The NFL arms
race known as free agency should create more fireworks this offseason thanks to
a combination of big names and teams with an abundance of cap space.
As it stands now, some of the teams with the most cap space
project as massive spenders on the open market. Whether it is a franchise
rebuilding from the ground up and willing to overpay to pad out its foundation
or a contender looking to woo elite players, the teams ready to make big
additions likely have checkbooks at the ready.
The impressiveness of the free-agent class encourages the
impending bidding wars too. Top-market guys like DeMarcus
Lawrence, Earl Thomas, Tyrann Mathieu, Jadeveon Clowney and
more mean another round of gigantic contracts pushing the boundaries of
positional spending and possibly reshaping the league's balance.
Below are the teams that both have the most money to spend
and are the likeliest to spend. Teams that have lots of cash but are tied up in
needing to re-sign their own won't be considered as likely big spenders willing
to throw their weight around on the market in search of new additions.
6. SAN FRANCISCO
49ERS
Cap Space: $63.8 million
The San Francisco 49ers are in an interesting place
heading into the offseason.
On paper, they already have a franchise quarterback locked
down with Jimmy Garoppolo. Their top four salaries in terms of cap hit are
all premium, critical positions with Garoppolo, left tackle Joe
Staley, cornerback Richard Sherman and pass-rusher Arik Armstead.
The 49ers don't have much in the way of players they must
retain before heading to the open market with droves of free cap space, so the
front office could use the cap wiggle room to address some serious needs while
freeing up the team to take a best-player-available approach in the top five of
the upcoming draft.
Free agents who can create pressure, for example, could be a
target after the team generated just 37 sacks last year. Lawrence,
Clowney, Ezekiel Ansah, Brandon Graham, Frank Clark and Dee Ford are
some of the major names in play.
Surrounding Garoppolo with more talent at the skill
positions could be a priority as well after a tight end, George Kittle, led the
team in receiving last year. Wideout is especially deep with Donte
Moncrief, Golden Tate, Adam Humphries and Tyrell Williams on their
way to market.
No matter what the 49ers decide to do, the large amount of
cap space should keep them competitive in any bidding war they enter—and it
could be more than one.
5. OAKLAND RAIDERS
Cap Space: $69.8 million
With the focus on where the Oakland Raiders might play next
season headlining affairs, it can be easy to forget the regime has a goldmine
of free space to work with this offseason.
And with Coach Jon Gruden at the helm and throwing down
surprises like the Khalil Mack trade, the sense anything can happen is truly
potent.
Granted, the Raiders likely have a few guys they would like
to keep under team control, such as tight end Jared Cook. But for the most
part, the Raiders figure to give the 49ers some competition in key areas.
Wideout is a big red flag on the roster, as Jordy Nelson, who turns 34
in May, is the team's top player at the position. No matter how the franchise
feels about Derek Carr under center, a top free-agency candidate like Golden
Tate would provide a boon for the offense in the interim.
After trading away Mack, the Raiders struggled their way to
13 sacks...in 16 games. Impressively bad, really, and while the team could use
the fourth pick to help in this area, one name isn't going to be enough to fix
this issue unless they stumble upon Mack 2.0.
Again, Gruden running things means it could get wild, too.
With so much space and so many needs, the team throwing a massive one-year deal
at someone like Earl Thomas isn't out of the question. While they might not
rank first here, odds seem strong the Raiders will be the most entertaining
team in free agency.
4. BUFFALO BILLS
Cap Space: $78.6 million
Cap space or not, the Buffalo Bills have it rougher than
most in free agency this offseason.
These Bills are stuck in a big rebuild and don't have the
most appealing locale to sell players on—not to mention the division itself,
where a guy named Tom Brady just reeled in another Lombardi Trophy.
As it stands now, Buffalo's three highest cap hits next
season are defensive tackle Star Lotulelei, defensive end Jerry Hughes and
running back LeSean McCoy. That combination of age and mostly non-premium
status speaks to the troubles in Buffalo quite well. The front office, at
least, doesn't have to look too hard at its own impending free agents.
But the Bills seem to need a little bit of everything,
starting in the trenches. Center and the edges of the offensive line seem like
problems, and generating pressure (notice a trend with low-pressure teams and
cap space?) on defense is a priority. It's never a great free-agent class for
offensive tackles anymore, and those aforementioned edge-rushers are going to
be costly, if not overpaid.
Elsewhere, the Bills should want to kick things into
overdrive when it comes to surrounding quarterback Josh Allen with talent at
the skill positions. This could mean going after a player like Golden Tate or
taking a one-year risk on an asset like tight end Tyler Eifert.
Luckily for the Bills, they have enough space to attack
multiple items and, should they so choose, emerge as one of free agency's big
winners. If done correctly, it could accelerate the rebuild in a hurry.
3. CLEVELAND
BROWNS
Cap Space: $79 million
It's only fitting a team coming off a Hard Knocks appearance,
the Hue Jackson saga and starting Baker Mayfield under center would make a few
splashes in free agency, right?
On one hand, the Cleveland Browns seem to have enough in the
way of draft assets they wouldn't need to entertain the idea of bidding wars in
free agency. But on the other, there isn't much of a reason to sit on top-three
cap space with talent heading to market and not too much to worry about in
terms of their own free agents.
Of course, the Browns made their big splash last offseason
with the trade for Jarvis Landry. This time, they might not involve other teams
though, as some of their needs happen to be positions with plenty of depth in
free agency.
Think defensive line. Ndamukong Suh, Allen Bailey
and others headline a deep class there. Wideout, which has been touched on a
few times now, has intriguing options like Tyrell Williams.
But thinking bigger, it all comes back to pressure.
Cleveland generated 37 sacks a year ago, but 13.5 of those came from Myles
Garrett. The Browns could consider it wise to go all out on someone like Dee
Ford, opening up the possibilities with a top-20 pick on draft day.
And with the money Cleveland has available, it can pretty
much have whatever free agent it wants, provided the player is willing to come
to town.
2. NEW YORK JETS
Cap Space: $95
million
On paper, the New York Jets are in one of the most coveted
positions of all. Quarterback Sam Darnold, still on his rookie deal, gives the
Jets plenty of cap freedom to go out and build a contending roster around him
for a few years.
And this year's free-agent class is a good place to
start.
General manager Mike Maccagnan seems to know as much. When
discussing the Jets offense, he told ESPN.com's Rich Cimini, "With the maturation of Sam [Darnold],
it's definitely an area we're going to focus a lot of our attention in the
offseason."
Granted, the Jets have almost 40 names heading to free
agency. They figure to want back contributors like cornerback Morris Claiborne
and defensive lineman Henry Anderson, but it shouldn't put too much of a dent
in cap space considering they're flirting with the $100 million mark.
One of the most blatant big splashes the Jets could make is
going after an offensive superstar like running back Le'Veon Bell to assist
Darnold. If Bell wants to play in New York, almost no team can match them in
the financial department.
But the help for Darnold doesn't have to be limited to his
side of the football. Coming off a season in which they ranked 29th in scoring
defense with 27.6 points allowed per game, the Jets might end up breaking the
bank on a disruptor like Frank Clark or even gunning for a high-profile
secondary member like Earl Thomas to go along with Jamal Adams.
For the Jets, money isn't a limiting factor, and some of the
bigger splashes, if done well, could fuel a quick return to prominence.
1. INDIANAPOLIS
COLTS
Cap Space: $107.6
million
The Indianapolis Colts have something the other teams
on this list don't have: a bona fide superstar quarterback.
Really, no other team has this absurd amount of cap space,
either.
Andrew Luck,
a ton of cash and a playoff appearance last season translates into a positive
outlook for the Colts this offseason, to say the least.
Outside of these factors is the fact the Colts could use a
little bit of everything. Le'Veon Bell would look good in the attack. He's a
luxury item, maybe, but a potent one. Wideouts like Golden Tate could
complement T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron well.
Defensively, an interior disruptor like Grady Jarrett could
change the unit. Versatile defensive players like Trey Flowers
or Za'Darius Smith would give offensive coordinators nightmares. Even a
defensive back like safety Landon Collins instantly patches a hole in what was
already a playoff team.
Few teams can afford the luxury of grabbing multiple
guaranteed starters in free agency, not to mention picking from the best of the
very best. The only thing stopping the Colts from winning free agency is
themselves.
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