Only Boston's Dave Dombrowski can say his work led to a
World Series title last year, but the season never stops for baseball's general
managers. There is plenty of pressure on big-market bosses to make a splash in
free agency, and smaller-market GMs must decide whether or not to be aggressive
and "go for it" if they think their teams are in a window of
contention. There are some new faces taking over woeful teams this season and
long-tenured big names trying to pad their resumes. Let's rank all 30 MLB
general managers heading into the 2019 season.
30. MICHAEL HILL - MARLINS
Hill doesn't really deserve to be here. Oh, make no mistake,
the Marlins are the worst franchise in baseball, and their eventual trade of
J.T. Realmuto, regardless of when it happens, will only hammer home what a
complete and total gut-job the franchise has undergone. No, Hill doesn't really
deserve to be here in the sense that it should be Derek Jeter's picture, and
the Marlins' shameful slashing of payroll should be laid at his feet. Still,
Hill is the general manager in name, and so it is that he has this ugliness
attributed to him. Miami is going to be bad for some time, the fans don't care
and Jeter's ownership group is highly leveraged. Other than that, everything is
great. If Miami fields anything resembling a competitive team, Hill should take
the first offer he gets and never look back.
29. BRODIE VAN WAGENEN - METS
Any analysis of Van Wagenen needs to start with the fact
that until he had to give up his agent's certification after being hired by the
Mets, he was the agent for Jacob deGrom, Yoenis Cespedes, Noah Syndergaard and
Tim Tebow, among others. A detailed look at his background suggests that he's
forward-thinking, new-school and no stranger to analytics. Still, as recently
as July he was demanding a contract extension or a trade for deGrom. Can he
effectively build a talented roster? Cynical Mets fans would probably say no
and will likely be worried about Van Wagenen's history with several players on
the team and how it might affect things moving forward. Still, if Van Wagenen's
past doesn't interfere with his present, he could be an intriguing figure in
Flushing.
28. MIKE ELIAS - ORIOLES
If you want to measure solely based on on-field results in
2019, Elias might well be dead last on this list, behind even Miami's Michael
Hill. However, Orioles fans are probably thrilled to have Elias, who comes from
the Astros and brings a real, honest-to-god plan to the table to fix a franchise
that went from the American League's winningest from 2012-2016 to a club-record
115 losses last year. Elias will have the top pick in this year's draft, and
while the onerous Chris Davis contract is still on the books, Elias will be
able to strip the rest of the franchise down to the studs and rebuild it in
Houston's image and likeness. Whether or not it works in the rugged AL East is
another story, but at least there's some direction in Baltimore.
27. AL AVILA - TIGERS
Avila is in a tough spot. He inherited a Tigers team that
never did what it was built to do, which was win a World Series. That those
Detroit teams didn't was mainly the fault of Dave Dombrowski, who was relieved
of his duties in August 2015. Detroit went for it every single year because of
owner Mike Ilitch's insatiable desire to win and financial willingness to do
whatever it took to achieve that end. As a result, the Tigers were left with
some contracts that aged poorly and a roster that was long on big names and
short on big production. Avila is still very much in the midst of a rebuilding
process that started a year-and-a-half ago, but Detroit has a long way back to
respectability and not much immediate help on the horizon.
26. ROSS ATKINS - BLUE JAYS
Atkins' first season as GM yielded a wild-card berth in
Toronto, but things have been bumpy ever since. Atkins brought back Jose
Bautista over Edwin Encarnacion after the 2016 season, and the move hurt the
Jays badly. In the two seasons since, Encarnacion has hit 70 home runs, while
Bautista hit 23 for Toronto in 2017 then 13 for three different teams last
year. Atkins was certainly hurt by the injury woes of Josh Donaldson, and his
trade of Donaldson to the Indians had several other clubs angry at how things
played out. The biggest problem for Atkins is that the Blue Jays are old and
don't have much in the way of promising young talent coming up through the
system. The other teams in the AL East know what they are and what they're
trying to do. Does Toronto?
25. DAYTON MOORE - ROYALS
Moore got Kansas City back-to-back World Series appearances
and a title in 2015, and for that, Royals fans will always be grateful. But
Moore has failed to retool his small-market operation on the fly, and the
Royals face a steep climb back to respectability, to say nothing of prominence,
in the American League. K.C. has to hope that Jorge Soler comes back healthy,
but even if he does, and is productive, that's a small drop in the bucket.
Signing Billy Hamilton isn't going to set the world on fire either. The Royals
need more guys like Adalberto Mondesi, but because they held on and tried to
max out after 2015, those types of prospects are in short supply. The Royals
serve as a cautionary tale for small-market clubs; you can win it all, yes, but
paying the piper is a painful process.
24. JON DANIELS - RANGERS
Two bad years in a row might have Daniels feeling the heat,
especially with Houston seemingly locked in as the bully of the AL West and
Oakland always a threat to put together a strong campaign. He already orchestrated
a massive three-team trade that shipped Jurickson Profar to the A's while
netting Texas several pitchers as well as second-base prospect Eli White.
Optimists in Arlington feel that the worst portion of what has obviously been a
soft rebuild is behind the Rangers, but whether or not that is true largely
rests with how Texas' young pitchers perform as they come up through the
system. And as anyone who has watched the Rangers can tell you, counting on
pitchers to save the day is not a comfortable proposition.
23. A.J. PRELLER - PADRES
Preller is a few years removed from the trade bonanza that
defined his first offseason as Padres GM, and he seems to have learned that
building with a real plan in mind is preferable to making more moves than a
gamer would on "MLB: The Show" and hoping some of them stick.
Preller's biggest move thus far was to sign Ian Kinsler, though the Padres are
rumored to at least be kicking the tires on Manny Machado and Bryce Harper.
Franmil Reyes is an interesting young piece, and the Padres believe in Hunter
Renfroe and Manuel Margot. They all need to produce, and San Diego needs to
find some pitching to compete. Preller isn't under all that much pressure,
though, as his contract runs through 2022.
22. FARHAN ZAIDI - GIANTS
Zaidi took over as Giants GM on Nov. 6, and his task is a
tall one. The Giants have plenty of money to spend, but they are an old team
with big decisions to make down the line, particularly about Madison Bumgarner.
San Francisco seems ripe for a rebuild, especially on offense. The Giants
ranked second to last in the NL in runs and home runs last year, and while
their pitching was a respectable seventh in ERA, that wasn't nearly enough to
pick up the sagging bats. Zaidi's mission is clear: Get younger, get cheaper
and hit the mark with any big contracts. He was excellent in his time with the
Dodgers, but he's got a big challenge ahead of him, at least in the immediate
term.
21. MIKE RIZZO - NATIONALS
Nationals pitchers had their worst collective ERA since
2010, posting a 4.04 mark in 2018. Aside from Max Scherzer, no starter provided
a combination of consistent health and true top-shelf performance. To try and
rectify that, Rizzo went out and signed Patrick Corbin to a six-year, $140
million deal. That gives the Nats Scherzer, Corbin and Stephen Strasburg at the
top of their rotation in 2019. That's a good start on the way to atoning for an
82-win, second-place finish last year. Rizzo has put together four 95-plus win
seasons in the last seven, but the Nats have fallen short of a World Series.
That makes his job performance middling at this point.
20. NICK KRALL - REDS
Krall took over as Reds GM in May, and once the season ended
he wasted little time remaking Cincinnati's roster. First, he traded for
Washington's Tanner Roark on Dec. 12. Nine days later he executed a
blockbuster, sending Homer Bailey and prospects Jeter Downs and Josiah Gray to
the Dodgers for Matt Kemp, Yasiel Puig, Alex Wood and Kyle Farmer. Exactly one
month later he acquired Sonny Gray from the Yankees and immediately worked out
a new contract extension for the righty. Time will tell whether it all works
out for Cincy, but for now Krall has injected some life into the organization,
and he seems to have made the team better in the short run.
19. THAD LEVINE - TWINS
Aside from a 2017 AL wild-card loss, the Twins have been
disappointing for some time now. Levine's attempt to rebuild on the fly and
challenge Cleveland in the AL Central has seen the pitching deliver mediocre
results, while the offense plays well but not well enough. Minnesota seems like
the equivalent of a 7-9, 8-8 or 9-7 football team. Any fan of an outfit like
that can tell you that mediocrity is poison in professional sports. Michael
Pineda could be a big boost to the rotation, as Twins fans are doubtless
anticipating his long-awaited, injury-delayed debut. Minnesota's best hope is
that Cleveland regresses a bit, Pineda is good and some of its young position
talent continues to develop. If those boxes get checked, the Twins could be something
much more than mediocre.
18. BILLY EPPLER - ANGELS
Eppler hasn't built a winner in any of his three seasons on
the job, which could rightly be seen as a waste of Mike Trout. It isn't that
simple, though, as Eppler was saddled with Albert Pujols' contract, which has
been an albatross for L.A. There are some young, interesting arms in the
starting rotation, and Trout is still around, for two more years anyway, and
still very much the best player in the sport. Can the Angels convince him to
stay? They'll have to back up the Brink's truck but also build a winner around
him. Justin Bour is a cheap, somewhat interesting signing, as is Trevor Cahill,
but Jonathan Lucroy and Matt Harvey are less so. Trout will be great, as he
always is. Will the other members of Eppler's cast do their part? That's a much
tougher question to answer.
17. NEAL HUNTINGTON - PIRATES
Huntington's NL Central peers have spent the offseason
bolstering their rosters with a series of aggressive moves. The Pirates GM,
meantime, has signed Lonnie Chisenhall and Jordan Lyles, re-signed Jung Ho Kang
at a slightly cheaper rate, traded for Cleveland's Erik Gonzalez, and then
claimed that Gonzalez was a victim of being blocked in the Indians'
organization by Francisco Lindor. Huntington also traded Ivan Nova to the White
Sox, and as of this writing, the Pirates have the lowest projected payroll in the
division by tens of millions of dollars. If the goal is to convince fans that
the Bucs are trying to build a contender after an 82-79 season, Huntington is
off to a bad start.
16. RICK HAHN - WHITE SOX
Hahn might be building a monster on the South Side. Only the
White Sox's awful record prevents him from being higher on this list. While
that may seem like a ridiculous statement to make, Hahn's work to rebuild a
barren farm system has been widely praised throughout the sport. Jon Jay and
Kelvin Herrera are decent bargain free agents, and a trade for Ivan Nova should
give Hahn an innings-eater at the back end of his rotation. But make no
mistake: The ChiSox will sink or swim based on the plethora of young talent
they have all over the diamond. Hahn's Sox are probably a year away, and if
they make an unexpected splash with Manny Machado or Bryce Harper, the
excitement will go through the roof.
15. MATT KLENTAK - PHILLIES
Klentak has already made a few moves this offseason,
bringing in Andrew McCutchen, which seems like an interesting risk/reward play,
as well as getting Jean Segura, Juan Nicasio and James Pazos in a trade with
Seattle. The Phillies have also been mentioned prominently of late as a landing
spot for J.T. Realmuto, and if they get him for the right price, it would be a
major boon for the franchise. Expectations are high in Philly, even after a
late-season swoon took the Phils from 15 games over .500 on Aug. 7 to an 80-82
finish. But Klentak's team, the youngest in baseball, still has plenty of room
to get better.
14. JERRY DIPOTO - MARINERS
Dipoto's ongoing disassembly of the 89-win Mariners has
drawn scorn from all corners, but a more measured analysis suggests that he
might be doing the right thing. Seattle was minus-34 in run differential last
year, which puts it closer to a 77-win team. Only the Mariners' otherworldly
good luck in one-run and extra-inning games allowed them to post that fairly
gaudy record. Last year's Mariners were the oldest team in baseball, and they
didn't manage to end the sport's longest playoff drought, so a rebuild by
"Trader Jerry" was in order. Mariners fans who care more about wins
and losses than predictive metrics might not agree.
13. MIKE HAZEN - DIAMONDBACKS
Hazen's Diamondbacks were in first place in the NL West on
April 1, May 1, July 1, Aug. 1 and Sept. 1. Then they went 7-19 in September
and cratered to an 82-80 finish. To make matters worse, they lost ace Patrick
Corbin to Washington in free agency and center fielder A.J. Pollock to the
Dodgers. Hazen traded Paul Goldschmidt to the Cardinals for some prospects, but
many felt the return was underwhelming. Arizona's rebuild seems to have
started, but Hazen's recent work, which included a 93-win 2017, places him in
the top half of the list — for now. The Goldschmidt deal, while not popular
now, could prove a wise maneuver.
12. JEFF BRIDICH - ROCKIES
Bridich has done the impossible in Colorado, and that is
build a team around a highly effective starting rotation. Colorado doesn't need
major upgrades anywhere other than fifth starter, and despite the loss of Adam
Ottavino to the Yankees in free agency, the Rockies still have a sturdy back
end of the bullpen, provided Wade Davis regains his dominant form this year.
Colorado's left side of the infield is set with Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story,
but there are some weaker spots, notably catcher. The base is there for
Colorado to keep right on contending with the Dodgers in the NL West, but now
Bridich needs to make the right tweaks to keep the Rockies on the right path.
11. JED HOYER - CUBS
Hoyer is technically the GM of the Cubs, even though Theo
Epstein still casts a long shadow. Regardless of who gets the most ink, Chicago
has been fairly quiet so far this offseason. The Cubs picked up Cole Hamels'
$20 million option, signed righty Kendall Graveman, and aside from a move here
or there, that's it. Chicago's payroll is already above $200 million, and there
are questions about how much the team can spend, so the players who can have
the biggest potential impact in 2019 are almost certainly already on the
roster. If Yu Darvish stays healthy and Tyler Chatwood has a better year,
things should be fine on the North Side. If not, the questions posed to Hoyer
and Epstein will become louder and more pointed.
10. ANDREW FRIEDMAN - DODGERS
The Dodgers have six straight NL West crowns, back-to-back
NL pennants, and ran into generationally great teams in Houston and Boston in
the World Series in consecutive years. So far, Friedman, who added general
manager duties to his job description after Farhan Zaidi left to run the
Giants, has shipped Matt Kemp and Yasiel Puig out of town, as well as lefty
Alex Wood, getting Homer Bailey and prospects in return. He also signed Joe
Kelly and traded for Russell Martin. None of this makes L.A. better on paper,
but the signing of center fielder A.J. Pollock might. Clearly, the Dodgers are
trying to shift their focus slightly from feast or famine power hitting to
become more well-rounded, but it might not matter unless Bailey regains his
form of five years ago.
9. JOHN MOZELIAK - CARDINALS
Mozeliak could be higher on this list after getting Paul
Goldschmidt away from the Diamondbacks for what most insiders felt was a small
price. Goldschmidt immediately makes the Cardinals a co-favorite in the rugged
NL Central and Andrew Miller represents an intriguing free agent signing. If
Miller regains anything close to his previous form, he could be a major asset
in a division that features some serious left-handed threats in the form of
reigning NL MVP Christian Yelich, Joey Votto and Anthony Rizzo. The Cardinals
lineup projects as quite fearsome, and there are some impressive names in the
rotation, though health questions exist. If things break St. Louis' way,
Mozeliak could look like a genius come early November.
8. MIKE CHERNOFF - INDIANS
Chernoff traded away or lost to free agency plenty of
production from last year's team, one that won its third straight AL Central
crown. The challenge for Chernoff will be to try and identify the right pieces
to keep around, with money always something of a concern. He already pulled off
a trade that sent Edwin Encarnacion to Seattle and brought back former Indian
Carlos Santana, traded away Yan Gomes, and made a few smaller free agent
signings, notably veteran reliever Oliver Perez, who figures to get a chance to
help fill the void left by departed lefty Andrew Miller. Cleveland should still
have terrific starting pitching, so it will be interesting to see if Chernoff's
fairly active offseason bears fruit.
7. DAVID FORST - ATHLETICS
The A's were once again scrap heap wizards in 2018, winning
95 games and somehow hanging in against the mighty Astros with a duct tape and
chicken wire starting rotation, one that was without its ace, Sean Manaea, for
the season's final month. Matt Chapman turned into a bona fide MVP candidate,
Khris Davis led baseball with 48 home runs, and players like Steven Piscotty,
Jed Lowrie and youngster Matt Olson were solid contributors. Billy Beane tends
to get all of the headlines, but technically this is Forst's team. Forst traded
for Jurickson Profar and signed reliever Joakim Soria. Profar is coming off his
best offensive season by a mile, and Soria was good last year. If we know
anything about Oakland, we know that it will likely be an unexpected name who
helps the A's keep pace.
6. ALEX ANTHOPOULOS - BRAVES
Anthopoulos' work with the Braves has been remarkable for
multiple reasons. First, he took over a franchise experiencing some upheaval
after the misdeeds of his predecessor, John Coppolella, were laid bare. Second,
Anthopoulos engineered an 18-game improvement in his first year on the job,
taking Atlanta from third to first in the NL East in the process. He benefited
mightily from the rapid rise of Ronald Acuna Jr., as well as a big season from
Freddie Freeman and some solid, if unspectacular, pitching. Anthopoulos did
inherit plenty of high-end young talent, but given his history in Toronto and
Los Angeles, there is every reason to think he will keep the Braves rolling.
5. DAVE DOMBROWSKI - RED SOX
Is this too low for the man who put together the World
Series champion Red Sox? Probably. While Dombrowski made a crucial move to
bring in J.D. Martinez, who was somehow not the best offensive player on the
roster — that distinction went to AL MVP Mookie Betts — others on this list did
more with less already in place. As great as the Sox were, and as
counterintuitive as it may seem to have Dombrowski lower than Jeff Luhnow, a
man whose team Boston steamrolled in the ALCS, it's hard for me to put the man
who had a loaded roster already — some of it his doing, some of it not — above
other GMs who, dollar for dollar, were just as good or better.
4. BRIAN CASHMAN - YANKEES
Cashman, long seen as a man whose unlimited budget afforded
him leeway no other GM had, is now a man who has tried to build the Yankees
from within, with youth. He has largely succeeded, albeit with help from a few
trades, and the team won 100 games last year, suffering only the misfortune of
playing in the same division as the powerhouse Red Sox. This offseason, Cashman
has re-signed CC Sabathia and pulled off a trade for Seattle lefty James
Paxton. Paxton is viewed by scouts as a potential ace, so long as he can stay
healthy. If he does, and he handles the pressure of playing in the Bronx, Cashman
may end up succeeding in toppling Boston. Oh, and one more thing: Will Cashman
go after Manny Machado or Bryce Harper? Stay tuned.
3. ERIK NEANDER - RAYS
Neander's Rays had no business whatsoever winning 80 games
in the brutal AL East, let alone the 90 that they actually won. Much of the
credit for that goes to Neander, who made some small but impactful in-season
trades and also empowered his field manager, Kevin Cash, to utilize the
unconventional "opener" strategy, one that was a major factor in
Tampa Bay's surprising success. Given the dearth of resources at his disposal
as well as the perpetual attendance problems that the franchise grapples with
every year and the caliber of competition in the division, it's arguable that
Neander did the best job of any GM in baseball last year.
2. JEFF LUHNOW - ASTROS
Luhnow's Astros were, in some ways, baseball's most
overwhelming team last year. They weren't able to defend their World Series
title, but they finished with 103 wins and a gaudy plus-263 run differential,
34 runs better than the next best team. Luhnow swung a blockbuster last
offseason for Gerrit Cole, and Cole and Justin Verlander are a potent one-two
punch at the top of Houston's rotation. The Astros have so far been quiet this
offseason and Lance McCullers will miss all of 2019. Still, their best players
— Carlos Correa and Alex Bregman — are both young and under team control, and
the farm system is deep. Luhnow has Houston well-positioned to rule the AL West
for years to come.
1. DAVID STEARNS - BREWERS
Most small-market teams probably wish Stearns was their GM.
He has the Brewers well-positioned to make another deep run in 2019, after
falling a game short of the World Series in 2018. Milwaukee has the reigning
MVP in Christian Yelich, one of baseball's best all-around talents in Lorenzo
Cain and Stearns just signed Yasmani Grandal to shore up his catching
situation. One year at just over $18 million for Grandal might well be an
overpay, but he's an upgrade. It's refreshing to see a smaller-revenue club
spend some money to keep pace. Just 34, Stearns has all the makings of
baseball's next "it" GM.
No comments:
Post a Comment