Any one of the Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies, Washington Nationals,
or New York Mets may
finish first in what promises to be an ultra-competitive NL East.
The Nationals have won the division four times over the last
seven years, but the Phillies could be poised to claim their first division
title since 2011. The last time that the Mets finished on top was 2015 when
they made it all the way to the World Series. The Braves are looking to win
consecutive crowns for the first time since 2004-05, which punctuated an
incredible run of 11 straight. The lowly Miami Marlins, meanwhile,
stand absolutely no chance and could easily finish with the worst record in the
majors.
As Opening Day approaches, here's what you need to know
about the NL East:
ATLANTA BRAVES
2018 record: 90-72 (1st in NL East)
Payroll: $114,866,394
Record for 2019: 84-78
3-year trend: 2016 (5th); 2017 (3rd); 2018 (1st)
Highest projected WAR: Freddie Freeman (4.2)
X-factor: Josh
Donaldson
Prospect to watch: Mike Soroka (MLB.com:
No. 24)
Winter report card: C+
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
Ender Inciarte (L)
|
CF
|
2.3
|
2
|
Josh Donaldson
|
3B
|
4.1
|
3
|
Freddie Freeman (L)
|
1B
|
4.2
|
4
|
Ronald Acuna Jr.
|
LF
|
3.4
|
5
|
Nick Markakis (L)
|
RF
|
0.8
|
6
|
Ozzie Albies (S)
|
2B
|
3.7
|
7
|
Brian McCann (L)
|
C
|
0.8
|
8
|
Dansby Swanson
|
SS
|
1.6
|
Bench
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
Tyler Flowers
|
C
|
2.9
|
Charlie Culberson
|
IF
|
-0.3
|
Johan Camargo (S)
|
IF/OF
|
1.1
|
Adam Duvall
|
OF/IF
|
-0.1
|
Ronald Acuna
Jr. could blossom into an MVP candidate in his first full MLB
season. Freeman is one of the best first basemen in the game and the
double-play combo of Ozzie Albies and Dansby Swanson should
be solid in the field and provide pop in the bottom third of the lineup. If
Donaldson can stay healthy - he only played in 52 games in 2018 - and recapture
his old form, he could take Atlanta to another level.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Julio Teheran
|
R
|
4.81
|
Kevin Gausman
|
R
|
4.10
|
Sean Newcomb
|
L
|
4.17
|
Touki Toussaint
|
R
|
4.37
|
Bullpen
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Arodys Vizcaino
|
R
|
3.88
|
Dan Winkler
|
R
|
3.88
|
Jonny Venters
|
L
|
3.73
|
Shane Carle
|
R
|
4.20
|
Jesse Biddle
|
L
|
3.47
|
Chad Sobotka
|
R
|
3.99
|
Max Fried
|
L
|
3.58
|
Wes Parsons
|
R
|
4.01
|
Luke Jackson
|
R
|
4.08
|
The Braves are dealing with some injuries to their pitching
staff heading into the season. Right-hander Mike Foltynewicz, the
team's No. 1 starter, is battling through elbow tightness and could be back at
some point in April, leaving the fifth rotation spot up for grabs between Luiz Gohara, Kolby Allard, and Soroka.
Potential future closer A.J. Minter
continues to be out with shoulder issues, while Darren O'Day, another
high-leverage reliever, is also on the mend and his timeline is unknown at this
point.
MIAMI MARLINS
2018 record: 63-98 (5th in NL East)
Payroll: $73,037,143
Record for 2019: 66-116
World Series odds: 350-1
3-year trend: 2016 (3rd); 2017 (2nd); 2018 (5th)
Highest projected WAR: Brian Anderson (2.8)
X-factor: Lewis Brinson
Prospect to watch: Sixto Sanchez (MLB.com:
No. 27)
Winter report card: B
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
Curtis Granderson (L)
|
LF
|
0.5
|
2
|
Brian Anderson
|
3B
|
2.8
|
3
|
Neil Walker (S)
|
1B
|
0.8
|
4
|
Starlin Castro
|
2B
|
1.5
|
5
|
Garrett Cooper
|
RF
|
0.1
|
6
|
Lewis Brinson
|
CF
|
0.8
|
7
|
JT Riddle (L)
|
SS
|
0.8
|
8
|
Jorge Alfaro
|
C
|
1.7
|
BENCH
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
Chad Wallach
|
C
|
0.4
|
Martin Prado
|
IF
|
0.1
|
Miguel Rojas
|
IF
|
0.5
|
Rosell Herrera (S)
|
IF/OF
|
0.1
|
The Marlins are in a full-blown rebuild and their lineup
reflects that. Veteran bats like Curtis Granderson, Neil Walker, and Starlin Castro will
likely be moved during the season if they perform. Brinson turned heads this
spring following an ugly 2018 campaign as the key piece in the Christian Yelich trade.
Anderson could end up being the best player on this team - and is projected as
such - after finishing fourth in NL Rookie of the Year voting last year.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Jose Urena
|
R
|
4.41
|
Dan Straily
|
R
|
4.84
|
Trevor Richards
|
R
|
4.11
|
Caleb Smith
|
L
|
4.00
|
Pablo Lopez
|
R
|
4.11
|
Wei-Yin Chen
|
L
|
4.41
|
BULLPEN
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Drew Steckenrider
|
R
|
3.56
|
Sergio Romo
|
R
|
3.86
|
Adam Conley
|
L
|
4.01
|
Tayron Guerrero
|
R
|
3.81
|
Tyler Kinley
|
R
|
3.83
|
Riley Ferrell
|
R
|
3.91
|
Austin Brice
|
R
|
3.96
|
There isn't a whole lot to look at in terms of pitching.
However, there could be a few diamonds in the rough as Trevor Richards, Caleb Smith, and Pablo Lopez have all
thrown well during the spring. Drew Steckenrider is
pegged to be the closer but he comes into the season with only six career saves
and a Grapefruit League ERA this year that sits close to double digits. Sergio Romo, Adam Conley, or Rule 5
pick Riley Ferrell could
challenge for the ninth-inning role if Steckenrider falters.
NEW YORK METS
2018 record: 77-85 (4th in NL East)
Payroll: $162,339,092
Record for 2019: 89-73
World Series odds: 22-1
3-year trend: 2016 (2nd); 2017 (4th); 2018 (4th)
Highest projected WAR: Jacob deGrom (5.9)
X-factor: Robinson Cano
Prospect to watch: Pete Alonso (MLB.com:
No. 51)
Winter report card: B+
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
Brandon Nimmo (L)
|
LF
|
2.4
|
2
|
Pete Alonso
|
1B
|
1.6
|
3
|
Robinson Cano (L)
|
2B
|
3.3
|
4
|
Wilson Ramos
|
C
|
2.2
|
5
|
Michael Conforto (L)
|
RF
|
3.0
|
6
|
Amed Rosario
|
SS
|
2.1
|
7
|
Jeff McNeil (L)
|
3B
|
1.5
|
8
|
Juan Lagares
|
CF
|
0.6
|
BENCH
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
Travis d'Arnaud
|
C
|
1.2
|
J.D. Davis
|
IF
|
0.1
|
Dominic Smith
|
1B/OF
|
0.0
|
Luis Guillorme
|
IF
|
0.0
|
Keon Broxton
|
OF
|
0.1
|
This Mets' lineup is missing some punch as Yoenis Cespedes, Todd Frazier, and Jed Lowrie are all
dealing with injuries. Cespedes could miss the first half of the season as he
recovers from multiple heel surgeries. New York is hoping Cano can still be a
force offensively at 36 years old. Alonso, who has slashed .356/.387/.627 this
spring as of Saturday morning, should be in the mix for NL Rookie of the Year
if he makes the team.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Jacob deGrom
|
R
|
2.94
|
Noah Syndergaard
|
R
|
3.52
|
Steven Matz
|
L
|
4.05
|
Zack Wheeler
|
R
|
3.86
|
Jason Vargas
|
L
|
4.30
|
BULLPEN
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Edwin Diaz
|
R
|
2.45
|
Jeurys Familia
|
R
|
3.25
|
Robert Gsellman
|
R
|
3.92
|
Justin Wilson
|
L
|
3.29
|
Seth Lugo
|
R
|
3.58
|
Luis Avilan
|
L
|
3.76
|
Kyle Dowdy
|
R
|
3.88
|
New York may own the majors' best starting rotation. DeGrom
and Syndergaard are both aces, Wheeler is finally coming into his own, and Matz
is still just 27 and owns a respectable 3.98 ERA for his career. Vargas, an
All-Star in 2017, is a solid No. 5 who will look to bounce back from a
disappointing 2018 campaign. The bullpen looks like a weapon with 2018 MLB
saves leader Edwin Diaz on
board. Add Jeurys
Familia and Justin Wilson, and the
Mets should be feeling good with a late lead in games.
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIES
2018 record: 80-82 (3rd in NL East)
Payroll: $140,437,462
Record for 2019: 84-78
World Series odds: 17-2
3-year trend: 2016 (4th); 2017 (5th); 2018 (3rd)
Highest projected WAR: Bryce Harper (4.6)
X-factor: Nick Pivetta
Prospect to watch: Alec Bohm (MLB.com:
No. 59)
Winter report card: A+
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
Andrew McCutchen
|
RF
|
2.8
|
2
|
Jean Segura
|
SS
|
2.4
|
3
|
Bryce Harper (L)
|
LF
|
4.6
|
4
|
Rhys Hoskins
|
1B
|
3.5
|
5
|
J.T. Realmuto
|
C
|
3.8
|
6
|
Odubel Herrera (L)
|
CF
|
1.8
|
7
|
Maikel Franco
|
3B
|
2.1
|
8
|
Cesar Hernandez (S)
|
2B
|
2.0
|
BENCH
PLAYER
|
POS
|
PROJ. WAR
|
Andrew Knapp (S)
|
C
|
-0.1
|
Scott Kingery
|
IF/OF
|
0.4
|
Aaron Altherr
|
OF
|
0.0
|
Nick Williams (L)
|
OF
|
0.1
|
There is no shortage of firepower in Philadelphia in 2019.
The Phillies' one-through-five hitters should cause a lot of headaches for
opposing pitchers with two MVP awards and 14 All-Star Game nods between them.
Harper will get almost all of the attention, but Rhys Hoskins could be
primed for a monster season with plenty of protection around him. The
26-year-old has 52 career home runs in only 203 games.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Aaron Nola
|
R
|
3.58
|
Jake Arrieta
|
R
|
4.25
|
Nick Pivetta
|
R
|
3.99
|
Zach Eflin
|
R
|
4.61
|
Vince Velasquez
|
R
|
4.41
|
BULLPEN
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
David Robertson
|
R
|
3.26
|
Seranthony Dominguez
|
R
|
3.41
|
Hector Neris
|
R
|
3.60
|
Pat Neshek
|
R
|
4.49
|
Adam Morgan
|
L
|
4.00
|
Edubray Ramos
|
R
|
4.35
|
Jose Alvarez
|
L
|
3.85
|
Juan Nicasio
|
R
|
3.76
|
The rotation is led by a 2018 NL Cy Young finalist in Aaron Nola and the
recipient of the 2015 award in Jake Arrieta. The
26-year-old Pivetta owns a career 9.9 K/9 rate so if he can find another gear,
the starting pitching could really cause headaches for opposing lineups.
Adding David
Robertson to the bullpen provides a stable veteran presence to
go along with the big arms of Seranthony Dominguez and Hector Neris.
WASHINGTON
NATIONALS
2018 record: 82-80 (2nd in NL East)
Payroll: $195,950,991
Record for 2019:: 89-73
World Series odds: 18-1
3-year trend: 2016 (1st); 2017 (1st); 2018 (2nd)
Highest projected WAR: Max Scherzer (5.7)
X-factor: Victor Robles
Prospect to watch: Robles (MLB.com: No. 4)
Winter report card: A-
PROJECTED LINEUP
ORDER
|
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
1
|
Adam Eaton (L)
|
RF
|
2.2
|
2
|
Trea Turner
|
SS
|
4.6
|
3
|
Juan Soto (L)
|
LF
|
4.1
|
3
|
Anthony Rendon
|
3B
|
5.1
|
5
|
Ryan Zimmerman
|
1B
|
1.1
|
6
|
Brian Dozier
|
2B
|
2.1
|
7
|
Yan Gomes
|
C
|
1.1
|
8
|
Victor Robles
|
CF
|
2.1
|
BENCH
PLAYER
|
POS.
|
PROJ. WAR
|
Kurt Suzuki
|
C
|
0.5
|
Matt Adams (L)
|
1B/OF
|
0.4
|
Wilmer Difo (S)
|
IF/OF
|
0.2
|
Andrew Stevenson (L)
|
OF
|
-0.1
|
Life without Harper shouldn't be too bad for the Nats. Anthony Rendon is
primed for a big season entering his walk year. Adam Eaton and Trea Turner will
score a bunch of runs as the table-setters for a deep lineup, with the latter
likely to steal 50-plus bases. Juan Soto put up a
.923 OPS as a 19-year-old and Robles could end up being the NL Rookie of the
Year while replacing No. 34.
PROJECTED ROTATION
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Max Scherzer
|
R
|
3.14
|
Stephen Strasburg
|
R
|
3.64
|
Patrick Corbin
|
L
|
3.53
|
Anibal Sanchez
|
R
|
4.30
|
Jeremy Hellickson
|
R
|
4.82
|
BULLPEN
PITCHER
|
THROWS
|
PROJ. ERA
|
Sean Doolittle
|
L
|
3.36
|
Trevor Rosenthal
|
R
|
3.13
|
Kyle Barraclough
|
R
|
4.04
|
Justin Miller
|
R
|
3.98
|
Matt Grace
|
L
|
3.85
|
Wander Suero
|
R
|
4.33
|
Tony Sipp
|
L
|
3.90
|
Like New York, Washington could very well have the top
pitching staff in the game. Scherzer is a future Hall of Famer, Stephen Strasburg has
a career 3.14 ERA, (though he's only pitched 200-plus innings once), and Patrick Corbin finished
fifth in NL Cy Young voting in 2018. The addition of Trevor Rosenthal brings
a big arm with closing experience to complement Sean Doolittle in the
back end of the bullpen.
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