NFC WILD CARD
WEEKEND PREVIEW
THE BACKSTORY
Do you remember the 23rd day of September? That's when these
two clubs first met, as Seattle forced three turnovers against Dallas' dim
offense in a 24-13 win.
The venue is different this time around, as is the nature of the participants.
The Seahawks and Cowboys teams
that will meet on Saturday evening in Jerry world barely resemble the units
that met on that early-autumn afternoon, and for the better.
After seeing four starters from the Legion of Boom exit this
offseason, Seattle was expected to be in a rebuilding year. That looked to be
the case even into November, as the 'Hawks lost Earl Thomas to
injury and started 4-5. But they won six of their final seven contests, thanks
to their league-leading running game, and walked into a sixth playoff berth in
seven seasons.
Dallas was a miserable offensive unit up until the bye, when
the Cowboys traded
a first-round pick for Amari Cooper.
The receiver's addition expanded the offense, and strong play from Dallas'
young linebackers, Leighton
Vander Esch and Jaylon Smith,
anchored a rising defense that shut down second-half opponents. Once an
afterthought in the East, the Cowboys won
seven of their last eight and seized a second division title in three seasons.
UNDER PRESSURE
SEATTLE'S OFFENSIVE LINE: Russell
Wilson no longer carries the team on his back/arm/legs like he
used to. But he's still the most valuable player on the field anytime he's on
it, and protecting him remains the highest priority.
That's the case this Saturday, when Dallas' blitz-happy pass
rush, led by DeMarcus
Lawrence, could have a game-changing impact. When the Cowboys blitzed
this season, they sacked the QB 14.4 percent of the time (second-best in NFL)
and allowed just two passing TDs (second-fewest in NFL), per Pro Football
Focus. That pressure figures to effect on Wilson on Saturday. The 'Hawks
signal-caller averaged a league-worst 3.9 yards per attempt and saw a
league-worst 77.8-point decrease in passer rating when pressured in 2018. So
Seattle's offensive line will literally be under pressure to protect Wilson
against Dallas.
Led by Duane Brown on
the blind side, the long-maligned line had its best year in quite some time,
but still ranked just 17th in pass-blocking efficiency by PFF. The banged-up
front is coming off one of its worst games, after allowing Arizona to sack
Wilson six times. Hopefully for Seattle, Brown, Fluker and J.R Sweezy will
be healthy and back in form come Saturday.
Dak Prescott: Dallas' signal-caller is not the
engine behind what makes this offense move. That honor belongs to Elliott, who
led the league in offensive touches. However, as quarterback of "America's
Team" starting a playoff game in his building, the
responsibility is Prescott's to shepherd the Cowboys into the next round.
Dak's been here before. In his rookie season, he was under
center for Dallas' Divisional Round loss to the Packers.
Prescott finished strong after a slow start, leading three scoring drives in
the game's final 18 minutes to bring the 'Boys within an Aaron Rodgers sideline
strike of sending it to overtime. The end of games is when Dak is at his best.
No quarterback has led more game-winning drives in his first three seasons than
Prescott (14).
But for Dallas to take command of this game, which is
begging to be close, Prescott must get off to a hot start, feed Amari Cooper and
wear down Seattle's inexperienced defense. There's more than a Divisional Round
berth on the line here, too. Prescott is entering the final year of his rookie
deal. If the favored 'Boys flop yet again in Dak's second playoff game, his
value when extension negotiations begin could decrease.
MATCHUP TO WATCH
SEAHAWKS RUNNING
BACKS VS. COWBOYS LINEBACKERS: Boasting
the league's top running game, the 'Hawks have rushed for at least 150 yards in
all but one of their last 10 games. Dallas has allowed over 100 yards rushing
just six times, but lost all but one of those games. Key to shutting down
the Seahawks'
ground attack will be getting to their trio of backs at the line of scrimmage,
something no team is better at than Dallas. The 'Boys allowed the fewest
rushing yards before contact per rush (0.9), per PFF. That's where LVE, Smith
and even Sean Lee (who
was healthy scratch last week, however) come into play. If that unit can
penetrate Seattle's line on early running downs, Dallas can force long
down-and-distances, rely on its improved secondary and eventually control time
of possession.
PREDICTION
A back-and-forth nail-biter built for the prime-time stage,
this game will come down to the final two drives. The difference will be the
experience of Super Bowl champions
Wilson and Bobby Wagner.
Since 2008, Super Bowl-winning QBs are 11-1 on Wild Card Weekend vs. QBs
without a playoff win. Wilson will lead two fourth-quarter scoring drives,
and Frank Clark will
log a game-winning strip sack of Dak at the bell to send Seattle back to the
Divisional Round.
FINAL SCORE: Seattle
Seahawks 20, Dallas
Cowboys 16
No comments:
Post a Comment