2018-19 MID-SEASON
LEADERS FOR EACH OF THE MAJOR AWARDS
The NBA season is more than halfway gone, so who is leading the race
for the league’s major awards? We make our picks for each, from Most Improved
to MVP
The NBA has raced right past its midway point, and with the
All-Star break just around the corner it’s the perfect time to hand out some
mid-season awards.
While all of the major end-of-season awards are featured,
these aren’t predictions for who will win at the NBA’s June ceremony. Rather,
these are the players that deserve each award as of right now. Some players
will drop off in the second half; while others will build into the playoffs,
but these impressive first-half performances deserve to be recognized
regardless.
MOST IMPROVED PLAYER: PASCAL SIAKAM, TORONTO RAPTORS
15.0 points, 7.0 rebounds, 2.9 assists, 1.0 steals, 0.7
blocks
Too often, this award goes to a player that is just getting
more shots or more minutes. They shoot the same percentages, have the same
impact on their teams and play with the same efficiency, but have “improved”
because their raw numbers have gone up.
That could not be less true of Pascal Siakam’s season to
date. While his minutes and shot attempts have increased drastically from last
season, so too has his efficiency across the board.
Despite the extra offensive load, his true shooting
percentage has risen from 54.9 to 63.2, which places him in the top 15 in the
league. His impact on the team’s offense is
profound, too – the Raptors are scoring 119.5 points per 100 possessions with
Siakam on the court, compared to 109.9 when he sits.
He’s being given more responsibility to create for himself
and others, rather than wait for the offense to come to him. Despite playing
alongside Kawhi Leonard, an All-Star and MVP
candidate, he’s also getting his share of the spotlight in big moments.
All of this hasn’t come at the expense of his already stellar
defense. At that end of the floor, he is able to protect the rim and switch
onto the perimeter, and he and Leonard have led Toronto’s top-10 defense.
Siakam has become a key starter on one of the league’s best
teams, which would have seemed unlikely at the start of the season. That sure
sounds like a fair improvement to me.
HONORABLE MENTIONS
De’Aaron Fox, Sacramento Kings
Nikola Vucevic, Orlando Magic
Buddy Hield, Sacramento Kings
SIXTH MAN OF THE YEAR: DOMANTAS SABONIS, INDIANA PACERS
14.9 points, 9.5 rebounds, 2.8 assists
Before I talk about Domantas Sabonis, I want to give this
reminder; at any one time, there are 150 players that start for an NBA team.
Domantas Sabonis is not one of them.
With that in mind, here are some stats in which Sabonis
ranks in the top 20 for the entire league; rebounds per game (18th), rebounding
percentage (eighth), field goal percentage (fifth), true shooting percentage
(third), offensive rating (11th), defensive rating (seventh), win shares
(16th), box plus-minus (16th) and player efficiency rating (14th), among
others.
So, basically, Sabonis is one of the best players in the
league on both players of the floor, and he’s having that sort of impact in
just 25 minutes per game? Right, got it.
Most bench players are in a reserve role because of some
inefficiency or weakness in their game, but there are no obvious deficiencies
for Sabonis. Per 36 minutes, he’s averaging 21.5 points, 13.7 rebounds and 4.1
assists per game. The only thing holding him back from true stardom is his
place behind Myles Turner in Indiana’s pecking
order and his continued positive impact off the bench.
Despite playing just the seventh most minutes on the Pacers
roster, he comfortably leads the team in box plus-minus and has the best net
rating of any player in their regular rotation. He’s doing all of this on a
team that is 32-15 and sitting third in the East.
With Victor Oladipo ruled out for the rest
of the season, the road ahead will be rough for the Pacers. It remains to be
seen whether they can continue winning without their star, or whether Sabonis
will slow down with the added attention. But up until this point, he’s been the
best reserve in the NBA and is deserving of recognition.
HONORABLE MENTIONS
Montrezl Harrell, Los Angeles Clippers
Spencer Dinwiddie, Brooklyn Nets
Lou Williams, Los Angeles Clippers
DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR: RUDY GOBERT, UTAH JAZZ
14.9 points, 13.0 rebounds, 2.1 blocks, 0.9 steals
It feels like a boring choice, but Rudy Gobert is still the
NBA’s benchmark for defensive excellence. After winning his first Defensive
Player of the Year award last season, he has improved his all-around game while
continuing to make his team better on the defensive end.
Despite their early-season struggles, the Jazz boast the
fourth best defense in the league with a defensive rating of 104.6. When Gobert
is off the court that jumps to 106.2; when he’s on it drops to 100.7, which
would comfortably top the league.
He’s averaging 2.1 blocks per game, but he’s also that rare
type of defender whose presence alone keeps opposition players from even
shooting the paint. His length allows him to close out quickly on shooters, and
he has made some (not heaps, but some) progress staying in front of perimeter
players when switched.
With Ricky Rubio missing an extended
stretch through injury, Gobert has had more responsibility covering for his
guards and mopping up their mistakes. He’s done so with aplomb and with minimal
fuss, and he remains the perfect foil for Donovan Mitchell, Joe Ingles and the rest of the Jazz
roster.
The real questions will be asked of Gobert in the
postseason, but until then he’s leading Utah’s renaissance and anchoring one of
the league’s best defenses.
HONORABLE MENTIONS
Myles Turner, Indiana Pacers;
Paul George, Oklahoma City
Thunder;
Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors
ROOKIE OF THE YEAR: LUKA DONCIC, DALLAS MAVERICKS
19.9 points, 6.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists, 1.2 steals, 3.2
turnovers
Is this really a discussion? It feels harsh to brush off the
other contenders – Deandre Ayton has been historically good too, among others –
but Luka Doncic has been head and shoulders above all of them.
He’s first among rookies in points, second in assists and
third in rebounds. More importantly, he’s having a huge impact on the results
of games, something that can’t be said for most of his fellow freshman.
The Mavericks won just 24 games last season; with Doncic
leading the way, they’ve already won 21 games through January 25. It’s rare for
a rookie to immediately lead a team in scoring and shot attempts and for that
team to see such a drastic uptick in wins.
He hasn’t shied away from the big moments either. In fact,
he’s been even better in clutch situations. Across the season, Doncic has an
effective field goal percentage of 50.4; in the last five minutes of games
within five points, that jumps to 59.2.
Outside of the stats, he passes the eye test with flying
colors. His feel for the game is extraordinary, and he always seems to be
playing under control, even when being pressured.
Plus, he’s already got a signature move. How many rookies
can say that?
Honorable mentions
DeAndre Ayton, Phoenix Suns
Trae Young, Atlanta Hawks
Jaren Jackson Jr., Memphis
Grizzlies
COACH OF THE YEAR: MIKE BUDENHOLZER, MILWAUKEE
BUCKS
The Milwaukee
Bucks won 44 games last year and made the playoffs, but
they had no real system or identity and crashed out in the first round. With
many of the same core players and a few handy additions, Mike Budenholzer has
completely overhauled their style of play and has them on track for 60-plus
wins and the East’s top seed.
Under Jason Kidd and Joe Prunty last season,
just 31.2 per cent of Milwaukee’s shots came from behind the arc, which ranked
them 25th in the NBA. This season, they’re up to second in the league as 42 per cent of
their shots are threes.
While they’re only hitting a below-average 35.1 per cent of
those shots, Budenholzer understands that threes are worth more than twos. It’s
a philosophy that has his team sitting third in the league in offensive rating.
As great as their offense has been, their defense has
somehow been better. Budenholzer seems to have revitalized a group of
theoretical defenders, and has them playing hard and as a team. The front
office’s vision of a long, athletic and tough defensive unit has finally been
realized with a new face leading the way.
Perhaps the easiest decision for Budenholzer was to
have Antetokounmpo’s the centerpiece of his plans, but the Greek Freak’s
improvement under the new coach has still been impressive. Antetokounmpo has
become a true MVP candidate as Budenholzer’s three-heavy offense has given him
more space to operate than ever before.
Coach of the Year can be tough to judge, especially in a
season where plenty of teams are outperforming expectations. However, it’s
impossible to ignore the huge strides that the Bucks have made since last
season, as they’ve transformed from a fringe playoff team into a championship
contender.
HONORABLE MENTIONS
Mike Malone, Denver Nuggets
Kenny Atkinson, Brooklyn Nets
Gregg Popovich, San Antonio Spurs
MOST VALUABLE PLAYER: JAMES HARDEN, HOUSTON ROCKETS
36.3 points, 6.6 rebounds, 8.3 assists, 2.1 steals 5.6
turnovers
On the surface, it feels wrong to give the MVP to the leader
of a fifth seed. I’m a strong believer that winning should be a major factor,
even in individual awards.
Sometimes wins alone don’t tell the full story of a team,
though. The same way that raw stats tell you less than advanced analytics, win
totals tell you less than the context they are achieved within.
Houston lost a lot of their depth over the offseason,
meaning their “big three” of Harden, Chris Paul and Clint Capela would be even more
important than before. And yet, despite Paul missing 21 games with injury and
Capela missing five, the Rockets are 27-20 and fighting for a top four finish.
Even more remarkably, they were 9-8 when Paul went down, meaning they’ve had a
better record without him.
So who has Harden been winning with? Excluding Paul and
Capela, here are the Rockets leaders in win shares; Harden, PJ Tucker, James Ennis, Danuel House and Gerald Green. The rest of the roster is
filled with limited role players and fringe NBA prospects, and yet Houston
continues winning.
That’s because Harden has gone supernova and reached levels
of scoring barely seen in the NBA. He has 21 consecutive games of 30-plus
points, the longest streak by any player not named Wilt Chamberlain, and he’s done so with his
trademark style of efficiency.
His effective field goal percentage of 54.4 is higher than
during his MVP run last season, and he’s once again leading the league in free
throw attempts (523) and makes (452) by a wide margin.
According to USA Today, he’s on track to become just the
second player to ever average at least 35 points, eight assists, five rebounds
and two steals, alongside a guy named Michael Jordan. His 39.5 points per game
since Paul’s injury suggest that his scoring, at least, won’t be dropping off
any time soon.
There are so many stats and benchmarks that can be used to
argue for Harden, but you’ve probably heard them all by now. I’ll default back
to my favorite factor– if Harden can keep consistently winning with PJ
Tucker, Eric Gordon and Danuel House as his
supporting cast; he’s the MVP in my book.
HONORABLE MENTIONS
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks
Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets
Kawhi Leonard, Toronto Raptors
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