Bryce Harper and Manny Machado remain unsigned. As pitchers
and catchers begin reporting this week to Arizona and Florida, that remains the
big story across the majors, an ugly blot on what otherwise is a cheerful time
of the year: The return of baseball.
Still, there are many other spring stories to watch. Here is
one for each team.
AL
EAST
BOSTON RED
SOX: Chris Sale's
shoulder. Sale clearly wasn't 100 percent at the end of last season,
when his velocity was down in the postseason and Alex Cora skipped over him to
start David Price on
short rest in Game 5 of the World Series. Sale did pitch the final inning of
that game (and struck out the side), so maybe all he needed was an offseason of
rest. He is entering his walk year as well, which adds to the intrigue.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 5. Yes, 108 wins and a
World Series title will keep the fans enthused -- even if Boston is a football
city now.
NEW YORK
YANKEES: Troy
Tulowitzki. Can he still play? Does it even matter,
considering the Yankees signed DJ LeMahieu and
can slide Gleyber
Torres over to shortstop and play LeMahieu at second
until Didi
Gregorius returns? Any value Tulo will provide is basically a
bonus, but if he can play, it gives the Yankees more roster flexibility with
LeMahieu playing multiple positions.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 5. Yes, Yankees fans wanted
Manny Machado or Bryce Harper. They still have Aaron Judge, Giancarlo
Stanton, Torres, Miguel
Andujar, the best bullpen in the game and a rotation that
added Paxton and J.A. Happ (for
an entire season) on top of Luis Severino and Masahiro
Tanaka.
TAMPA BAY
RAYS: Austin
Meadows. The Rays are one of the most fascinating
organizations, all the way down to the back fields, where super stud Wander
Franco is a must-see. In big league camp, the roster is incredibly deep but
lacks a big star on offense (although keep an eye on Tommy Pham,
who tore it up after coming over from St. Louis). Meadows, acquired from the
Pirates last summer, has always been a top prospect despite numerous injuries.
Maybe it all comes together for him in Tampa.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 5. Go watch this team, Rays
fans!
TORONTO BLUE
JAYS: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. He might be the
story of spring training, as the wunderkind man-child (he doesn't turn 20 until
March 16) gears up for his first big league season. Of course, the Jays will
hold him down in the minors for 10 days to work on his defense, but Vladdy will
immediately start impaling baseballs when he arrives in Toronto.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 3. Outside of Guerrero, the
Jays will need comeback years from Marcus
Stroman and Aaron Sanchez to
generate some excitement on the field.
BALTIMORE
ORIOLES: The new regime. There is a new general
manager in Mike Elias, a Maryland native who comes over from the Astros. The
new manager is former Cubs bench coach Brandon Hyde. Unfortunately, most of the
players from a 115-loss team are the same.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 0. In this division, they
might lose 115 again.
AL CENTRAL
CLEVELAND
INDIANS: All the outfielders. Obviously, the big
story just broke on Friday with Francisco
Lindor's calf injury, but since he apparently will now miss most or
all of spring training, let's turn to the outfield -- which, to put in nicely,
is a mess. FanGraphs projects in the Indians 29th in left field WAR, 23rd in
center field and 27th in right field. The plan is to mix and match, but the
Indians really have to hope somebody like Jordan Luplow or
rookie Oscar Mercado surprises in camp and proves better than the projections.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 3. The Indians have the
rotation to carry the team to a playoff spot in a weak division, but there
isn't a lot of margin for injuries. The inability to address the outfield or
bullpen -- while cutting costs -- has left Indians fans frustrated despite three
straight division titles.
MINNESOTA
TWINS: Byron Buxton ...
and Miguel Sano. They
were worth a combined 7.7 WAR in 2017, and the Twins won 85 games and a
wild-card berth. They were worth a combined minus-0.8 WAR in 2018, and the
Twins dropped to 78-84. They need both to be healthy in 2019 after battling
injuries.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 3. The Twins haven't been
completely idle; they signed Nelson Cruz and Jonathan
Schoop to no-risk, one-year deals. The Twins, however, still
sit about $30 million below last year's payroll and $91 million below the
luxury tax threshold with no long-term payroll commitments. They could have
played in the Harper/Machado market -- or the second tier -- and elected not to
do so.
DETROIT
TIGERS: Miguel
Cabrera. Miggy was actually reasonably productive
last year -- .299/.395/.448 -- before he ruptured his biceps after 38 games and
missed the rest of the season. He had back problems the season before. Even if
he's not peak Miggy anymore, the Tigers need a healthy Miggy.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 1. Cue up those old videos
of Justin
Verlander, Max Scherzer and Rick Porcello fronting
the Tigers' rotation.
CHICAGO WHITE
SOX: Eloy Jimenez. After hitting .337/.384/.577 with 22
home runs across two levels of the minors, Jimenez is ready for the South Side.
He has power without striking out much, which will make him an impact hitter
from the get-go.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 2. The White Sox should be
better -- it would help if Yoan Moncada figures
things out at the plate -- but this goes up only if the White Sox do actually
land Machado after trading for his brother-in-law Yonder Alonso and
signing buddy Jon Jay.
KANSAS CITY
ROYALS: Kyle Zimmer. Yes, we're digging deep here,
but remember Zimmer? He was the fifth overall pick back in the 2012 draft, but
he couldn't stay healthy and never reached the majors. The Royals designated
him for assignment last spring, re-signed him to a minor league deal and sent him
to the Driveline baseball facility outside Seattle. He spent the entire season there, returned to the Royals throwing
94 to 97 mph and now is back on the 40-man roster.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 2. That's a story to root
for, but the Royals are still coming off a 104-loss season.
AL WEST
HOUSTON ASTROS: The rookie starters. The Astros
signed Wade Miley and
will move Collin McHugh back
to the rotation, but keep an eye on Forrest Whitley and Josh James to
also support Verlander and Gerrit Cole.
Whitley is Keith Law's top pitching prospect and should be ready to make an
impact after a couple of months in Triple-A. We last saw the hard-throwing
James pitching out of the bullpen in the postseason (where he cracked 100 mph),
and he could win a job out of spring training. Behind those two, you also
have Framber
Valdez and Cionel Perez.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 5. We could have
mentioned Carlos Correa after
his injury-plagued 2018. He was sort of a forgotten dude last year, and you
know he is motivated to rebound.
OAKLAND ATHLETICS: Jesus Luzardo. The
21-year-old lefty cruised through three levels of the minors last season to
become one of the top pitching prospects in the game. If he can make an impact,
maybe Oakland's rotation won't be as bad as everyone thinks.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 3. I mean ... the A's
improved 22 games and attendance went up only 1,200 fans a game to 1,573,616
overall. Which isn't nothing, but the A's have drawn 2 million just once 2005.
The offseason has been a typical slew of low-budget maneuvers. Hey, it worked
last year.
SEATTLE MARINERS: Prospects! It's the last call
for Hernandez and, at least for a few weeks, Ichiro Suzuki, but if there's
something to watch in spring training, it's the kids the Mariners acquired in
the offseason: Justus
Sheffield, J.P. Crawford,
Justin Dunn, Erik Swanson, Shed Long (with Jarred Kelenic in minor league
camp), plus Japanese lefty Yusei Kikuchi. If everything goes right, Kikuchi,
Sheffield, Dunn and Swanson will all be in the rotation after the All-Star
break. Or maybe that means everything has gone wrong.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 2. Mariners fans weren't
exactly high-fiving each other about Jerry Dipoto trading all his best players
(except Mitch Haniger),
but the smart understood the reasoning. Make those King Felix nights count;
they might be winding down.
LOS ANGELES ANGELS: Shohei Ohtani's
rehab. All we know at this point: He won't pitch in 2019, and he won't
be ready for Opening Day. Beyond that, let's hope for a quick return and 500
plate appearances as designated hitter.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 3. You can certainly argue
the Angels would have been better off bringing in a star player -- imagine a
left side of the infield with Machado and Andrelton
Simmons -- rather than the piecemeal approach with Matt Harvey, Trevor Cahill, Cody Allen,
etc.
TEXAS RANGERS: May your health be with you. The
Rangers are taking chances on Drew Smyly (missed
the past two seasons), Edinson
Volquez (missed last year) and Shelby Miller (16
innings last year). They also signed Lance Lynn.
So, this could be a really good rotation if you're replaying a 2015 sim league.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 2. Who are the Cowboys
going to draft?
NL EAST
ATLANTA
BRAVES: Ronald Acuna
Jr. The Braves signed Josh
Donaldson, brought back Brian McCann,
and all the young starting pitchers -- both those already in the majors and
those close to getting there -- will be compelling, but in an offseason when
the Braves declined to swing for the fences, it's all about Acuna. He
immediately became one of the most compelling players in the game as a rookie,
and after his monster second half -- he was third in the majors in OPS --
there's one question: Can he be MVP?
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 5. Imagine if they had
actually signed Harper or traded for J.T. Realmuto,
like they should have done.
WASHINGTON
NATIONALS: Life without Bryce ... life with Juan. With a
return to D.C. looking unlikely for Harper, the Nationals certainly didn't shy
away from otherwise improving their roster: $140 million for Patrick
Corbin; replacing the dead weight at catcher with Gomes and Kurt Suzuki;
signing Anibal
Sanchez and Brian Dozier;
and adding bullpen pieces in Trevor
Rosenthal and Kyle Barraclough.
Mostly though, I just want to see Juan Soto hit.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 4. it’s not an election
year and the Nationals look good on paper, but there will be some post-Bryce
malaise. Win the division and Harper will be yesterday's news.
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIES: Will they sign Machado or Harper? It's
still the big question in Philly, even after the offseason additions of
Realmuto, Andrew
McCutchen, Jean Segura and David
Robertson.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 4. Philly's a tough crowd,
and the fans want Machado or Harper.
NEW YORK METS:
All the new faces. The Robinson Cano-Edwin Diaz trade
was viewed with mixed emotions from many Mets fans, who apparently viewed
Jarred Kelenic as the next Mickey Mantle or something. The Mets also
signed Jed Lowrie and Wilson Ramos and
acquired Keon Broxton.
They're deeper than last year (although another starting pitcher would have
been nice) and certainly more interesting.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 4. New GM Brodie Van
Wagenen oozes confidence, and some of it is actually rubbing off on Mets fans.
MIAMI MARLINS:
Probably not Neil Walker. In
2017, this train wreck of a franchise had a lineup featuring the 2017 NL MVP,
the 2018 NL MVP, plus Realmuto, Marcell Ozuna, Dee Gordon and Justin Bour.
Now they have ... umm, Austin Dean, JT Riddle and Peter O'Brien.
Not to pick on one player here, but take O'Brien. He apparently is the starting
first baseman (although it could end up being Walker or Garrett
Cooper), is 28 years old, and while he had an .838 OPS in 74 PAs
with the Marlins in 2018, he hit .216 in the minors. He hit .191 in the minors
the season before. His strikeout rate during those two seasons was 34 percent
-- in the minors. It's going be another long season (although to be fair, the
rotation could be almost respectable if everything falls right).
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: Negative 1 million.
NL CENTRAL
MILWAUKEE
BREWERS: Jimmy Nelson's
health. Lots of things going on here, from the battle at second base
to Brandon
Woodruff and Corbin Burnes potentially
moving from the bullpen to the rotation to Christian
Yelich's MVP encore. But all eyes will be on Nelson, the team's best
starter in 2017 who missed all of 2018 after injuring his shoulder running the
bases late in 2017. He recently tweeted, "I'm in the best place I've been
in over the past 17 months" and that he has never been more excited for
spring training.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 5. They were one win from
the World Series last season, and the most underrated baseball city in the
country is ready for a big summer.
CHICAGO CUBS: Yu Darvish's
health. The Cubs lost the NL Central tiebreaker game to the Brewers,
and there's little doubt that with a healthy Darvish they wouldn't have been in
that game in the first place. Darvish suffered a stress reaction in his elbow
and made just eight starts, but he already is throwing bullpens in Arizona and
said he feels good after a recent 45-pitch session.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 3. Four straight playoff
trips and an average of 97 wins per season, yet 2016 feels so long ago to a
crabby group of Cubs fans.
ST. LOUIS
CARDINALS: Where will Alex Reyes fit? Yes,
the Paul
Goldschmidt trade should provide a nice boost, and Andrew Miller --
assuming he can avoid the injured list -- will strengthen the bullpen. But it
will be curious to see how the onetime uber-prospect looks after missing almost
all of two seasons. Even if Reyes starts the season in relief, he has the
potential to be the team's No. 1 starter come the playoffs.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 5. After missing the
playoffs three seasons in a row, nothing short of a division title will be
enough for Cardinals Nation.
PITTSBURGH
PIRATES: Trevor
Williams' sinker. In his second full season,
Williams finished 14-10 with a 3.11 ERA, including a remarkable run over his
final 13 starts, when he posted a 1.29 ERA and had eight scoreless outings. He
doesn't throw hard or rack up the strikeouts, so we'll see if he can repeat his
soft-contact success story. If so, maybe the Pirates have a chance of
surprising.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 1. I get the feeling that
no fan base is more ticked off these days than Pittsburgh's -- and with good
reason after ownership did nothing (again) following an 82-win season while
watching other teams in the NL make moves. Attendance was down almost 500,000
in 2018 even though the team was better, and it might decline again. There are
ramifications to keeping your money locked up in a bank vault instead of
spending it on talent.
CINCINNATI
REDS: Yasiel Puig and
his new friends. Unlike the Pirates, the Reds have had enough with
losing, and they made a bunch of "win-now" moves, most notably
acquiring Puig, Alex Wood and Matt Kemp's
contract from the Dodgers. Top prospect Nick Senzel should be ready to make an
impact as well. All eyes, however, will be on Puig. There's hardly a bigger
contrast in cities than L.A. and Cincinnati, and how he adapts and performs --
will he sulk or play with a chip on his shoulder? -- will be a story to watch
all season.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 3. For the first time in
five years, Reds fans are cautiously optimistic, but they know it's a tough
division.
NL WEST
LOS ANGELES
DODGERS: Corey Seager and Julio Urias. I
know, this is two things, but they're both important! Seager's return from
Tommy John surgery is obviously one of the biggest stories in spring training.
But I'm fascinated to see if Urias is ready to make a major impact; remember,
before his shoulder surgery in 2017, he was arguably the best pitching prospect
in baseball. He returned at the end of 2018 and the Dodgers put him on their
playoff roster, even though he had pitched only four innings in the regular
season. He is still just 22 and could be one of those many rotation pieces for
the Dodgers.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 4. It should be a 5, but
Dodgers fans are doing a lot of whining about not signing Harper.
COLORADO
ROCKIES: Garrett
Hampson. I'm a big fan of Hampson, the speedy
infielder who hit .311 across two levels of the minors while swiping 36 bases
in 41 attempts. He also has played a few games in center, and with Charlie Blackmon moving
to left, Hampson certainly will get some time in the outfield. Frankly, I'd
like to see him out there and Ryan McMahon at
second (holding down the fort until Brendan Rodgers is ready) and whole lot
less of Ian Desmond.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 4. There are some frayed
nerves waiting to see if Nolan Arenado will
sign an extension, but after two straight wild-card seasons, Rockies fans
should be pumped for 2019.
ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKS: Who is Merrill Kelly? The D-backs are
hoping to pull off a coup with Kelly, similar to what the Cardinals did last
year when they plucked Miles Mikolas out
of Japan. Kelly, a former Rays farmhand, spent the past four seasons pitching
in Korea, and he will get a crack at replacing Patrick
Corbin in the rotation.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 2. The franchise icon is
gone. Corbin is gone. A.J. Pollock signed
with a division rival. I'd say this will affect attendance, but the
Diamondbacks seem to draw 2 million to 2.2 million no matter how good or bad
the team plays.
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTS: Buster Posey's
hip. The six-time All-Star is expected to be ready for Opening Day after
hip surgery in August. Posey's power was sapped last season because he couldn't
explode through the zone with his swing, so the hope is he returns healthy and
hitting .300 again. Even when he was last healthy in 2017, Posey started just
96 games at catcher and 30 at first base, so he's likely going to split even
more time between the two positions.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 2. The Giants are old and
bad, and their farm system is weak. But Scottsdale in March is still a great
place to go.
SAN DIEGO
PADRES: All the kids. Unfortunately, it has been an
offseason of a lot of talk and no action for the Padres. They've been in on
Harper and Machado and inquired about Realmuto, but their biggest move was
signing Garrett
Richards, who might not even pitch in 2019 as he recovers from Tommy
John surgery. Still, the Padres should have one of the most intriguing camps
because of their top-rated farm system (and Fernando Tatis Jr. in particular),
plus already-in-the-majors youngsters such as Franmil Reyes and Franchy
Cordero.
LEVEL OF EXCITEMENT: 3. The enthusiasm has been
tempered a bit by the lack of a big move, but the Padres are rightfully the
most hopeful they've been in years.
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