Saturday, February 9, 2019

AFC WEST GRADES AND OFFSEASON QUESTIONS


The Broncos had a pile of injuries, with seven starters and 11 players overall on injured reserve. They also traded wide receiver Demaryius Thomas, had a propensity for penalties and a schedule that included nine games against playoff teams. Add it all up and things simply did not turn out as the Broncos had hoped.
The Denver Broncos ended the season with a 23-9 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday to finish 6-10. Here's a recap of the season and what's next:
Season grade: Below average. The Broncos had a pile of injuries, with seven starters, including two Pro Bowl selections in Chris Harris Jr. and Emmanuel Sanders, and 11 players, overall, on injured reserve. They also traded wide receiver Demaryius Thomas to the Houston Texans midseason, had a propensity to get flagged for penalties at the worst times and a schedule that included eight games against playoff teams. Add it all up and things simply did not turn out as the Broncos had hoped. They believed they were a playoff team out of training camp, but were not by the time Christmas rolled around.
Season in review: Since Peyton Manning retired, the team has started four different quarterbacks and has had three consecutive playoff misses. Case Keenum signed a two-year deal in March as the Broncos bypassed a chance at Kirk Cousins, among others, saying Keenum was the best fit in free agency. It was a prove-it contract for Keenum and gives Denver flexibility. The Broncos elected not to use a 2018 draft pick on a quarterback -- they took Bradley Chubbat No. 5 after Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold were off the board -- and have been scouting the best quarterbacks in the 2019 draft. Keenum had moments when he looked like a long-term solution, but he also had a bumpy road as the Broncos seemed to struggle with their offensive identity. Beyond the close losses, injuries and everything else that happened, they exit the season with a decision to be made at the game’s most important position.
He said it: "Just eliminate the dumb mental errors that we've had. The dumb -- not executing the plays. We know this week we've got to double-team and we have to execute a double-team. We've got to execute it. We have to let all of the little kid stuff, the little kid mess-ups that we've had -- I call them 'high school mess-ups.' The little high school mess-ups, we've got to throw those in the bag." -- Cornerback Harris Jr.
OFFSEASON QUESTIONS
What happens with coach Vance Joseph? When the Broncos traded Thomas to the Texans, it's difficult to believe the decision-makers, most notably John Elway, thought the Broncos, then 3-5, were a playoff team. In Week 16, Thomas was the second-leading receiver on the team with 36 receptions. So to fire Joseph because the team didn't make the playoffs after slogging through a difficult schedule would raise some questions. If the Broncos do fire Joseph, he would also be the third head coach in the past four who was on the job in Denver for two or fewer seasons; the fourth, John Fox, was fired after a playoff stumble despite four consecutive AFC West titles. The list of potential coaching candidates is not considered strong, so the Broncos have decisions to make about how much of their failings are personnel and how much are coaching.
Is Keenum the answer? Keenum is 30, having completed his first season as a team's unquestioned starter. At his best, Keenum played well in late-game moments when the Broncos needed it, but he also wrestled with turnovers -- Denver was 3-6 over its first 14 games when he threw an interception. He is signed through the 2019 season and the Broncos have no real succession plan. None of the quarterbacks Elway has drafted are on the roster, so what the Broncos want to do with Keenum next season and beyond matters with regard to what they do early in the 2019 draft.
Can the Broncos repeat their work of the 2018 draft? As the Broncos came down the season's stretch, they had 13 rookies on the roster, including eight picks from the 2018 draft to go with undrafted running back Phillip Lindsay, who became the team's leading rusher. They pulled that group together by concentrating on players with proven college résumés, multiyear starters who were leaders or captains. The payoff was a rookie class that was at the heart of the team's success and offered some optimism. The Broncos need a repeat in the coming spring to snap themselves out of the playoff drought.
Coach Jon Gruden, in his first year back with the Raiders, went about rebuilding the roster with owner Mark Davis’ blessing, and general manager Reggie McKenzie paid for it with his job. Entering Game 15, seven of McKenzie’s 50 pre-Gruden draft picks were on the 53-man roster, and 39 current players had not spent a day on the 53-man roster a year ago. 
The Oakland Raiders ended the season a with a 35-3 loss at the Kansas City Chiefs to finish the season at 4-12. Here's a recap of the season and what's next:
Season grade: Below average. Didn't the Raiders simply need a good roster-scrubbing and better coaching to finish more like 12-4 (which they did in 2016) after the 6-10 nosedive of 2017? Instead, coach Jon Gruden, in his first year back with the Raiders, went about rebuilding the roster with owner Mark Davis' blessing, and general manager Reggie McKenzie paid for it with his job. Entering Week 17, 38 players on the Raiders' 53-man roster did not spend a single day on Oakland's 53-man roster last season. Also, just seven of Reggie McKenzie's 50 draft picks made before Jon Gruden's return are on the current 53-man roster. Talk about turnover.
Season in review: The shock of the Khalil Mack trade on Sept. 1 barely had worn off as the Raiders got off to quick starts, holding halftime leads in their first three games against the Rams, Broncos and Dolphins, but late collapses led to an 0-3 start. An unlikely overtime victory over the Browns followed, but then the team returned to its losing ways. The season reached a nadir with an embarrassing 34-3 defeat at the Bay Area rival 49ers, two weeks after wide receiver Amari Cooper was traded, dropping Oakland to 1-7 and leading many to wonder whether the Raiders were en route to a 1-15 finish. The team showed improvement in wins over the Cardinals, Steelers and Broncos, though. These victories hurt Oakland's draft slot, but they gave fans some hope for the future and belief in Gruden's system.
He said it: "I always look in the mirror, and the buck stops with me. Where this team is right now is my fault. We haven't been able to build a 22-man [starting] roster. We haven't been able to give this team a chance to win because the reconstruction failed. We failed from 2014 on to have a roster right now." -- Raiders owner Mark Davis
OFFSEASON QUESTIONS
Is Derek Carr truly Gruden's QB? It did not seem like it in the aftermath of both Mack and Cooper getting traded, as Carr struggled mightily to master Gruden's offense. And with Gruden's affinity for veteran quarterbacks, Joe Flaccostarted being whispered about. But Carr flipped a switch around the bye week. While he was not as explosive as he has been in the recent past (think 2016), he was more efficient, a valuable trait in Gruden's scheme. Carr completed a career-high 68.8 percent of his passes and passed for more than 4,000 yards. "We know we've got to get better around him," Gruden said of Carr, "and that we will."
What about all those draft picks? Because of those Mack and Cooper trades, three of the Raiders' 10 draft picks come in the first round. The Raiders have needs all over the field, especially at pass-rusher -- Oakland had only 13 sacks as a team while Mack had 12.5 by himself in Chicago -- and receiver. Cooper looked re-energized in Dallas, amassing more than 700 yards receiving and six TDs in his nine regular-season games there. Expect Gruden to address those needs early in free agency or in the draft. But keep in mind, the last time Gruden had ultimate power in a draft room, in Tampa Bay from 2002 through 2008, only three of his 90 draft picks made it to at least one Pro Bowl. Gruden and the Raiders need to hit on these draft picks to make the trades worthwhile and the rebuild successful.
Where will the Raiders play in 2019? Oakland? San Diego? San Francisco? Santa Clara? Reno? Glendale, Arizona? Parts Unknown? All that is known at this time is that the City of Oakland has announced plans to file a federal lawsuit against the team and the league over the Raiders' move to Las Vegas, to which the Raiders responded by removing their lease offer of $7.5 million to play next season at the Oakland Coliseum. The NFL needs to know by early February at the latest where the Raiders will play home games -- they most assuredly will practice during the week at their Alameda complex -- and, you'd imagine, free agents will want to know as well, considering the move to Southern Nevada in less than two years.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
The Los Angeles Chargers ended the season a with a 41-28 loss to the New England Patriots in the AFC divisional round of the playoffs. Here's a recap of the season and what's next.
SEASON GRADE: Above average. Coach Anthony Lynn improved on a 9-7 campaign his first season to lead the Chargers to a 12-4 record and the team's first postseason appearance since 2013. Philip Rivers had one of his best seasons as a pro, earning his eighth invitation to the Pro Bowl. However, the Chargers still stubbed their toe in the playoffs, and Rivers is 5-6 all time in the postseason.
SEASON IN REVIEW: The Chargers won more games in a season than they had since 2009 and finished 8-0 when they boarded a plane during the regular season (including a "home" game victory over the Titans in London). Rookie Derwin James led the team in tackles with 105 and already is one of the best safeties in the game. By making the postseason, the Chargers are slowly gaining some momentum in building a fan base in Los Angeles, as the new Inglewood Stadium opens in September 2020.
HE SAID IT: "I thought we were a tough team when we finished the season last year, but this year I think that culture kind of carried over. 8-0 [in games played away from Southern California]. Obviously, we were 12-4 this year, so we did something better. I thought the execution with the offense, our balance was much better. Defense did a heck of a job setting up and stopping the run. This year, we improved in those areas." -- Lynn on his team's 2018 season.
KEY OFFSEASON QUESTIONS
WILL THE CHARGERS GET A CONTRACT EXTENSION DONE WITH RIVERS?Rivers, 37, has one year left on his current contract that pays him $16 million for the 2019 season. Rivers has said he still wants to play when the Chargers open the new Inglewood Stadium in 2020. The Chargers should begin negotiations this offseason on a new deal for their franchise quarterback.
HOW WILL THE CHARGERS BETTER PROTECT THEIR AGING QB? Overall, the Chargers' offensive line played solidly in 2018. However, Rivers faced more pressure late in the year, which affected his ability to lead the offense. Left tackle Russell Okung turns 32 next season, and second-year pro Sam Tevi is improving but has been uneven as a pass-blocker. The Chargers probably will consider adding young talent at the tackle position either through the draft or free agency.
A NEW DEAL FOR MELVIN GORDON? The workhorse running back has improved every year he has been with the team, and he enters the final year of his rookie contract in 2019 scheduled to make $5.6 million in his rookie extension. Gordon has made Rivers' job easier, and the Chargers should figure out how to keep the Wisconsin product around long term.

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