AFC, and they have a veteran quarterback hungry for a ring.
6. NEW ENGLAND
PATRIOTS (11-5)
Bill Belichick seems to have righted the ship, and the
Patriots should feel a lot better after winning their last two games and
securing a first-round bye. New England will rest on wild-card weekend for the
ninth straight year, and then they will host a game on divisional weekend. At
home, the Patriots went 8-0 this season.
Perhaps even better though is the fact the Chargers and
Chiefs will likely play in the second round. Assuming Los Angeles can win in
Baltimore, which isn’t at all a given, unless the Indianapolis Colts also pull
off an upset, the best two regular-season AFC teams would duke it out on the
other side of the bracket while New England would face Houston again.
Regardless of which team they play, though, the Patriots
must rely on their running game and defense more this postseason. Rookie Sony
Michel led the team with 931 yards. Since a rough game at Miami, the defense
has yielded an average of 10.7 points over the last three weeks.
7. HOUSTON TEXANS
(11-5)
This team would probably be higher if it hadn’t tripped up
at Philadelphia. That loss cost the Texans a first-round bye, so it means
Houston would earn a trip to Foxboro if it beats Indianapolis on
Saturday.
Still, Houston has the formula to win anywhere. The Texans
finished tied for fourth in points allowed and own the second-best turnover
margin in the league. Houston’s 29 takeaways this year were fourth-most in the
league.
Quarterback Deshaun Watson is a proven winner from college
and so dangerous with both his arm and legs. He hasn’t thrown an interception
in the last six games.
8. BALTIMORE
RAVENS (10-6)
It’s a different quarterback, but this looks awfully similar
to the 2012 Ravens club that got hot in December and rode that wave to the
franchise’s second Super Bowl title. Since rookie Lamar Jackson became the
starting quarterback, Baltimore has won six of seven games.
The formula is simple: Rely on the running game and defense,
which are two things that translate well in cold January games. The Ravens
ended 2018 first in total defense and second in rushing yards per game.
It will be interesting to see how Jackson reacts if he’s
forced to pass. He’s still a raw thrower and has completed only 58.2 percent of
his passes in seven NFL starts.
9. DALLAS COWBOYS
(10-6)
Dallas has won seven of its last eight games, but the
Cowboys were a lot hotter at the beginning of December than they are now. Over
the last three weeks, they suffered a shutout loss at Indianapolis and won by
one touchdown and one point against Tampa Bay and the New York Giants,
respectively.
However, the Cowboys are still dangerous because of their
defense. Dallas held New Orleans to 13 points in Week 13, and the Cowboys have
given up more than 23 points just once — in a meaningless game against the
Giants — during the second half of the season.
Offensively, Dallas will rely heavily upon Ezekiel Elliott.
He won another rushing title this year with 1,434 yards, and he scored six
touchdowns.
10. PHILADELPHIA
EAGLES (9-7)
Last season, even as the No. 1 seed, the Eagles embraced the
underdog role all the way to the title. They won’t have to convince anyone they
are underdogs this January, as they come in as the only playoff team without 10
wins. It will take three road victories to get back to the Super Bowl.
However, backup quarterback and reigning Super Bowl MVP Nick
Foles will give them a chance against any opponent. Foles led the Eagles to
three straight wins to end the season, and the offense averaged 28.7 points
during the winning streak.
The defense is playing better too. The Eagles have allowed
less than 20 points per game since the debacle at New Orleans in the middle of
November.
11. SEATTLE
SEAHAWKS (10-6)
The Seahawks are a much better home team, so their power
rankings take a bit of a hit as a wild-card team. Similar to Baltimore and Chicago,
though, Seattle is going to have a shot anywhere because of its defense and
running attack.
Seattle returned to its roots in 2018, leading the NFL with
160 rushing yards per game. Chris Carson led the team with 1,151 rushing
yards.
The Seahawks also posted a league-best plus-15 turnover
differential. Russell Wilson threw 35 touchdowns and only seven interceptions.
Wilson has led Seattle to two Super Bowl appearances, and he should never be
counted out of a playoff game.
12. INDIANAPOLIS
COLTS (10-6)
Our bottom-ranked team is arguably the hottest in the
league, truly indicating how wide open this postseason is.
After starting 1-5, Indianapolis won nine of its final 10
games to claim the final playoff spot in the AFC. Andrew Luck improved
health-wise and on the field, and the Colts developed a ground game with Marlon
Mack.
In one season, Eric Ebron went from bust to one of the most
underrated tight ends in the league. He caught 13 touchdowns this season, which
was more than what he had in four seasons with the Lions.
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