BROWNS' BECKHAM
TRADE ROCKS LANDSCAPE
On March 12, the Cleveland
Browns pulled off
the rarest of offseason moves, the kind that genuinely justifies the
accompanying headlines and hot air, acquiring receiver Odell Beckham Jr.
and pass rusher Olivier
Vernon from the New York
Giants.
During the previous weekend, the Pittsburgh
Steelers agreed to
trade receiver Antonio Brown away to
the Raiders after
weeks of apparent maneuvering by Brown to get out of town.
In the space of a few days, a shift that had been in
progress for roughly the past year was accelerated. In 2018, the Browns finally showed
signs of reversing years of organizational futility, winning five of their last
seven games behind sizzling rookie quarterback Baker
Mayfield. Trading for Beckham only further cemented their status as
certain 2019 season-preview darlings. The Steelers,
meanwhile, seemed to slip further into an abyss of uncertainty after missing
the playoffs for the first time since 2013.
In football, as in life, nothing is guaranteed. The Browns could
be derailed by injuries and some combination of the other weird, unforeseen
complications that tend to color NFL campaigns. Pittsburgh still has a likely
Hall of Famer in Ben
Roethlisberger driving its offense and hasn't recorded a losing
season since 2003. And, you know, the team that actually won the division in
2018 has its own thrilling, young quarterback. Upon replacing veteran pocket-passer Joe Flacco last
season, Lamar Jackson lit
the Ravens on
fire, losing just one of his seven regular-season starts and powering them to
their fifth AFC North title.
The Bengals have
been much quieter on the personnel-movement front, but the offseason has been
nonetheless momentous for the franchise. Cincinnati slipped into fourth place
in 2018 after losing quarterback Andy Dalton for
five games and receiver A.J. Green for
seven, and the team turned the page on the Marvin Lewis era. New coach Zac
Taylor has plenty of challenges in front of him, including reviving a defense
that ranked 32nd in yards, its worst finish in franchise history. That said
there is still talent on this roster.
Whatever happens, the AFC North promises to be one of the
more compelling divisions in the NFL.
FREE AGENCY
NOTABLES
BIGGEST ADDITION: Odell Beckham Jr.,
wide receiver.
Old Team: New York
Giants. New Team: Cleveland
Browns.
The impact of any one person -- a non-quarterback, no less
-- in football is supposed to be limited by the nature of the game, where
countless interactions between dozens of players come together to shape the
outcome of each contest. Beckham still is just one man. He's also one of the
best receivers in the game. This offense already looked like a potential
world-beating unit coming off last season. Mayfield set a record for passing
touchdowns by a rookie, and the team posted the best yards-per-offensive-play
figure in the NFL (6.6) in the eight games for which current coach Freddie
Kitchens was offensive coordinator. Then general manager John Dorsey pulled off
a trade that, honestly, still seems more like a Twitter-bound
fever-dream fantasy than something you'd see in real life. With Beckham in the
mix, suddenly it becomes downright reasonable to imagine the Browns playing
in the Super Bowl.
If the hype is a bit much for you, consider this stat as a
way to put the move in context: In his five pro seasons, Beckham has topped
1,000 receiving yards four times, or just six times fewer than all Browns
players combined over the past 40 years. Even if the plan goes awry
-- as plans are known to do in the NFL! -- It’s hard to overstate the magnitude
of Cleveland having an honest-to-god talent advantage. Nothing captures this
transformation better than the acquisition of a proven star like Beckham.
BIGGEST LOSS: Antonio Brown,
wide receiver.
Old Team: Pittsburgh
Steelers. New Team: Oakland
Raiders.
While losing running back Le'Veon Bell hurts,
at least everyone saw that coming after he sat out the
2018 season. Until relatively recently, it seemed like you could
count on one of the most accomplished receivers of his generation spending next
season where he'd spent the entirety of his career: in Pittsburgh. That
situation quickly turned sour, and now Brown is in Oakland and the Steelers are
suddenly facing an uphill battle just to stay competitive in the division. It's
true that Pittsburgh has managed to transition successfully following the
departures of previous top receivers like Mike Wallace
and Hines Ward, but neither player was operating at Brown's level -- and
QB Ben
Roethlisberger was much farther away from
turning 40 at the time. JuJu
Smith-Schuster is promising but untested as a No. 1 receiver,
and the depth chart behind him -- James
Washington, Donte
Moncrief, Eli Rogers --
is full of what could charitably be called question marks.
SLEEPER ADDITION: Mark Ingram,
running back.
Old Team: New Orleans
Saints. New Team: Baltimore
Ravens.
With the headlining move of the offseason setting the
divisional bar extraordinarily high for notable
additions, a number of players could slot in here, including
new Browns defensive
tackle Sheldon
Richardson and new Ravens
safety Earl Thomas.
Let's focus on a potential difference maker who might be flying somewhat under
the radar in part because he is not named Le'Veon Bell.
Though his numbers dipped in a suspension-shortened 2018,
Ingram produced at a steady clip with the Saints,
especially recently. Over the past five seasons, only LeSean McCoy, Lamar Miller, Frank Gore and Todd Gurley have
more rushing yards than Ingram's 4,545. He's joining a Baltimore offense that,
in 2018, posted 1,607 rushing yards from Week 11 to Week 17, the most rushing
yards from a team's 10th game to its 16th in any season since the NFL expanded
to 16-game slates in 1978. And that was with running backs like Gus Edwards and Alex Collins (since
released following an arrest) splitting most of the
carries that didn't go to Lamar Jackson.
Whatever John Harbaugh and new offensive coordinator Greg Roman are cooking
up for Jackson's sophomore campaign, Ingram will likely play a
key role. Ultimately, depending on how things shake out, this acquisition
could help determine whether or not Baltimore is able to hold off the Browns and
defend its AFC North title.
WHAT'S NEXT?
Baltimore Ravens: The Ravens are
in an interesting spot. They have a young, promising quarterback who saved
their 2018 season with his legs and provides the offense with plenty of upside
going forward. Baltimore's offensive bread is obviously buttered on the ground,
but it wouldn't hurt to upgrade the cast of pass catchers around Lamar Jackson,
with Willie Snead currently
topping the receiver depth chart following the departures of John Brown and Michael
Crabtree. Meanwhile, the Ravens'
defense -- a backbone of Baltimore's success basically since the team arrived
in the city, and especially last season, when the Ravens ranked
first in yards allowed and second in scoring defense -- will be forging ahead
without C.J. Mosley, Terrell Suggs, Za'Darius
Smith and Eric Weddle. Earl Thomas should
pick up the slack for Weddle, but it would be prudent to add to the front
seven, where fourth-year pro Matt Judon
stands as the holdover with the highest sack total (7.0) from 2018.
Cincinnati Bengals: Every year, it seems, there
remains the tantalizing possibility that Cincinnati will draft a quarterback to
compete with and eventually replace Andy Dalton,
but based on the presence of a strong enough core (A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd,
Joe Mixon), it probably makes more sense for Zac Taylor to make the most of
this group's remaining competitive window. After all, when Green first missed
time with a toe
injury (in Week 10), the Bengals were
5-3 and in second place in the division. It is completely plausible that Taylor
could breathe new life into this attack. More pressing than adding to the
offense would be boosting a defense that ranked 32nd overall, 30th in scoring,
32nd against the pass and 29th against the run. The unit's better grade by Pro
Football Focus (22nd in the NFL) indicates there are some pieces to work with,
however, including safety Jessie Bates,
who stood out with an impressive rookie campaign (111 tackles, three picks).
Linebacker would be a good spot to target, especially after Vontaze
Burfict's release;
PFF did not grade any Bengals linebacker
higher than 19th on the team (Nick Vigil) last season.
Cleveland Browns: If everything holds, the Browns will
not make their first pick of the 2019 draft until midway through Round 2
-- No. 49 overall. It'll be the lowest first pick by Cleveland in a draft since
2008, when they traded away their first three picks as part of a series of
deals (that helped net them Brady Quinn in '07) and didn't draft until Round 4.
Aside from '08, this franchise has picked, on average, seventh overall in the
draft going back to 1999 and has owned the No. 1 overall pick four times in
that span. Cleveland ranked 30th overall on defense last season, 25th against
the pass and 28th against the run. Adding Olivier
Vernon, Sheldon
Richardson, Eric Murray and Morgan
Burnett should help with that, but the secondary could use more
reinforcements, with Jabrill
Peppers (who earned PFF's fourth-highest defensive grade on the
team) having been shipped out as part of the Beckham deal. This team appears
well-stocked at multiple positions (we haven't even talked about the Kareem Hunt signing).
Still, football being as capricious as it is, it would be good to bolster the
roster across the board -- no team ever failed because it was too deep.
Pittsburgh Steelers: The exits of Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown might
make the locker room calmer (eventually,
anyway). They also bring Ben
Roethlisberger's football mortality into sharper focus than ever
before. As is true of every other quarterback in the 35-and-up age
bracket, Big Ben (37)
will eventually run out of time to add another ring to his finger. That said,
in 2018, he did break the 5,000-yard threshold for the first time in his 15 pro
seasons, leading the NFL in passing yards for the second time in his career. He
clearly still has it. Will he be able to adapt to a reality in which only one
pass catcher on the roster (JuJu Smith-Schuster) has ever recorded more than 64
catches in a season? It would make sense to add to that group, which also took
a hit when tight end Jesse James signed
with Detroit. Most of the key players from last season's 10th-ranked defense
are returning, but even with the additions of LB Mark Barron and
CB Steven Nelson,
Pittsburgh should pay attention to linebacker and the secondary.
No comments:
Post a Comment