HOUSTON, UTAH AND
THE BATTLE WAGING IN THE WEST
The battles for home court in the first round of the playoffs
are heating up as we hit March. Which teams are in the driver's seat to host an
opening-round matchup?
Throughout the
regular season, I rank all 30 teams from top to bottom, taking stock of which
are playing the best basketball and which are looking most like title
contenders.
1. MILWAUKEE
BUCKS
Record: 48-15
Record: 48-15
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1
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3-1
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@PHX, IND, CHA, @SA
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Dealing with an array of injuries as his team prepared to
take on the Jazz, Mike
Budenholzer rolled out a starting five with four players who
stand 6-foot-10 or taller, making it the NBA's tallest starting lineup since
2003. On some level, it worked: The Bucks jumped out to a 11-0 lead to begin
the game, and their No. 1 defense reduced Rudy Gobert to
a terrible showing. Yet Donovan
Mitchell finished with 46 points, and cited the big lineup's lack of
foot speed as a reason for Utah's comeback victory
2. GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORS
Record: 44-19
Record: 44-19
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2
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2-2
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BOS, DEN, PHX
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Despite losing two of their past three, the Warriors are now
21-11 on the road this season and are the only team in the Western Conference
with more than 18 road wins. Golden State has also secured a winning road
record for a franchise-best sixth consecutive season. Previously, the Warriors
had seven total seasons
with a winning road record in its 67-year history, according to Elias Sports
Bureau research.
3. TORONTO
RAPTORS
Record: 46-18
Record: 46-18
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3
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2-1
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HOU, @NO, @MIA
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We know the Raptors are dangerous, and with the recent
acquisitions that has never been more true. The question that has loomed for
much of the season has surrounded whether a unit that's been together only
sporadically has logged enough time on the floor to fully realize it’s
potential. Load management aside, the quartet of Kyle Lowry, Danny Green, Kawhi Leonard and Pascal Siakam
have outscored opponents by 21.9 points per 100 possessions since the All-Star
break, whether Marc Gasol or Serge Ibaka is
the man in the middle.
4. DENVER
NUGGETS
Record: 42-20
Record: 42-20
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4
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1-2
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@SA, @LAL, @GS
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On Saturday, the Nuggets started their preferred lineup
of Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Will Barton, Gary Harris and Jamal Murray for
the first time since Oct. 20 after battling a series of injuries all season.
The Nuggets have a 3.5-game lead for second place in the West, which affords
them some time and opportunity for their lineup to mesh and find their level
over the final 20 regular-season games before the playoffs begin.
5. PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERS
Record: 39-24
Record: 39-24
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6
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3-1
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@MEM, OKC, PHX
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The Blazers had to be ecstatic that newcomer Rodney Hood finally
had a breakthrough game. The veteran swingman had 27 points, all after the 2:27
mark in the third quarter, in a win at Charlotte on Sunday. Hood had missed 25
of 32 field-goal attempts and nine of 10 3-pointers in the previous five
games.
6. HOUSTON
ROCKETS
Record: 38-25
Record: 38-25
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7
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4-0
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@TOR, PHI, @DAL
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The Rockets are 12-0 when Chris Paul dishes
out at least 10 assists. That includes three games during Houston's current
five-game winning streak, when Paul is also averaging 17.8 points per game.
"He's being aggressive, and that's what we need," James Harden said.
Paul's aggressiveness eases the burden on Harden, but the reigning MVP is still
carrying a historic load, averaging 39.5 points in four games since recovering
from a cervical strain.
7. PHILADELPHIA
76ERS
Record: 40-23
Record: 40-23
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8
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2-1
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ORL, @CHI, @HOU, IND
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It's difficult to make wholesale evaluations about the
Sixers' potential this spring while Joel Embiid remains
sidelined with tendinitis in his left knee. The team is 3-2 during his recent
absence, with Tobias Harris as
its leading scorer -- 24.8 points, 8.6 rebounds, two assists and a block per
game. Tied with the short-handed Pacers in the loss column and 2.5 games up on
Boston, the Sixers have the inside track to the third seed, their path of least
resistance in the Eastern Conference this spring.
8. OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDER
Record: 39-24
Record: 39-24
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5
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1-3
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@MIN, @POR, @LAC
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The Thunder have lost five of their past seven games, and
are in clear danger of sliding down to the 5-seed in the West. Paul George has
missed three straight games with a right shoulder injury, and his health is
paramount. If George and Russell
Westbrook are both healthy going into the playoffs, the Thunder
will have a puncher's chance against any opponent, regardless of their ultimate
playoff seeding.
9. UTAH JAZZ
Record: 36-26
Record: 36-26
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11
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3-0
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NO, @NO, @MEM
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Coming off wins over the Nuggets and Bucks, the Jazz have
the No. 3 seed in the West in their sights. Utah is two games behind the
Thunder and Trail Blazers now and has the NBA's softest schedule in the final
quarter of the season. Speaking of finishing strong, Donovan Mitchell scored 28
points on 11-of-16 shooting in the fourth quarters of those wins over Denver
and Milwaukee.
10. INDIANA
PACERS
Record: 41-23
Record: 41-23
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9
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1-3
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CHI, @MIL, @PHI
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It was a tough week for the Pacers, who dropped three of
their four games while also losing hyper-efficient big man Domantas
Sabonis toward the end of their loss in Detroit. The common
denominator in three defeats: The Pacers' opponents shot far better from the
arc in those games than Indiana did. In their lone victory, over Minnesota, the
Pacers caught fire from deep, drilling 16 of 27 attempts that night.
11. SAN ANTONIO
SPURS
Record: 35-29
Record: 35-29
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12
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2-1
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DEN, @ATL, MIL
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Once again, the Spurs have shown signs of life after sinking
to historic lows. San Antonio has never had a worse Rodeo Trip than the one the
1-7 odyssey the Spurs just wrapped up, which included five double-digit losses.
But the Spurs bounced back immediately by beating the Pistons and Thunder at
home, holding on to one of the West's last playoff spots.
12. LA CLIPPERS
Record: 36-29
Record: 36-29
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13
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3-1
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@LAL, OKC
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The reconstituted Clippers are now 6-3, making good on owner
Steve Ballmer's desire to qualify for the postseason, lottery pick be damned.
Among the reinforcements, rookie shooting guard Landry Shamet has
been a boon for the playoff drive -- 12.4 points in 28.1 minutes per game on a
true shooting percentage of 64.8, including a 46.6 percent clip from beyond the
arc.
13. BOSTON
CELTICS
Record: 38-26
Record: 38-26
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10
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1-3
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@GS, @SAC, @LAL
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The Celtics have to decide who they are moving into the
postseason. They are not the prohibitive favorite to come out of the East that
they were when the season began, but they can't afford to be an unformed,
"potential" squad when the playoffs begin or their postseason will
end quickly. They have just over a month to establish the team hierarchy and
lean into their roles, and their current stretch of seven losses in 10 games
reflects the growing pains of that effort.
14. DETROIT
PISTONS
Record: 31-31
Record: 31-31
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17
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3-1
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MIN, @CHI, CHI
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No team has been more efficient on offense over the past
month than the Pistons, who, after their Sunday win against Toronto, are averaging
118.1 points per 100 possessions in that span. The run doesn't figure to hold
forever. Before this recent stretch, that has seen them hit 40.9 percent of
their 3-pointers (second best in the NBA), the Pistons ranked dead last in
3-point shooting. But the timing couldn't be better as Detroit attempts to
close in on a playoff spot for just the second time in 10 seasons.
15. BROOKLYN NETS
Record: 32-33
Record: 32-33
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16
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1-3
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DAL, CLE, @ATL
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Saturday's loss at Miami, one of their ugliest of the
season, dropped the Nets below .500 for the first time since Jan. 16. Brooklyn
has sculpted an identity as a free-flowing team of perimeter players, often
surrounding just a single big man. But right now, the Nets are getting
annihilated on the glass. After ranking league-average for much of the season,
the Nets' team rebounding rate since the All-Star break stands below 46 percent
-- only Phoenix has been worse.
16. SACRAMENTO
KINGS
Record: 31-31
Record: 31-31
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15
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0-3
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NY, BOS, @NY
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Marvin Bagley
III enjoyed his best month of his young career in February
before spraining his left knee last Wednesday against Milwaukee. The rookie
forward averaged 17.9 points and 9.4 rebounds in just 20.9 minutes per game.
The Kings are leaning on rookie forward Harry Giles in
Bagley's absence
17. ORLANDO MAGIC
Record: 30-35
Record: 30-35
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19
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2-2
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@PHI, DAL, @MEM
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The Magic have won nine of their past 12 games to surge into
a tie for eighth in the East, including impressive wins over the Warriors, at
the Bucks and at the Raptors. Their only stumbling blocks of late have been
teams deep in the lottery, as their most recent losses have been to the Bulls,
Knicks and Cavaliers. After their next game in Philadelphia on Tuesday, the
Magic play seven straight games against teams on pace for the lottery.
18. LOS ANGELES
LAKERS
Record: 30-33
Record: 30-33
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14
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1-3
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LAC, DEN, BOS
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We hear a lot about the "statement win" for an
aspirational team looking to forge an identity, but on Saturday, the Lakers
gave us the definitive statement loss at Phoenix. Though the Lakers were
playing the second of a back-to-back, they surrendered 118 points in 97
possessions to the league's No. 29 offense. Once an overachieving defensive
unit that was quick to react, the Lakers rank bottom 10 since the calendar
flipped to 2019 -- and bottom five on the defensive glass.
19. MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVES
Record: 29-34
Record: 29-34
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18
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1-3
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OKC, @DET, WAS, NY
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About the only bright spot on the Wolves' disappointing and
injury-plagued season is the play of Karl-Anthony
Towns. The two-time All-Star has scored at least 30 in the past
three games and is on pace to set career-highs in points, rebounds and blocks
per game.
20. MIAMI HEAT
Record: 28-34
Record: 28-34
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21
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2-2
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ATL, @CHA, CLE, TOR
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The Heat have curbed their free-fall, winning two of their
past three after having lost nine of the previous 11. All three efforts were
impressive, with a Dwyane Wade game-winner
over the Warriors, a close loss at the Rockets and a blowout win over the Nets
indicating that the Heat are currently playing at a level consistent with the
best in the league. They'll need to maintain that level to get into the
postseason, as they remain just outside of the eighth seed in the East.
21. CHARLOTTE
HORNETS
Record: 29-34
Record: 29-34
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20
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1-3
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MIA, WAS, @MIL
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Sources said Hornets forward Frank
Kaminsky was interested in getting a buyout due to his minimal
role, but Charlotte wasn't interested in giving him one before Friday's
deadline to be playoff eligible elsewhere. Kaminsky was averaging career-lows
of 5.2 points, 2.4 rebounds and 10.4 minutes per game entering Thursday and had
played in just three games since Jan. 1. But over the past two games, Kaminsky
has averaged 16.5 points and 7.0 rebounds.
22. NEW ORLEANS
PELICANS
Record: 29-36
Record: 29-36
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22
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2-2
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@UTAH, UTAH, TOR, @ATL
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As the awkward saga with Anthony Davis continues, Jrue Holiday continues
to be a steady star for the Pelicans, averaging 22 points, 7 assists, 5
rebounds and 2 steals per game since the All-Star break despite decreased
minutes. The Pelicans are 3-3 in that span; including wins in both games that
Davis sat out. New Orleans has an interesting decision to make with the 28-year-old
Holiday. Do they want him to be the leader of the post-AD era or cash in on his
tremendous value in the trade market?
23. WASHINGTON
WIZARDS
Record: 26-37
Record: 26-37
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23
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2-1
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DAL, @CHA, @MIN
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There isn't much joy these days in watching the Wizards
close out what has been a brutal season so far. The novelty of Bobby Portis and Jabari Parker has
largely worn off, and All-Star Bradley Beal can
only do so much by himself. But 21-year-old big man Thomas Bryant has
been one of the team's few bright spots, and has illustrated he can likely be a
solid rotation piece going forward.
24. DALLAS
MAVERICKS
Record: 27-35
Record: 27-35
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24
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1-2
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@BKN, @WAS, @ORL, HOU
|
The Mavs, who traded 80 percent of their starting lineup and
will wait until next season to reap the benefits with Kristaps Porizing is, are
as bad as anyone right now. They have a net rating of minus-12.2 over the past
seven games, managing to win only one of those. Dallas is the NBA's worst
defensive (116.7 points allowed per 100 possessions) and rebounding (46.6
percent rate) team in that stretch.
25. CHICAGO BULLS
Record: 18-46
Record: 18-46
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25
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2-2
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@IND, PHI, DET, @DET
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The Bulls have averaged 115.5 points per 100 possessions
over the past month of play -- fourth in the NBA during that stretch, and
slightly better than the two-time defending champion Warriors. They exploded
for 168 points in a 4OT victory over Atlanta on Friday. The flip side of all
this, both in that win and over the past month generally, is that they've given
up nearly just as many scores on the other end of the floor. Getting back Wendell
Carter Jr., should he be able to return to the lineup before
season's end, would likely help shore up the defense.
26. ATLANTA HAWKS
Record: 22-42
Record: 22-42
PREV. RANK
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26
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2-2
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@MIA, SA, BKN, NO
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These days, the only way to slow down Trae Young is
to eject him, as officials did on Sunday in Chicago when the Hawks rookie
buried a 3-pointer from 30 feet then stared down Kris Dunn.
Entering play on Sunday, Young had averaged 25.3 points, 9.8 assists and 4.5
rebounds per game since Feb. 1, with a true shooting percentage of 58.7.
27. MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIES
Record: 25-40
Record: 25-40
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28
|
2-2
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POR, UTAH, ORL
|
Give Coach J.B. Bickerstaff's Grizzlies credit for playing
hard despite the odds and all the turmoil. Memphis ranks first in the league in
defensive rating since the All-Star break, allowing only 101 points per 100
possessions. Chandler
Parsons' shooting hasn't been pretty (23.6 field goal percentage
since returning from his forced sabbatical), but opponents are scoring only
86.8 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor in the past six
games.
28. CLEVELAND
CAVALIERS
Record: 16-48
Record: 16-48
PREV. RANK
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LAST WEEK
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27
|
2-2
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@BKN, @MIA
|
Cedi Osman has
logged double-figures in each of his past 12 games, the longest streak of his
career. During that span, the 23-year-old has averaged 18.5 points, 5.4
rebounds and 3.4 assists on 53.9 percent shooting overall and 50 percent from
3-point range. Cleveland has won six of the past 12 games Osman has played
in.
29. PHOENIX SUNS
Record: 13-51
Record: 13-51
PREV. RANK
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LAST WEEK
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30
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2-1
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MIL, NY, @POR, @GS
|
Deandre Ayton,
the No. 1 pick in the 2019 NBA draft, may have played his most impressive game
as a pro in a win over LeBron James and
the Lakers on Saturday. Offensively, Ayton had 26 points on 11 shots with 10
rebounds, 3 assists. Defensively, the 7-footer surprisingly guarded James well
for most of the contest and had two steals and a block.
30. NEW YORK
KNICKS
Record: 13-50
Record: 13-50
PREV. RANK
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29
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1-2
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@SAC, @PHX, SAC, @MIN
|
The Knicks have a 4.5-game "lead" on the Bulls to
retain one of the top-three lottery positions, a strong cushion with less than
20 games remaining in the season. This frees them up to play the best
basketball that their young core can manage, as these young guys are given a
rest-of-the-season tryout for a spot in the future. Mitchell
Robinson's electric play of late is building a buzz of excitement
among Knicks fans.
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