Thus far, we've reseeded the field after the first round and heading into the Sweet 16. And since those pieces ignited such an emotional
response -- the multitude of synonyms for "idiot" that Kentucky fans
used to express their disappointment was impressive -- we decided to keep
going. A look at the Elite Eight field entering Saturday's contests:
1. DUKE BLUE
DEVILS (ORIGINAL SEED: NO. 1; RESEED: NO. 1)
Twenty years ago, UConn made its first run to the national
title, a rally that culminated with a victory over a great Duke team. The
Huskies won their final three matchups in that season's NCAA tournament by 14
points combined. Perhaps this Duke squad will evoke its one-time nemesis,
continue to win nail-biters, and cut down the nets in Minneapolis.
Aubrey
Dawkins saw a putback roll in and out of the rim in the final
moments against Duke last weekend. On Friday, Virginia Tech's Ahmed Hill missed
an alley-oop that would have sent the game into overtime. The Blue Devils
aren't perfect. But they won Friday's game without Cam Reddish,
who reportedly suffered a knee injury before tipoff. They finished 6-for-20
from the 3-point line and 1-for-13 if you subtract the efforts of Tre Jones (22
points, 5-for-7 from beyond the arc). It doesn't matter how the game is going
-- ugly, close, blowout, thriller, physical, whatever -- Zion
Williamson and Duke continue to win. In spite of the close
shaves, the Blue Devils remain the team to beat in our eyes.
2. GONZAGA
BULLDOGS (ORIGINAL SEED: 1; RESEED: 1)
This season, Mark Few's team is the nation's top offensive
collective. The Bulldogs have maintained their reputation as a dominant scoring
team by averaging 117 points per 100 possessions in their first three NCAA
tournament games. But Florida State, which boasted the ACC's top interior
defense this season, forced the Bulldogs into difficult shots (42 percent
inside the arc). But that's why this Gonzaga squad is even more intimidating
than the group that reached the title game two years ago with the best defense
in the country.
These Bulldogs have morphed into this elite defensive team
that's playing at Texas Tech levels (0.85 PPP allowed in three games) right
now. We know they can put up big numbers. But Rui Hachimura, Killian
Tillie and Brandon
Clarke have anchored a defensive effort that has led this program to
its third Elite Eight in five seasons.
3. TEXAS TECH
RED RAIDERS (ORIGINAL SEED: 3; RESEED: 1)
Michigan has played basketball for 110 years. Since its
first NCAA tournament appearance in 1948 -- 71 years ago -- no team had ever
contained the Wolverines the way Texas Tech, the nations best defense, did in
Anaheim, California, on Thursday night. Michigan's 44-point tally in a loss to
the Red Raiders in the Sweet 16 was a record low for the program. This is the
same Texas Tech squad that held a Buffalo team that was averaging 84.5 points
to just 58 in the second round. This program's commitment to defense is
unrivaled in college basketball.
Plus, Chris Beard has a squad that also has made 55 percent
of its shots inside the arc. And Jarrett
Culver, a potential top-five pick, has entered make-that-money mode.
He's averaging 24.8 points over the past five games.
4. MICHIGAN
STATE SPARTANS (ORIGINAL SEED: 2; RESEED: 1)
When Nick Ward fell
to the floor, holding the same hand he'd injured late in the regular season,
during Michigan State's 80-63 victory over LSU in the Sweet 16, two things
happened: Spartans fans screamed, "Not again!" and Cassius
Winston once again made the case that he's the best player in
America not named Zion
Williamson. He finished Friday with 17 points and eight assists. His
five turnovers weren't ideal. But he just continues to lead this injury-plagued
group through challenging moments. First to a Big Ten title and now to the
Elite Eight.
He's not doing it solo. Michigan State has made more than 40
percent of its 3-pointers in back-to-back games. And other players (see: Aaron Henry scoring
20 points Friday) continue to step up. The Spartans have also held their NCAA
tournament opponents to only 92 points per 100 possessions. This is, somehow,
one of the most dangerous teams in the field.
5. KENTUCKY
WILDCATS (ORIGINAL SEED: 2; RESEED: 2)
"It feels good. I don't feel any pain right now."
That's how PJ Washington described
his foot after his team's 62-58 win over Houston in the Sweet 16 on Friday.
That's bad news for the field. After missing the first and second rounds
because of a foot injury, Washington made a clutch free throw late and then
blocked a Corey Davis Jr. drive down the stretch. He finished with
16 points (shooting 6-for-8 from the field).
Against the Cougars, the same Tyler Herro (19
points) who struggled against Wofford in the second round played like a
first-round pick and hit a big 3-pointer late. With Washington back and
healthy, Kentucky can win a national title. The Wildcats just have a different
level of confidence with their best player on the floor. And now John Calipari
is in the Elite Eight for the seventh time in 10 seasons.
6. AUBURN TIGERS (ORIGINAL
SEED: 5; RESEED: 2)
Bruce Pearl's postgame tears told the story. We probably
won't see Chuma Okeke in
the Elite Eight. And that's sad. The 6-foot-8, 230-pound sophomore who finished
with 20 points (3-for-5 from the 3-point line), 11 rebounds, 2 steals and a
block (zero fouls, too) before suffering what looked to be a significant knee
injury in Friday's 97-80 upset of top seed North Carolina had been the most
important two-way player on the roster in the NCAA tournament.
Entering the Sweet 16, Auburn averaged an additional 7
points per 100 possessions when Okeke was on the floor, per HoopLens.com. To
the Tigers' credit, this resilient bunch extended its lead over UNC in the
final 8 minutes, 8 seconds without Okeke. And the Jared Harper-Bryce Brown combo
is still one of the most potent duos in the country, helping an Auburn squad
that has made nearly 40 percent of its 3-point attempts and forced 16 turnovers
per game in three NCAA tournament matchups. But the Tigers would be higher on
this list if we knew Okeke could go Sunday.
7. PURDUE BOILERMAKERS (ORIGINAL
SEED: 3; RESEED: 2)
After losing one of America's most talented senior classes,
Purdue regrouped around Wooden Award candidate Carsen Edwards and
won a slice of the Big Ten regular-season championship. But a couple of losses
to Minnesota in a 10-day span, coupled with Edwards' struggles of late,
generated some doubt about this program's viability in the NCAA tournament.
Forget all of that now.
In the opening round, Purdue outplayed an Old Dominion squad
ranked in the top 30 in defensive efficiency. Edwards dropped 42 points and
established a school record with nine 3-pointers in Purdue's 26-point victory
over Villanova, which suffered the worst NCAA tournament defeat in the
program's history that night. But Purdue's 99-point effort (130 points per 100
possessions) against Tennessee, which owned the SEC's No. 2 defense, on
Thursday, underlined this team's offensive excellence. The Boilermakers are
more than Edwards. Ryan Cline finished
7-for-10 from the 3-point line against the Vols. Matt Haarms finished in double digits in the win over Old
Dominion. Purdue is one of the best offensive teams in the Elite Eight.
8. VIRGINIA CAVALIERS (ORIGINAL
SEED: 1; RESEED: 2)
The Cavaliers will enter their Elite Eight matchup against
Purdue on Saturday with an opportunity to completely erase the memory of last
season's first-round loss to UMBC. Their path to this juncture has featured a
series of shaky moments in the NCAA tournament, though. They were down by
double digits in the first half against Gardner-Webb in the opening
round. Kyle Guy
finished 2-for-15 in a victory over Oklahoma in the second round. Guy and De'Andre Hunter finished a combined 3-for-15 from the
3-point line in a four-point win over Oregon on Thursday. We just haven't
witnessed a complete or excellent game from Virginia in the NCAA tournament.
And, in part, that's a testament to the Cavaliers'
resilience. The nation's most balanced program (second in offensive efficiency,
third in defensive efficiency, per ESPN Analytics) is difficult to beat even on
subpar days. Yet, can Tony Bennett's team advance past Purdue with another
so-so effort? That seems unlikely.
No comments:
Post a Comment