The Houston Astros enter the 2019 season as the overwhelming
favorites to win a third straight American League West title. The rest of the
division, meanwhile, doesn't appear much of a threat to dethrone one of MLB's
powerhouses.
The AL West has sent two representatives to the playoffs in
three of the last five seasons but has just one World Series winner since 2003.
Both the Astros and Oakland Athletics represented the division last season, and
everyone other than Seattle has reached the postseason at least once since
2014. At 17 seasons, the Mariners own MLB's longest active playoff drought.
As we march toward Opening Day, here's all you need to know
about the AL West:
HOUSTON ASTROS
2018 record: 103-59 (1st in AL West)
Payroll: $182,068,929
World Series odds: 6-1
3-year trend: 2016 (3rd); 2017 (1st); 2018 (1st)
Highest projected WAR: Alex Bregman (5.4)
X-factor: Carlos Correa
Prospect to watch: Forrest Whitley (MLB.com:
No. 7)
Winter report card: A
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
George Springer
|
CF
|
3.9
|
2
|
Alex Bregman
|
3B
|
5.4
|
3
|
Jose Altuve
|
2B
|
4.6
|
4
|
Carlos Correa
|
SS
|
4.3
|
5
|
Michael Brantley (L)
|
LF
|
2.2
|
6
|
Yuli Gurriel
|
1B
|
0.8
|
7
|
Tyler White
|
DH
|
1.1
|
8
|
Josh Reddick (L)
|
RF
|
1.4
|
9
|
Robinson Chirinos
|
C
|
1.1
|
BENCH
PLAYER
|
POS
|
PROJ. WAR
|
Max Stassi
|
C
|
0.6
|
Aledmys Diaz
|
IF/OF
|
0.5
|
Jake Marisnick
|
OF
|
0.3
|
Tony Kemp (L)
|
OF/2B
|
0.6
|
The Astros lost the versatile Marwin Gonzalez along
with power bats in Brian McCann
and Evan Gattis,
but the offense remains elite with Carlos Correa back to full health and Michael Brantley added
to the mix. Houston ranked sixth in the majors in runs scored and seventh in
OPS last season despite Correa, Jose Altuve, and George Springer combining
to miss 99 games.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Justin Verlander
|
R
|
3.38
|
Gerrit Cole
|
R
|
3.49
|
Wade Miley
|
L
|
4.54
|
Collin McHugh
|
R
|
4.30
|
Brad Peacock
|
R
|
3.79
|
BULLPEN
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Roberto Osuna
|
R
|
3.54
|
Ryan Pressly
|
R
|
3.34
|
Josh James
|
R
|
3.96
|
Hector Rondon
|
R
|
3.61
|
Will Harris
|
R
|
3.61
|
Chris Devenski
|
R
|
3.83
|
Framber Valdez
|
L
|
4.10
|
Justin
Verlander and Gerrit Cole both
finished in the top five in AL MVP voting in 2018 and the Astros will have to
rely more heavily on their two aces this season. The departures of Dallas Keuchel and Charlie Morton, along with
season-ending elbow surgery for Lance McCullers Jr.,
created spots for Collin McHugh and Brad Peacock to
rejoin the rotation, though that removes two strong arms from the bullpen.
Houston will hope a full season of Roberto Osuna and Ryan Pressly can help
alleviate any concerns in relief.
LOS ANGELES ANGELS
2018 record: 80-82 (4th in AL West)
Payroll: $170,301,000
Record for 2019: 81-81
World Series odds: 50-1
3-year trend: 2016 (4th); 2017 (2nd); 2018 (4th)
Highest projected WAR: Mike Trout (8.4)
X-factor: Shohei Ohtani
Prospect to watch: Jo Adell (MLB.com:
No. 14)
Winter report card: D+
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
Kole Calhoun (L)
|
RF
|
1.9
|
2
|
Mike Trout
|
CF
|
8.4
|
3
|
Justin Upton
|
LF
|
2.3
|
4
|
Justin Bour (L)
|
1B
|
0.7
|
5
|
Albert Pujols
|
DH
|
-0.1
|
6
|
Andrelton Simmons
|
SS
|
4.0
|
7
|
Zack Cozart
|
3B
|
2.8
|
8
|
Jonathan Lucroy
|
C
|
1.4
|
9
|
David Fletcher
|
2B
|
1.6
|
BENCH
PLAYER
|
POS
|
PROJ. WAR
|
Kevan Smith
|
C
|
0.6
|
Tommy La Stella
|
IF
|
0.2
|
Peter Bourjos
|
OF
|
0.0
|
Mike Trout is projected to put up more WAR than
teammates Justin Upton, Andrelton Simmons,
and Kole Calhoun combined.
That's a problem for the Angels, who ranked 21st in the majors in runs scored
last year and did little to improve the offense this winter. A healthy Zack Cozart should
help, but Los Angeles will be without Shohei Ohtani until at least May
and Albert Pujols looks
to be a $28-million platoon bat.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Matt Harvey
|
R
|
4.70
|
Trevor Cahill
|
R
|
4.12
|
Tyler Skaggs
|
L
|
4.01
|
Jaime Barria
|
R
|
4.96
|
Felix Pena
|
R
|
4.67
|
BULLPEN
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Cody Allen
|
R
|
3.90
|
Ty Buttrey
|
R
|
3.71
|
Hansel Robles
|
R
|
4.33
|
Justin Anderson
|
R
|
4.00
|
Cam Bedrosian
|
R
|
4.11
|
Noe Ramirez
|
R
|
4.05
|
Dan Jennings
|
L
|
3.95
|
Luis Garcia
|
R
|
3.73
|
The Angels ranked 19th in ERA last season and will not
return Garrett
Richards or Matt Shoemaker. To make
matters worse, Ohtani won't pitch following Tommy John surgery and Andrew Heaney is
currently sidelined with an elbow injury. Matt Harvey and Trevor Cahill are
both coming off solid but unspectacular seasons, leaving the rotation without a
real No. 1 or even No. 2 starter. Things don't get much better in the bullpen,
as the club will hope Cody Allen can
rediscover his form following the worst season of his career.
OAKLAND ATHLETICS
2018 record: 97-65 (2nd in AL West)
Payroll: $85,618,333
Record for 2019: 79-83
World Series odds: 27-1
3-year trend: 2016 (5th); 2017 (5th); 2018 (2nd)
Highest projected WAR: Matt Chapman (4.9)
X-factor: Marco Estrada
Prospect to watch: Jesus Luzardo (MLB.com:
No. 12)
Winter report card: C+
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
Robbie Grossman (S)
|
LF
|
0.3
|
2
|
Matt Chapman
|
3B
|
4.9
|
3
|
Khris Davis
|
DH
|
2.0
|
4
|
Mark Canha
|
1B
|
0.4
|
5
|
Stephen Piscotty
|
RF
|
2.3
|
6
|
Jurickson Profar (S)
|
2B
|
3.1
|
7
|
Marcus Semien
|
SS
|
2.2
|
8
|
Nick Hundley
|
C
|
0.2
|
9
|
Ramon Laureano
|
CF
|
2.7
|
BENCH
PLAYER
|
POS
|
PROJ. WAR
|
Josh Phegley
|
C
|
1.0
|
Franklin Barreto
|
IF
|
0.5
|
Chad Pinder
|
IF/OF
|
0.5
|
After scoring the fourth-most runs in MLB last season, the
A's return almost the same lineup with the exceptions of Jed Lowrie and Jonathan Lucroy. The loss
of Lowrie is significant but should be mitigated by the acquisition of Jurickson Profar. With
Matt Chapman expected to take another step into becoming a star and Khris Davis featuring
as one of the best power hitters in the majors, the offense looks to be in good
shape.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Mike Fiers
|
R
|
4.75
|
Marco Estrada
|
R
|
5.41
|
Brett Anderson
|
L
|
4.27
|
Frankie Montas
|
R
|
4.66
|
Chris Bassitt
|
R
|
4.56
|
BULLPEN
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Blake Treinen
|
R
|
3.05
|
Joakim Soria
|
R
|
3.67
|
Fernando Rodney
|
R
|
4.06
|
Lou Trivino
|
R
|
3.61
|
Ryan Buchter
|
L
|
4.24
|
Yusmeiro Petit
|
R
|
4.53
|
J.B. Wendelken
|
R
|
4.10
|
Liam Hendriks
|
R
|
3.55
|
Oakland will once again hope its rotation overachieves and
try to win games with a strong bullpen. Blake Treinen was
arguably the best closer in baseball last season, while Lou Trivino, Joakim Soria, Ryan Buchter, and Fernando Rodney help
form the division's best bullpen.
With Sean Manaea set
to miss the season and Daniel
Mengden somewhat surprisingly opening the year in the minors,
the A's are putting a lot of hope in strong starts from veterans Mike Fiers, Marco Estrada,
and Brett
Anderson. If they falter, it may not be long until top prospect
Jesus Luzardo makes the jump to the majors.
SEATTLE MARINERS
2018 record: 89-73 (3rd in AL West)
Payroll: $143,618,809
Record for 2019: 75 -87
World Series odds: 60-1
3-year trend: 2016 (2nd); 2017 (3rd); 2018 (3rd)
Highest projected WAR: Mitch Haniger (3.0)
X-factor: Yusei Kikuchi
Prospect to watch: Justus Sheffield (MLB.com:
No. 43)
Winter report card: D+
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
Mallex Smith (L)
|
RF
|
2.2
|
2
|
Mitch Haniger
|
CF
|
3.0
|
3
|
Jay Bruce (L)
|
DH
|
0.6
|
4
|
Edwin Encarnacion
|
1B
|
1.6
|
5
|
Ryon Healy
|
3B
|
0.3
|
6
|
Domingo Santana
|
LF
|
1.4
|
7
|
Omar Narvaez (L)
|
C
|
1.5
|
8
|
Tim Beckham
|
SS
|
0.5
|
9
|
Dee Gordon (L)
|
2B
|
1.5
|
*Kyle Seager out
until late May
BENCH
PLAYER
|
POS
|
PROJ. WAR
|
David Freitas
|
C
|
0.5
|
Daniel Vogelbach
|
1B
|
0.6
|
Dylan Moore
|
IF/OF
|
0.1
|
Braden Bishop
|
OF
|
N/A
|
The Mariners' offense features plenty of new faces after an
offseason makeover brought Jay Bruce, Edwin Encarnacion, Domingo Santana, Omar Narvaez, Tim Beckham, and Mallex Smith into the
starting lineup. Despite moving out a number of stars including Robinson Cano and Jean Segura, the offense
should still be dynamic as it features a nice blend of speed and power - though
depth is a major issue. Smith and Dee Gordon combined
to swipe 70 bases last season and Mitch Haniger, Bruce, Encarnacion, and Ryon Healy each offer
20-plus homer potential.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Marco Gonzales
|
L
|
4.19
|
Yusei Kikuchi
|
L
|
4.55
|
Mike Leake
|
R
|
4.70
|
Felix Hernandez
|
R
|
4.89
|
Wade LeBlanc
|
L
|
4.82
|
BULLPEN
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Hunter Strickland
|
R
|
4.68
|
Dan Altavilla
|
R
|
4.26
|
Cory Gearrin
|
R
|
4.43
|
Shawn Armstrong
|
R
|
4.07
|
Zac Rosscup
|
L
|
3.96
|
Roenis Elias
|
L
|
4.35
|
Anthony Swarzak
|
R
|
3.93
|
Brandon Brennan
|
R
|
4.28
|
The pitching suffered a major loss when James Paxton was
traded to the Yankees, and even the addition of Yusei Kikuchi isn't enough to
save a bad rotation. Felix
Hernandez is far from the ace he once was and may not even last
the entire season with the club; a miserable spring training has done little to
inspire confidence that he can rebound from a career-worst season.
Seattle's bullpen also projects to be a major weakness
following the loss of superstar closer Edwin Diaz. New
closer Hunter
Strickland saved 14 games for San Francisco last season but
also posted a 3.97 ERA while striking out less than a batter per inning.
TEXAS RANGERS
2018 record: 67-95 (5th in AL West)
Payroll: $113,550,000
Record for 2019: 69-93
World Series odds: 200-1
3-year trend: 2016 (1st); 2017 (3rd); 2018 (5th)
Highest projected WAR: Joey Gallo (3.1)
X-factor: Elvis Andrus
Prospect to watch: Hans Crouse (MLB.com:
No. 85)
Winter report card: B-
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
Shin-Soo Choo (L)
|
DH
|
1.1
|
2
|
Rougned Odor (L)
|
2B
|
2.1
|
3
|
Elvis Andrus
|
SS
|
1.3
|
4
|
Nomar Mazara (L)
|
RF
|
2.0
|
5
|
Joey Gallo (L)
|
LF
|
3.1
|
6
|
Asdrubal Cabrera (S)
|
3B
|
1.8
|
7
|
Ronald Guzman (L)
|
1B
|
0.6
|
8
|
Jeff Mathis
|
C
|
0.4
|
9
|
Delino DeShields Jr.
|
CF
|
0.7
|
BENCH
PLAYER
|
POS
|
PROJ. WAR
|
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
|
C/IF
|
0.5
|
Logan Forsythe
|
IF
|
0.2
|
Hunter Pence
|
OF
|
0.0
|
The Rangers return virtually the same lineup that boasted
the fourth-most strikeouts in the majors last season and finished in the bottom
half of the league in OPS. Adding Asdrubal Cabrera helps
cover the loss of Adrian Beltre and
a healthy Elvis Andrus should help improve the offense, but Texas will easily
be the worst team in the division for a second straight year.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Mike Minor
|
L
|
4.44
|
Lance Lynn
|
R
|
4.46
|
Drew Smyly
|
L
|
4.77
|
Edinson Volquez
|
R
|
5.06
|
Shelby Miller
|
R
|
4.82
|
BULLPEN
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Jose Leclerc
|
R
|
3.53
|
Jesse Chavez
|
R
|
4.14
|
Shawn Kelley
|
R
|
4.68
|
Chris Martin
|
R
|
3.94
|
Jeanmar Gomez
|
R
|
4.56
|
Connor Sadzeck
|
R
|
4.14
|
Jeffrey Springs
|
L
|
3.97
|
Jordan Romano
|
R
|
5.26
|
The Rangers' rotation is loaded with veterans who have shown
an inability to stay healthy. Neither Edinson Volquez nor Drew Smyly pitched at
all last season and Shelby Miller has
thrown just 38 innings over the last two years. It's safe to say Texas'
pitching depth will be tested as none of the starters have thrown at least 200
innings since 2015. There's a little more reason for optimism in the bullpen
with closer Jose Leclerc taking
a major step in 2018 to emerge as one of the league's best back-end arms.
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