The Pirates began turning the page toward 2019 in September,
when they fell out of the postseason race and started evaluating young players
who could make an impact in the future.
Well, now it's almost actually 2019, and
the future is just about here. In six weeks, the Bucs will head south to
Bradenton, Fla., to start Spring Training. They will file into the crowded
Pirate City clubhouse and prepare for another season as an underdog in the
competitive National League Central.
What can they do to put themselves in a better position and
outperform those projections next season? How can they improve on their
just-over-.500 2018 and get back to the postseason for the first time since
'15?
Let's take a look at six things the Pirates must figure out
before the season begins.
1. WHO'S THE
SHORTSTOP?
The Pirates left the Winter Meetings with an open mind and a list of candidates
to succeed longtime shortstop Jordy Mercer, who
signed with the Tigers. The Pirates spoke highly of internal options Erik Gonzalez and Kevin Newman. They
checked in with the D-backs about Nick Ahmed. They
reportedly expressed interest in free agent Freddy Galvis and
the recently released Troy
Tulowitzki.
This probably isn't a make-or-break decision for Pirates GM
Neal Huntington and Co. Their success or failure will more likely be determined
by the performance of their returning players, from Starling Marte and Josh Bell to Chris Archer and Keone Kela. But
Pittsburgh can upgrade at shortstop, and improved infield defense is a
necessity next season.
2. WHO'S THE FIFTH
STARTER?
Barring another addition, it seems like the primary candidates are already on
the roster: Jordan Lyles, Nick Kingham and Steven Brault.
Huntington said Lyles has the "inside track," a pretty strong
indication that it's his job to lose. The Pirates believe Lyles' second-half
adjustments last season represent the start of a career renaissance, so he'll
have every opportunity to crack the rotation.
Kingham showed promise amid his rookie struggles, and the
lefty Brault would have an advantage pitching in PNC Park. If none of the three
makes a strong enough claim, the Pirates could turn to the "opener"
strategy every fifth day and use those three as "followers" behind an
initial-out-getting reliever.
3. CATCHING ON
Are they going to trade Francisco
Cervelli? That's the question here. If the Bucs bring back
Cervelli, they're set behind the plate with him and backup Elias Diaz; the only
decision they'd have to make is whether they'll also carry Jacob
Stallings as a third catcher.
If they trade Cervelli, they'll likely be committing to a
Diaz-Stallings tandem. That would put quite a bit of pressure on Diaz, who
looked ready for everyday work as he slashed .286/.339/.452 with 10 homers in
82 games last season. They would benefit from additional Major League-ready
depth, as they don't have many obvious options behind Stallings.
4. WHO'S HEALTHY?
WHO'S HURTING?
People love position battles, but this might be the most important question
facing the Pirates as they get closer to Opening Day. Archer and Joe Musgrove had
surgery early in the offseason, and both are expected to be ready for the start
of the season. But the Bucs' MLB-ready rotation depth is already limited, so
it's critical that two of their top four starters are ready to go -- and fully
healthy -- from the start.
Right fielder Lonnie
Chisenhall is coming off a couple of years marred by
injuries. With an everyday opportunity waiting, how will his calves hold up?
Gregory
Polanco won't be ready by Opening Day, but the coming
months should provide clarity regarding his timeline. Polanco is set to begin a
throwing program in mid-January, Huntington said during the Winter Meetings,
and that will be the greatest test for his surgically repaired shoulder.
Polanco was the Pirates' most productive power bat last year, so an early
return would be significant for their lineup and their bench (where Chisenhall
likely would move).
5. BULLPEN BATTLE
The Pirates' bullpen is actually quite settled at this point. Closer Felipe Vazquez,
Kela and right-handers Kyle Crick and Richard
Rodriguez form a strong back-end quartet. Two of the
fifth-starter candidates figure to claim long-relief jobs; it could be all
three in an eight-man bullpen, if they use an opener.
That likely leaves one spot. It might go to another
left-hander, if they add one. It might go to right-hander Nick Burdi, whose
high-octane stuff and Rule 5 restrictions might give him a leg up on the
competition. It could be Michael Feliz, who
struggled last season then signed a split contract in his first trip through
the arbitration process. There are other candidates on the roster, and a few
more might emerge from the list of non-roster invitees. This time last year,
remember, Rodriguez was hardly considered an impact arm.
6. HIT 'EM UP
This will be nearly impossible to quantify, and it likely will be a yearlong
process. But how will the Pirates adapt to a new hitting program led by new
coaches Rick Eckstein and Jacob Cruz? Will they find the consistency that too
often eluded them last season? Will they unlock the power of corner infielders
Bell and Colin Moran?
How will Jung Ho Kang look
upon his return?
The daily drills of Spring Training might seem monotonous,
but it will be an important time for Pittsburgh's young hitters as they seek to
take a step forward under Eckstein and Cruz.
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