There are only a handful of ways to improve the roster of an
NFL team, and one of them will take center stage on March 13, when the free
agency period begins. Before teams begin snapping up available players, let's
take a look at the seven teams with the most at stake in free agency this
offseason.
(1) NEW YORK JETS
Projected cap space: $102.15 million
(second-most in the NFL).
The Jets have
a quarterback to build around and boatloads of cap space to work with. Of
course, the clock is also ticking on quarterback Sam Darnold's
affordable rookie contract -- and there are plenty of roster
holes to fill, thanks largely to a disappointing draft record over the past
four years. If the Adam Gase era is going to get off to a good start, spending
correctly this offseason is key. Upgrades would help at basically every
position other than at quarterback, safety (manned by Jamal Adams and
Marcus Maye) and tight end (Chris Herndon). Le'Veon Bell is
the kind of big-ticket player New York has targeted in the past, and the
scrimmage-yards monster would bring some serious juice to this offense. But
again, with plenty of
their own heading for free agency, there is more than enough
work to do, to both make this squad competitive in the AFC East and keep
Darnold's development on track.
(2) BUFFALO BILLS
Projected cap space: $79.99 million (third).
A roster purge left the Bills with more than $50 million in dead money last season, but now
that's off the books and the team has plenty of space to work with again. Like
the Jets,
Buffalo is stuck in a division that has been dominated by the Patriots.
Also like the Jets,
the Bills
are under pressure to make the most of the window provided by a young
quarterback's manageable contract (Josh Allen). Buffalo is utterly devoid of
reliable offensive weapons; consider that Allen himself ranked third on the
team with 631 yards from scrimmage last season, with the players who ranked
above him barely combining for more than 1,000 (LeSean McCoy
had 752 and Zay Jones had
652). In Brandon Beane's second full offseason as GM (he was hired in May of
2017), the shopping list is long. A speedy veteran receiver, a tight end and
probably some offensive linemen (with right guard John Miller and
right tackle Jordan Mills headed
for free agency) would help. Oh, and so would building depth at all three
levels of the defense.
(3) OAKLAND
RAIDERS
Projected cap space: $71.24 million (sixth).
Conventional wisdom would seem to suggest the Raiders won't
be investing too much in free agency while they continue rebuilding under Jon
Gruden and new GM Mike Mayock. But there are so many holes on this roster that
the rebuilding project will take more than one offseason to complete. It's also
hard to see a coach as competitive and veteran-friendly as Gruden sitting back
with all that cap space available. In addition to (hopefully) landing three
starting-caliber players with their three first-round draft picks (and maybe
landing Antonio Brown via trade?),
I could see Gruden and Mayock adding depth across the roster with veteran
contract offers. Edge rusher and receiver are obvious needs, with Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper having
been traded away; in fact, among Oakland's returning defensive ends, only 2018
third-round pick Arden Key looks
like a lock to make the roster. The Raiders should
peruse the veteran free safety market and, potentially, available pass-catching
tight ends, if Jared Cook doesn't
re-sign. Whatever they end up doing at the quarterback position long-term, the
additions the Raiders make
this year could help set them up for the next couple of years and the eventual
move to Las Vegas.
(4) HOUSTON TEXANS
Projected cap space: $74.02 million (fourth).
Forget about keeping up with Indianapolis in the AFC South
-- the Texans need
to catch up with the Colts,
who, by the way, are in position to scoop up plenty of their own new talent as
the owners of the most cap space in the league. Tagging
Jadeveon Clowney was important, but adding offensive pop is a
prerequisite to Houston making any kind of serious playoff run. Only
receiver DeAndre
Hopkins generated more than 1,000 yards of production last season,
and in the Texans' wild-card
loss to the Colts, only receiver Keke Coutee topped
the 100-yard mark. Quarterback Deshaun
Watson is under team control for just three more seasons
(including a likely fifth-year option in 2021), and Andrew Luck's
resurgent squad suddenly looms as a major potential spoiler to the first
chapter of the Watson era. It would be smart to beef up an offensive line that
allowed Watson to be sacked a league-high 62 times in 2018. Are the offensive
tackles good enough to get the Texans where
they need to be? The left guard spot, currently occupied by Senio
Kelemete, could also use an upgrade. I was fortunate enough to have
dinner recently with defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel, and I got a pretty
good feel for the team. Houston likes its defense, though the departure
of Tyrann
Mathieu figures to leave a hole at safety.
(5) SAN FRANCISCO
49ERS
Projected cap space: $68.30 million (seventh).
Jimmy
Garoppolo's torn ACL sent San Francisco sideways in 2018, but it
didn't help that the Niners' secondary only managed to pick off two passes all
year -- that's the lowest mark by any team in NFL history. San Francisco would
do well to continue paying serious attention to the defense; the team is in
prime position to select an elite edge rusher with the second overall pick, but
it would be helpful to spend some capital in free agency on upgrading the
secondary, perhaps by reuniting Richard
Sherman with former Seahawks teammate Earl Thomas.
Nickelback could also need help, with Jimmie Ward headed
for the market, and linebacker could use a boost, while there's no true No. 1
receiver on the roster. At this time next year, Coach Kyle Shanahan and GM John
Lynch surely don't want to be preparing to use their fourth straight top-10
draft pick.
(6) DETROIT LIONS
Projected cap space: $33.62 million (13th).
I wouldn't think GM Bob Quinn or Coach Matt Patricia should
be worrying about their jobs one year into their
five-year contracts, but there are expectations that strides will be
made following 2018's 6-10 mess. The emergence of Kerryon
Johnson finally gave this team a good running back
to pair with stud QB Matthew
Stafford. If the Lions are
to avoid falling to the back of the competitive NFC North pack again and
wasting another year of Stafford's prime, they must make some key roster
additions this offseason. Tight end is a priority after the Lions released
former first-round pick Eric Ebron last
March, only to watch Ebron put together the most productive year of his NFL
career in Indianapolis. While Detroit will likely address its edge-rushing
needs in the draft (they pick eighth overall), it could be interesting for
the Lions
to make a run at Patriots free
agents like DE Trey Flowers and
DT Malcom Brown,
especially in light of Patricia's familiarity with those players as New
England's former defensive coordinator.
(7) NEW ENGLAND
PATRIOTS
Projected cap space: $23.94 million (19th).
The defending champs don't usually go for big-ticket free
agents, rather excelling at under-the-radar acquisitions. However, they're also
likely to lose a number of pieces to the market this offseason, with Trey Flowers, Malcom Brown, Danny Shelton, Trent Brown, Chris Hogan, Cordarrelle
Patterson, Phillip
Dorsett and Stephen
Gostkowski all set to potentially leave. While the Pats have a
couple of extra draft choices, Tom Brady's
age (41) could induce New England to search more intensely for veteran help.
This team has also been known to take one-year fliers. Could we see someone
like Ndamukong Suh
or (if he's released by Dallas) Sean Lee signing
on to try to make another run at a Super Bowl ring?
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