BUYER'S GUIDE TO
THE 2019 DEADLINE
The precipitous parity in the National Hockey League means
trade-deadline forecasts are forever changing. 'Twas a time when Alexander
Edler of the Vancouver
Canucks looked destined to be moved, but now there's talk of him receiving an extension. Several teams
jockeying with the Canucks for the final few playoff spots in the West have
gone from buyers to sellers and back again in the span of weeks. But some
tried-and-true assets will move at the deadline no matter what, like players
with expiring contracts, players in need of a change in scenery and Thomas Vanek.
(More on him in a bit.)Here are 35 players to watch at the trade deadline.
We've grouped them by rentals and players with term, with pending restricted
free agents grouped in the latter category. All salary and contract information
comes from our friends at Cap Friendly, unless otherwise noted.
WINGERS
TO RENT
RYAN DZINGEL,
LW/C, OTTAWA
SENATORS
Stats: 19 G | 17 A | 36 Pts | 47 games
Contract: $1.8 million AAV, UFA this summer, no trade protection
Hey, are you interested in a pending free agent Ottawa
Senators forward who is going to cost you significantly less than Matt Duchene and Mark Stone?
Then you're probably feeling a Dzingel run down your leg for an exciting
26-year-old who is having a career year (in a contract year). That cap hit
means every team looking for offense on the wing -- from the Bruins to the
Islanders to the Sharks to the Avalanche -- will be in the market here. Dzingel
is your prototypical "guy who seems like he won't cost much in a trade who
someone ends up overpaying for because several teams coveted him" type of
deadline player.
MICHEAL
FERLAND, LW/RW, CAROLINA
HURRICANES
Stats: 13 G | 12 A | 25 Pts | 40 games
Contract: $1.75 million AAV, UFA this summer, no trade protection
Ferland was likely gone well before the Hurricanes
added Nino
Niederreiter at $5.25 million annually through 2022, but that
deal probably cemented it. Ferland is a physical winger with offensive pop, and
he is a pain in the kiester to play against. With that upside and that cap hit,
it's hard to imagine the Canes won't pull a low first-rounder out of a thirsty
contender for him.
MARCUS
JOHANSSON, LW/RW, NEW JERSEY
DEVILS
Stats: 7 G | 9 A | 16 Pts | 36 games
Contract: $4,583,333 AAV, UFA this summer, five-team no-trade list
Though there's always a chance the Devils go on another
two-month tear to make the playoffs, that's hard to envision given the
trajectory of this group. They have several assets they can move -- from
veteran forward Brian Boyle and
defenseman Ben Lovejoy to
potentially goalie Keith Kinkaid --
but Johansson might have the most value despite two years of injury issues and
a drop in production. He can still be a fine offensive complement on a line
with better players, and he could be had for a third-round pick and/or a
prospect.
PATRICK
MAROON, LW/RW, ST. LOUIS
BLUES
Stats: 4 G | 9 A | 13 Pts | 40 games
Contract: $1.75 million AAV, UFA after this season, eight-team
no-trade list
According to Cap Friendly,
Maroon's no-trade clause goes from a full one to a partial eight-team one on
Feb. 1, which makes him seem like either a man who knows he is portable, or a
man who wants to be. Maroon has been playing with Ryan O'Reilly and Vladimir
Tarasenko. Is that to keep him around, as the Blues reportedly
consider themselves buyers, or is this a pump-and-dump thing?
GUSTAV
NYQUIST, RW/LW, DETROIT RED
WINGS
Stats: 11 G | 31 A | 42 Pts | 50 games
Contract: $4.750 million AAV, UFA after this season, full no-trade
Oh, the irony in Nyquist having an outstanding season in a
contract year, considering that's how he landed the no-trade clause that'll
potentially keep GM Ken Holland from moving him at the deadline. But if he opts
out, there are going to be a great number of teams looking to add his offense
to their top six. The Oilers have been mentioned with frequency, and with their
first-round pick reportedly in play, they could ante up.
JAKOB
SILFVERBERG, LW/RW, ANAHEIM DUCKS
Stats: 12 G | 7 A | 19 Pts | 42 games
Contract: $3.75 million AAV, UFA this summer, no trade protection
A tough one to figure out. On the one hand, the Ducks like
him and he's the kind of offensive player who should bolster their attack in
their desperate pursuit of a wild-card spot. On the other, he's a 28-year-old
pending UFA and might he seeking a deal a shade too rich for the Anaheim cap.
(Thanks, unmovable veteran contracts!) He should be coveted as a rental if
available, given his versatility and solid playoff numbers (39 points in his
last 44 postseason games).
WAYNE
SIMMONDS, LW, PHILADELPHIA
FLYERS
Stats: 15 G | 8 A | 23 Pts | 48 games
Contract: $3.975 million, UFA this summer, 12-team no-trade list
The term "last piece of the puzzle" gets tossed
around a lot at this time of the season, but Simmonds would certainly complete
the picture for a lot of teams. He has a net-front presence offensively. His 67
penalty minutes are indicative of his toughness. He can play top-six minutes.
And he's a left wing, which everyone seems to be chasing at the deadline. The
Bruins seem like a natural fit here, and they're worth mentioning when it comes
to cost: Would Simmonds fetch the kind of bounty that Rick Nash did
from the Bruins last season -- a first, a roster player and a prospect (along
with a seventh and what was left of Matt Beleskey)?
MARK STONE, RW,
OTTAWA SENATORS
Stats: 22 G | 28 A | 50 Pts | 49 games
Contract: $7.35 million AAV, UFA this summer, no trade protection
Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Sun reports that the Senators
have talked to Stone about a deal between $8.5 and 9.5 million AAV for eight
seasons. If he opts not to return, he rockets up the board for available
wingers. Stone should be mentioned in the same Selke Trophy-contender breath as
two-way stars like Patrice
Bergeron and Anze Kopitar --
he's that good, except he does it on the wing. He'd easily fetch a first-round
pick and a blue-chipper in return. Unlike with Matt Duchene, I think whoever
snags Stone does so with an eye toward retaining him, rather than renting him.
THOMAS VANEK,
LW/RW, DETROIT RED WINGS
Stats: 10 G | 13 A | 23 Pts | 42 games
Contract: $3 million AAV, UFA this summer, no-trade clause
Seeing Vanek available at the trade deadline is like seeing
those McDonald's arches on the road during a long drive: Familiar, comfortable,
but maybe not the thing you really need. Sure, he was effective in 19 games for
the Blue Jackets after last trade deadline, with 15 points ... until he had
just two in six playoff games, both coming in Game 1 against the Capitals. You
know what you get: Some streaky even-strength offense and a defensive
liability. Complicating matters: As we noted in our team-by-team deadline primer, Ken Holland
gave Thomas Vanek -- a player who exists to be traded at this
point in his career -- a no-trade clause.
MATS
ZUCCARELLO, RW, NEW YORK
RANGERS
Stats: 8 G | 16 A | 24 Pts | 35 games
Contract: $4.5 million AAV, UFA this summer, no trade protection
Zuccarello's down year offensively can be easily chalked up
to the uncertainty of this season, his last as a Ranger. But few wingers
available at the deadline have his knack for creating offense on their own.
He's a veteran asset who could bolster a contender, and this middling season
probably means he could be had for a second-rounder and a prospect.
WINGERS
WITH TERM
ANDRE
BURAKOVSKY, LW/RW, WASHINGTON
CAPITALS
Stats: 5 G | 6 A | 11 Pts | 42 games
Contract: $3 million AAV, RFA this simmer, no trade protection
The talented, 23-year-old Austrian winger's numbers are way
off from his career averages as he enters arbitration-eligible restricted free
agency this summer. He's a top-nine forward for the Capitals, and I assume
they'd like one back in any possible deal.
JESSE
PULJUJARVI, RW, EDMONTON
OILERS
Stats: 4 G | 5 A | 9 Pts | 38 games
Contract: $925,000 AAV, RFA this summer, no trade protection
Trading away a 20-year-old winger is
specious at best. But all indications are that Puljujarvi is in play, for a
similar young forward in need of a change. His recent audition on Connor
McDavid's line is intriguing on several levels: Is it a
pump-and-dump to ramp up his trade value, or are they really trying to track
the progress of a talented, but stunted, player?
CENTERS TO RENT
DERICK
BRASSARD, C, PITTSBURGH
PENGUINS
Stats: 8 G | 6 A | 14 Pts | 39 games
Contract: $3 million AAV, UFA this summer, eight-team no-trade list
Not a question of "if" but of "when."
Brassard has been a major disappointment for the Penguins since they acquired
him from the Senators; they've tried him everywhere in the lineup to no avail.
There's chatter that both the Stars and the Columbus Blue
Jackets, the latter of whom drafted him No. 6 overall in 2006, are
interested.
MATT DUCHENE, C,
OTTAWA SENATORS
Stats: 20 G | 26 A | 46 Pts | 40 games
Contract: $6 million AAV, UFA this summer, no trade protection
A game-changer for someone. If he remains with Ottawa, he'll
likely sign an eight-year contract worth between $8-9 million annually. He
would provide a contender with a dynamic offensive center, but he would certainly
cost a first-rounder and a significant prospect. The wind is blowing toward
Duchene remaining with the Senators, but all bets are off until pen hits
contract. One thing to consider: Duchene has played in eight playoff games in
his 10-year NHL career.
KEVIN HAYES,
C, NEW YORK RANGERS
Stats: 10 G | 23 A | 33 Pts | 39 games
Contract: $5.175 million AAV, UFA this summer, no trade protection
To the surprise of no one, Hayes is having his best season
on average in the NHL right before it's time for that big
extension. The 6-foot-5 center has been good for the Rangers, but their future
up the gut lies with Mika Zibanejad and Filip Chytil,
rather than with Hayes. Getting a young pivot like this at the deadline is
increasingly rare. Whoever acquires Hayes will part with a first-rounder and
potentially an NHL-ready piece. On a good, deep team (like Boston), he would be
a perfect third-line center rental. But we have a feeling teams are going to be
after him to then keep him around for a few years. The Rangers have scouted the
Avalanche to the point that local media thinks there's a fit.
CENTERS
WITH TERM
NICK BJUGSTAD,
C/LW, FLORIDA
PANTHERS
Stats: 5 G | 7 A | 12 Pts | 32 games
Contract: $4.1 million AAV, UFA in 2021, no trade protection
The 26-year-old is like the leg lamp from "A Christmas
Story" in that he's large (6-foot-6) and tantalizing and FRA-GEE-LAY,
appearing in 32 games this season (of a possible 48) after finally hitting 82
for the first time in 2017-18. He can play center or wing, and a change in
scenery could do both he and the Panthers good. He could potentially hit 50
points with friendlier zone starts and when healthy, but that's the caveat:
when healthy.
JEFF CARTER,
C, LOS ANGELES
KINGS
Stats: 10G | 11A | 25 Pts | 49 games
Contract: $5,272,727 AAV, UFA in 2022, no trade protection
Carter has plenty left in the tank and is two years removed
from a 32-goal season. His contract has "three seasons and a buyout"
written all over it. But it's well-known around the league that Carter wants
some say over his next destination. If that sounds like something petulant,
please ask a Blue Jackets fan what an unmotivated and rainy-faced Jeff Carter
does for your team. Or don't. Even as the Kings look to hold a fire sale,
Carter should fetch a first-rounder and a good prospect as a starting point.
BRAYDEN
SCHENN, C, ST. LOUIS BLUES
Stats: 9 G | 17 A | 26 Pts | 44 games
Contract: $5.125 million, UFA in 2020, no trade protection
The Blues are too close to the wild card
to call it a lost season, but at some point, GM Doug Armstrong is going to have
to make the same call he made last year when he shipped out Paul Stastny at
the deadline: Buyers or sellers? Schenn is a player with value beyond this
season, as he's signed through 2020. Stastny fetched a first, a fourth and a
prospect. What can Schenn bring back if Armstrong decides to sell again? The
Bruins will be kicking the tires; but watch out for the Golden Knights and
assistant GM Kelly McCrimmon, who has ties with Schenn back to the WHL's
Brandon Wheat Kings.
DEFENSEMEN TO RENT
JAY
BOUWMEESTER, D, ST. LOUIS BLUES
Stats: 2 G | 8 A | 10 Pts | 44 games
Contract: $5.4 million AAV, UFA this summer, no-trade clause
Earlier this season, it looked like J-Bouw was done. His
return from hip surgery was disastrous. He looked like a defensive liability
and was getting scratched for the first time in his career. But as the deadline
approaches, he's getting back into form, having played six straight games with
over 20 minutes in ice time. Assuming he waives his no-trade clause to head to
a contender, Bouwmeester is a veteran hand who could bolster someone's bottom
pairing. Could there be some salary retention from the Blues if it meant a
better return?
NICK JENSEN,
D, DETROIT RED WINGS
Stats: 2 G | 9 A | 11 Pts | 49 games
Contract: $812,500, UFA this summer and no trade protection
Remember in 2017, when Detroit defenseman Brendan Smith was
suddenly a deadline darling, leading many to exclaim, "Who?" Jensen
is that guy this year, as he hits every trade board after 180 career games of
relative anonymity in Detroit. He's had a terrific season after seeing his ice
time increase to 20:45, with a plus-2.18 in
expected goals. He's 28, he's right-handed and he's one of the most
affordable options in terms of cost and cap that you'll find at the deadline.
If he's available, that is. Helene St. James of the Detroit Free Press doesn't see it.
DEFENSEMEN
WITH TERM
TREVOR DALEY,
D, DETROIT RED WINGS
Stats: 2 G | 4 A | 6 Pts | 31 games
Contract: $3,166,666 AAV, UFA in 2020, no-trade clause
Daley, 35, is the quintessential depth defenseman for a
contender. He can play different roles. He can play 20 minutes per night. He
has two rings. Problem No. 1: He's been injured with a lower-body ailment,
although he's due back next month. Problem No. 2: Another Ken Holland no-trade
clause, which means Daley, can choose to stay or where to go.
IN THE CREASE
DOUGIE
HAMILTON, D, CAROLINA HURRICANES
Stats: 6 G | 10 A | 16 Pts | 48 games
Contract: $5.75 million AAV, UFA in 2021, no trade protection
Coach Rod
Brind'Amour told me it's on him to "figure out how to get
more out" of the 25-year-old defenseman. With due respect to Rod the Bod
that might be a job that falls to Hamilton's next coach on his next team. A
right-handed defenseman with that kind of offense (and no trade protection) is
a tantalizing asset to dangle for a team that's loaded on defense but needs to
add scoring to its top six.
ALEC MARTINEZ,
D, LOS ANGELES KINGS
Stats: 4 G | 17 A | 21 Pts | 50 games
Contract: $4 million AAV, UFA in 2021 and no trade protection
Martinez is older (31) and not as good as the Kings' other
defensemen potentially up for sale, but he's also signed through 2021 and would
cost less in a trade -- he's not going to fetch a first-rounder.
JAKE MUZZIN,
D, LOS ANGELES KINGS
Stats: 4 G | 17 A | 21 Pts | 50 games
Contract: $4 million AAV, UFA in 2020 and no trade protection
If the Kings are having a garage sale, Muzzin is like a 4K
television they're hoping nets them something around face value. Simply put,
the 29-year-old is one of the best defensive defensemen in the NHL this season,
and he could be a 22-minutes-per-night, first-pairing guy on the right team. He
has term and a tremendously good cap hit. He'd net a first-rounder and more,
because if he's available, there's going to be a market for him.
BRETT PESCE,
D, CAROLINA HURRICANES
Stats: 3 G | 8 A | 11 Pts | 39 games
Contract: $4.025 million AAV, UFA in 2024, no trade protection
As with Hamilton, the Hurricanes are going to have to
eventually deal from their position of strength. Though he's overshadowed
by Jaccob Slavin as
a defensive defenseman on the Canes, Pesce has a lot of fans in NHL front
offices, in particular because of his contract. Carolina would likely not want
to move him, but if the right young forward becomes available, things could
change.
MARK PYSYK,
D, FLORIDA PANTHERS
Stats: 0 G | 6 A | 6 Pts | 37 games
Contract: $2,733,333 AAV, UFA in 2020 and no trade protection
Not just a tremendous Scrabble score, Pysyk can get you
around 18 minutes per night as a steady depth defenseman. Once a possession
monster, many of his metrics are on the negative side, including expected goals
(minus-0.41). But that's a great cap number for a defenseman with another year
to go on his deal. And the Panthers need to keep shuffling this deck.
GOALIES
SERGEI
BOBROVSKY, G, COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS
Stats: 19-14-1 | .904 SV% | 2.91 GAA
Contract: $7.425 million AAV, UFA this summer, no-move clause
He told the Jackets months ago that he would waive his NMC for the right deal. But the problem
with a Bobrovsky-deadline deal is one of potential suitors: Which teams have
enough of a need in goal to ante up what it would take to land Bob, when they
could just sign him in the summer? And if the answer is "a contender
looking to solidify their crease" ... well, he hasn't exactly been a
playoff standout. A confounding situation, but our money is on GM Jarmo
Kekalainen getting something before losing Bobrovsky for
nothing in the summer.
JIMMY HOWARD,
G, DETROIT RED WINGS
Stats: 14-13-5 | .916 SV% | 2.76 GAA
Contract: $5,291,666 AAV, UFA this summer, no trade protection
That's All-Star Jimmy Howard to you,
buster. He's had an incredible season on a bad team, and there's no question
that some contenders would love to add him as goaltending insurance for the
right price. But the bottom line for us is that Howard probably returns as Red
Wings goalie next season, even if he is moved at the deadline. They love him ...
and they don't really have much in the way of other quality options in the
organization.
CAM TALBOT,
G, EDMONTON OILERS
Stats: 9-13-2 | .894 SV% | 3.27 GAA
Contract: $4,166,667, UFA this summer, 10-team no-trade clause
After the Oilers inked Mikko
Koskinen to a three-year extension, that was that for Talbot.
They've tried to move him, but he's wielded his no-trade clause already,
according to The Fourth Period. Again, there aren't many contenders that
need help in goal. There are even fewer that need Talbot, given the season he's
had.
WILD
CARDS
JUSTIN FAULK,
D, CAROLINA HURRICANES
Stats: 3 G | 14 A | 17 points | 48 games
Contract: $4,833,333 AAV, UFA in 2020, has a 15-team no-trade list
Again, the Hurricanes are going to have to give to get at
some point. Faulk has another year on his deal at a friendly hit, he's
right-handed and he's 26 years old. He also has trade protection, unlike
everyone else on the Carolina blue line, and it's entirely possible that's been
a factor in him not being dealt previously. It's also entirely possible the
Hurricanes like to have a veteran presence like Faulk on a young roster and
aren't looking to move him unless (1) the deal overwhelms them, and (2) the
team is not on his no-trade list.
ARTEMI
PANARIN, LW, COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS
Stats: 19 G | 34 A | 53 Pts | 46 games
Contract: $6 million AAV, UFA this summer, no trade protection
Simply put: If the Jackets trade Sergei Bobrovsky, their
other pending UFA, they have 24-year-old Joonas
Korpisalo ready to take over. If the Jackets trade Panarin,
there is not another Panarin on this roster. It would go beyond an admission
that he's not re-signing: It would be a resignation that this team doesn't plan
to compete in the postseason, because they won't without him. So here's saying
they hang onto him and pray they convince him to stay. But if the writing on
the wall is a billboard saying "I'm Gone," expect a contender to step
up large -- a first-rounder, a blue-chipper and more -- for the right to rent this
27-year-old star.
JONATHAN
QUICK, G, LOS ANGELES KINGS
Stats: 9-12-3 | .904 SV% | 2.97 GAA
Contract: $5.8 million AAV, UFA in 2023, no trade protection
Conventional wisdom is that this is a trade the Kings would
pursue in the summer, and that trade partners might wait until then to make
this kind of commitment to a goalie with term. But one thing to consider: Two
Stanley Cups, a .922 save percentage and 2.23 goals-against average. Those are
Quick's playoff numbers, and no goalie available at the deadline comes to close
to matching that résumé. But what on earth would the cost be for him?
ALEX
PIETRANGELO, D, ST. LOUIS BLUES
Stats: 5 G | 14 A | 19 Pts | 37 games
Contract: $6.5 million, UFA in 2020, no-trade clause
This seemed possible for a moment, when the Blues looked
like they were in a free fall in the West. But they've stabilized, which means
trading their 29-year-old captain seems a lot less likely ... even if it might
make sense in the long term. That no-trade clause does, however, complicate
things.
JEFF SKINNER,
LW, BUFFALO
SABRES
Stats: 30 G | 14 A | 44 Pts | 48 games
Contract: $5.725 million AAV, UFA this summer, no-move clause
It's almost inconceivable that Skinner would leave Jack Eichel's
wing after this career year, but no one's really sure what the future holds for
him. If Skinner tells the Sabres he's done, do they sell sky high or keep him
for a wild-card push? If he somehow becomes available, he rockets to the top of
the left-wing options for contenders.
ERIC STAAL,
C, MINNESOTA
WILD
Stats: 15 G | 18 A | 33 Pts | 48 games
Contract: $3.5 million AAV, UFA this summer, 10-team no-trade list Staal
is third in points (33) and fourth in average ice time among forwards (17:37)
for the Wild. If they're in the hunt for a playoff spot, it's hard to imagine
Staal won't be a part of the chase. But if they falter, GM Paul Fenton has no
loyalty to the 34-year-old center. Last time Staal moved at the deadline, it
was for two second-rounders and a prospect. He'd have value for a contender as
a rental.
No comments:
Post a Comment